The cloture vote is underway in the Senate, this is the critical procedural step necessary to move to a floor vote tomorrow afternoon. Two of the “undecided” Republicans, Jeff Flake and Susan Collins, voted yes on cloture.

They can still backtrack and vote against the nomination tomorrow, but in light of Flake’s statement saying he will vote for Kavanaugh and Collins’s hint in that direction, it is unlikely. If they are yes tomorrow, we don’t really care what Murkowski does.

This is true. But it is equally possible that Murkowski’s no vote was a protest against the length of the just-ended investigation and that she will be a yes on Kavanaugh.

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