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Higher Taxes Looming in Lame Duck

The greatest threat to conservatives in the Lame Duck Congress is a tax increase.  The President’s National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform is expected to issue a report on December 1st.  Conservatives should be very worried that this commission will advocate tax increases as a means to balance the budget.

There is also a plan to decouple the Bush Tax cuts to make it easier for tax cuts for job creators to expire in a few years.  If the Obama Administration does not back away from the original plan to preserve lower taxes on those earning under $250K a year and allow taxes to increase on higher earners, there may be a stalemate.  Stalemate equals increased taxes on all Americans.

The President’s Commission has been very secretive and has not allowed details of any proposed plans to leak to the press.  Conservatives worry that they have been very secretive, because they didn’t want planned new tax increases to leak out to the American people before the election.  Two Senators waited until just after the election to request that the Commission adopt a radically increased gas tax. 

The Hill reports:

Sens. Tom Carper (D-Del.) and George Voinovich (R-Ohio) have written to the chairmen of the National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform advocating for a 25-cent per gallon tax increase.  “We suggest that the commission include an increase in the federal tax on gasoline and diesel as part of your report to the president,” they wrote. “We suggest that the taxes be increased by one cent per month for 25 months — a total of 25 cents over a three-year period.”

The current federal gas tax is at 18.4 cents per gallon.  The Carper-Voinovich plan would increase the gas tax by one cent every month for the next 25 months.  The Hill reports that this “the tax increase, when fully implemented, would cost drivers on average $156 a year, or $13 extra per month.”  Adding a new tax burden on the already overtaxed American public is a big mistake.

As the President’s Commission weighs new tax increases, a debate over whether to allow the 2001/2003 tax cuts expire on January 1, 2011 seems to have hit a road block.  The Obama Administration has a new plan to squash all of the Bush Tax cuts with the exception of those for middle income earners by splitting the issue into two parts.  Curtis Dubay of The Heritage Foundation explains new tax plan as follows:

Their new plan, according to Politico, is to raise the threshold of what is “rich” from $250,000 of annual income for a family to $500,000 or $1 million. The second stage of the plan is to permanently separate the middle-income tax cuts from the tax cuts for the rich. They would do this by permanently extending the tax cuts for middle-income taxpayers and only temporarily extending them for the rich.

This would be an attempt to decouple the issues, so that the President could veto any efforts by Congress to preserve current tax rates on job creators without impacting the Obama favored tax brackets.  This is a trap that liberals are setting to make sure they get rid of tax cuts for higher earners in a year or two.

As so many conservatives have pointed out, this federal government does not have a revenue problem, it has a spending problem.  New tax increases and allowing the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts to expire would run contrary to the will of the American people.  The American people voted to keep taxes low, to cut federal spending and to repeal ObamaCare — when will Washington listen.

COMMENTS

  • jeffreywturner

    Letting all of the tax rates return to their pre-2001 levels is only the second worst thing that the GOP can allow to happen in the lame-duck session.

    The worst thing would be to allow the bottom rates to be decoupled from the top rate, because that would ensure that the top rate NEVER gets lowered.

    I think the GOP’s best bet is to push for a 1 year extension only, for all rates. Then, pass a permanent extension in the house near the end of 2011 and put the onus on the Democrats to make them all permanent, or raise taxes on 1/1/2012 for ALL workers, 10 months before a Presidential election.

    • thurman

      After he got murdered in public opinion with his constant class warfare rhetoric, the latest idea to “decouple” the tax breaks is pretty frightening

      I’ve been encouraged by Boehner’s and Cantor’s seeming resolve so far not to take the bait

      I think they know they have the upper hand now and can even wait it out until the new congress in Jan and then pass it

      I wouldn’t be surprised to see a “coupled” 2 year extension of all Bush rates, puntint it to the next election cycle

      I think that Commision report will be DOA– even though they stacked the deck with RINOs I think they will still have a stalemate, plus the Dems are so weakend they won’t dare try to pass any taxes in the lame duck

      • jeffreywturner

        If the GOP is smart they will insist on a 1 year extension only. This will put them in the position to pass a permanent extension when they are in charge and right before a Presidential election.

        But whatever the case, the key is just to not let the tax cuts be decoupled from one another.

  • crosley

    Looking purely through a political lens, if everyone’s taxes go up, it will be REALLY GOOD for the GOP and REALLY BAD for Obama in 2012. I think it’s almost certain Obama becomes a one term President if he “raises” taxes after his promise not to on families making under $250k. It will be his “Read My Lips” moment.

    The worst move Republicans could make is letting Obama out of this trap. I say either make the tax cuts permanent, or walk. No short term extension or decoupling.

    If Obama calls our bluff, his chances of reelection go down substantially.

    Personally, I’m willing to pay higher taxes for a short period of time because I’m fully aware that Obama will raise taxes through the roof if he’s reelected.

  • GreyCloak

    Congress (even Republicans) have a never-ending need for more of The People’s money. It allows them to dole it back out to “preferred people,” whoever THEY are (e.g.: the unemployed [Democrats], or Wall Street [Republicans]).

    It’s a toss-up: the “lower” class has votes for re-election; the “upper” class has money for re-election.

    The current Congress has nothing to lose (they’ve already lost it). Obama can reasonably expect that everybody will forget stuff by the next election, and the expiration of “Bush Tax Cuts” is ONE thing that can still be blamed on the previous President (and Republican Congress), even two years hence. The date was set.

    Doing NOTHING is what Congress is really good at. Politicians (incumbent and newly-elected but not yet seated) will talk all they want about “extension” or “compromise” … but doing nothing is what they are good at and able to do … we can all look forward to higher taxes.

    NOTE: I thought “taxing the rich” was not a bad idea when President Ronald Reagan (R) proposed it in 1986 … I was making ~$35,000/year … with my next 1040, I found out that I was RICH!

    BIGGER NOTE: Presidents don’t raise taxes … THE HOUSE is solely empowered to do so under The Constitution.

    Article I, Section 7.

    All Bills for raising Revenue shall originate in the House of Representatives; but the Senate may propose or concur with Amendments as on other Bills.

    NEXT year, Republicans may control taxes. THIS year, it ain’t happenin’.

    I might also note that Federal revenues (i.e., tax receipts) have increased almost every year since our founding: throughout Clinton, and throughout Bush (except 2002).

  • Adjoran

    It is no time to raise taxes in this fragile economy.

    Taxes will have to be raised, though. The deficits are such, and the accumulated debt so high, that there is just no way to grow our way out of them. Remember the deficits from the ’80s and ’90s which growth was eventually able to reduce were far lower than the current levels.

    The stimulative effect of tax cuts keeps diminishing as the top marginal rates have fallen from previous cuts.

    The best hope for economic stimulus is simplifying the tax code and cutting regulations. That would help a lot. But the bill for the deficits must be paid somehow, and the FRB strategy of weakening the dollar and exciting inflation is a guaranteed loser.

    • http://908StraightSt.wordpress.com/ mbecker908

      The federal government will have to be permanently downsized. As in shut down the following for starters:

      • The US Department of Education.
      • Most of the US Department of Agriculture.
      • The Department of Commerce.
      • Most of the Department of Energy.
      • The EPA.
      • We will have to take a hard look at the Pentagon budget, specifically closing military installations in the US.
      • Taking an axe to the pay levels in the Federal payroll system.
      • Decoupling benefits from payroll – federal employees will have to pay for most of their benefits and retirement.

      Note: That is for starters. Round 1.1 would be privatization of both Social Security and Medicare along the Paul Ryan model.

      Round 1.2 takes the Federal Government out of all welfare type income transfer mechanisms. See SCHIP for starters.

      Taxes need to be reduced, especially corporate taxes, which in reality should be eliminated in order to enhance our worldwide competitive position.

      • izoneguy

        H/T Ace of Spades
        ANY WONDER WHY CALIF. IS GOING BROKE?
        http://maggiesfarm.anotherdotcom.com/archives/15764-California-state-agencies.html

        Now I imagine the Federal Government has 100 more agencies than California does….

        There is plenty we can cut.

        Let’s start with the Corporation for Public Broadcasting.

  • http://impudent.edublogs.org/ kyle8

    If you are going to give a tax cut, make it permanent. This is yet another indictment of the short sighted Republicans who had control of the congress several years ago.

    It would have been better if they had settled on a slightly smaller tax cut but left out the expiration date. Then the Democrats would have been forced to come up with their own actual tax increase.

    • http://www.flaliberty.org scorpio0679

      When they cut the tax rates almost ten years ago, to avoid a filibuster they had to do it through a budgetary maneuver similar to reconciliation. Because of that, any deficit-increasing item would require a sunset provision. They had no choice because they didn’t have 60 votes in the senate.

      On another note . . .

      This is a trap that liberals are setting to make sure they get rid of tax cuts for higher earners in a year or two.

      Can we all agree not to fall for the Left’s language traps? They aren’t trying to get rid of tax cuts for high earners. They are trying to increase taxes on job creaters.