Sometimes a candidate is more than we expect
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | September 8th at 10:00 AM |
During the California Senate primary, my major criticisms of Carly Fiorina were that she had no public track record to back her on the issues, and that as a novice campaigner she was liable to make mistakes and lose a winnable race. During the race I didn’t quite give her the Tom Campbell treatment, but I gave Chuck DeVore all the support I could. During | Read More »
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Harry Reid,
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Kendrick Meek,
Marco Rubio,
Mark Kirk,
Nevada,
Senate,
Sharron Angle,
Tom Campbell
Rasmussen: Castle greatly outperforms O’Donnell
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | September 7th at 01:13 PM |
I’m definitely a latecomer to following the Delaware Senate primary between Republicans Mike Castle and Christine O’Donnell, but now that I’m aware of it, it’s striking to me just how differently the two candidates perform in the new Rasmussen poll featuring each candidate against Democrat Chris Coons.
Tech at Night, er, Morning: Banning books, Net Neutrality, Free Press, NPR
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | September 7th at 07:59 AM |
Yes, I’m sorry. When I found out yesterday morning that it was Labor Day, I did shift gears and relax a bit. By the evening I was treating it like a weekend and forgot all about Monday’s Tech at Night. So we’re making it a Tuesday morning Tech in the Morning instead. Let’s get started with what happens when you let government regulate: they begin | Read More »
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Books,
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Verizon,
WAMU,
Young Guns
Van Tran for Congress
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | September 6th at 03:30 PM |
California’s 47th Congressional District isn’t one of the ones getting national attention this year, but it should be. Loretta Sanchez may not be one of the most hated Democrats in Washington, but the circumstances surrounding her initial electoral “victory” are so shady that she has no business being there. She’s been kept in office thanks to California’s lockdown gerrymandering, but somehow her seat is still | Read More »
SurveyUSA: Paul well ahead in Kentucky
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | September 5th at 03:01 PM |
SurveyUSA is no fly-by-night operation in polling. They’ve been around a while, they have a reputation, and a great many newspapers seem use them to poll local House races. So we can’t dismiss their continuing series of polls which look very good for Republicans, including this new Kentucky Senate poll for the Louisville Courier-Journal with Republican Randal Paul seeming to overwhelm Democrat Jack Conway.
Tech at Night: Net Neutrality Update
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | September 4th at 05:18 AM |
Another quick one tonight. I’d feel bad, but the Net Neutrality situation is so important that the current developments by themselves are worth noting. And here’s the key fact right now: It is confirmed that Net Neutrality will not be on the agenda at the FCC’s September meeting. They’ve talked for months, but they’re going to talk some more. My theory is that Google has | Read More »
Binnie fades but Ayotte still the clear leader
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | September 3rd at 06:00 PM |
New Hampshire apparently tries to hard in Presidential years to have its primaries first, that it tires and has to have its Senate primaries last. So we’re still on primary watch for that state, and it looks like the Republican race has shifted again. Kelly Ayotte still leads the primary race to decide Democrat Paul Hodes’s opponent, but it appears the race for second is | Read More »
Dino Rossi’s lead confirmed
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | September 2nd at 03:00 PM |
When the first major post-primary poll came out for the Washington Senate race, some questioned whether it was skewed toward Republican Dino Rossi over Democrat Patty Murray, or if it was simply an outlier. But now we have confirmation that Rossi does appear to have a lead at this point, though perhaps not as large as SurveyUSA showed.
Tech at Night: Net Neutrality DOOM
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | September 2nd at 03:10 AM |
Good evening. I’ve been hung up today and unfortunately could not do my usually full range of reading for tonight, but I have a few Net Neutrality points to make tonight, so here we go. First, AT&T has apparently come out against the Verizon-Google Net Neutrality proposal, writing to the FCC in favor of paid prioritization of Internet traffic. So much for this proposal being | Read More »
Extrapolating about the Delaware Senate primary
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | September 1st at 12:30 PM |
All the talk in your typical Senate analysis this year has assumed Republican Mike Castle will beat Democrat Chris Coons in the Delaware Senate race, but the fact is there’s still a GOP primary in progress. It’s forgivable to forget about that primary when polling of the primary is scarce, and PPP and Rasmussen hold Coons under 40, but let’s extrapolate from the PPP poll | Read More »
A tale of two polls: Colorado edition
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | August 31st at 04:00 PM |
It seems like most of the third party and independent spoilers this year are harming Democrats, but the Constitution Party’s Tom Tancredo is clearly hurting Republican Dan Maes in the Colorado Governor’s race, currently throwing the lead to Democrat John Hickenlooper. But two new polls on that race, from Magellan Strategies via Real Clear Politics and Rasmussen Reports are so different that I think we | Read More »
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Dan Maes,
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Likely voters,
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Rasmussen Reports,
Real Clear Politics,
Secret Sauce,
Tom Tancredo
Tech at Night: FBI, Facebook, FTC, Free Speech, Apple
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | August 31st at 02:45 AM |
Good evening (it’s still Monday night for those of us in the west at least). Let’s start off tonight by remembering when Barack Obama and the democrats complained about so-called domestic spying under the Bush administration? Well, a team of organizations went after the FBI for watching possibly terrorist Islamic organizations. The FBI responded by saying they don’t need to already believe an organization is | Read More »
Gallup: Generic ballot shows record Republican lead
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | August 30th at 05:30 PM |
I’ve had my ups and downs with Gallup (one might say the relationship is like the plot of the Gallup generic ballot itself!), but since they’ve been solidly running registered voter surveys again, the numbers have looked reasonable. But now they’re shocking us from the other direction by showing the Republicans having their largest ever lead in the generic ballot survey, showing a larger edge | Read More »
PPP: Miller, Murkowski both lead general
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | August 30th at 01:30 PM |
Public Policy Polling jumped out ahead to poll the Alaska Senate race even as Republican Lisa Murkowski tries to drag out her primary defeat at the hands of Joe Miller. PPP also checked up on what might happen if Murkowski somehow were able to dislodge the Libertarian nominee and take that party’s line on the ballot in November.
Two Republicans who are going to be Governors
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | August 30th at 08:00 AM |
There was a time when I thought about Nikki Haley’s campaign for governor every day. I’d scramble to find whatever polling I could get my hands on and read the news to try to explain any trends I might be seeing in the polls. Now, though, the South Carolina Governor’s race joins that of Republican Brian Sandoval’s in Nevada as non-competitive barring a major event | Read More »
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2010,
Brian Sandoval,
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Las Vegas Review-Journal,
Mason Dixon Polling and Research,
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nikki haley,
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Vincent Sheheen