« BACK  |  PRINT

RS

MEMBER DIARY

Poll: Romney Losing Independents After Florida – support implosion continues

Mitt Romney shall see diminishing returns from negative advertising and his endless lies about his record while his competitors are far more honorable men. As time wears on and voters continue to learn of Romney’s past an see he is not a conservative nor a “trusted” business leader the support shall decline and so shall the votes. Romney received fewer votes than in 2008, a clear sign of internal problems coupled with polls that expose weaknesses across the board. Romney and the pro-Romney Super PAC Restore Our Future spent a $15,389,287 on advertising in Florida. Gingrich and the pro-Gingrich Super PAC Winning Our Future spent a total of $3,389,805.

The Associated Press reported that 771,842 votes went to Romney, while 531,294 went to Gingrich after all precincts were counted. Which means the Romney campaign and its Super PAC spent $19.94 per vote, while the Gingrich campaign and its Super PAC spent $6.38 per vote.

Santorum is leading in Missouri polls, this too shall take the wind out of Romney’s sails. We can take Romney down just like in 2008. The competition needs to stay negative and focus on his core weaknesses on Romneycare, medicare fraud and the fact he can’t run on his record without exposing more weaknesses.

http://www.newsmax.com/InsideCover/romney-losing-independents-poll/2012/01/31/id/426187
The Florida primary has exposed some of Mitt Romney’s flaws. Romney appears to be losing ground, especially with independents. The image that Romney has cultivated for years has come under attack and the damage shows in several polls, the New York Times reports.

“In a Washington Post/NBC News poll showed, 49 percent of the respondents nationwide held an unfavorable view of Romney, while only 31 percent had a favorable one,” the Times says.

The same Washington Post/NBC News poll shows Romney’s favorability rating among independents cut in half. It’s now down to 23 percent from a high in the mid-40’s in November.

http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/01/31/romneys-fight-to-win-comes-at-a-cost-polls-show/?ref=politics#

The monthlong feud with Newt Gingrich has identified clear vulnerabilities for Mr. Romney on issues like his wealth, his work for Bain Capital, a private equity firm, the taxes he pays and his positions on immigration, Medicare and health care.

It also has cost Mr. Romney — at least for now — the generally likable image that he has nurtured for years. In polls during the last several weeks, the number of people who view him favorably has plunged, especially among independent voters who will likely decide the general election later this year.

In one advertisement titled “Blood Money” produced by a “Super PAC” backing Mr. Gingrich, Mr. Romney is accused of having “supervised a company guilty of massive Medicare fraud. That’s a fact.” The ad shows the words “illegal activity” on the screen.

Mr. Obama’s campaign manager made it clear last week that he intends to try and capitalize on the weaknesses.

“As Mitt Romney moves through the Republican primaries, he finds himself in an increasingly weak position among every category of voter critical for a Republican to win the general election,” the campaign manager, Jim Messina, said in a memorandum to reporters. “The bottom line is this: the more voters learn about Romney, the more unfavorably they view him.”

http://www.newsmax.com/InsideCover/gingrich-santorum-lead-romney/2012/01/31/id/426186

Former Sen. Rick Santorum and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich lead the way in states with upcoming primaries, according to The State Column. In Ohio, Gingrich leads with 26 percent, followed by former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney with 25 percent. Santorum is not far behind, with 22 percent, while Texas Rep. Ron Paul has 11 percent. Ohio’s primary election will be held on Super Tuesday, March 6.

Gingrich’s name is not on the ballot in Missouri, where Santorum leads with 45 percent, followed by Romney with 34 percent and Paul with 13 percent. Missouri’s primary is scheduled for Tuesday, Feb. 7, which is the same day of the Colorado and Minnesota caucuses.

COMMENTS

  • Ender

    prognosticator of anything. Let’s take a look at their final pre-FL poll for example which gave hope to Newt’s supporters everywhere:

    Romney 36% Gingrich 31%.

    We know how that turned out. As for support implosion, there are no polls done after the FL primary. So we truly have nothing to go on. And most people outside of FL did not see the negative advertising from inside of FL. Since they haven’t, it’s a stretch to think that Independents would be affected negatively.

    Instead if you look at today’s new Gallup figures we see Romney suddenly shooting ahead:

    http://www.gallup.com/poll/election.aspx

    Romney 31% +4%
    Gingrich 26% -2%

    I predict Romney will start picking up steam after FL. You don’t really have any evidence for any implosion.

    • Juggernaut

      because in 2008 over 44,000 voted in the Nevada republican caucuses, this year the vote was less than half that. Lower turn out is the result of less enthusiasm towards the candidates, Romney included. Romney received fewer votes this time than 2008 You people are desperate to prop up a lousy choice who is touting right wing socialized medicine……yes that’s what Romney care is!!! Facts don’t matter to Romneybots, steal the future and continue a wrecked economy. You know little of newsmax.

      http://uspolitics.einnews.com/news/nevada-voter-turnout

      http://littlegreenfootballs.com/article/39878_Very_Poor_GOP_Voter_Turnout_in_Nevada

      Mitt Romney 16,486 50.1%
      Newt Gingrich 6,956 21.1%
      Ron Paul 6,175 18.8%
      Rick Santorum 3,277 10%
      Other 0 0%

      • powertothepeople

        that once again we have failed as a party to put up even a decent candidate especially considering the fact that the combined totals of social conservatives, fiscal conservatives who lean towards social conservatism, and those who are both fiscal and socially conservative make up not only the largest voting bloc in the party but in the nation as well. But the reality of this election is that you are wrong.

        Romney is the winner, the rest are just not willing to admit it yet. Romney will solidify his win in the next few primaries and he will go on to face Obama. The only thing we can do now is work to make sure Obama loses.

        But at the same time we as a party should be hanging our head that once again we elected a moderate at best, put our party in another “McCain” type choice election, and even then, we could only put up the guy who was considered second class to the loser McCain.

        Maybe one day our party will learn. Until then all we can do is continue to work to beat democrats and change the party from within.

        • cheetah2

          I agree that we must make sure our nominee beats Obama. We need to focus then on getting more true conservatives into Congress and into preparing a suitable candidate for a primary attack in 4 years. If Romney is a turncoat when he gets in office and breaks all his promises we can get rid of him.

          • WillWong

            You csn tske this to the bank! The reasons are too well documented here and elsewhere to be repeated!

          • powertothepeople

            so I will address both.

            If you are saying Romney will not win our nomination, pray tell who is going to beat him. Not going to be any of the three remaining even though I wish that were not true. Of course that does exclude Ron Paul as he is nothing more than a clown in a suit.

            If you are saying he can not beat Obama and should he win our nomination, he is already beat, then to that I say screw off. It will be that kind of attitude that gives us another 4 of Obama just like it was that attitude that has already given us 4 years of Obama. How has that worked out?

            But by all means, please educate me with the whole sure as cash in the bank thing. As for me, going to keep working to beat Obama despite the failure of our party to put up someone great. I am now willing to lose anymore of this country to the POS in the president’s office right now.

          • WillWong

            Romney will not beat Obama in the general. That is why we are trying our level best to beat Romney in the primary. IMHO, Newt would win in a landslide if the Establishment just let Newt and Romney duke it out mano a mano. That can still happen!

            I am probably sounding like a broken record now….Romney is the perfect 1 percenter to Obama’s 99 percenter (don’t agree with this class warfare but it is what it is!). Romney has to cede Obamacare as a weapon of discussion simply for the fact that he is the Grand daddy of Obamacare. On top of that, Romney’s charisma (or lack of) will look really bad next to the “chosen” one. Plus a MSM that is totally in the tank for Obama is worth anywhere from 10~15%.
            One last thing….while I fully intent to vote for our nominee, whoever he is, I am afraid the base is unlikely to be fully energized. So my point is that since Romney does not stand a chance in November, let’s do our best to get Newt nominated where we at least have a fighting chance. It wasn’t so much a defeatist attitude as a rallying cry to get behind Newt. Sorrty it came off that way. I was responding to Cheetah’s concern that we might need to primary Romney in four years.

          • Juggernaut

            lines up someone like Tom Coburn, Mitch Daniels, Jeb Bush or Bob McDonnell or whomever. None are perfect but clearly better than the final 4.

          • powertothepeople

            It is an idiotic bit of nonsense to be calling for such crap. We had our opportunity to put in a good person or sway the right person to get in, that time has passed. The time for getting the right person is the primaries and we failed. All a brokered convention does is cause chaos, piss off a large portion of those who did vote as they felt was right, and will produce a person who was unwilling to fight the good fight during the actual primary season who will now not fight the real fight against Obama.

            If you wanted those guys in, you should have worked long ago to get them in. I would not support a brokered convention if it meant my soul.

        • Juggernaut

          in candidate selection rather than hearing the left promote the choice for the right but they want Romney as the punching bag of choice. I’m tired of moderates as we all are, the left gets it way because the bulk of the media are lefties yet we pay the cable and satellite bills and they get to choose who says what. I haven’t given up on the alternatives yet since Romney proven his mouth moves faster than his brain.

          The fear is real, turnout was down for every state except South Carolina. If this continues we’ll see another McCain like scenario but we’ve got a long way to go. Maybe if Romney toughens up and finds a real message plus chooses to face the media more often to demonstrate he’s more than a paper tiger. I’ll back whomever this fall regardless.