I agree that New Hampshire should be very interesting if there is a Likely Voter poll there. The RV polls tend to reflect the registrations more than the momentum.

But… Pennsylvania?

I do not believe that Romney even has an office open in Pennsylvania. It is doable, but it would require an expensive ground game that should have already started, (but hasn’t) backed up by an air war, perhaps aided by a super pac. The voting in Phili is also suspect. It reports late and conveniently for the Dems.

I dunno Cat, Pennsylvania always shows up at the dance, but never dances with the elephant in presidential contests.

To you and I it should seem obvious that Obama will lose.

He has not done what he promised to the left, like close Gitmo, or raise taxes to a confiscatory level on our most productive citizens. He has not produced for Latinos, ignoring their grievances for three years. No Cap and Trade, and no Card Check for unions. He promised to put on his comfortable shoes and join the unions on picket lines, but last week he was MIA in Wisconsin. Remember he had a veto proof majority for two years. Yes! He is a left winger, but clearly he is an incompetent left winger.

He has been worse for the right. He has acted imperially, but without effect. His regulations have killed the coal industry and hampered the aviation industry. He has convinced small businesses to close or shrink. He has picked the winners and losers in the new green economy, but then they all turned out to be losers. Companies like Solyndra folded like a bad hand in poker, leaving you and I holding the bag.

But it is the middle class that was hurt the most. The average family has seen their net worth decline by 40% in the last ten years. Now to be clear, Obama has only been around for three and a half of those years, but not coincidentally, most of that decline happened in those three and a half years.

So, Obama is a disaster. Heck he is the poster child for disasters, BUT… he still leads in the aggregate of the polls! He still leads in Ohio. He still leads in Virginia. That is important. If the election were held today, Obama would win!

Why the disconnect? Because no one out there is paying attention.

As an experiment, my wife asked her three Ma Jongg partners, all teachers, “Who is Eric Holder?” Not one of them even knew who he was. If its not on the front page of the New York Times, it simply does not exist.

Here’s a mind experiment. What if Bush were president and his office leaked the names of Pakistani confidential informants, or explained how they inserted a virus into the Iranian Nuclear program. Do you think the story would be ignored, or belittled, or do you think that every reporter from the political reporters through the sports reporters would be weighing in on the “Most egregiousness breach of American security since War World II”?

Imagine the blow back if Bush sent 3000 small arms to Mexican drug lords with tracking devices on only two of them that lasted only 30 hours until the battery ran out, and American border guards were killed as a result. Do you seriously believe that the average teacher, or truck driver for that matter would not be familiar with every detail?

The mainstream press here is more disciplined than any editor at Pravda ever was, and the non-political folks out there are only hearing that which the press wants them to hear.

We have a huge mountain to climb! We cannot become complacent. We must forget about keeping our political opinions to ourselves. Talk to anyone and everyone. Write letters to the editor. Give to your candidates until it hurts. Proselytize. Get energized and stay energized. It is not a good thing that more people know who won “Dancing With the Stars” than who is running for president.