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Why Obama Can’t Be Counted Out In 2012

obama-2012

By Tom Tillison
Florida Political Press

With the record success conservatives saw back in November, many on the right are now convinced that the tide has been turned in this country and that Obama is destined to be a one term President.

We also hear the pundits talk about this being a center right country and see the recent stat’s showing that most Americans consider themselves conservative, or conservative leaning.

Yet, Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll currently shows that 30% of the nation’s voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as president, while 36% Strongly Disapprove, giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -6 .

Those numbers reflect the best ratings for Obama in nearly a year.

Outside of giving a good speech at the pep rally/memorial in Tuscon, Arizona, what has changed to cause the sudden upswing in Obama’s approval rating?

Obama is still a firm Progressive that strongly believes in the redistribution of wealth, as seen in the countless decisions and appointments he’s made in the past two years. The national debt is still $3 trillion higher than when he took office just two years ago, and the only reason there hasn’t been much talk about his record budget deficits lately is because the Democrats didn’t bother to pass a budget for the current year.

Under Obama, government gained and still has control over the healthcare industry, the banking industry, the auto industry and even the student loan industry.

Unemployment is still hovering around 10%. Gas prices are on the climb, as are food prices. In fact, inflation is picking up steam all around us, regardless of how much government officials tell you it’s not. The government figures are severely manipulated to show inflation in check, but any consumer can tell you that prices are going up across the board.

The Afghan war is still raging, with far more American deaths in 2010 than any other year on record. Curiously, since Obama’s coronation, the anti-war crowd that was ever present during the Bush years has grown as quiet as a church mouse.

And, with all the above, Obama is enjoying his best approval ratings in a year…

When looking ahead to the 2012 Presidential Election, we cannot under-estimate the incapacity of the American people. After all, the American people elected this freshman Senator with absolutely no experience to be our President based soley on his charisma and perceived intelligence in the first place.

Qualities that Obama still possesses in great abundance.

There’s an anonymous quote floating around the web that touches on this;

“The danger to America is not Barack Obama but a citizenry capable of entrusting a man like him with the presidency.

It will be easier to limit and undo the follies of an Obama presidency than to restore the necessary common sense and good judgment to an electorate willing to have such a man for their president.

The problem is much deeper and far more serious than Mr. Obama, who is a mere symptom of what ails us.

Blaming the prince of the fools should not blind anyone to the vast confederacy of fools that made him their prince.

The republic can survive a Barack Obama. It is less likely to survive a multitude of fools such as those who made him their president.”

Also, with Obama’s recent meeting with Bill Clinton, one can only assume that the topic du jour was triangulation. Considering the well noted short memory Americans have when it comes to politics and the fact that Obama has two years to redefine himself as a more moderate candidate, he very much controls his own destiny.

Americans will be treated to the “new and improved” Barack Obama during next week’s State of the Union address. Unofficially, he launched his 2012 campaign with the Arizona memorial speech, although, next week will give us a better glimpse of how he plans to package himself for the next two years.

And, assuming we stay ahead of the inevitable collapse for the next two years, we can anticipate that the economy will improve now that the Republicans control the House. While far from being out of the woods, business owners and investors are beginning to relax a little knowing that the worst of the job killing, anti-business efforts of the far left are behind us.

Ironically, as the Republicans rescue the economy, they’ll also be bolstering Obama’s re-election chances.

An additional factor in his favor is that he will have an endless supply of money to dedicate to his re-election. Having already mentioned the short memory span of Americans, very few will recall the ‘controversy’ of overseas money that poured into Obama’s 2008 campaign war chest that was quickly swept under the rug after his inauguration – can we still say ‘war chest’? With the media in the tank for Obama, don’t count on this coming up anytime before November 2012.

All in all, the odds are certainly in Obama’s favor for a second term. The Republicans will have to field a strong opponent to avoid a repeat of 2008. Rolling out another John McCain simply will not get it done. There were many who felt the media ‘selected’ McCain in 2008 and if you subscribe to that theory, it looks as if Mike Huckabee and Mitt Romney are running neck and neck for that distinction this go round, with Newt and Rudy not far behind.

This group is often referred to as the ‘re-treads’, which is precisely what they are. America is craving bold leadership with the courage to make the difficult decisions needed to get this country back on firm ground. If the Republicans want to change the occupant at 1600 Pennsylvania Ave., they’d better find this individual within their ranks and be willing to stand behind her or the Obamanation of America will continue for another four years.

Cross-Posted

COMMENTS

  • http://www.mi7.co/ angelocracy

    Obama raised more money last time, it was like 3 to 1 or something. Odds are good he will raise even more money this time. Sarah Palin can post a few words on twitter, and have every news agency, and thousands of people talking about it in seconds. The people love and respect Sarah Palin. Erick Erickson does not share my point of view. But I know if anyone but Sarah Palin runs Obama will win.

  • renny

    altho’ his job performance numbers are lower. But as long as people see him as “a nice guy” (they must live in caves), he has a strong chance of reelection, and supposedly he plans to raise a billion dollars.
    The GOP was terribly outspent the last time, but that was also partly due to McCain abiding by his idiot McCain-Feingold election finance law and little o deciding to give up any kind of public funding, because he was raising so much money.
    Since he was accused of taking “small” unvetted donations from overseas, like Gaza, I hope the Reps. will be more forceful in suing o for any perceived donations violations.
    And, the GOP needs the Rove army on the ground to register voters and get them to the polls. One not-small-aspect in the GOP corner in 2012 is ACORN will not be able to be as blatantly criminal in registrations, altho’ counting out chicanery isn’t possible.
    Supposedly, McCain took 85% of US counties, but he never took a city, so that in OH, then a swing state, McCain got the suburbs and farms and o got Dayton, Columbus, Toledo, Cleveland, and the other urban areas where the votes are.

  • steve010

    Virginia: highly doubtful for BO
    NC: ditto
    Florida: ditto
    Indiana: ditto
    NH: ditto

    If unemployment in Ohio,Michigan,Pennsylvania,Wisconsin doesn’t improve below 8%,( WI, PA maybe, but OH and MI no way, it’s below 8), it’s going to be an uphill climb. GOP will pound BO on the 8% pledge.

    This leaves Barry with 216 electoral votes, States BO should win are losing 6 electoral votes and assuming he scores Nevada (14% unem) Colorado (9 %), and NJ (9.2%). These 3 states have (R) governors. He needs another 54.

    OH, MI,PA, WI (all of these states ex.WI are losing electors) total 64, so not out of the question. He has to win OH, PA and MI to total 55. If he wins, PA, MI, and WI, not enough. So, it looks like OH is the battleground again. (Can we say battleground?) 1 good thing is that all these states now have (R) governors. We’re counting on you OH, MI,PA, WI. Only 654 days.

    One other good sign is that Barry prevailed on the strength of the African American vote and the 18-26 age group in 2008. Who has been hurt the worst during this recession? No way is unemployment for these groups going to go below even 12% by 2012, not that I don’t want them to get jobs as I have two children in this category, it’s just reality. I can’t really see these groups getting worked up about a guy who has done less than nothing for them.

  • carolina

    I will have some hope. I agree that obama will be difficult to defeat……. because the vast majority of people do not pay that much attention to politics… and they WILL vote their pocketbooks. obama is doing a pretty good job with the optics of his admin with his latest staff changes.
    I’m wondering how his SOTU address will play out…… as early reports indicate he will propose more spending. I think he is crazy….. but some people will like the idea.
    The GOP needs to deliver some spending cuts, but they also need to show how their programs will GROW the economy. I don’t think they are talking pro-growth enough.

  • carolina

    I will have some hope. I agree that obama will be difficult to defeat……. because the vast majority of people do not pay that much attention to politics… and they WILL vote their pocketbooks. obama is doing a pretty good job with the optics of his admin with his latest staff changes.
    I’m wondering how his SOTU address will play out…… as early reports indicate he will propose more spending. I think he is crazy….. but some people will like the idea.
    The GOP needs to deliver some spending cuts, but they also need to show how their programs will GROW the economy. I don’t think they are talking pro-growth enough.

  • http://www.examiner.com/x-1597-Charlotte-Law--Politics-Examiner Mike gamecock DeVine

    would be a good frontpager inho.

  • acat

    although, if you boil it down, it’s nothing more than a re-statement of the old idea that once the people realize they can vote themselves bread and circuses at someone elses’ expense, democracy is dead. …

    The 30% who still seem to believe Obama is doing everything exactly right cannot, to my mind, be explained in any other way.

    Mew