Gallup reports that 9 percent of 2008 Obama voters have switched and now support Romney, while only 5 percent of McCain voters support President Obama.
Worse for Obama, only 86 percent of voters who say they voted for Obama in 2008 are backing Obama again this year, while 92 percent of McCain voters are supporting Republican candidate Mitt Romney.
The new Gallup results are not good for Obama. Jim Geraghty crunched the numbers and concluded the result is a very narrow Obama lead:
“If you allocate Obama 86 percent of his 2008 total and 5 percent of McCain’s 2008 total, and allocate Romney 92 percent of McCain’s total and 9 percent of Obama’s 2008 total, you end up with a very, very narrow Obama lead: 47.8 percent to 46.8 percent.”
The Gallup data confirms what I have been experiencing — more and more people telling me that they voted for Obama in 2008 but they are not going to vote for him again. I try to take such anecdotal evidence with a grain of salt, but I’ve heard it so much lately I was thinking there might be something to it, and now Gallup has provided some hard data to back up the anecdotal data.
Nearly a tenth of Obama’s 2008 electorate is hopping over the fence and switching sides. One must wonder if they’re bailing on the Obama ticket because of his abysmal economic record, his negative campaign of gutter politics, or because they have more confidence in Romney with economic issues, or maybe they just feel let down by Obama’s failure to make things better.