The answer is simple, that is if you want Mitt Romney or Rick Santorum (or even Newt Gingrich or Ron Paul) to be the President. Vote you choice. But, if you’re hoping for a brokered convention and if you want to deny Mitt Romney the nomination, the answer is “It all depends on where you live.”
If you live in Michigan, Arizona or Ohio–vote Santorum, he has the best chance of defeating Romney in those states and amassing a greater number of delegates. Gingrich and Paul appear to be falling short of the 15% threshhold for delegates in Michigan, so you will waste your vote if you support either of them. Arizona is winner take all, so supporting Santorum instead of Gingrich or Paul will yield the best chance of defeating Romney. And without a doubt, Pennsylvania voters need to support Santorum. He must have a home state win.
If you live in Georgia, Tennessee or Oklahoma, vote for Newt on Super Tuesday. Especially those of you who live in Georgia, since winning his home state is critical to keeping his candidacy alive. Keeping Gingrich in the race is important as a strategy that leads to a brokered convention. Santorum votes in these states will possible lead to Romney victories because of a split among conservatives and Gingrich is best positioned to win in these three. And vote for Gingrich in Indiana also–Santorum isn’t on the ballot.
Here’s the big challenge: Vote for Ron Paul in Virginia. Let’s give him his first win on Super Tuesday. Gingrich and Santorum aren’t on the ballot. So it’s either Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, or stay home. Staying home is ultimate a vote for Romney. Virginia is proportional, so even if Paul doesn’t win, he can hold down Romney’s delegate count.
In the caucus states on Super Tuesday, it’s important to assess how your fellow caucus goers are voting. Be sure to vote strategically to ensure the largest pool of non-Romney delegates–even if that means voting for Ron Paul. It’s not like he’s going to win the nomination.
With strategic voting in each state, we can all get a do-over at the Republican Convention in Tampa.
Moe Lane
Erick Erickson
Jeff Emanuel
Steve Maley
Caleb Howe
Dan Spencer
Like the strategy.....
texastaxpayer (Diary) Tuesday, February 21st at 2:00PM EDT (link)As it doesn’t seem Texas is going to have a vote at all this primary and I am perpetually stuck on the side lines. I hope enough people follow your strategy to get us to a brokered convention and deny Mitt the nomination.
“Texas will again lift it’s head and stand among the nations. It ought to do so, for no country upon the globe can compare with it in natural advantages.” Sam Houston
Ditto.
Viet71 (Diary) Tuesday, February 21st at 2:43PM EDT (link)n/t
Texas
tooncesthecat (Diary) Tuesday, February 21st at 2:15PM EDT (link)It appears the Texas primary will be very late in the process–May 29. I would encourage Texas Republicans to mount a “favorite son” campaign to give the bulk of the state’s delegates to Governor Rick Perry. If Perry can win 50 to 60 of the 155 delegates, it might be the difference in producing a brokered convention. I doubt anyone will have the 1144 delegates needed by the time that Texas votes.
“Obama’s Last Day” @ www.tooncesthecat.wordpress.com
I don't think so
kyle8 (Diary) Tuesday, February 21st at 2:49PM EDT (link)I think that this election will be like all the others, either Santorum will really pull ahead in the next three or four primaries, and Then he will proceed to win most of the delegates, OR He will fail to unseat Romney in the next three or four, and by then people will be tired of trying the anti-Romney du juor and He will sweep in most of the rest of the delegates.
It is between those two now, and it will all be decided very soon.
“Nothing works like freedom, Nothing succeeds like liberty”
Kyle
Try telling that to Newt
tooncesthecat (Diary) Wednesday, February 22nd at 9:34AM EDT (link)After South Carolina, conventional wisdom was that this was now a two-man race also—between Gingrich and Romney. That one of them would win Florida and then go on a roll. Strange thing though. Romney won Florida and Nevada, but then Santorum came roaring back in Missouri, Colorada, and Minnesota. So now there is a new two man race. But if Newt can come back in Georgia, Tennessee, and Oklahoma on Super Tuesday, followed by Alabama and Mississippi, will you then declare that there is yet another two man race? I’m with Sarah Palin: Let’s go to the convention.
“Obama’s Last Day” @ www.tooncesthecat.wordpress.com