Winning the Election vs. Winning the Polls: Possible vs. Impossible
Many of us have been carefully watching for McCain to move ahead in this year’s national polling. However, we must realize that based on the turnout assumptions underlying all of these polls, it is nearly impossible for McCain to move ahead. That does not mean that the election is out of reach. This year’s polling assumes a turnout model that, if it were to hold | Read More »
Nick kids’ vote: 51-49 Obama
Only 51-49? What is going on here? Kerry won four years ago, 56-44.
Beyond the illusion, McCain wins in Boston
Recently, a group of Harvard political science students conducted a mock election for local 7th graders in the Boston area. The only catch was that the two candidates were identified only by a description of their positions on various issues. Their names were unveiled only after the votes had been counted. The results: the 7th graders were in tears. McCain won a solid victory. There | Read More »
What don’t you know and how will you learn it?
The last question of Tuesday’s debate was submitted by Peggy Silva, a high school teacher from Amherst, New Hampshire. The question was “What don’t you know and how will you learn it?” According to today’s Nashua Telegraph: Tom Brokaw is a friend of Silva’s daughter’s father-in-law, who e-mailed Brokaw right away to tell him who asked the final question. Small world? Silva also has been | Read More »
Choosing an effective Ayers message
I am worried that the GOP is on the verge of misplaying the Ayers issue. This is something that should be a big liability for Obama. However, many of the persuadable voters out there want to believe in a political messiah who will bring us back to the mythical fat dumb and happy 90′s. People are looking for a reason to give Obama a pass | Read More »
McCain Message: A Cr*p Sandwich
Here are a few thoughts regarding upcoming opportunities for McCain: Use a good phrase “Obama thinks America’s hate of George Bush runs so deep that he can sell a cr*p sandwich of tax increases and surrender.” Continue with an appeal to the middle “Bush has made some huge mistakes, and many times I’ve called him on it, but if you are consistently opposed to someone | Read More »