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FRONT PAGE CONTRIBUTOR

SOTU From An Energy Perspective

Wednesday’s State of the Union address was as much about the subjects the President avoided as about the issues or policies he proposed.

The word “wind” occurs not once in the speech. References to solar energy have to do with the number of jobs created building solar panels. Gone are the promises of a future of Rainbows, Unicorns and Magic Windmills; the Administration seems to have come to the realization that wind and solar may make a marginal contribution, but they will never be primary energy sources.

Now the focus is on “advanced biofuels” and “clean coal technology”. Advanced biofuels, relying on algae and whatnot for the generation of diesel equivalent, is one of those technologies that looks great in the lab. Its problem will be scalability, whether industry can figure out how to replace gasoline milllions of barrels at a time.

Clean coal gets the support of the big utilities and the coal companies, but implicit in their support is the government’s financing of the huge capital commitment.

Natural gas is the 800-pound gorilla that the President struggles to avoid. Natural gas delivers everything the President says he’s looking for in an ideal fuel: it is abundant, clean and American. Its infrastructure is in-place and the means to exploit it is off-the-shelf. Innovation and technology have increased the assessed resource base by over a third in just four years; we think we have a 100+ year domestic supply at current consumption rates. A commitment to natural gas would put people to work immediately, not speculatively and not years from now.

It’s as if a profitable, healthy domestic gas industry would create a problem for the President. As illogical as it may seem, his policies discourage domestic exploration. Obama seems to think that profitable, productive capitalists are a symptom of, not a cure for, the disease that ails our economy.

So what’s the problem? Success exacerbates the uneven distribution of wealth? Independent energy producers tend to be red state, conservative Republicans? That the Natural Gas Solution is by its very nature not Obama-centric?

Or maybe ALL OF THE ABOVE?

Back to the speech…

Next, we need to encourage American innovation. Last year, we made the largest investment in basic research funding in history – an investment that could lead to the world’s cheapest solar cells or treatment that kills cancer cells but leaves healthy ones untouched. And no area is more ripe for such innovation than energy. You can see the results of last year’s investment in clean energy – in the North Carolina company that will create 1200 jobs nationwide helping to make advanced batteries; or in the California business that will put 1,000 people to work making solar panels.

But to create more of these clean energy jobs, we need more production, more efficiency, more incentives.

N.B. – “More incentives” = “Your Tax Dollars At Work”

That means building a new generation of safe, clean nuclear power plants in this country.

Wait! Nuclear energy?! Show me five Democrats who are ready to get behind that!

It means making tough decisions about opening new offshore areas for oil and gas development.

Your Interior Secretary has been sitting on a new five-year leasing plan for the OCS, Mr. President – so let’s make those “hard decisions”, already!

It means continued investment in advanced biofuels and clean coal technologies. And yes, it means passing a comprehensive energy and climate bill with incentives that will finally make clean energy the profitable kind of energy in America.

In other words, your brand of “clean energy” can’t cut it in the marketplace. Mine can.

…[A]t a time of record deficits, we will not continue tax cuts [sic - he means "tax breaks" - ed.] for oil companies, investment fund managers, and those making over $250,000 a year. We just can’t afford it.

Obama at his best: World Class Demagogue. Sure everybody hates oil companies, they’re an easy target. But oil companies are actually energy companies. By cynically choosing to demonize the oil industry, and punish them via the tax code, you punish the very companies who find and develop natural gas. The tax code doesn’t distinguish between oil and gas. The advances in natural gas technology have been led by America’s independent producers – the smaller, non-integrated companies who don’t own refineries or sell gasoline.

Note also that the American independent, by and large, won’t immediately benefit from opening the OCS. I would expect the players to be many of the same ones who dominate deepwater exploration. There will be American multinationals like Chevron and ExxonMobil, but also more foreign participation than many realize: Shell, BP, Statoil, Petrobras, Ecopetrol, Repsol, ENI, and even (quietly) the Chinese company, CNOOC.

I know there have been questions about whether we can afford such changes in a tough economy; and I know that there are those who disagree with the overwhelming scientific evidence on climate change. [Laughter and catcalls. - ed.] But even if you doubt the evidence, providing incentives for energy efficiency and clean energy are the right thing to do for our future – because the nation that leads the clean energy economy will be the nation that leads the global economy. And America must be that nation.

So what you are saying, Mr. President, is that regardless of the validity of the “science” of Man-Made Global Warming, we should lead the charge to fix it anyway, because that’s what the rest of the world wants? This reminds me of the parental admonition: “If ‘all the other kids’ jump off a cliff, are you going to follow them?” Except in this case, you’re suggesting that America lead the rest of the world off that cliff.

As an engineer, that kind of thinking is anathema to me. Waste kills. By intentionally investing in technologies that are sub-optimum, we squander capital. It is less efficient than it could be. That may cost prosperous countries a few points on the standard-of-living scale; to undeveloped countries, those on the economic margin, it may mean the difference between clean and filthy water, between plagues and health, between life and death.

…[W]e need to export more of our goods. Because the more products we make and sell to other countries, the more jobs we support right here in America. So tonight, we set a new goal: We will double our exports over the next five years, an increase that will support two million jobs in America. … We have to seek new markets aggressively, just as our competitors are. If America sits on the sidelines while other nations sign trade deals, we will lose the chance to create jobs on our shores.

If we force our energy costs to be artificially high, our cost of manufacture go up. American goods are less profitable, and less attractive to foreign markets.

Mr. Obama, you are taking America down the wrong path. The one you have chosen will lead to a reduced level of prosperity and economic stagnation. American, market-based solutions can accomplish most of your stated goals. Wake up, drop the ideology and the demagoguery, and let’s get to work.

Cross-posted at VladEnBlog.

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COMMENTS

  • mriggio

    No further comment (from me) needed. Thank you!

  • http://keydesignsllc.com bkeyser
  • swamphermit

    “Or maybe ALL OF THE ABOVE?” Yes, and even more…

  • Achance

    For Comrade Obama, the worst things about oil and gas development are that it strengthens the US and that it primarily benefits Republican controlled states. I don’t think much else matters to him and his cadre.

  • http://andrightlyso.com/ civil_truth

    But couldn’t find the recommend button and then realized this was already on the front page.

    Very cogently spelled out. And Art (and others) have long identified the motivation for Obama’s antienergy policies – a deliberate effort to weaken our private industry economy as a pretext for a full government takeover – which is working out so well for his mentor Hugo Chavez, I would add.

  • 6eorge Jetson

    How many in the third world died to the increase in corn prices which were a result of biofuel mandates?

    • http://slcliberty.blogivists.com randy streu

      nt

  • dennism

    …depends on the government. Production of natural gas doesn’t. In fact there are hundreds of companies in place ready, willing and able to find it, produce it, and market it.

    • skorrent1

      Everything related to energy production and consumption, everything, “depends on the government.”

      There are either subsidies for the “good” stuff, or crippling regulations and lawsuits for the “bad”. V even mentioned SecEn sitting on applications for new drilling.

      I remember someone saying: “Gumment is not the solution to our problem; gumment is the problem.”

      • Vladimir

        Natural gas production doesn’t depend on the government to any great degree.

        Yes, permits are required, and on Federal lands, leases. Which is why we’re waiting on Mr. Salazar.

        If dennism owns 80 acres in say, Oklahoma, and I want to drill on his lease, that’s largely between me & him. I need permission to operate in OK & enough dough for a permit, and that’s about it.

        But industry is not looking to government to tell it when, where, how, etc. If you do it within the law & pay your taxes, you’re pretty free to operate.

        Most significantly, oil & gas companies are free to lose money. They may drill dry holes, or the price of their commodities may go up or down.

        Any nuclear plant that gets built will have it’s financing set by the gov’t, as well as its rate structure, allowable rate of return, etc.

        • edintexas

          Of interference. The companies working some areas of the Barnett Shale here in TX are currently under the scrutiny of the Air Quality folks due to complaints from homeowners about benzene releases. And there have been fits by homeowners about drilling in towns and cities (unfortunately the deposits are sitting under areas of significant development, including DFW Airport).

          So essentially you are correct that you only need a mineral rights lease(s) and state permit(s). But you can still run afoul of the environmentalists and the state. However, the only Fed involvement (outside of Federal land and any possible EPA involvement) is depreciation allowance, and income taxes on royalties and profits.

          • Achance

            gas in areas with much residential development though and the greenies really know how to exploit it. Out in Sarah Palin’s stomping grounds, the Matanuska – Susitna Valley, considered among the most conservative/libertarian areas of the State, the greenies and NIMBYs stopped coal bed gas development right in its tracks. This is in an area that desperately needs a new natural gas supply and that fact is well know. Fears about noise, dust, water pollution, etc. just got the residents all aroused and they stopped the leases.

        • ehosterman

          In order to build a nuclear plant in the United States, you need a combined Operating License from the NRC. This replaced the old separate Construction permit and Operating License. Buried in the requirements for a COL are capital requirements, since you need to have adequate financing to build and operate the plant.
          After that, however, (unless you are in a regulated state) there is no regulated rate structure or allowable rate of return. In most states, utility deregyulation separated the generation side of utilities from the transmission and distribution companies. The T&D companies are still regulated by the state PUC’s, but the generation companies are not. Most output from domestic nuclear plants is sold under contract, but there are some plants that operate as pure mechant plants, essentially selling at the margins of the local market. Given the low operating costs of current Nuclear plants, they are almost always the first dispatched Units.
          Form a financing state, ther is no regulatory requirement for Federal loan guarantees. However, from a practical standpoint, I don’t think you’ll see a single nuclear plant built without one. Most (if not all) utility CEO’s learned very well the lessons from the last nuclear build-out. Building a nuclear plant (due to the high construction costs) is a you bet your company decision. Without Federal loan guarantees to lower the interest charges, it’s a risk most utility CEO’s just won’t be willing to take.

          • Vladimir
          • revivefederalism

            I have to imagine that it’s fairly hard to find highly competent people who want to be involved with the construction of a nuclear power plant. We haven’t built one in a long time and any rational person would expect there was a good chance the project would be canceled. Who wants to have a failed project as a centerpiece in their career?

      • dennism

        Who give a subsidy to someone drilling an oil or gas well? I want in.

  • 1stRichard

    Common sense is the 800-pound gorilla, Natural gas is too low in energy content to be viable in every application. Common sense is realizing how many MPG you get when stopped at a red light. Some studies indicate over a fifteen percent reduction in fuel consumption thus common sense is timing the stoplights and such. Reduce the regulations is common sense as NOX regulation prevent the more efficient diesels from being used here. That is almost a fifty percent better fuel economy. Combine all the Common Sense solution and we may possibly reduce consumption of fuel by around seventy-five percent. Common sense is realizing government is not the solution, government is the problem. Common Sense was lacking in the SOTU From An Energy Perspective, but as lacking as Republicans willing to point out common sense.

  • revivefederalism

    The lefties do not seem to understand the nature of the opportunities that were gifted by providence for humanity’s use. There are easy ways to do things, hard ways, impossibilities, and great unknowns.

    The easy ways to do things at the present time involve allowing for private industry to develop an energy platform based upon all types of fossil fuels and fission reactors without a government bias towards one or the other. The obstacles to investment in coal and nuclear generation facilities are due to perceived legislative and executive taxation and permitting agendas and ability of various loonies to play NIMBY games through the courts under existing laws. Our national refusal to maintain and increase our usage of the greatest industrial advance yet in human history despite its excellent safety record in naval operations is a pox on our economy.

    The hard ways include biofuels, solar, and wind energy.

    I have serious doubts about the potential to produce synthetic hydrocarbons in a commercially viable fashion via algae, bacteria, recently harvested plants, or leftover animal/vegetable oils. The simple fact is that the usage of naturally existing hydrocarbons is economically viable because they have been produced from dead plant matter over millions of years thanks to the costless assistance of the earth’s temperature and pressure. This process has also avoided the need to sow, tend, and harvest crops for biofuels or to feed them to protist slime pools. Perhaps human ingenuity or sheer dumb experimental luck will triumph over these obstacles, but I’d rate the probability of this occurring as quite low.

    Solar and wind energy share similar problems of unreliability and increased costs of aggregation since their production density per square meter is much lower than for fossil fuel, hydroelectric, and nuclear facilities. As its stands now, their pursuit is an exercise in subsidy farming since their production costs are far greater than current grid prices. It also forces the construction of extra natural gas fired plants to compensate for their variable output, further diverting natural gas from transportation uses.

    At low levels of federally mandated ‘renewable’ energy usage, it is merely parasitic upon our continued growth. If reason is fully thrown out the window in the central planning of our energy policy though, achieving mandated energy mixes and fuel economy standards may prove fundamentally impossible. I’d like to be able to drive a car that actually got 100 mpg if it were as safe and properly sized as a normal passenger sedan and nearly as cheap, but that’s just not possible. Given the absurd prevalence of “Quidditch” matches on our Ivy League campuses, it’s quite clear that our futures leaders would like to be riding broomsticks and magical creatures to work in 20 years, but that’s just a fantasy, the same as the fuel economy standards that have been passed that will eventually re-bankrupt our auto industry.

    As our knowledge of science and engineering is incomplete, there is the potential that we will develop new easy ways to do things, and that which we currently deem impossible may be realized. In my opinion, the greatest open question concerns the limits upon humanity that have been imposed by our Creator through physical laws. Specifically, the current question is whether or not controlled exothermic nuclear fusion is physically attainable. The universe may have been structured so that the only method to continuously run a fusion reaction involves gravitational confinement, thus limiting it celestial bodies. Or, perhaps we were meant to have a chance to develop a magnetic confinement system coupled with pulsed laser ignition, so that we could eventually harness virtually unlimited energy. I certainly hope to live long enough and to have the luck to live in a universe where we get a positive result to this question.

  • exDemo

    If Mr. Obama really wants to build that generation of ‘perfected’ nuclear power plants the are things to do. If he merely or merely wishes to lay the political claim to the as yet invisible building boom that is getting past the point of planning, to the point of breaking ground, soon before or the 2012 election cycle, there are the same things to do. There are some urgent policy decisions to make and do.

    a) Reverse the plans to cancel death Valley’s Yucca Mountain Repository.
    A hasty offer to support Mr. Reid’s re-election is unnecessary.

    b) Commit to Nuclear Reprocessing in the USA to reduce the volume of nuclear waste by 95%. and to support other things ,(see next item)

    c) Commit to a plan to develop and use ‘Actinide Burning’ technology to transmute and to solve the radioactive waste problem permanently leaving nothing to store for more than a few hundred years This requires Reprocessing technology.

    d) use Reprocessing to support the negotiations for nuclear disarmament of the successful ‘Megatons to Megawatts’ Treaty, coming up with Moscow.
    Over 10,000 cold war bombs have been converted to to nuclear fuel and turned into electricity, while being burned up forever in power stations.

    A bipartisan but largely Republican effort to reform the laws, force power plants ‘standard designs’, streamline regulatory licensing and support ‘perfected’ nuclear power plants has created pipeline of some 35 nuclear plants to commence planning for building.

    The time needed for planning construction is almost over the next phase actual; construction is about to begin by over 35 Utilities across the country. The groundbreaking construction will commence in the next 12-15 months,across the country.

    • exDemo

      Controlled thermonuclear Fusion is no longer a ‘Maybe’ thing.

      We have already generated tens megawatts of controlled Fusion Energy. We just have not done it continually, or with a high enough gain.

      The International Thermonuclear ExXperiment, ITER, building in Cadarache France, is in one sense the Last Physics Fusion Experiment. It is also the First Engineering Fusion Experiment . It serves to initiate design as a pre-prototype Fusion power station, at realistic size.

      In its long on-again-off -again gestation, ITER is financed by a consortium of the advanced countries. the US is a laggard in making its promised financial contributions. Make the payments. The last time the US defaulted, due to green greed for the money, ITER collapsed and it took a decade to restart.

      In the meantime many of the research goals originally outlined to be accomplished at ITER, have been partially solved, a little here, and a little there, around the world. Now ITER is a largely a confirmatory Experiment, not a discovery Experiment.

      We now know how to contain an ignited Plasma as Fusion starts; and we now know how to create the conditions for it to start.and stay lit. There is not much to do, beyond making it sustain for longer periods, like portions of an hour as in ITER, and months on end in a commercial power plant.. And also liberating a higher proportion of Energy-out over Energy-in.

      After ITER in this decade, the next Item on the controlled Fusion’s Agenda will be to actually build a commercial Fusion power station; and add its electricity to the Grid. . We are getting that tantalizing close. But are still so far away.

      But it still will take 15 or 20 years before you can receive the first Kw hour of electricity to heat your home or recharge your electric car.

      • revivefederalism

        That’s the real key. Can we design a process that generates more 60Hz electrical current than it consumes? As far as I know, that hasn’t been demonstrated yet by either inertial or magnetic confinement attempts. Even this isn’t necessarily a high enough threshold for commercial viability since there are lots of other cost inputs.

        I sure hope that fusion research pans out with the practical generation of virtually unlimited electrical power at a vastly decreased cost per MWh, but it’s certainly not there yet. The possibilities that this could unlock are vast: desalination, terraforming, fuel synthesis, and perhaps interstellar travel. We may be scrapping the NASA budget, but fusion research is still one area that we can look to for those with big dreams.

    • Xasteius

      The US has one such plant, China has four , Russia has 2. Reviving the nuclear industry will actually bring manufacturing and trades jobs back to the US.

  • Dan Downey

    This is typical Obama..SAY what Americans want (drill, explore, exploit our own resources, clean coal) but DO the opposite. We’ve been to this rodeo before…don’t want to go again.
    That being said, solar is ready for prime time…but not in the conventional way. Utility scale solar can work but it would take a national commitment similar to Eisenhower’s interstate freeway vision. It certainly would have been a better investment than the stimulus debacle. What is ready is residential new construction. A new home can be built with solar panels and solar thermal hot water heating which can reduce energy bills by 75% at no premium to conventional building. If you don’t have to pay a premium, isn’t it just a smarter way to live?

    • edintexas

      is going to be built, without a “premium”, and with absolutely no subsidy what-so-ever? Thought not.

      • Dan Downey

        With no subsidy WHATSOEVER, we can build a new home with solar and solar thermal systems at the same cost/square foot as a conventional home. The subsidies are gravy.

  • wardjh

    I heard all this debate about nuclear power. At the time there was a plant being built in Kansas, a few miles from my home. A local had more facts and figures about what was available then, and managed to single handedly defeat all the anti-nuke rhetoric that was then extant (mostly by people imported from California).

    All of the “green” energy ideas are great, RETAIL. That is to say for a family or small group of families to produce for their own use, it is not bad. Not the great economy that is touted, but not bad for self sustaining. The biggest problem is scaling. What works in small batches and very locally does not mean the same when trying to move it to sizes that sell to everyone. Note the windmills on farms pumping water, works for that farm, not so good for the town.

    The only useful government energy policy is one that removes restrictions, including those from nimby and green nuts. Don’t eliminate them, but don’t give them an edge. There still are liability laws that will handle the others. That puts energy back in the hands of those who actually know something about it and are spending their own money (or at least their backers, like investment funds).

    As a side note, all this concern about electrical generation leads me to the mental picture of a freeway at rush hour and every care has an extension cord attached to it. Not sure how that works elsewhere, but the Chicago drivers can’t handle that.

  • leehazel

    So much of the entire public confusion and angst regarding Energy Policy can be traced to one key factor:

    Our political class has “cast its’ lot” with the Climate Change Hoax and the hopes of unbelievable amounts of new funds flowing into Washington District of Corruption. Add to this the American “treasure” to be transfered abroad under the Cap and Trade Scam and it is not to hard to understand why this thing begins to look like the Duracell Bunny. It goes on and on and on….

    This thing has to be approached from the perspective that greed has taken over common sense and threat these idiots like the greedy, overpaid, PC victims that they are. GET RID OF THEM. This is why we have elections.

    We need to pull the plug permanently on this whole concept of CO2 as a serious pollutant and a contributer to Global Warming (whatever it may wind up being called). It is an intellectual as well as a scientific farce.

    It ranks right up there with the idea that if one pees in the pacific ocean that a computer model built on this event could predict the effect and account for the melting of arctic and antarctic ice packs.

    PC is Thought Control
    LEE

  • jayburd

    Perpetrated for considerable financial gain.