Data Analysis: Romney Leads Among Independents by 5.5%, Leads Nationally by 2%

    Washington Dispatch Poll of Polls for October 22, 2012:  Romney Up by 2% Nationally Mitt Romney (48.2%) leads Barack Obama (46.1%) by 2.1% nationally heading into their third and final debate this evening.  This represents the highest level of support for Mr. Romney thus far, as well as his largest margin over the incumbent. Links to Individual Polls: Rasmussen Public Policy Polling (PPP) Investor’s Business | Read More »

    Meet the Newest Battleground State: Minnesota

    Meet the Newest Battleground State:  Minnesota In early August, The Washington Dispatch began its weekly swing-state and electoral college poll tracking model.  10 key states were identified as battlegrounds with the potential to go either way on November 6th based on polling data: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Wisconsin. Based on state-level polling data, The Washington Dispatch is now adding Minnesota to | Read More »

    Romney holds Electoral Vote Lead 281 – 257 (Data Analysis)

    Electoral College Count for Friday October 19, 2012:  Romney Increases Lead Based on prior election results and The Washington Dispatch’s comprehensive analysis of state and national polls, Mitt Romney currently leads president Obama 281 electoral votes to 257: Based on current polling data and past election results, The Washington Dispatch does not project North Carolina or Indiana to be swing states in the upcoming election, and projects Mr. | Read More »

    Senate Projection for October 17, 2012: 48-52

    Washington Dispatch Senate Projection for October 17, 2012:  48-52 Eleven of the U.S. Senate seats up for grabs this November are considered “toss-ups” by The Washington Dispatch, with Republicans in control 44 seats and Democrats in control of 45 (including independents who caucus with the Democrats). Based on prior election results and The Washington Dispatch’s comprehensive analysis of state polls, the Republicans are currently projected to end | Read More »

    Data Analysis: Mitt Romney Extends his National Poll Lead thanks to Independent Voters

    Washington Dispatch Poll of Polls for October 15, 2012:  Romney Extends Lead Mitt Romney (48.1%) leads Barack Obama (46.6%) by 1.5% nationally heading into their second debate tomorrow evening.  This represents the highest level of support for Mr. Romney thus far. The two new polls released today with Obama out front by ABC/Washington Post and GWU/BattleGround actually increased Romney’s poll number in the aggregation. Both | Read More »

    The Past 60 Days – Conventions, Debates, Bounces, and Momentum Shifts

    The Romney debate bounce has now dwarfed the DNC bounce, and may turn into a lasting momentum shift. Tuesday’s debate is key. Romney CANNOT “lose” that debate in the eyes of the public — his lead is too narrow, and a shift of momentum back to Obama will push him back into the lead, because Romney actually polls BETTER nationally than he does state-to-state where | Read More »

    Electoral College Count for Friday October 12, 2012: Romney Regains Lead

    Electoral College Count for Friday October 12, 2012:  Romney Regains Lead Based on prior election results and comprehensive analysis of state and national polls, Mitt Romney currently leads president Obama 272 electoral votes to 266: Based on current polling data and past election results, we do not project North Carolina or Indiana to be swing states in the upcoming election, and projects Mr. Romney to win these states | Read More »

    Another Month, Another Record for President Obama: New Highs for Food Stamps

    According to new data released by the U.S. Department of Agriculture, Participation in the SNAP program reached a new all-time high of 46,681,833 individuals in July. The number of participating households also hit a new high of 22.5 Million.  The average benefit per person was $134.20, and the total cost for the month of July was more than $6.2 Billion. Unfortunately for Food Stamp proponents, while | Read More »

    Fiscal Insanity Illustrated: Obamanomics vs. The New Deal

    No explanation necessary: http://washington-dispatch.com/post/2012/10/04/Fiscal-Insanity-Illustrated-Obamanomics-vs-The-New-Deal.aspx

    Senate Projection for October 3, 2012: 50-50

    Eleven of the U.S. Senate seats up for grabs this November are  ”toss-ups,” with Republicans in control 44 seats and Democrats in control of 45 (including independents who caucus with the Democrats). Based on prior election results and comprehensive analysis of state polls, the Republicans and Democrats are currently projected to end up with 50 seats each in the battle for the Senate. Of the eleven “toss-up” | Read More »