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Romney extends lead among Independents to 14 percent

In the new ABC News/Washington Post poll, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney extends his lead among Independents to 14 points, 53-39 percent. Two months ago, a  POLITICO/George Washington University Battleground poll found Romney had a ten-point lead among the critical Independent voters.

The mainstream media is touting the poll as showing the race is “dead even” — a 47-47 percent Obama-Romney contest among registered voters. Yet the new poll contains many more warning signs for the Obamacrats.

Obama’s overall job rating is 47-49 percent, approve-disapprove (the same as in May). But his approvals are majority negative on:

  1. The Economy, 44-54 percent;
  2. Health Care, 41-52 percent (a numerical low in approval, with no bump from last month’s Supreme Court ruling); and
  3. Immigration, 38-52 percent (also bumpless despite Obama’s halting enforcement against certain illegal aliens, who arrived as minors) via executive fiat.

Sixty-three percent say the country’s headed in the wrong direction. This is hard to dispute in light of the very disappointing May and June unemployment reports and the 41 straight months of unemployment above 8 percent during the Obama presidency.

Obama’s biggest shortfall is on the deficit where he trails Romney by 25-70 percent. It’s not hard to see why. As of July 6, 2012, the national debt was $15,879,528,608,975.11 ($15.9 trillion). It was $10,626,877,048,913.08 ($10.6 trillion) when Obama became president. That’s a $5.3 trillion, or 50 percent, increase in less than four years. On July 3, 2008, Presidential candidate Obama said that adding $4 trillion in debt was “irresponsible” and “unpatriotic.” President-elect Obama warned us when he predicted “trillion-dollar deficits for years to come.” And President Obama promised to cut the deficit in half by the end of his term not once but at least five times.

The new poll also offers additional evidence that Obama’s continuing and misleading attacks against Romney’s private sector experience at Bain Capital has not hurt Romney. The poll found  an even split on whether his Bain Capital background is a major reason to support or oppose him (23-24 percent), with 50 percent saying it makes no difference.

And all these favorable findings for Romney come from another poll skewed toward Democrat results. The new poll used a sample of  33 percent Democrats, 24 percent Republicans and 36 percent Independents. As we have mentioned before, based upon exit polling, the 2008 electorate was 39 percent Democrat, 32 percent Republican, and 29 percent Independent. In 2010, it was 35 percent Democrat, 35 percent Republican, and 29 percent Independent.

The new ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted  July 5-8, 2012 and has a margin of sampling error of 4 percent for the full sample and registered voters.

COMMENTS

  • commonsenseobserver

    And the RNC is starting to respond to Obama’s lies.

    I’m looking forward to watching Tampa, and then, of course, the circus at Charlotte. And then, a couple of months before Election Day.

    Four more months!

    • dyarbrough

      the violent protests that are going to surround both conventions. Chicago 1968 is going to look tame by comparison.

      I live in Charlotte and I’m frankly scared of the chaos brought about by the human garbage that Occupy will import, facilitated by the support of Trumka, Hoffa, Stern, and their ilk busing in their bleating sheep. I’m 800 miles from Tampa but I’m no less fearful for them.

  • Tbone

    is climbing the stairs and they pass each other at the 5th floor and the MSM calls it a dead heat.

    Gotta love ‘em.

    • westcoastpatriette

      heeheehee

    • CincoSolas_del_Bronx

      they’ll have found a way to insinuate that R threw O off the roof prior to cunningly reappear on the 5th floor.

  • hotflash50

    think we look at the breakdown of polls? What I find so aggravating is that the Democrats and the MSM think we are too stupid to see through their slanted polls and biased reporting. November 6th can’t come soon enough.

  • APA Guy

    33-24 Democrat-to-Republican sampling…RIIIIGGHT.

    If this poll would have been sampled correctly at 35-35-29 per 2010 election demographics, Romney would be leading this poll by about 6-7 points.

    But by all means, allow Dems to THINK Obama is right there. When it turns out that Romney is actually leading by 5+ points and undecided voters break 9 to 1 for the challenger (as is nearly always the case), Obama will get waxed in a landslide.

    • ctredstater

      This one is just fine by me. I will feel much better when Governor Romney tightens his language with some core conservative talk. It is not that hard to say.

      The issue against Obama is not because he ‘doesn’t have any ideas’ to get the economy moving, something Romney says repeatedly. Quite to the contrary. He has all kinds of ideas.

      It is that his ideas, and the radical redistributionist ideology that they spring from,, has failed every time it has been tried and has brought the country to the brink of Greece.

      Romney sounds much better when he talks about the election as a choice between “European Socialism” and “American Free Enterprise.” This is just not that hard.

      Cut spending. Cut taxes. Cut regulations. Turn entrepreneurs loose. Reform entitlements along the Ryan plan.

      I am beginning to root for Ryan as VP – because it would force Romney to articulate a clear long-term vision that extends beyond his first couple weeks in office – to getting America back to its roots.

    • dyarbrough

      He will declare that Congress is in recess (in the middle of a speech by Boehner), recess-appoint Beverly Perdue as chairman of the Federal Elections Commission, and suspend the election.

      • wintermute
    • wintermute

      Im having trouble finding sources.

      • earlgrey

        Can count on that turnout with Obama on ballot.

      • earlgrey

        This morning as they were talking about Reuters poll

    • mikeymike143

      and obama is the closest president to jimmy carter policywise.

      • blooch

        Occupy is all over it, and I’ve seen nothing in the conservative blogosphere indicating the GOP is aware of the political implications. It’s not in the MSM much yet, because they’re simple folk and haven’t been told what to say and when to say it. Not effective to drive-by too early.

        I predict Obama either rides this financial scandal into “close enough to cheat” territory, or he ekes out a win. It will have bad down-ticket effects for the GOP, too. And yes, it is absurd to think that Romney and the GOP should take the blame for LIBOR, but the Occupy crowd, Media Matters and the rest will do their best to hang the “Banksters” on Republicans.

        Is it coincidence that Dems are are obsessed with Romney’s secret overseas banking? Building the narrative one brick at a time.