My quick handicapping of Democratic at-risk Senate races in 2014.
Since Glenn Reynolds asked, here’s my current assessment of at-risk Democratic Senators in 2014*. Bear in mind: while I generally got the House right in 2010 and 2012, I overestimated our Senate performance by a couple of seats in both years and of course got the 2008 and 2012 Presidential elections wrong. So, you know, grain of salt and all of that. Alaska Mark Begich | Read More »
Nancy Pelosi comes out strongly for… limiting federal court jurisdiction over the states?
No, really: when asked a question about the debt ceiling/so-called “fiscal cliff” today Nancy Pelosi decided to respond by talking about how she was on the side of the Eleventh Amendment. For those of you who need reminding, that’s the one that limits the ability of federal courts to permit private citizens in one state from suing other states as a whole (they can still | Read More »
Deadline passes on Hostess strike ultimatum: is liquidiation likely?
Very possibly. Background here and here: the short version is that Hostess Foods is in horrible financial shape; it’s in the process of trying to stave off bankruptcy via drastically renegotiated emergency union contracts with the Teamsters and bakers’ unions; the Teamsters took a look at the books, blanched, swallowed hard, and took the deal; the bakers’ unions did not, and decided to go on | Read More »
*IF* it turns out to be true that we were operating a secret jail in Benghazi…
…and that is a legitimate ‘if:’ anyway, if it turns out that Broadwell’s revelation last month is correct and that Benghazi was hosting a secret jail* for the purpose of extraordinary rendition then I hope that people will find the following posts to be useful. 01/21/2009. There’s a phrase missing from this Washington Times report on detainee policy. 01/28/2009. Obama’s Rendition Exception. 02/01/2009. Obama embraces | Read More »
Barack Obama tacitly admits Eric Holder is as guilty as sin about Operation Fast & Furious…
…in other words, the former is having the latter stay on as Attorney General. President Obama is holding on to Eric Holder as the nation’s top law-enforcement official, The Post has learned. The newly re-elected president asked his controversial attorney general to stay for the second term, and Holder has agreed despite enduring a firestorm of criticism from Republican lawmakers. Because, of course, now that | Read More »
President Obama to unveil latest diversion from jobs, economic growth next week.
How do we know this? Because he announced yesterday that jobs and growth were now his administration’s top priority. On Tuesday, America went to the polls. And the message you sent was clear: you voted for action, not politics as usual. You elected us to focus on your jobs, not ours. [snip] At a time when our economy is still recovering from the Great Recession, | Read More »
Puerto Rican voters call for statehood! …Mostly. Sort of. Not really at all, actually.
Amidst all the ballyhoo of the Presidential election came this bit of contradiction: Puerto Rico wants to become the 51st state of the US Voters in Puerto Rico have supported a non-binding referendum to become a full US state. …and this: …Tuesday’s vote comes with an asterisk and an imposing political reality: The island remains bitterly divided over its relationship to the United States and | Read More »
Fitch Ratings threatens to downgrade the US’s credit rating.
Meanwhile, back at the ranch… Fitch Ratings said that there would be “no fiscal honeymoon” for President Obama, warning early Wednesday that the U.S. probably would lose its AAA credit rating if the White House and Congress don’t address looming tax increases, spending cuts and the fast-approaching debt ceiling. “The economic policy challenge facing the president is to put in place a credible deficit-reduction plan | Read More »
…Well, we lost.
(…so I’ll just reproduce my post from my personal site here.) Can’t say that I didn’t try my best; I think that the wrong person won; and I think that the end result is going to be worse for the country. And, oh, yeah, fine: the state polls weren’t smoking crack after all. I’m not going to make any excuses or accusations; everybody I know | Read More »
Crunching the Early Voting OH numbers (spoiler warning: BAD news for Obama).
Below is a spreadsheet looking at Ohio EV totals, gotten from Cook Political Report’s Chris Wasserman. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/lv?key=0AjYj9mXElO_QdFJPNUt4U3F5MkxteTBoS29fSGN1S0E&toomany=true#gid=0 To break it down: In 2008 early voting in counties that Obama won were 67% of the total, with 33% of early votes coming from counties that voted for McCain. The same ratio in 2012? 64%/36%. BUT! Kerry/Obama counties showed a 10% decrease; Bush/McCain counties showed a 14% | Read More »
So, tell me again how well Obama and Bloomberg are handling #Sandy.
The list is appalling. Marathon canceled, but generators and supplies still sit unused in park. The idea was to get those generators to the people who needed them, Mike Bloomberg. FEMA Taps Private Vendors to Meet Sandy Victim’s Needs. Necessary, because Obama’s vaunted FEMA wasn’t able to maintain and deploy bottled water on its own; it’s just starting to provide that today. 1.9 million people | Read More »
NRCC Ad: “This is our moment: This is our America.”
Don’t forget, folks: it’s not just the Presidency. We have House and Senate races to attend to, too. This came out a few days ago, but the NRCC‘s point has obviously not become less relevant since then. Volunteer. Vote. Speak up. And remember: you are not taking back your country: that would imply that somebody actually had the right to take it from you in | Read More »
RS Interview: Sean Bielat (R CAND, MA-04).
This is Barney Frank’s old district, more or less… and it is an interesting choice of candidates. On the one hand, we have Sean Bielat: businessman and Marine officer. On the other hand, we have Joe Kennedy III: …um, Kennedy. No. That’s pretty much it. He’s a Kennedy. He also thinks that Osama bin Laden was killed via drone strike, but never mind that right | Read More »
Howie Politics refuses to release full internals on Donnelly +11 (:rolling eyes:) IN-SEN poll.
[UPDATE] Hey, they released the results! …And, yeah: Question 26. 9% of their LVs voted in the Indiana GOP primary. :pause: Okaaaay…] You’ve probably heard by now that Howey Politics has put out a shock poll on the Indiana Senate race indicating that Democrat Joe Donnelly was up eleven points on Richard Mourdock (the guy who beat Richard Lugar out for the Republican nomination: this | Read More »
RS Interview: Jon Golnik (R CAND, MA-03).
MA-03 is a NE Massachusetts district currently represented by Niki Tsongas – and if you’re wondering who that is, don’t worry: nobody else particularly remembers her, either. It’s an interesting district: represented by one of the more reflexively liberal Congresswomen in the House, but it has a history of voting for Republicans. The current Republican candidate Jon Golnik is hoping to capitalize on that; we | Read More »