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Romney closes the gender gap

A new ABC News/Washington Post poll finds that in the last month Romney has closed his so-called gender gap from 19 to 7 percent. Last month Obama led among women 57 to 38 percent. Now that lead is down to 51 to 44 percent.

The new poll found voters would be split 49 percent for Obama and 46 percent for Romney if the November election were held now, but with regard to whom they prefer on handling the economy, Romney and Obama are tied at 47 percent. That is a 4 percent gain for Romney from last month’s Post poll.

Romney’s improvement comes despite the skewed sample. The ABC News/Washington Post poll used a sample of 32 percent Democrats, 22 percent Republicans, and 38 percent Independents. Based upon exit polling, the  2008 electorate was 39 percent Democrat, 32 percent Republican, and 29 percent Independent. In 2010, it was 35 percent Democrat, 35 percent Republican, and 29 percent Independent.

The poll also found that  52 percent of all Americans identify the economy as the one concern that will decide their presidential vote. No other issue received more than single digits. Like Romney says the presidential campaign is “still about the economy…and we’re not stupid.”

There were two other interesting findings from the new poll:

Neither of those findings are good news for Obama.

COMMENTS

  • spinoneone

    fun can be had this morning over at PJMedia. Stephen Green has four scenarios up which range from 0 wins to R wins to a tie!

    http://pjmedia.com/vodkapundit/2012/05/23/wargaming-the-electoral-college-32/

    All I can say is that it is a long way yet to November.

  • Tbone

    so Obama doesn’t look as bad as it is getting. Adjust the poll to 2010 voter splits at Obama would be 10 points behind.

    The Media can only spray Fabreze on Barry the Dead Bass for so long.

  • gwalt

    If you recall, I think it was John Meacham in 2004 who said that the media bias represented a 15% skew in favor of Kerry.
    With all these breathless polls comparing Bush’s, Clinton’s and Bush HWs,
    we need to be reminded what we are up against when looking at Obamas poll numbers
    The media was 95% against GWB and certainly against Reagan in that high a number.
    The media are FOR Obama by 95%.
    My guess, and I am not a statistician, but if you just look at the skewed polls and how the media skews as well, Obama is in the high 20′s. He keeps losing ground each week. At this rate, he will drop out by July. Just a guess.

    • checkmate2012

      as I’ve thought the same thing. Some terrrible health problem usually occurs in these instances thus Hillary will get to run to save the Dem party! Seriously tho’, O is such a narcissist that one idea is he’s too vain to drop out but the other side is he’s too vain to lose. The devil is in the details…his head.

    • cactusjack

      magazine is on record in 2004 saying they calculated the media’s support of Kerry was worth 5 percentage points to Kerry in the upcoming 2004 election. To me, that was the watershed moment when the lib media just came out and admitted what everybody knew, that they were in the tank for the Liberal Progressives.
      I dont know what was more chilling about his statement, the “support” part or the “we calculate” part. BTW he was probably right, the 2004 Bush Kerry election should not have been as close as it was, all other things being equal. Media wise, in this era, as we know, the “things” are never “equal” if the Lib Media can help it.

    • gbabyexcatholic

      Ever dropped out of the presidential race after seeking a 2nd term? You must be a little misinformed to truly suggest that barack is dropping out in 2 months. He is the democratic nominee for president de facto of his current incumbent status.

  • lerm

    They’ve seen the moving vans and the 4-sale signs in their neighborhoods and they all share the same feeling. They don’t want that to happen to them.

    What’s the President’s gender gap with men ?

    Oops.

  • toothpick

    Obama is struggling to win unopposed primaries in his own party. My gut tells me these polls are overstating support for Obama.

    Perhaps there are people who still feel good telling a pollster they would vote for Obama but in the privacy of the voting booth will pull the lever for just about anyone else.

  • lineholder

    Just in daily conversations with people…we still have a lot of folks who take the numbers being presented in polls at face value rather than looking at the underlying details of the demographics included in the polls and evaluating to what extent the poll may or may not be valid (i.e. to what extent it is skewed)

    I’m still in the learning curve about this myself, but it is something that I’ve started paying more attention to and trying to encourage other people to do the same.

    Having it explained helps a great deal.

  • greyeagle

    I think Obama is in real trouble. Look at the Arkansas primary and they are Democrat, but nearly half voted against Obama. When the regular media runs a poll, I know it will be skewed to make Obama look much better than he is. Republican women are more concerned about jobs and the economy more than other issues, and certainly not the faux war on women trumpeted about by Pelosi and her ilk.

  • checkmate2012

    Now this poll plus the gender gap closing in this post are good signs! The article cautions that the +2 margin with Rubio is within the MOE.

    An excerpt from the Miami Herald:
    “Mitt Romney has crept to a 6-percentage point lead over President Barack Obama in Florida, where a new poll shows a majority of registered voters don?t think the incumbent deserves a second term.

    Romney?s 47 percent to 41 percent lead over Obama would grow even bigger ? to an 8 percentage-point advantage ? if the challenger chose Sen. Marco Rubio a running mate, according to Quinnipiac University?s new survey released Wednesday.

    The seemingly small 2-point advantage with Rubio could be huge in must-win Florida, which Obama won by just 2.8 percentage points in 2008. The last three presidential elections ? including the 2000 elections decided by 537 votes ? have been won by an average spread of 2.6 percentage points.”

    Read more here: http://www.miamiherald.com/2012/05/23/2813473/florida-poll-shows-mitt-romney.html#storylink=cpy”

  • ihateliberals

    “The danger to America is not Barack Obama, but a citizenry capable of entrusting a man like him with the Presidency. It will be far easier to limit and undo the follies of an Obama presidency than to restore the necessary common sense and good judgment to a depraved electorate willing to have such a man for their president. The problem is much deeper and far more serious than Mr. Obama, who is a mere symptom of what ails America . Blaming the prince of the fools should not blind anyone to the vast confederacy of fools that made him their prince. The Republic can survive a Barack Obama, who is, after all, merely a fool. It is less likely to survive a multitude of fools, such as those who made him their president.” (Source: Prague newspaper Prager Zeitungon)