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Yves Smith Blames the Large Banks for the Foreclosure Mess

Pretty much everything Yves Smith says in this New York Times op-ed piece is true, although she elides a lot of details, probably to fit in the available space. (It’s not for lack of knowledge. She’s totally up on this situation and has been from nearly the beginning.) She doesn’t really tie all the threads together, though.

Mechanically, the problem is that many people who have initiated foreclosure proceedings don’t have a clear paperwork trail documenting their ownership of the mortgage note, and thus their standing to foreclose.

Lots of people (particularly on our side of the political aisle) say that this is all just a paperwork snafu, even if longstanding rules haven’t been followed and certain law firms seem to have made a systematic business out of forging documents for large banks.

This view holds that, regardless of the screwups, homeowners with mortgages still owe money to… someone, whoever that someone happens to be. (True.) And we ought to trust people who assert a right to foreclose. (Not necessarily.)

In the first place, I’m just not so willing to trust the large banks who now own most of the mortgage originators (like Countrywide) that created the problem. The banks should NOT receive Congressional relief (which Republicans might be inclined to give them) that would absolve them of the need to unambiguously prove their standing to foreclose in each individual case.

It’s not that I assume banks are malicious. It’s that I assume they’re negligent. The volume of foreclosures is now so far above the historical norm that just processing the paperwork has turned into a major bottleneck. And if you can cut corners to get there faster, why not cut corners? As long, of course, as some pesky judge doesn’t insist that your paperwork is all in order.

America’s TARP-supported banks are now as good as part of the government. As such they truly don’t have to care what’s good for their customers, only what’s good for their regulators. Just like government, they can and will do tremendous evil and injustice to individuals. Also like government, they tend not even to see this as a problem, except when it causes bad PR.

In sum, it’s NOT a good assumption that everything is clean and correct when a bank forecloses on someone without clearly documenting their right to do so.

I also don’t necessarily think it’s a good idea to streamline those required chains of paperwork, such as the serial notarized endorsements of a note as it makes its way from origination to the final investor. Doing this electronically isn’t necessarily a problem. Not doing it at all is the problem. We have to insist on proper electronic or paper documentation of each change of ownership. There’s too much potential for real abuse otherwise. If this means losing the assembly-line process of the past few years and getting back to the (more costly) model where your banker knows your situation personally, well, that may not be such a bad thing.

So Yves finishes up by claiming strongly that the paperwork problem is really, really bad. And I agree with her. But there’s an even bigger problem that needs to be emphasized.

The bigger problem is that we still have a huge mismatch between the value of mortgages that have been contracted, and the current value of the underlying properties. Authorities in two administrations have simply found it impossible to deal with this problem, and they’ve been at it for three years now.

The mismatches are going to have to recognized as losses by someone, somewhere. And there are only three classes of people that can do that: homeowners, banks/originators/investors, and taxpayers. The game for people in the first two groups is to shift the losses to one or both of the other groups. The game for taxpayers is to vainly exercise the only power they have, which is to vote for different representatives every couple of years.

To date, the game has been rigged in favor of the originating banks and funding entities like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. It’s been rigged against homeowners, taxpayers, and the economy as a whole, as the failure to resolve the mortgage bubble continues to inhibit productive investment and job creation.

Yves suggests an idea that has been around for a long time: come up with a legal framework that allows judges who adjudicate foreclosures and bankruptcies to impose a reduction in the principal amount of the loan. This idea transfers value from banks to homeowners, so at least it takes a clear point of view on who has to take the pain. (One attractive wrinkle is to cede any future equity appreciation from the homeowner to the bank, in effect making the homeowner more like a renter.)

There is a constitutional problem with this idea: it violates the sanctity of private contracts. But Barack Obama has already proved that this is of no concern to him, for example by his actions in the Chrysler takeover.

Another problem is practical: how do you make a law that gives judges broad discretion to rewrite contract terms, in support of what is actually a social goal not of direct interest to the contracting parties? And how do you deal with the unintended consequences? In the worst case, whenever two parties sign on the dotted line, the government will be there as an implicit third party with broad but unspecified rights.

Overall, though, this could end up being a workable approach. Especially since there is a safety valve: TARP. Banks that are forced to write down mortgages to avoid foreclosures will have a clearly justifiable claim on taxpayer money to keep them out of bankruptcy.

And Yves’ final point is completely right: this is pain that is going to hurt the economy. There simply is no choice. Whoever ends up taking losses is just going to have less power to consume. To me, the sooner we resolve this mess, the better.

One more point: this whole foreclosure mess is emboldening a very interesting class of people, namely investors in mortgage-backed securities. These people have been feeling burned since the crash, but they’re all qualified investors who have no good answer when you say “Well, you should have known better.”

So now some of these people are trying to “put” their investments back to their issuers, on the grounds that they’re fraudulent. This isn’t because of the paperwork snafus per se. It’s because the investments were represented as secured, meaning that under distress, the investor would have an unencumbered right to take possession of the loan collateral, namely the house. The paperwork problems mean that the security rights of the investors are clouded at best, ergo they claim that they paid for something they didn’t receive.

If someone brought that case to me, I’d first want to know how owning one one-thousandth of a mortgage in a subordinated tranche of some over-the-counter security conveys a practical right to foreclose in the first place. Does each one-thousandth holder have the power to exercise the security rights of the other 999/1000ths?

But forget about that. These cases will go forward, partly because of who’s making the claims. One of the claimants is the New York Fed.

Yes, that’s right. The New York Fed is seeking the right to put mortgage-backed assets back to their issuers, by way of discharging their fiduciary duty to the taxpayers.

Why? Because of Bear Stearns. Remember how the Fed set up the first Maiden Lane entity to buy $30 billion of mostly mortgage-backed paper from Bear that Jamie Dimon didn’t want because he had no way to value it? Now that the Fed are showing large losses on that stuff (big surprise), they’re trying to make it someone else’s problem.

COMMENTS

  • georgeinla

    So, the government forces the banks to essentially gift money to underwater homeowners (presuming they have some way of determining which ones and how much), and then those banks have a “legitimate” right to have the taxpayers make them whole on the losses?

    If the banks don’t have the paperwork in order, then fine, they take that loss. Along with the investors. If the homeowners can’t or don’t want to make the payments, then they need to get out of the house.

    If the taxpayers must do “something” in order to help get the economy rolling again, my suggestion would be to make loans directly to some particularly sympathetic homeowners, backed by a lien on the property, for the marginal difference between what they can afford and what they owe in monthly payments for up to two years.

    The homeowners would have two years to either sell, refinance, get a new job, reduce expenses or get some roommates. If they still can’t make the payments at the end of the two years, the loan includes a fast-track foreclosure process, and they’re out.

    But willy-nilly just giving away taxpayer money to homeowners and banks? Please, no more of that. Enough already.

    • Death_of_the_Donkey

      it is beginning to appear that they may be in the best interests of everyone (even the banks). I would rather have my neighbor’s loan modified (even by a judge) so that they can stay in the house (obviously all within reason ie current interest rates/value), that have them get foreclosed on and watch the property go into neglect and bring down my property value even more. The banks (even if they don’t want to admit it) are far better off with a cramdown and a paying customer than a foreclosure. In the end, this would likely be the fastest and best approach for the macro economy.

      • Raven

        to figure that out. I don’t want the government to be an unsigned member of every contract I participate in. They’re enough of a pain when they DO sign.

    • Francis Cianfrocca

      In the case of banks that take forced principal reductions, I said they have a clearly justifiable claim on taxpayer funds to keep them from becoming undercapitalized as a result of loss recognition.

      I worded that carefully to avoid saying that banks have a right to expect taxpayer assistance, although that indeed has been the default course of action for nearly three years now. By “clearly justifiable” I meant that, in their shoes, you and I would readily come up with the argument that they should be compensated for the loss on Fifth Amendment grounds.

      The real question is not whether the compensation is justifiable, but whether it’s justified: should we do it or not? And that’s a question that Congress has to answer. (Which means you already know the answer, and it’s not the right answer.)

      • http://www.scragged.com petrarch

        Wouldn’t a judge-ordered “cramdown”, by definition, be a “taking” which is unconstitutional without compensation?

        • Jeff Weimer
          • http://www.scragged.com petrarch

            That would mean it wouldn’t be Congress answering this question necessarily, but the Supreme Court, when the crammed-down bank sues under the “takings” clause.

  • Death_of_the_Donkey

    This is one of the biggest (and dumbest) subsidies we have and it helped grow the bubble (“hey, don’t worry about that 9% interest rate, you can deduct it”). While I personally do not believe the government should be subsidizing home ownership at all, the mortgage interest tax deduction doesn’t even subsidize home ownership, it subsidizes big mortgages (and/or high interest rate ones). My tax dollars should not have to subsidize someone who bought a $500,000 home with 10% down, when I lived more within my means and put 20% down on a 150,000 house.

    • http://www.campaignfreedom.org seandparnell

      Between the mortgage interest deduction, and exclusion of capital gains from home sales, and Fannie & Freddie’s willingness to buy just about any mortgage out there regardless of the underlying risk, a housing bubble was practically a certainty.

      Oh, and of course you’d need to lower tax rates overall to compensate for the end of these disastrous deductions and exclusions.

  • http://908StraightSt.wordpress.com/ mbecker908

    But first, it’s good to see you Francis!!

    First, if we go with the BK theme, does the BK judge grant clear title to the note to the lender, because there’s a good chance the borrower will again default.

    The BK theme will have an additional effect. It will immediately drop real estate prices in every big market. Since BK records are public records, any buyer with a IQ slightly higher than the landscaping in the house they are thinking about buying will demand that the appraisal take into account the value of those reduced loans.

    Right now, in major markets, the value of property is still inflated by at least 25%. If bankruptcy courts start setting significantly lower values on houses, that number will probably jump to 40%. The problem is shadow inventory – property on the banks’ REO inventory that isn’t listed for sale. Combine that with loans that are over 120 days in default and you’ve got a shadow inventory that’s at least four times the current MLS listings.

    Combine the inventory problem with the fact that mortgages are at unsustainably low levels which will drive prices down as rates rise and you’ve got the second nail for this cross. The bottom line is that people buy real estate just like they buy a car – “what’s the monthly payment”. Rates go up, prices go down like a rock.

    The next problem with falling prices – especially when the BK courts are involved – a huge chunk of potential buyers are taken out of the market. The fact that you now have to be able to document your income and liquid assets in order to get a mortgage has reduced the pool of potential buyers by probably one-third without regard to house prices. Drop the prices and all of a sudden a whole bunch of people who weren’t underwater are now. And the cycle starts all over. The last number I saw indicated that about 30% of borrowers are underwater. Accelerate the price drop and you can bump that to about 50%.

    IMO, the only way to work out of this and not set ourselves up for a quick rerun is to stop bailing out homeowners AND banks. Let the courts sort out a sensible solution to the chain-of-title problem and let the banks take the property. Let the market work out the nightmare because we’ve already proved that the Congress isn’t smart enough to figure it out.

    • Death_of_the_Donkey

      already reflect the state of affairs, and/or that the cramdown would be to a value less than the current “going rate” in the neighborhood. What I would want to see are for values to reflect current (non-foreclosure if possible) sales and that these cramdowns are only made for those borrowers that would otherwise be able to make payments on the new mortgage/interest (ie no income, no cramdown). But, I think all of this has to be done after we quit subsidizing mortgages in the first place.

      • deano64

        get involved the longer it’s going to take to get through this down market. Let the free market determine what happens. The quicker we get through all the foreclosures the quicker the market recovers. Gov. involvement just prolongs the inevitable.

      • http://908StraightSt.wordpress.com/ mbecker908

        And when I say “prices” I’m talking about the asking prices on MLS. That’s why, if you look at underlying sales volume, you’ll find a couple of things.

        One, housing is currently being propped up by interest rates, see above.

        Two, for purchases going through right now, a good percentage are being bought by investors right out of REO, or with seriously negotiated discounts off MLS. The non-owner-occupied house percentage of the market in Phoenix prior to the last bubble was about 12%. During the run up it jumped to about 30% and it’s now up to 40%. The difference between the 30 & 40 is significant though, because the 30 was primarily unsophisticated investors with very limited capital reserves who got sold a bill of goods by a realtor who paid a premium. The 40 are primarily sophisticated investment groups who are paying mostly cash at VERY significant discounts.

        In major housing markets the sales driving “value” are the foreclosure sales and to a lesser extent, short sales. Those have to be taken into consideration when the appraisal is done.

        If you want to eliminate the mortgage interest deduction (and I agree with you) that will drop the value of housing stock even more.

        There ain’t no easy or pretty way out of this mess.

        • Death_of_the_Donkey

          I was talking about sales, not MLS list prices and sales prices should have some amount of foreclosure sales/short sales built into them already (at least if the buyer has done any homework). I would also limit all of this to those current on payments with a likelihood to continue to stay current. Essentially what you would be going more for is getting people a 4.5% 30-year fixed rate instead of say the 6+% rates they are at now because being underwater doesn’t let them refi.

          As to the mortgage deduction elimination hurting prices, my guess is that it mostly hurts prices on the high end as opposed to across the board, but even if it is going hurt prices it still needs to go.

          • http://908StraightSt.wordpress.com/ mbecker908

            most of the effect built in because historical sales drive the appraisal value. The problem is that that value doesn’t take into consideration the long term oversupply or the reduction in the number of potential buyers who can’t qualify.

            With respect to the mortgage deduction elimination, it will likely hurt the low end more than the high end (as will increasing rates) because the low end typically has buyers with limited cash reserves, credit on the margin and they are absolutely buying a house based on the monthly payment and they look at that as “net”, including the tax they are avoiding. Low end buyers are almost always on the edge.

  • Read Chesterton

    The “Zimbabwe” option.

    Somebody tell me that this freaking administration full of radical revolutionaries hasn’t contemplated such a redistribution scheme.

    • http://www.scragged.com petrarch

      I tend to doubt that the new Republican Congress would authorize money for this, and without compensation, the government cannot just confiscate houses.

      • Common_Cents
      • Read Chesterton

        The money’s aleady there. Its called TARP.

        Making renders out of the foreclosed buyers as the article speculates accomplishes government takeover of the houses and the anointing of an entire new category of public housing that didn’t exist before. Remember the videos of the ACORN thugs taking bolt cutters to the locks of repossesed homes in 2009? That would become legal a la Zimbabwe. Not far fetched at all.

  • http://www.practicalstate.com Bloggy Bayou

    First: Truth in Advertising: I know Karl personally and we live in the same neck of the woods.

    That said, Karl has been writing about the Mess MBS and the Banks have made since I met him. There were crimes committed here and unless we, as a people, start holding some very rich and very important people criminally liable for a lot of fraud (this was NOT a book keeping error), then this thing is going to be resolved quickly.

    from Karl’s Blog “The Market Ticker”

    http://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?post=170841

    Cheers

  • Raven

    And still default?
    Wasn’t it said several times this summer that the number was over 50%?

    I don’t think the cramdown option is viable.

  • unsk

    First off, as Bloggy Bayou points out, Karl Denninger at Market Ticker has written many post on this subject that are very informative.
    Based upon what I’ve read at The Market Ticker and zerohedge, this is not close to a being a case of bad paperwork.

    First, the foreclosuregate mess starts with the Big Banks along the Fannie and Freddie forming MERS. MERS was an end run around the recordation process. MERS only became acceptable commercially because Moody’s apparently accepted it. I’ve haven’t seen any legal justification for it. The MERS process failed to properly record the mortgage tranfers and convey title. The banks broke the chain of title with their actions. The promissory note was not conveyed properly to the eventual buyer of the MBS. Unless
    you hold the promissory not,e in some way you can’t foreclose.

    This problem, because of IRS regs of the REMIC trusts in which MBS is normally held the broken chain of title problem, cannot be resolved years after the fact.

    There are multiple associated problems with the way the banks handled these mortgages. Just to name a few: Legally required government recordation fees weren’t paid. Land contract legal requirements for wet signatures on written documents designating both the seller and buyer weren’t followed. By some government studies, 28% of MBS mortgages didn’t meet underwriting standards they were represented to meet.

    The Banks did this knowingly. This is fraud. BIg time. MBS investors were defrauded to the tune in excess of a trillion dollars.

    Now it appears as a result, most if not all recent MBS related mortgages have a contract defect that doesn’t allow for legal foreclosure. Some people think that somehow the Banks should be given a free pass, and the government should remedy the situation. Not so fast. Remember the sanctity of contracts. If the powers that be want the homeowners to give up their legal position that would allow them to avoid foreclosure, the homeowners are going to have to get something for it. The homeowners did not cause this problem. The Banks did, and so the Banks are going to have to pay. This is not a takings issue; the Banks have no fifth amendment right to be remedied in a fraud that they created.

    Republicans are going to have to wake up to the fact that the Big Banks are largely responsible for this mortgage mess and are a big cause for our current depression. That is not to say that the Democrats, the Clinton Admin, the Boston Fed, Fannie and Freddie didn’t have a big hand in it too.

  • http://pocketchangeproductions.net/ anotherindyfilmguy

    Mortgage Companies are “forced” to take out loans… since they are “high risk” loans they can be high interest that almost insures at some point problems with repayment.

    The law (federal) allows all expenses for the loan (and all debt from it) being foreclosed to be paid in full by the fed IF the loan is federally insured…

    Mortgage companies upgrade their loans to federally insured through self certification of those loans…

    Almost all of the laws of the court (local – varies by state) involved make it next to impossible to fight a foreclosure once it is started for someone who can’t afford a lawyer and had problems with an overpriced mortgage.

    Mortgage companies get paid off in full for ALL debts related to the foreclosure and the full loan value plus any interest owed at the time of foreclosure. Mortgage companies can then reinvest that money into another “risky loan” at high interest and rinse and repeat keeping their money at a high interest rate of return…

    If the mortgage company somehow loses in court or by the feds catching them doing something wrong then they are still paid off by their insurance under errors and omissions coverage etc…

    The longer a loan is paid on the less money the mortgage company makes from the investment.

    If the mortgage company does not foreclose they lose money over the long run as the interest ratio in the payment declines.

    The mortgage company has zero risk from and lots to gain from foreclosing.

    So tell me what incentive does a mortgage company have to NOT foreclose?

  • Michael Dugas

    but it’s the governments legislating mortgages by requiring loans to previously unqualified applicants. They created the environment for this and then nurtured it as politicians responsible for over-site took huge dollars in the form of campaign contributions from those they were supposed to be watching. And might I add when ever anyone
    suggested there might be a problem down the road those same donation taking politicians responsible for over-site where the first to stand up and say you were nuts and everything was just fine.

  • mikerazar

    Bottom line is that the solution to bad contracts is good contracts. The idea that investment banks and attorneys took billions in fees, only to prepare sloppy documents is beyond offensive. It is a monumental breech of fiduciary responsibility. Any error in paperwork should void the deed of trust or its ownership. Any investor caught in this web should get help from the ever-popular plaintiff bar.

  • asleep06

    But I do tend towards Karl Denninger’s position as well. Banks in their lust for profits cut corners that turned out to be more than just corners. They broke inconvenient state laws concerning documentation transfers, took advantage of fools they knew would not likely be able to pay their mortgages and loaned to them anyway because they could re-package and sell the mortgages to MBS investors, misled investors as to what they were buying (whether the misleading is criminally liable will be determined in court) and tried to cover it all up with fraudulent documentation.

    They need to be held accountable in court; we can’t allow it to continue to be profitable to break the law just for “the greater good” while the greater good is being harmed.