On Sunday, Jeff Charles outlined the efforts of the Sunrise Movement, the Justice Democrats, and others, to use the occasion of the 2020 Elections to place more AOC-style far-left Democrats in office. It’s a good bet that they will be reasonably successful at this. These groups appear to be both smart and selective about recruiting candidates, and about choosing the districts on which to focus their efforts. Charles notes the obvious rift this will cause in the Party, and says:
The victor will determine what the Democratic Party will become: A far-left party cascading towards the Marxism of Bernie Sanders, or a moderate party more closely resembling former President Barack Obama.
I think it’s the former, and this will cause a problem for the Republican Party in the short term because the Democratic Party is unlikely to split in two in time to save it as an institution. Instead, I think millions of Democratic voters looking for mainstream, Bill Clinton-style governance — as opposed to far-left “big structural change” — will simply start voting Republican. Ultimately, it will be the Republican Party, by then swollen with millions of center-left Democrats who had nowhere else to go, that splits in two. Those two parties, whatever they are called, will become America’s two major political parties while what remains of the Democratic Party “cascades toward Marxism,” as Charles put it. I figure it will take something like 15-20 years for this to all work itself out. But it will start soon… probably right after the next election when the next crop of “squad members” is introduced.