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Earth Hour 2010, We Hardly Knew Ye

Calling Earth Hour 2010 a 'blip' does a grave injustice to real, honest-to-goodness blips.

Our pals at wattsupwiththat.com have completed their multivariate statistical analysis of the impact of last night’s Earth Hour on energy consumption in California:

2010 Earth Hour in California – just as ineffective as last year

The line you should be paying attention to is the red one, “Actual Demand”. Although demand was headed south during Earth Hour, that’s because of the time of day, not any consumption decisions by hordes of concerned green activists. (Note that Saturday night’s actual consumption during that time frame is higher than tonight’s consumption is forecast to be at the same time.)
As evidence of that assertion, here’s the corresponding graph from 2009:

And, the following day, Sunday, 3/29/09:

As an index of significance, consider the dip around “07″ of each graph. That’s the decrease in load as streetlights across the state wink off due to sunrise.

Note also that there’s no “zero” on the vertical scale of this graph, which tends to accentuate fluctuations, making them relative to the baseload level of around 19,000 MW instead of zero.

If there was a big effect from Earth Hour, you’d see a step event like the street lights at 7AM as everybody turned off their home lights in California at 8:30PM (2030). Plus, the greens don’t seem to realize that no power plants get switched off, so there’s really no CO2 savings.  The power plants are run based on demand forecast. Short term spikes from well intentioned stunts really don’t make a blip of difference to CO2 emissions.

Furthermore:

WWF [the cranks formerly known as the World Wildlife Fund - ed.]  would be better off preaching year round energy conservation than publicity stunts, but unfortunately publicity stunts are what wow the gullible and fill the till.

But in the end, isn’t that what it’s all about, filling the till?

Cross-posted at VladEnBlog.

COMMENTS

  • JoeG

    “?The whole mentality around Earth Hour demonizes electricity. I cannot do that, instead I celebrate it and all that it has provided for humanity?. It invites people to become sanctimonious do-gooders by turning off trivial appliances for a trivial amount of time, in service of some ill-understood abstract concept of ?the Earth,? all the while hypocritically retaining the real benefits of electricity.”

    I’ve spent much of my working career in the utility industry. In terms of energy, electric power does far more for us than any other.

    The access to RELIABLE electricity is the biggest determinant of whether you live a rough, short life or a long, comfortable life. It brings us clean water, enables the treatment of waste, keeps our food fresh and keeps us at a comfortable temperature. All the while it is doing this as the cleanest and most efficient form of energy EVEN when it comes from burning coal.

    If they really wanted to make a dent, they’d walk or take public transit for a whole week.