The caveats: I’m not a scientist, these numbers are approximations based on early voting data and the final numbers from 2008. These numbers do not figure in any 3rd party candidates. THE MODEL Early voting in Ohio are showing “Red” counties generally up by 120%, and early voting in “Blue” counties roughly 80% of what it was in 2008. Obama won “Blue” counties by and | Read More »
Mystical polling genius Sate Nilver has obtained Romney campaign internal polling, signed a non-disclosure agreement, utilized a magical, mystical, sophisticated statistical analysis system (known to some colloquially as “Microsoft Excel”), and has uncovered that Romney is up in Ohio, and dead even in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. Nilver immediately disclosed these findings to the media, particularly the Daily Mail because, claims Nilver, they are the paper | Read More »
National and state polls continue to show the future ex-President with a slight lead in key areas. A few points up in OH, VA, WI, NH, and others pointing to Obama running away in PA, MI, and IA. Nationally he maintains a 2-3 point lead in most polls. Governor Romney has flipped the map, but not enough it would appear. Looks like we get four | Read More »
![[RS]](/t/img/logo-footer.jpg){kind=logo}