There has been considerable discussion among us all regarding the validity of the national polls that are being published. Obviously, when polls are being put out that use samples that are larger than the results of the 2008 election, then many of us become suspicious. With this latest round of Eeyorism (Erick and Ace, I’m looking at you), I decided that I was going to | Read More »
In the last several election cycles, three states have been the keys to winning the white house. With their combined total of 80 electoral votes, Pennsylvania, Florida, and Ohio are the most important to both parties. In 2000, Florida decided the race. In 2004, the winner had to take 2 of 3 to win, Bush carried Florida and Ohio, and won reelection. In 2008, Obama | Read More »
I posted yesterday a quick analysis of the PA Senate race and the supposed tightening of the polls there. The key takeaway was the results of the Morning Call/Muhlenberg daily tracking poll, which I still question because I’m not confident they have their likely voter model correct. But the trend was enlightening: Sestak 44 – Toomey 41 Sestak 43 – Toomey 43 Sestak 43 – | Read More »
h/t to Geraghty I got into a bit of a tiff over the weekend for saying to not panic over the polls showing the Toomey/Sestak race is tightening. I didn’t put much stock in the previous polls showing things like a 12 point race, because they were only showing a differential, not the base level of support for the candidates out of the entire electorate. | Read More »
A low level story from Christian Science Monitor that hasn’t risen above most folk’s radar yet, but arguably much more important than the other things we have been arguing about recently. Since this happens to be my professional area of expertise, I’ve been tracking the appearance of the Stuxnet worm since June. But even I am surprised by this turn of events. Stuxnet is a | Read More »
If ever there was a perfect metaphor for the coming wave in November, it was at a recent fundraiser that he headlined in New York City. Gail Sheehy at the Daily Beast provides this delicious vision of the “Most Popular Man in the History of Civilization” unable to fill a 650 seat ballroom in the bastion of liberal elitism. Only after I received four email | Read More »
As I walked out of my hotel room this morning, I was greeted by the blaring headline in USA Today: “Tea Party’s wins fuel a ‘civil war’ within GOP”. This headline set my blood to boiling more than any of the arguments over Castle vs. O’Donnell in the last week. I’m just your average rube, so my first impression was “what a clueless reporter!” But | Read More »
Reuters/IPSOS just released their latest Florida poll, and it is touted as more good news for Marco Rubio. However buried WAY WAY down in the article is this interesting little nugget… The race to replace Crist as governor is close, with Republican Rick Scott and Democrat Alex Sink statistically tied, Scott with 47 percent and Sink with 45 percent, the poll found. Now to be | Read More »
From the outset, and especially over the last few weeks, I didn’t expect Rick Scott to win the primary. I wasn’t a vocal supporter of him, like I have been for Rubio. However, I did make up my mind pretty early and was glad to be able to vote for him. Here is a little timeline of the campaign from an “inside Florida” perspective. The | Read More »
I just returned from the trip of a lifetime. It was a rare one month vacation, where I was able to tour most of the major cities of Northern Europe, including Berlin and St. Petersburg. I’m not going to rub it in by saying what an incredible experience it was, but there were a few truly moving moments on the trip I would like to | Read More »
Hat tip to WeaselZippers for mentioning this one. NASA’s plans to return astronauts to the moon are dead. So are the rockets being designed to take them there — that is, if President Barack Obama gets his way. When the White House releases his budget proposal Monday, there will be no money for the Constellation program that was supposed to return humans to the moon | Read More »
I go back and forth between Conan O’Brian being a freaking genius, or just lame. I have my answer … Genius I just hope to never be in the position where I have to be the corporate shill who has to fire him. On the other hand, we now have a new standard for raising the middle digit toward people who have screwed us over. | Read More »
Back in August, I wrote an essay explaining why Obama’s effort to pass Healthcare Socialization was doomed. As it turned out, he got a lot closer to succeeding than I thought he would. I did not account for how dumb he and his team are, and the willingness of Democrats to commit political suicide. Perhaps the last part is inaccurate. The Democrats instead self deluded | Read More »
I posted a ridiculously long essay just before Christmas that tried to cover way too much ground. I was going to just leave it be, but Mark Steyn posted something over in the Corner that I thought was worth revisiting, given the Christmas Day terrorism attempt. In his post, he revists the concept of incremental surrender to Islamists: If it were just terrorists bombing buildings | Read More »
I’ve been thinking a lot about the current state of our affairs in self government, and the state of our nationwide experiment in being a Constitutional Republic. I’ve wanted to write this essay for several weeks now; however it has taken much contemplation to pull the different threads together into pattern that can be understood. I am still unsure if I can do this justice. | Read More »
Nikki Haley is running a video contest to tell “Why do you support Nikki?” Now to be honest, I do have a head start, given I’m sitting on so much footage of her. So I took a whirl at it, and came up with this. Why Nikki? from David Thompson on Vimeo.
Promoted from diaries. – Moe Lane Something special for you tonight. This film short is a compilation of material from Marco Rubio’s speeches and other media sources. I’ve tried to provide a visual expression of the strong convictions he expresses in words. Content Warning: This film includes a scene of an execution during the Cuban Revolution. I debated including it, and finally decided that it | Read More »
This guy is the real deal. He got up at 3AM, drove up here, did a radio interview at 8AM, a fund raiser at noon, a TV interview in the afternoon, then a speech to the BREC at 7PM before driving back to Miami. The speech to the BREC was amazing. Having now heard him speak 3 time in the last 10 days, I was | Read More »
If your county is like ours, the key to success in a conservative campaign is the local talk radio station that carries Rush. In our case, it is WMMB-AM that has a local guy named Bill Mick in the morning. The rest of the day is then Glenn, Rush, Sean, Mark Levin, and Dennis Miller at night. Bill does a really good job covering a | Read More »
This is a short film I put together as a tribute to the Redstate Gathering. We truly had an amazing time. Thank you to everyone who made it happen. The Redstate Gathering from David Thompson on Vimeo.
Moe did take a break from banning trolls to give us some advice about online activism. Keep your eyes on the goal, and ignore the distractions thrown at your by the left. Moe Lane from David Thompson on Vimeo.
Here is a fun little video of Caleb’s “opening” remarks. Not particularly political, but pretty funny. Caleb Howe from David Thompson on Vimeo.
John Randall gave us a short talk about the NRCC recruitment efforts for 2010. Even though it was short, it was very informative, and gave us a good bit of confidence for success in 2010. John Randall from David Thompson on Vimeo.
All I can say about Nikki Haley is WOW. The story of her rise in politics, and her willingness to take on the Republican establishment in South Carolina is compelling. She capped off the presentations in Atlanta, like the cherry on top of the cake. She is running for Governor of South Carolina next year. Regardless of the success of her campaign, she is clearly | Read More »
Ted Cruz was the Solicitor General for Texas, and is running for Attorney General. He gave a terrific speech, telling us the story of defending Texas’ 10th amendment rights against international courts and the Justice Department. A very engaging speaker, he had us spellbound throughout. His story of his father escaping Cuba is amazing to hear. Ted Cruz from David Thompson on Vimeo.
![[RS]](/t/img/logo-footer.jpg){kind=logo}