Bad Economy to Get Worse With Obamacare


In the worst economy for decades, Obama and his Democrats want to punish small business.

This week and last we’ve seen some firmer ideas from House Democrats on how they expect to pay for Obamacare and from those ideas it is becoming increasingly, painfully obvious that small businesses will be hit hard with tax increases and this during one of the worst economic downturns in decades. Right when we need economic growth from small business, the backbone of the country, Democrats are making to punish them thereby pushing any economic recovery far off into the future… if at all.

Not all Democrats want to tread this suicidal path, granted. We’ve discussed the efforts of the 40 self-professed Blue Dogs several times before (Here and here) as last week they sent a letter to Speaker Pelosi and Majority Leader Stenny Hoyer of the Democratic leadership in the House warning them that they weren’t necessarily on board with the current direction that Democrats in the House were going on healthcare.

One of the items on their list was a concern about small business.

Small Business Protections – Any additional requirements for employers must be carefully considered and done so within the context of what is currently offered. Small business owners and their employees lack coverage because of high and unstable costs – not because of an unwillingness to provide or purchase it. We cannot support a bill that further exacerbates the challenges faced by small businesses.

Thus far the Blue Dogs have been wholly ignored by the Democratic leadership, at least as far as protections for small businesses goes. The current plan being sponsored by the House Democrats puts a crushing tax on small businesses just when we need the rejuvenating power and innovation from small business to rebuild our faltering economy.

So what does the Democrat plan portend for small business? Here are some bullet point facts:

  • More than 50% of filers who will pay the Democrat surtax have small business income.
  • The Democrat small business surtax has an automatic revenue grab when it doubles itself in 2013.
  • The Democrat plan, according to a study by the Tax Foundation, would raise the top tax rate in 24 states to more than 50%.
  • According the National Association of Manufactures, an industry hit hard by the economy, 68% of manufactures file as S-corporations with an average income of $570,000, well above the $350,000 base the Democrats have set for the surtax.
  • In addition to taxing small business income, the Democratic bill also institutes a payroll tax on small business payrolls. The Democratic bill requires small businesses who do not currently offer health insurance to pay a payroll fine of up to 8% of the their total payroll.
  • According to 2006 data from NFIB, businesses with between five and nine workers, representing about one million employers, had an average payroll of around $375,000 a year. A report from the Kaiser Family Foundation found that only about half of firms with three to nine workers offered health benefits in 2008.
  • Even if a small business does offer insurance, they are still required to pay a payroll tax if an employee chooses to opt out and enter the government plan.

Now, these are exactly the sort of punishing requirements, regulations and taxes that prevent small business from hiring new workers, expanding when they can, and prevents them from thriving.

We need small business today more than ever to get this moribund economy on the mend. But with Obamacare on the march, we must expect small business to stay depressed and unable to help life this country back to prosperity.

Sure, maybe we’ll have “insurance,” but without jobs to pay the bills, what good will it do us?

(Cross posted at HealthcareHorseRace.com)

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15 Comments Leave a comment

Correct me if I'm wrong in my thinking

djemi Thursday, July 16th at 8:50AM EDT (link)

So after some simple math your saying that the Taxman is going to get approx 15 billion[8% of ($375,000 * 500,000 employers)]out of small out of this ‘payroll fine’ which is maybe 1.5% of the current CBO estimate of the cost of this beast.
That would be an intresting number to know, the overall profected percentage that small biss is going to pay towards healthcare. I’d also say that this 8%, like all taxes, is going to either decrease employment or increase comsumer prices (which again decreases employment), we pay no matter what.
I have the biggest problem with this

Even if a small business does offer insurance, they are still required to pay a payroll tax if an employee chooses to opt out and enter the government plan.

As it is a doubled edge sword. What incentives are in the beast to encourage poeple to opt for the government plan? If the owner offers insurance and only half of his employee opt for it, the owners ability to gain a good price on said insurance decreases i.e the cost goes up, making it less attractive for the owner to offer it in the first place. Put another way if the insurance premium is not less than 8% of the small biss payroll it’s not worth offering it.

“If I can’t shoot rabbits,then I can’t shoot fascist”
“With age, comes Wisdom, but only if you are paying Attention, son” my ‘Old Man’
RS Help files (h/t JLenardDetroit) Grassroots in Michigan
Moes Strategy

Also (Kowalski, right?)

djemi Thursday, July 16th at 9:14AM EDT (link)

It gets worse from Investors Business Daily’s via Ed Morrissey comes this

When we first saw the paragraph Tuesday, just after the 1,018-page document was released, we thought we surely must be misreading it. So we sought help from the House Ways and Means Committee.
It turns out we were right: The provision would indeed outlaw individual private coverage. Under the Orwellian header of “Protecting The Choice To Keep Current Coverage,” the “Limitation On New Enrollment” section of the bill clearly states:
“Except as provided in this paragraph, the individual health insurance issuer offering such coverage does not enroll any individual in such coverage if the first effective date of coverage is on or after the first day” of the year the legislation becomes law.
So we can all keep our coverage, just as promised — with, of course, exceptions: Those who currently have private individual coverage won’t be able to change it. Nor will those who leave a company to work for themselves be free to buy individual plans from private carriers.

And as Ed says

Does this bill outlaw private insurance? Literally, no, but in practical terms, it makes it an endangered species and creates an American single-payer system by default.

Sure looks that way to me, but I’m a mere dyslexic carpenter who happened to watch his mother die waiting for government run healthcare, but we have to be NICE and understanding about these things.

“If I can’t shoot rabbits,then I can’t shoot fascist”
“With age, comes Wisdom, but only if you are paying Attention, son” my ‘Old Man’
RS Help files (h/t JLenardDetroit) Grassroots in Michigan
Moes Strategy

And Kowalski again

djemi Thursday, July 16th at 9:37AM EDT (link)

….the cause of freedom is too important to let those who are incapable of self-sufficiency distory it. Remember, to us, slavery and tyranny are far-fetched concepts that history has righted — but to history, the far-fetched concept is the idea that men should be free.

From, The Case Against An Out-Of-Control Government, Glenn Beck’s Common Sense. Yes I’m one of those rodeo clowns, but IMHO this is a better strategy(h/tColdWarrior)

“If I can’t shoot rabbits,then I can’t shoot fascist”
“With age, comes Wisdom, but only if you are paying Attention, son” my ‘Old Man’
RS Help files (h/t JLenardDetroit) Grassroots in Michigan
Moes Strategy

That's called 'The Full Kowalski' (nt)

The_Gadfly Thursday, July 16th at 12:12PM EDT (link)

We’ve been called racists enough now that it shouldn’t bother us any more.

-AChance, http://www.redstate.com/moe_lane/2009/11/03/what-men-may-do-we-have-done/#comment-24463

If NY23 was a beat down for Conservatives, what do you call what happened to Progressives in NJ and VA?

inspired by ColdWarrior, http://www.redstate.com/hooah_mac/2009/11/04/ny-23-the-agony-of-defeat-not-so-much/#comment-156

 
 
 

Don't Argue Details of Government Healthcare

Spartan4Life Thursday, July 16th at 11:29AM EDT (link)

This is the mistake we as conservatives make. Once liberals get us arguing about the details like how much it is going to cost or how it gets paid for then they have already won.

We need to keep our objections on broad themes. Here are some suggestions:

Job Killer
Deficit/Debt
Loss of Freedom
“Government” = Inept
“Healthcare” = Welfare

Those are just some that popped in my head.

That's

Warner Todd Huston Thursday, July 16th at 11:40AM EDT (link)

That’s why I stick to the themes of rationing, tax hikes, government corruption, and doctors not being able to say what your care will be.

———-
Be sure and Visit my Home blog Publius’ Forum. It’s what’s happening NOW!

 

I see your point but

djemi Thursday, July 16th at 11:58AM EDT (link)

the devils in the detail and I would say that we conservatives need to be able to back up our ‘broad theme’ objections with the numbers/facts. I for one don’t want to be like the Dems with all those talking piont but there being nothing there when the curtains are pulled back, one of the many reasons that I come here to read the front page, the diaries and follow the links.

“If I can’t shoot rabbits,then I can’t shoot fascist”
“With age, comes Wisdom, but only if you are paying Attention, son” my ‘Old Man’
RS Help files (h/t JLenardDetroit) Grassroots in Michigan
Moes Strategy

Granted, but the focus still needs to be

The_Gadfly Thursday, July 16th at 12:23PM EDT (link)

on the themes so as not to get caught in the details like a fly in amber. It’s one of the Dem’s more proficient techniques for winning battles.

I like Ed’s point about not technically outlawing private insurance but doing so for all practical purposes. That’s the sort of thing that will resonate with average Americans as a pointed-headed underhanded ‘it depend on what your definition of is is’ tactic. They don’t like that and are usually pretty good about making their voices heard when they suspect such shenanigans will affect them.

We’ve been called racists enough now that it shouldn’t bother us any more.

-AChance, http://www.redstate.com/moe_lane/2009/11/03/what-men-may-do-we-have-done/#comment-24463

If NY23 was a beat down for Conservatives, what do you call what happened to Progressives in NJ and VA?

inspired by ColdWarrior, http://www.redstate.com/hooah_mac/2009/11/04/ny-23-the-agony-of-defeat-not-so-much/#comment-156

 
 
 
 

The small business "work around."

constitutionalistconservative Thursday, July 16th at 10:13AM EDT (link)

Being a small business owner that does not have any employees and sub-contracts regularly with other hard working small businesses in my area, I see only one real answer to this taxation and health care issue: Independent Contractors.

Having been in the real estate industry since I was 21, you rarely had “employees.” The real estate offices were all “independent contractors.” This was both for legal purposes and for purposes of keeping employment costs and benefits low. This is what we will see happen to small business. Contract employees and independent contractors will become the norm, to cut back on government mandated health care costs. You will see small businesses require and independent contractor’s agreement be signed and then the independent contractor will be 1099 to reduce the small businesses income tax level. As a sole proprietor, I am fully aware that the cost of business insurance alone is enough to make you choke. I can only imagine what the cost of employment benefits must be.

In addition, you will see more outsourcing sent to India and China. Since starting my new graphic design business three years ago, I have had at minimum 15 calls from foreign companies (India) for custom web programming and flash design assistance and continue to I receive calls like this regularly. Since I believe in quality control and keeping jobs in the USA, I send my sub-contract work to local designers I have built a strong relationship with or I learn how to do the custom programming myself. But, for other small businesses in manufacturing, that have slim profit margins already, that see the “pennies on the dollar” difference to ship work over seas; we will see “mom & pop” shops shipping jobs over seas at a rate that big businesses are (these are small businesses that would have never considered outsourcing their manufacturing to hurting overseas companies, but will finally take the plunge looking for an “out” from the current government’s business destroying tactics).

One thing about small business - they will never fail at figuring out a way to make a dollar. It is the American way, one the Democrats have forgotten….unless it is getting tax dollars.

Believing the American way is the ONLY way!

Live with Character; by doing the right thing whether people are watching or not!

Exactly right cc.

Vegas_Rick Thursday, July 16th at 12:36PM EDT (link)

Independent contractors ( I am one, and I hire others) will be the way around this until the Dems figure out a way to stop it. They’ll probably use the IRS for their end-around.

I’m sure the most famous independent contractor, Treasury Sec. Geithner, who has experience using that status to cheat the IRS, will figure out a way to screw the rest of us IC’s.

“Nothing in this world can take the place of persistence. Talent will not; nothing is more common than unsuccessful people with talent. Genius will not; unrewarded genius is almost a proverb. Education will not; the world is full of educated derelicts. Persistence and determination alone are omnipotent. The slogan ‘press on’ has solved and always will solve the problems of the human race.” Calvin Coolidge.

 
 

Another "own goal"

6eorge Jetson Thursday, July 16th at 11:13AM EDT (link)

Thanks for nothing (literally), Fifty-three percent!

 

Good Post.

The_Gadfly Thursday, July 16th at 12:30PM EDT (link)

I think this is the sort of post that will be more effective in the long run than the one about fines you wrote the other day.

An additional bit as reported in the Washington Times:

The top federal income tax rate would hit 45% in 2011, a level not seen since Reagan came into office.

The point that it is Dem-Socialists who want to turn back the clock on history might be a good point to make with other Americans.

We’ve been called racists enough now that it shouldn’t bother us any more.

-AChance, http://www.redstate.com/moe_lane/2009/11/03/what-men-may-do-we-have-done/#comment-24463

If NY23 was a beat down for Conservatives, what do you call what happened to Progressives in NJ and VA?

inspired by ColdWarrior, http://www.redstate.com/hooah_mac/2009/11/04/ny-23-the-agony-of-defeat-not-so-much/#comment-156

There's

Warner Todd Huston Friday, July 17th at 1:44AM EDT (link)

There’s just so damnably much to keep after. It is more than a person can keep up with!

———-
Be sure and Visit my Home blog Publius’ Forum. It’s what’s happening NOW!

Keep up the good work -nt-

discerningconservative Friday, July 17th at 1:48AM EDT (link)

And if we move that from the "disadvantages" column to the "advantages" column

The_Gadfly Monday, July 20th at 1:52PM EDT (link)

and figure out exactly how we make it an advantage, we will win. I suspect the key is in precisely what you have said phrased just a bit differently “one person can’t keep up with it all.” Which means we setup a decentralized organization that matches our philosophy, because they will never be able to setup anything except a centralized organization. And a centralized organization always comes down to too few decision makers, while the decentralized organization can have a sufficient number.

And yes, you are doing some seriously stellar heavy lifting with your posts.

We’ve been called racists enough now that it shouldn’t bother us any more.

-AChance, http://www.redstate.com/moe_lane/2009/11/03/what-men-may-do-we-have-done/#comment-24463

If NY23 was a beat down for Conservatives, what do you call what happened to Progressives in NJ and VA?

inspired by ColdWarrior, http://www.redstate.com/hooah_mac/2009/11/04/ny-23-the-agony-of-defeat-not-so-much/#comment-156

 
 
 

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