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Nine percent of Obama voters now support Romney

By: Dan Spencer (Diary)  |  August 7th, 2012 at 11:00 AM  | 

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Gallup reports that 9 percent of 2008 Obama voters have switched and now support Romney, while only 5 percent of McCain voters support President Obama.

Worse for Obama, only 86 percent of voters who say they voted for Obama in 2008 are backing Obama again this year, while 92 percent of McCain voters are supporting Republican candidate Mitt Romney.

The new Gallup results are not good for Obama. Jim Geraghty crunched the numbers and concluded the result is a very narrow Obama lead:

“If you allocate Obama 86 percent of his 2008 total and 5 percent of McCain’s 2008 total, and allocate Romney 92 percent of McCain’s total and 9 percent of Obama’s 2008 total, you end up with a very, very narrow Obama lead: 47.8 percent to 46.8 percent.”

The Gallup data confirms what I have been experiencing — more and more people telling me that they voted for Obama in 2008 but they are not going to vote for him again. I try to take such anecdotal evidence with a grain of salt, but I’ve heard it so much lately I was thinking there might be something to it, and now Gallup has provided some hard data to back up the anecdotal data. 

Nearly a tenth of Obama’s 2008 electorate is hopping over the fence and switching sides. One must wonder if they’re bailing on the Obama ticket because of his abysmal economic record, his negative campaign of gutter politics, or because they have more confidence in Romney with economic issues, or maybe they just feel let down by Obama’s failure to make things better.

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  • earlgrey

    What does he have to do: kill a litter of puppies? How brainwashed are these people. The cling to their left wing idealogy at their own detriment and rationalize it with some of the most twisted thinking I have ever seen.

    Sometimes I think we deserve him.

    • tngal

      he even admitted to eating dog, so I don’t think killing puppies is going to do much to sway his zombies. They will continue to follow regardless.

      Best we can do is hit them repeatedly with reminders of his policies that hurt the masses. Saying that he circumvents congress to achieve his goals is one thing–showing how his actions are to the detriment of wallets, health, future, freedoms, etc is another. Zombies are slow but many can be redirected if a offered a better alternative .

    • ctredstater

      earlgrey has highlighted my dilemma – which is it?

      Preferred Thesis – Polls are overestimating Obama’s actual support by 5-8% – with respondents trying to go “PC” to support the First Black President – and, likely, their own flawed 2008 choice. Under this theory, there WILL BE a 1980-like reckoning, and that when people actually step into the privacy of the voting booth millions of these ‘Obama Supporters’ will stop the delusion and vote to protect what is left of America. In the end, it will be 1988 numbers for Romney in the electoral college.

      Scared It Might Be True Thesis – with 49% of the electorate receiving a government check, with the successful hostile takeover of the past decades of the educational system by the left, with the human desire for “something for nothing”, with the cheap, lazy resentments Obama and the left keeps offering – it will be 2000 all over again – or worse – 1960.

      Obama’s wrecking of the economy, tearing up of the Constitution, weakness, self-absorption, etc. – it continually astounds me that no matter all of “Plan B”, it stuns me that these polls are even close.

      • amf36

        I think the Preferred Thesis is more likely. In addition to flawed tracking polls that oversample Dems and undersample Republicans, along with using registered voters instead of likely, the undecideds will break for Romney by a majority.

        The Scared it Might be True Thesis isn’t going to be the case. Those welfare recipients won’t be voting in big numbers (well, to their knowledge, that is. The DNC may have other plans for them). Those people don’t usually vote, and the high turnout in 2008 was an anomaly. The GOP will have higher voter turnout than Dems this year. The liberals just aren’t as fired up as we are about this election.

        This is why I read every poll with a grain of salt.

        • funwithknives

          and have to constantly re-fill the sucker.

          The Preferred Thesis is The Obvious Choice here.
          {But I am admittedy biased}

          Just as The SCUM is more and more disdained by Americans still capable of Actual Thought and Reason, By what-ever process they associate pollsters with The SCUM and treat them likewise.

          Add on the tell-tale ‘packing’ of Demos by anywhere from 7 to 11 % in various polling surveys and what do you get?

          Progressives are gonna’ get it ‘right between the eyes’ in November.
          “Bless Their Hearts”……….

        • major

          I so agree with your take on their voting!
          Either they just won’t vote because they do not know anything about issues or current events or assume “their guy” will win without them, or they assume their goodies won’t be touched, and all politicians are like Obama.
          Even those who are “amnestied” will betray him, being true to the leeching mentality!
          Certainly criminals will not vote, because they figure they can just take what they want…Obama is a good example of that!

      • duncer

        That 5% of voters that previously voted for McCain are planning on voting for obama after he has been thoroughly exposed as a total moron is not credible and if any part of the poll is not credible the whole is worthless. Many voted despite not knowing anything about obama believing his line about hope and change, that excuse is long gone.

  • bk

    is working as well for him as it did for David Dewhurst.

    • gflyer3364qt

      Everyone is sick of negative ads and political correctness garbage. Everyone I know fumbles with the remote in steadfast atempts to get to the mute button as quick as possible.

  • evilbloggerlady
    • earlgrey

      .

      • tnfriendofcoal101368

        Once the candidates are decided. Sketchy in primaries though – very sketchy….

      • tnfriendofcoal101368

        A guy with a Ouija board and some tarot cards was a liable to accurate calling that Iowa Republican Caucus which is what Politico hit him on.

  • gflyer3364qt

    That Harry Reid has not I repeat has not conducted his cattle mutilations in ten years. I demand that he release evidence proving he has conducted his cattle mutilations in accordance with the set Zeta Reticuli cattle mutilation code rates.

  • http://www.infobarrel.com/Users/Introspective debw07

    The realities of the Obama administration could not meet the hype of the Obama campaign . . . people are no longer enchanted.

  • Xasteius

    to account for all the voter fraud that will occur. I’ll be happy with nothing less than a 10 point lead over Obama in the polls

    • renny

      until AFTER the election, which may be true this time also. Many are not going to say they are not pro-o outloud to any one until he/she is in the privacy of the polling booth alone.

      • Xasteius

        At least Carter believed in God.

        • commonsenseobserver

          Himself…

  • http://lisahaggerty.com Lisa Haggerty

    This is good news especially considering how much more campaign funds Obama is spending compared to Romney. If Obama continues to blow through his campaign money, I think we can really pull through in the end.

  • timhawke

    But demographics can change a lot in 4 years, so simply “crunching the numbers” by taking percentages of 2008 totals is unlikely to be that accurate. I don’t have any idea how they’ve changed (if at all), so could go either way.

    • qualityguy

      but do a little self “research”. I’ve done this on my own and am actually very surprised at the results. I live in Pittsburgh, PA – a Democrat “machine” town almost since its inception. In 2008 I couldn’t spit without hitting a vehicle that had an Obama 2008 bumper sticker on it. They were everywhere. This year is quite a different story. I’m hard pressed to find a vehicle with an Obama 2012 bumper sticker on it. Maybe they are embarrassed to admit that they still support O-bozo, or maybe they just don’t support him anymore. Either way, the honeymoon is over and the bloom is off the rose!

  • gwalt

    Karl Rove made a post election analysis in dec 08 and estimated that somewhere near 6 million Evangelicals and 2 million military/vet stayed home. If these nearly 8 million come out in Nov 12, Obambi is toast. And if they each bring one person who didn’t vote in 08, it will be in epic proportions.

  • wag

    how many people who voted for McCain are now for Obama?
    Any? (Maybe a few of the dead ones. . .)

    • tnfriendofcoal101368

      Yep – they lived in Chicago and are uhm deceased but registrered to vote.

  • commonsenseobserver

    http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_NC_080712.pdf

    Romney’s favourability plunged with independents. Obama’s now leading by 3. In NC.

    Terribly worrying, since NC is a state we should not have to be concerned about. Time for Team Romney to step up its game, reclaim our territory, secure the battlegrounds, and attack the blue wall.

    • lineholder

      It has a D45/R33/I21 demographic split to get Obama +3!

      Interesting demographics in other ways, though. Shows how favorability for Romney increases with length of time poll respondent has lived in NC. Most recent out-of-state transplants favorability goes to Obama.

      • tnfriendofcoal101368

        House affect (and that is from lefty leaning Nate Silver).

      • commonsenseobserver

        It’s the 2008 McCain/Obama figure that matters, and it’s reasonable.

        • tnfriendofcoal101368

          It puts Romney up and Obama isn’t coming from behind in North Carolina (plus the state Democratic Party there is in disarray to say the least)…I leave 30 miles from North Carolina – NC is going to Romney.

        • lineholder

          For the State legislature to go R for the first time in over a century…it was a pretty significant swing to the right.

          The % of D registered voters in NC is 43% . There’s been some activity going on here lately, but it hasn’t been as favorable for Obama as this poll would portray.

      • lineholder

        This poll favors females by +8. Independent females trend Obama. If they pulled in more females from the Indie bracket for this poll than males, then it could make it look like a huge Indie swing to Obama.

  • Tbone

    So, the 9% is closer to 11% of non-black voters.

    • dkapptan

      many black people are staying home this election year.

  • noveldog9

    The slave makers among us are the Democratic party, The Liberal News Media who tailors the news in order to brain wash the simple minded. Then there is Obama the ring leader of the One World Government nut cases. He wants us all to be equal….equally poor and dependent upon Big Brother Government.

    We be the Slaves and they be the Masters. That is their plan. By buying the votes of the poor and turning them against the rich he hopes to delude them into thinking he loves them. He does Not!
    He abhors them and laughs at them. He keeps them under his foot. They are his pawns in his world domination game.

    First he must break America, then reform the government denying us arms to resist should we awaken to the truth. Beware one and all of the snake charmer, his bite is deadly. His vipers sting will eventually bring death to freedom as we once knew it.

    To be a slave or not to be a slave? That is the question! Which will you choose on election day? Will you vote for more of the same? Will you vote to end slavery and oppression? Will you vote for the restoration of Christianity and the free worship of God the Father and God the Son? Will you vote for freedom and prospirtiy? Will you vote for Romney and the Republican party who are desperately fighting to save our country and what it once stood for? We shall see! We shall see!

  • amr

    that they are not a lone in disliking the Obama Administration’s policies and are therefore not going to be thought of as being a racist, the cascading change in the public’s position begins. This is how dictators rapidly lose support since every one thinks everyone else supports the dictator and are afraid to take the first step. But once there is an event that somehow shows that the support for the dictator is a false front out of fear, the regime collapses.

    This may be beginning to happen with Obama. Since his campagn and allies are desperately attacking Romney as a felon and murder, one has to believe they are sensing their down fall.

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