Oil Simulation, Climate Modeling and the Scientific Method
Part I concerned a WSJ essay by Robert J. Caprara, “Confessions of a Computer Modeler”. In Part II I will share what I know about computer modeling in oil and gas applications, and raise questions about climate modeling. This is a long post, offered for your reading enjoyment this holiday weekend. I’ll start with the conclusions so we can see where we’re going…
Garbage In, Climate Consensus Out (Part I)
In the July 8 Wall Street Journal, Robert J. Caprara describes his direct experience with the process of computer modeling and how results intersect with the motivations of the modeler. Caprara was a consultant to the EPA, charged with building a detailed computer model of the nation’s fresh water sources, including drinking water intakes and sewage discharges in the lakes and streams. He tuned and | Read More »
Mexico Opens Oil and Gas Sector to Outside Investment
Even Joe Biden would agree: this is a pretty big flipping deal. To recognize how big, you need to understand that Mexico commemorates the anniversary of the day it nationalized its oil fields and threw the Norte Americanos out as a national holiday. The national oil company, Petroleos Mexicanos (PEMEX), is a great source of national pride and a cash cow that funds the country’s | Read More »
Vox.com’s Ezra Klein Stumbles Bass-Ackward Into a Cogent Point
From Ezra Klein of Vox.com (“Everything you need to know in two minutes, using two brain cells”) comes an analytically-challenged piece with an awkward title: A stunning graph on how money polarizes politics Now, I suppose that what young Ezra is getting at is that there is a large moderate slice of the population that doesn’t donate much money to political causes (as shown in | Read More »
It’s Hurricane Season. It’s Junk Science Season. [Updated]
Pretty much he same things in these days of Anthropogenic Global Warming. Female-named hurricanes kill more than male hurricanes because people don’t respect them, study finds Female-named storms have historically killed more because people neither consider them as risky nor take the same precautions, the study published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences concludes. Researchers at the University of Illinois and Arizona | Read More »
When Your ‘Goal’ is not really Your Goal
It’s a massive “tell”: The Kyoto goal of reducing greenhouse gas emissions was never the global warming crowd’s ultimate goal.
Matt Yglesias’ Utterly Banal and Misleading Economic ‘Insight’
Matt Yglesias, boy genius and resident economics expert at Ezra Klein’s Vox.com, recently posted the following banality under the title “The Private Sector is Up, the Public Sector is Down”. Matt’s analysis: The recession hit the private sector faster and harder, but the private sector’s already made back all its losses. The government, by contrast, has been really slumping. ProTip: Whenever Matt makes a pronouncement | Read More »
Great Achievements in Central Planning: Cellulosic Biofuel
Over the years, we’ve ridiculed Congress’s cellulosic biofuel mandates and associated penalties (for example, here and here) which were enacted as part of the Renewable Fuel Standard in 2007. Cellulosic biofuel is mostly ethanol sourced not from corn but from switchgrass, wood pellets and other non-food sources. Refiners who missed mandated targets of cellulosic biofuel were required to purchase credits to cover their shortfall. Effectively, | Read More »
The Shale Boom and Its Impact on Domestic Energy Supply
A quick update on a post from a year and a half ago entitled ‘We have more oil and natural gas than anyone thought possible even 5 years ago.’
How Green is RedState?
First, a story from The Guardian, who give props to Greenpeace for making sure that social media are in harmony with the environment, if not your parents’ basement: Social media explosion powered by dirty energy, report warns … Amazon Web Services, which provides a cloud platform for Netflix, Tumblr and Pinterest, was singled out for being secretive about its energy use, and for siting data | Read More »
‘Free as the Wind’: The True Cost of Wind Energy [Updated]
Green activists preach about renewable energy sources, using words like ‘holistic’ and ‘sustainable’. Wind energy is one of their favorites; nothing is as free as the wind, n’est-ce pas? If we truly consider the holistic environmental impact of wind turbines on the environment and the economy, it’s not a pretty picture. Nor is it sustainable. We’ve previously looked at the reliance of giant wind turbines | Read More »
America’s Strange Love for Corn Ethanol [Updated: New AP article with must-see video]
(New link: Prairies vanish in the US push for green energy) In 2007, before our domestic shale boom put a big dent in America’s reliance on foreign oil, the Bush Administration made a massive commitment to biofuels. The Renewable Fuels Standard mandated an ever-increasing consumption of ethanol as a motor fuel through 2022. Candidate Obama, then junior senator from the nation’s #2 corn-producing state, wooed | Read More »
Comparing Man-Made Disasters: The BP Oil Spill and Obamacare
The focus of the reporting on these disasters has been on the failure of execution, but not until you consider the bigger picture, the failure of management, do you achieve any real understanding.
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Is There a Hydrogen Car in Your Future?
We all claim to have an “all of the above” approach to energy, right? We need to start building infrastructure for the hydrogen-based economy of the future, and there’s no time like the present … Who’s with me?
Hydrogen cars make sense until you look under the hood.
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‘We can’t just drill our way to lower gas prices.’ Says who?!
But you and I both know that with only 2% of the world’s oil reserves, we can’t just drill our way to lower gas prices – not when consume 20 percent of the world’s oil. – Barack Obama, March 10, 2012 Oh, really?