Is Palin Really “Losing Ground”?
Great piece by Chris Perkins of WRS: Recent interpretations of national polling data have suggested that former Alaska Governor and Vice Presidential nominee Sarah Palin is “losing ground” based on movements in her image rating among all self-identified Republicans and Republican-leaning Independents. But what are we really looking at? – FACT: The recent Washington Post/ABC news poll that is the basis the “losing ground” comments still | Read More »
Tea Party Beats the Average in Competitive Races.
In the wake of last Tuesday’s election there has been much debate on the effect that the Tea Party label had on candidates for office. Last week, MSNBC’s First Read came out with an analysis of Tea Party candidates showing they only managed to win 32% of their races. Unfortunately, the approach taken by MSNBC, by looking at all races without regard to the competitiveness of | Read More »
2010 Predictions (and what they mean for 2012)
With less than two weeks to go until Election Day and while a lot has changed, little has changed. We still expect a Republican wave to overwhelm Democratic control in the House and the Senate will still come down to one or two seats one way or another. This got us to contemplating what the 2010 elections mean for 2012 and beyond. First a quick | Read More »
Language on Health Care for Conservatives
The Kaiser Family Foundation recently put out a fascinating summary of data on health care overhaul plans that showed wide variations in opinion on the issue depending on how the question was posed. When we see this in public opinion it can give us great insight into framing the debate. WRS analyzed the language of the questions and derived four simple rules for Republicans to | Read More »
Why Sarah Palin Isn’t Dead Politically
Since my appearance on MSNBC regarding Sarah Palin has generated so much conversation, I felt it might be a good idea to expand upon the points I made while debating the commentators. I realize my comments fly in the face of conventional wisdom and are contrary to the analysis given by most Republican consultants. That understood, I think there are three good reasons that the | Read More »
Reading the Tea Leaves: More Evidence on the 2010 Political Environment
This article was co-written by Chris Wilson and Daniel Narvaiz, both of GOP research firm Wilson Research Strategies As someone who regularly speaks to Republican gatherings around the country and on television, I’m regularly asked to predict the context in which 2010 general election campaigns will be run. Of course, no one knows. It is impossible to predict the events and narratives that might arise | Read More »
It’s time to lead
This article was co-written by Chris Wilson and Daniel Narvaiz It will not be six months before the world tests Barack Obama like they did John Kennedy. The world is looking. – Joe Biden Six months into the Obama administration has arrived and with it the tests from rogue states. Iranian President Ahmadinejad made clear his desire to acquire nuclear weapons and become the dominant | Read More »
When do endorsements matter?
This article was co-authored by Chris Wilson and Alex Brunk Endorsements are a matter of some debate among most political operatives and pollsters. Conventional wisdom is that they don’t matter much. When they do matter, it’s because they run contrary to expectations. A Democratic Party official endorsing a Democratic candidate is not news. Colin Powell endorsing Barack Obama was the kind of “man bites dog” | Read More »