The caveats: I’m not a scientist, these numbers are approximations based on early voting data and the final numbers from 2008. These numbers do not figure in any 3rd party candidates. THE MODEL Early voting in Ohio are showing “Red” counties generally up by 120%, and early voting in “Blue” counties roughly 80% of what it was in 2008. Obama won “Blue” counties by and | Read More »
That’s not Samuel L. Jackson on set in Die Hard III. Remember the billy-club bearing New Black Panthers that were the vanguard of democracy in Philadelphia in 2008? Well, the boys are back, albeit in a kinder, gentler 2012 version. No visible weapons, and this fellow by all accounts had a bit of a sunnier disposition. Still, a dude in paramilitary attire affiliated with a | Read More »
Mystical polling genius Sate Nilver has obtained Romney campaign internal polling, signed a non-disclosure agreement, utilized a magical, mystical, sophisticated statistical analysis system (known to some colloquially as “Microsoft Excel”), and has uncovered that Romney is up in Ohio, and dead even in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. Nilver immediately disclosed these findings to the media, particularly the Daily Mail because, claims Nilver, they are the paper | Read More »
National and state polls continue to show the future ex-President with a slight lead in key areas. A few points up in OH, VA, WI, NH, and others pointing to Obama running away in PA, MI, and IA. Nationally he maintains a 2-3 point lead in most polls. Governor Romney has flipped the map, but not enough it would appear. Looks like we get four | Read More »
Why Ezra Klein is dead wrong Its been a while since I’ve posted at RedState, but after reading Ezra Klein’s latest attempt to further the meme that Romney’s debate domination didn’t matter, it prompted me to author this entry. In the Washington Post, Klein proclaims that in a battle between “excitable pundits” versus “political scientists,” he will “take political scientists every time.” Good luck with | Read More »
SWEAR I am not making this up. Driving home today I caught a story on National Public Radio that I simultaneously couldn’t believe they aired and also thought was straight-up par for the course. The “science” they reported was, if it were not for the oceans and plants of the world, the planet would be warming much more rapidly than it is, and we would | Read More »
We’ve seen more than a few headlines recently on Drudge titled “Worse Week” with a photo of the President perched just above the familiar bold “Impact” font headline masthead. Mr. Obama has certainly had more than a few “bad weeks” over the past year, but it seems this one is when the House of Cards that is this administration will finally fall. Thursday of this | Read More »
It appears the long-suspected theory many of us have held is correct . . . that it is no mere coincidence with the similarities of these two dreaded objects of doom. With the “breaking-but-not-yet-broken” “story” (yes, that’s a lot of air-quotes . . . for good reason) of Marianne Gingrich’s career-ending interview regarding her ex-husband, our worst fears have been confirmed. To our great surprise, | Read More »
Many items have been pointed to as “The Most Important Issue(s)” in the 2012 race for president. Repealing Obamacare Closing the deficit Border Security/Illegal Immigration Jobs/Cutting Government Interference in the Private Sector Reforming the Tax Code National Security and a sound Mid East Policy A sustainable domestic energy policy Everything on this list, including a few others, are important in 2012. Ann Coulter writes that | Read More »
Earlier in the year I wrote a few sporadic diary entries and commentaries to frontpage posts describing why I thought Rick Perry would be nominee, and more pointedly, why Mitt Romney was not the actual frontrunner. I’ll admit that my beliefs waivered in recent weeks (not because of debate performances but rather because of ‘surges’ by other candidates, none of whom were Romney). However, as | Read More »
![[RS]](/t/img/logo-footer.jpg){kind=logo}