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A Scary Thought: Ron Paul

As Cain falls and Gingrich rises, here’s a frightening possibility:   Ron Paul may become the next anti-Romney candidate.  Before you dismiss this thought, consider that the latest Bloomberg News Iowa poll has Paul in second place at 19%, just behind Herman Cain at 20% and ahead of Romney (18%) and Gingrich (17%).  Yes, it’s a statistical tie, but as Cain’s numbers continue to recede (which they will after his Libya debacle), Paul could be the big beneficiary.  And forget the national polls, Iowa is really what matters.

Paul has the kind of devoted followers who are likely to show up in the freezing cold on January 3.  He has the money to get his message out and set up the ground game that’s necessary in Iowa.  Sure his foreign policy is looney, but he’s the only candidate proposing to cut $1 trillion in spending the first year in office, eliminate 5 (count them–five) Cabinet departments, and balance the budget by the end of his first term.  He wouldn’t just repeal Obamacare, he’d end Medicare/Medicaid, student loans, FannieMae and FreddieMac, foreign aid, and every other federal program not authorized in the constitution. He was tea party before there was a tea party.

If Paul can win or come in second in Iowa, he will receive a huge boost in New Hampshire, where he consistently has polled in third place and which is a much more libertarian electorate.  South Carolina also has a strong libertarian element within the Republican party, which could elevate his position.  While he can’t win the nomination (or can he?), he can play havoc with the rest of the field and garner enough delegates to control a deadlocked convention.

All I’m saying is that the wheel keeps turning–Bachmann, Perry, Cain, Gingrich.  Can Ron Paul be next?

COMMENTS

  • mikeymike143

    in 2008, they said the same thing about ron paul,. that he would do good in the republican presidential primary. for all the same reasons that you listed. and as i recall he ended up getting destroyed. that is because nobody with any sanity is voting for that aging anti semite.

    in fact, i will go on record as saying ron paul will not win one single state out of the fifty that are up for grabs.

    • http://www.tooncesthecat.wordpress.com tooncesthecat

      everyone seems to be getting a turn as the anti-Romney and Paul’s turn may be next. Also, the national polls mean nothing–keep your eyes on Iowa and New Hampshire–that’s where the killing fields are.

  • constitutional

    If anything Newt will explode and Perry will be back up.

  • sticktotheconstitution

    Ron Paul is my choice for President. “Nobody with any sanity is voting for that aging anti-semite?”

    Wow, what a rediculous smear against your fellow conservatives who believe he is the right man for the job due to his voting record in the House and his beliefs on what role the government should have in our lives.

  • georges

    Ron Paul is the Soldiers’ Choice for Commander in Chief, and he will be the voters’ choice for President of the United States. That’s because he treats the U.S. Armed Forces as a tool for defense rather than an outlet for weapons sales, and he ALONE has the wherewithal to pull America away from the yawning chasm of a Soviet-Style Collapse.

    …Like it or not. Be scared, or not. The Doctor is IN.

    • JSobieski

      in any primary, you could potentially be correct.

      Until that threshold is passed, the prediction that “he will be the voters’ choice for President of United States” has

      (1) been made before

      and

      (2) been wrong each and every time it was made.

      There appear to be two candidates whose support numbers neither increase nor decrease. Romney and Paul are those two candidates.

      If you have actual evidence of Paul increasing his base of support, I would to see it. Otherwise, it is a safe bet that the derivative of his support is 0.

    • mikeymike143

      In 2008 Ron Paul ran in the Republican primary for president. He got 5% of the vote. In other words, 95% OF THE REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY VOTERS REJECTED RON PAUL IN THE LAST ELECTION!!!!

      • georges

        Our Soldiers in the field donate to Dr. Paul Twice as much as ALL other candidates combined.

        Are you calling our brave men and women in uniform loons or idiots, or what?

  • mikeymike143

    Rush Limbaugh: I

    • georges

      Rush, Sean, Mark, Allen work for the War Industry, as their bosses at ABC/Disney have considerable stock holdings in weapons manufacturers. It is in their financial interest to ridicule the one man whose policies threaten their paychecks.

      Keep these things like MONEY in perspecitive before you go quoting paid agents of multinational corporate interests.

  • Tbone

    senility, insanity and Ralph Nader.

    • conservativecurmudgeon

      Ralph Nader is a combination of senility, insanity and Ron Paul.

      …And Insanity is a combination of senility, Ron Paul AND Ralph Nader.

  • georges

    I’ll say it again: Ron Paul or a Soviet Style Collapse. That’s the choice. ONly Ron Paul has the principle to manage the next level of financial crisis.

    And before you flippantly choose “Soviet Style Collapse,” think about what happened: the red army marched out of its world empire, the country broke into fifteen peices, the people began to die off in great masses, there was and still is civil war in the periphery, and living standards in Russia today still aren’t as high as in 1990.

    You want to risk that just because Mark Levin’s bosses told him not to like Ron Paul? I highly doubt it.

  • johnnyoh

    I’m hardly a Paul supporter can for the life of me I can not understand why so many here at redstate hate Paul. You would think by the reaction of some that he is putting forth a plan to enslave the nation and bring state control to us all. If it came down to Paul or Romney there is no way in I’m going with Romney. Either of the candidates from Ga or Tx would suit me just fine.