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Most Polls Show That Sarah Palin Should Run… From The Media

By: tomtflorida (Diary)  |  June 16th, 2011 at 01:56 PM  | 

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Rasmussen Reports released the following poll information today regarding Sarah Palin possibly entering the Presidential race;

A plurality of Republican primary voters think it would be good for Texas Governor Rick Perry to jump into the party’s presidential race and bad for the party if former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin joined the field. They are evenly divided about former N.Y. City Mayor Rudy Giuliani.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 36% of Likely GOP Primary Voters think it would be good for Republicans if Palin enters the race, but 45% believe it would be bad for the party. Just 11% say it would have no impact. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Now I’m as simple minded as they come, but I do know how to add and I don’t even have to take off my shoes. The lead in states that “A plurality of Republican voters think… ” Yet, were you to add the 36% that think it would be good if Palin joined the field with the 11% who say it will have no impact, that equals 47%. And we can all agree that 47 is greater than 45, right?

So let’s go to the dictionary and look up plurality;

Plurality– noun, plural -ties.

1. the excess of votes received by the leading candidate, in an election in which there are three or more candidates, over those received by the next candidate ( distinguished from majority).

2. more than half of the whole; the majority.

3. a number greater than one.

As we can see, according to the very first definition listed by Dictionary.com, the lead in is technically correct, as there were three choices in the poll. However, how many folks read majority when they see the word plurality? Is the lead in a play on words?

Now let’s look at the story headline, which reads;

45% of GOP Primary Voters Say It’s Bad for Party If Palin Enters Presidential Race

Is it fair and accurate to say that the headline could also have been;

47% of GOP Primary Voters Say It’s Not Bad For Party If Palin Enters Presidential Race, or

Majority of GOP Primary Voters Say It’s Not Bad For Party If Palin Enters Presidential Race

The point is very clear to see. The media continues to work overtime to convince the American people that most do not want Sarah Palin to run, that all indications show she should not run and that should she decide to run, she has no chance whatsoever to win.

We expect this from MSNBC and the N.Y. Times, but Rasmussen Reports? A little surprising.

Full disclosure, I totally support Sarah Palin. The truth of the matter is that had Palin walked in and taken a seat in the very rear of the auditorium Monday night during the Presidential Debate, every camera in the room and every head, to include the seven individuals on the stage, would have been redirected toward her.

Sarah Palin has taken the very best the far left and the media, though I repeat myself, have to offer and she stands stronger today that when the persecution began.

But this is not about Sarah Palin. It’s about the media influencing elections in this country through manipulation and omission. With the memory of John McCain still fresh in our minds, I think the plurality will agree that this doesn’t bode well for conservatives.

As for polls, here’s are some poll results that you’re guaranteed not to see in the mainstream media;

The Economist /YouGov Poll just out confirms the recent Reuters poll which had Sarah Palin ahead of Mitt Romney for the GOP nomination at 19% to 18% – this time pulling even further ahead.

29. If you had to choose one, which of these individuals would you want to be the Republican nominee for president in 2012? Asked of Republicans;

Sarah Palin . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  20%
Mitt Romney . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
Newt Gingrich . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Tim Pawlenty . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Michele Bachmann . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  5%

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  • azaeroprof

    of how the media pushes its narrative.

    The 45% number is discouraging. However, I would bet the farm (if I owned one!) that at least 30 of that 45 are folks who would love her to run but have bought the meme that her unfavorables are so high she could never win. Heck, there’s several folks here that spread that as effectively as the media does.

    That belief ignores 2 main points, IMHO. (I would call them truths, but one of them is my opinion, but that’s truth enough for me.)

    1. Nothing changes impressions or favorability ratings like a campaign. A great campaign by Palin could change these attitudes fairly rapidly, and the bandwagon effect would multiply that. Of course, the counter is also true. A bad campaign could finish her.
    2. Sarah Palin is a force of nature. In my 35+ years of observing, participating, volunteering, and leading political activity, she is only the 2nd politician that I would classify as such. The first was Reagan, though for a number of different reasons. (And NO, I’m not saying she is like Reagan, or another Reagan, or anything of the sort! They are 2 different people with different strengths and weaknesses.)

    She clearly doesn’t have Reagan’s experience or background in the conservative movement. I’m talking here explicitly of political skills and instinct, ability to relate to people both one-on-one and as a group, and just the force of personality. The media has thrown her off her game a bit over the last couple years, but you can sense that she has caught her balance and is pushing ahead on her terms.

    She would start from a lower position than most of the other candidates (favorability-wise, not horse-race-wise). However, she has the potential to rise much higher. That’s not to put down the other candidates, most of them could easily go high enough to win. And perhaps it’s even more probable in some of their cases.

    All I’m saying is that IF she wants to be president, and IF she wants to run in 2012, she should ignore the bogus media meme and scary favorability polls and go full-bore. If she were to run an effective campaign, convey a positive and contructive vision for America’s future, and appear serious, steady and prepared, folks might be truly shocked at how fast some of these poll numbers would change. I’m not saying any of that WILL happen, but I believe she has that potential.

    • nickel

      I think you are 100% correct. The main thing that Sarah Palin brings to the 2012 election is the chance that we , THE PEOPLE of the United States might actually have someone holding the VETO PEN that works for us, not the elites that think we are too stupid to understand what they are doing to our country and OUR SOVEREIGNTY.

  • Finrod

    What I’m wondering about is the point of asking whether a given candidate should run or not. I would think that anyone who supports a candidate already in the race strongly enough wouldn’t want any new competition.

    Campaigns are to convince people and change minds. Don’t forget, Rubio was 50 points behind Crist at one point, and who’s Florida’s senator today?

  • SirGladiator

    If Sarah announced her candidacy those numbers would change dramaticly. All people need is to hear her announcement speech and be reminded of why they all supported her in the first place, the negatives would go down and the positives would go up overnight. I like a number of the candidates already in the race, but clearly none of them are even in Sarah Palin’s league, she’s got the Leadership, the Executive Experience, the awesome speaking ability (with NO Teleprompter!), and unlike the current front-runner, she hasn’t changed her position on virtually every major issue in order to pretend to be a Conservative, she actually ‘is’ one. Hopefully after her movie comes out later this month she will make the official announcement that she’s running, and then instead of trying to figure out which candidate who only has part of the resume she has is the ‘best of the rest’, we can have a candidate we ALL support, who will soundly defeat Romney and Obama!