Voter Turnout: Arizona and Utah Are Melting Down Right Now
If multiple reports coming in are true, we’re looking at record high turnout in Arizona, the state of Utah running out of ballots, and a lot of excitement even for the Democratic caucus in Idaho, we’re looking at a long night ahead of us.
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These turnout numbers for Democrats are amazing!
Turnout for the Democrats continues to please Republicans.
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Republican turnout beats Democratic turnout in New Hampshire.
Democratic turnout in New Hampshire was down; Republican turnout was up. This is great news.
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The Strongest Trump Supporters Are Registered Democrat
Sorry Democrats. In Today’s New York Times, Nate Cohn crunches the statistics on Donald Trump’s supporters and reveals that the Donald “holds his greatest strength among registered Democrats who identify as Republican leaners.” Cohn also put it this way, Trump’s “very best voters are self-identified Republicans who nonetheless are registered as Democrats.”
Another mind-boggling conclusion set forth by Cohn is that registered Republicans are “one of Mr. Trump’s weakest groups.” If you can’t wrap your mind around that, well join the club. Perhaps this helps explain why so many Republicans I know don’t care much for Trump as a Presidential candidate.
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Here’s The Real Republican Voter Turnout Issue In 2016 (And The Democrats’ Too)
I’ve lately knocked liberals and conservatives alike lately for unrealistic ideas about winning elections by base turnout alone – liberals for clinging to the Static Electorate Fallacy that assumes it will be 2012 forever despite powerful historical evidence that each new set of candidates create their own turnout once an incumbent departs the ballot, conservatives for overstating the number of conservative voters who may have | Read More »
Democrats Start To Show Early Signs of Panic About 2016
To all outward appearances, Democrats and liberal-progressive pundits are confident to the point of arrogant, gloating certainty about the 2016 presidential election. In part this is “victory disease” – they were sure they would win in 2008 and 2012, they were right, so they are convinced it shall always be so. In part it’s a defense mechanism – they got shellacked in 2010 and 2014, | Read More »
Electoral Reform- Part 5- Why Tuesday?
The answer to this question may surprise many. A 1792 law required that the electors chosen meet on the first Wednesday in December to decide the winner of the presidency. Elections themselves had to be held within 34 days of that Wednesday, although the actual day of the vote was left to the individual states. Being an agrarian society, voters had to travel to the | Read More »
What Happened In Ohio?
This was a narrative/identity election not an ideological one and Romney lost the narrative and failed to motivate key undecideds and low energy Republicans while Obama motivated his base and managed to increase turnout in a few key segments. For more of my take on what happened and why I was wrong keep reading.
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Despite what the polls say, Mitt Romney will win by double digits… here’s why
2012 will not be a reprise of 2000. Although Barack Obama is building an army / phalanx of lawyers to try and redirect the election to the courts with the hope that the justices will lean against throwing out a sitting president, it won’t happen. 2000 only happened because the election was so close, with a mere half percent difference between the candidates. In 2012 | Read More »
Out the door
It was on the chilly side this morning in the Dallas area. I know this because I had to stand outside in it — in shirt sleeves — for almost ten minutes, waiting in line to vote. I’ve voted at the same location for five Election Days now, and never before have I seen the line extend outside the building. There were, as I learned | Read More »
Watch Michigan Tonight: McCain Won’t Win Michigan, But It’s Still a Bell-Weather
John McCain will not win Michigan. So don’t hold your breath. But, if the race is six points or less — then we will be up late tonight. If it’s five points or less — start thinking upset. If it’s four points or less — John McCain will be our next president. Anecdotally and I will update throughout the day and early evening: 9:15 a.m. | Read More »
Chill McCain will PA
Quit blogging if you are going to lose it. McCain has this election in the bag. He will win, probably by a landslide. Nice try, we ain’t staying home. Go back the the Kos.
I am worried about McCain’s chances in PA. Someone provide me some good news please!!!
I am hearing on other forums that the turnout among African Americans in Philly and Pittsburgh will be extremely high making it difficult for McCain to surpass. I hope to god I am wrong. Someone please provide me with some positive information. I very worried here.