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Polls: Here Are The Actual Results Of 3 New State Polls

By: wonkish1 (Diary)  |  October 4th, 2011 at 12:50 PM  | 

RESIZE: AAA

North Carolina: Cain 27, Romney/Gingrich 17, Perry 15, Paul/Bachmann 6, Santorum/Huntsman 2

Nebraska: Cain 30, Gingrich 16, Romney 13, Bachmann/Perry 10, Paul 5, Santorum 4, Huntsman 2

West Virginia: Cain 24, Gingrich 18, Romney 16, Perry 15, Bachmann 8, Paul 6, Santorum 3, Huntsman

 

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2011/10/cainmentum.html#more

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  • highlander1754

    property to sell you in Arizona. PPP is a liberal slanted poll and of course wants Cain to do well. Basically to try and belittle Perry. Read it from me. There is no way in the world that Cain and Gingrich and Romney will carry NC or WV. Unless Perry self-destructs and is out of the primary he will win first win SC going away and then the rest of the South. Cain and Gingrich, and Romney, leading amoung republicans in NC. I needed a good laugh.

    • wonkish1

      PPP has actually had some of the best performance of any pollsters out there the last couple elections. I actually read the reports that analyze the pollsters after each cycle. Granted they made a name for themselves as a D internal outfit, but these days they want to be taken seriously and they do a pretty good job of it. I now have them in my top 5 for accuracy.

      And Cain is out polling Perry nationally so it isn’t hard to believe that he would be out polling him in these 3 states. Newt is on the rise as well.

      Plus I looked at the crosstabs and nothing appeared out of the ordinary.

      • onemovoter

        This race still is. As was many of the front runners back 4 or 5 months ago dramatically move, depending on how negative attacks on them are. Gingrich had a very negative rating after making misteps early on but has recovered. Cain has done the same as well. Cain lost a lot after his Muslim hiring issue.

        Most people still don’t know that much about these candidates as much as we do here at Redstate. We here are still learning about the candidates. It will change in the polls all the way up to January. It was that way in 2008.

        It all boils down to how well a candidate can frame their message through the media, instead of letting the media frame them.

        Both Cain and Trump had this problem and might still have it, in that the media will control their message. Can they learn in time? I don’t know, depends on who all they have working for them and their abilities. My guess is that as Cain rises in the polls he will start getting the anal exam that will make what the Paulinistas did early on look like child’s play.

        I’m finally figuring out what Perry is doing, which is smart, but frustrating to supporters wanting him to come out hard. It reminded me of my Basic Training for the Air Force. All I’m going to say for now is that timing is everything in politics. You’ll see what I mean in the next couple of months, leading into and through the holiday season.

        • wonkish1

          nt

        • intensity

          ….Perry gonna come out smacking in the next debate????

          I don’t know about the rest of you, but I still think Perry has a good chance of securing GOP nomination.

          Let me know….

          • californiagold

            There are about a half dozen debates still on the schedule. Perry needs to perform better, no doubt about it. But he also needs a little bit of luck, such as getting the republican field smaller. As long as there are other conservative candidates in the race like Gingrich, Bachmann and Cain, Perry will have trouble breaking away from the pack.

            In addition, polls show that he has been hurt by two key issues. Immigration, and social security. Perry can fix the social security problem, but he will have trouble regaining support from the right on the immigration issue. His best bet is to expose Romney as a flip flopper on immigration. Doing that will neutralize the issue for Perry.

        • avgjo

          I too am leaning towards the Texas Governor. I’m very curious what you mean with respect to the Air Force training.

          Fascinating…

        • windwaker24

          ‘cuz I don’t understand why Perry would enjoy senseless attacks on his character. He’s being attacked by both the right and the left and sinking in the polls FAST. It’s actually depressing me because it looks like Romney is going to be nominee and nobody is vetting him! Obama is not even attacking him which is making me more nervous about Romney being the nominee. I don’t understand how Perry saying and doing nothing helps him. Doesn’t that let others set the narrative about Perry instead of him telling us his own story?

          • gekster

            From what I’ve gleened about Perry is that he will let his opponents make fools of themselves, and then exspose them.
            He’s a good hunter and knows how to bait his prey.
            The race has just started.
            We arn’t even at the first mile marker yet.

          • windwaker24

            This is the first primary I’ve ever fully engaged in from start to finish, so I’m still learning what’s what. How you guys can calmly deal with all of this is beyond me! :)

    • http://908StraightSt.wordpress.com/ mbecker908

      PPP does an overall good job on their polling. When it comes to R v D, you need to pay attention to their internals, but overall, they’re better than almost everybody, especially if you look at their directional polls over time.

    • avgjo

      when they gave Scott Brown a fighting chance, when everyone else was saying he’d lose.

      (Don’t read this as an endorsement of Brown, please.)

      Of course, we all know what happened. Point is, in my recollection, they were the first to get wind of it. And results are everything in polling, right?

  • wonkish1

    Now granted they are just state polls in states that wont be by any means early.

    But these 3 states are quite dissimilar. Maybe not as dissimilar as lets say Oklahoma and Rhode Island, but still the populations in these 3 are pretty different.

    So if this starts showing up in national polls we might have a very interesting race ahead.

  • wonkish1

    From PPP

    “Gingrich’s net favorability is up 28 points in NC and 19 in WV compared to month ago. *More popular than Mitt/Perry now*”

  • highlander1754

    RINO Romney, OR Tarp Cain will not win the first Southern primary. Anyone that thinks they will will be surprised. Unless Perry decides to get out of the race on his own he will win every Southern primary starting with SC. No way in the world a Morman beats a Christian conservative in the South. Aint gonna happen. And Cain is nothing but Romney’s cheerleader. PPP is DEMOCRAT controlled polling firm and I guarantee they have Obama winning the state of NC. That also will never happen again. Mark it down.

  • Doc Holliday

    .

  • intensity

    ….highlander1754…thanks for your vote of confidence!

    Now, can I ask you, in your humble opinion, do you think Perry will win the nomination? Thanks.

    intensity

  • rightwingmom52

    Just like you did here?

    By the way, I’m in the South, and the Christians I know and love aren’t biased against Mormons or blacks. We happen not to support Romney because of his record, and we support Cain because of his.

  • snowshooze

    And I can only surmise rhat the Mor-Man is complementary to the Mor-Woman..
    For the life of me, I cannot remember which is the sub-terrainium parasite to the above ground herd/host.

  • Doc Holliday

    I am more into gunslingers and barmaids lol. I did watch two of the Lord of the Rings movies, and I read The Hobbit as a kid. Hey, comparative advantage is important, even here !