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Andrew Cuomo Wakes Up And Smells The Tea

Strange New Respect for Fiscal Conservatism in the Empire State

The biggest political story of 2011 is at the state level, where new Republican governors like Scott Walker and Rick Snyder have followed in the footsteps of Mitch Daniels and Chris Christie by seeking not only to cut short-term spending to address their states’ immediate budget crises while resisting tax hikes, but to attack the #1 source of their states’ long-term fiscal problems: excessive long-term commitments to pay and benefits for (mostly unionized) state and local public employees. Local Democrats in many states have responded with apoplexy, reflecting their political and financial dependence on those same unions. In other states, where the Democrats still hold the statehouses, they’ve had to swallow some spending cuts, but are nonetheless in denial – Jerry Brown in California has tried to close his budget gap with a 50/50 mix of spending cuts and tax hikes, Mark Dayton in Minnesota has pandered to the DailyKos crowd by proposing to double the state’s top income tax bracket, Connecticut’s Dan Malloy – elected by the slimmest of margins – blasted Walker’s collective bargaining reforms as “Un-American” and proposed a battery of tax hikes, and Maryland’s Martin O’Malley even went to the Corzine-esque extreme of giving the keynote speech at a union protest against his own budget, swearing to avoid “Midwestern oppression.”

But oddly, at least one newly-elected Democratic governor seems to have come to grips thus far with reality, and it’s maybe the unlikeliest of all: New York’s Andrew Cuomo. The son of liberal icon Mario Cuomo, the Clinton-era HUD Secretary, the successor to Eliot Spitzer as the state’s crusading Attorney General; nothing in Cuomo’s history before the 2010 election suggests he’s anything but a standard-issue liberal. Nor did he take office under any urgent need to court swing voters; while New York’s usually liberal electorate gave the state Senate back to the GOP and swung more House seats from D to R than any other state in the Union, Cuomo himself cruised to victory by almost 30 points over his clownish self-funded challenger, Carl Paladino, and the state GOP boasts a depressingly shallow bench of prospective challengers.

Nonetheless, Governor Cuomo’s agenda sounds like it could come straight out of the Christie-Walker playbook. The NY Daily News’ Bill Hammond has an overview of Cuomo’s promises and the obstacles he’s faced, mainly from his own party. Some highlights:

-Negotiating for concessions on existing contracts from the public employee unions.

-Cutting health care, Medicaid and education spending. (see here; a quarter of the state’s residents are on Medicaid).

-Capping property taxes to “limit the growth of these levies to 2% a year or the inflation rate, whichever is less,” similar to the cap passed by Christie in New Jersey. (see here on how the cap would work to restrain school spending; the cap easily passed the GOP-controlled State Senate but faces stiff resistance from the Democrat-controlled Assembly and has provoked outrage from the teachers’ union).

-Opposing all new tax hikes, especially a “millionaire’s tax” on incomes above $200,000 promoted by the Assembly Democrats and supported by $1.5 million in ads run by the teachers’ union (see here).

-Touting reform of the LIFO (last in, first out) rules that require teacher layoffs to be done by seniority rather than performance. (see here; Cuomo has backed down on doing anything about the LIFO rules but claims to be willing to replace them if a new system is installed for evaluating public school teachers).

As Hammond notes, Cuomo’s progress – and even the sincerity of his commitment, as on the LIFO issue – has been uneven; he’s yet to get real concessions from the Assembly or the unions (other than getting buy-in from hospitals and health-care unions on his health care cuts) and still faces a battle with Senate Republicans over ethics and gerrymandering bills. But if Cuomo has made some of the right enemies, he’s made some strange bedfellows, too. His approval/disapproval ratings among Republicans are the same as among Democrats, and Rudy Giuliani has noticed that Cuomo is facing New York’s fiscal realities by working from the GOP playbook:

Giuliani said in an interview Wednesday that the Democratic governor “has gotten off to a very good start.”

“I don’t know how Democrats feel about him but he’s doing everything that a Republican governor would be doing in a similar situation,” said the former mayor and one-time presidential candidate.

And while Cuomo has to navigate public-sector union opposition, he’s actually getting backing for his budget and tax proposals from what may be as much as $10 million in outside ads by the Committee to Save New York, a post-Citizens United alliance of business and real estate interests with private sector construction unions and the public support of Democratic former comptroller and onetime bitter Cuomo foe Carl McCall. Here is a taste of the Committee’s ads:

The question is why Governor Cuomo is trying to govern like a Republican, at least on fiscal issues. Certainly, after a life in liberal-Democratic circles, he’s hardly had a road-to-Damascus conversion of principle, and he faces no real threat from the state GOP. The obvious reason is simple realism: even David Paterson tried to get a property tax cap passed. The state’s finances are such a garish illustration of the failure of big-government liberalism that only a complete fool could deny the need for a change of course. A second reason is that Cuomo is, whatever his other faults, a guy who believes in doing things. He doesn’t want to end up as the same impotent failure, hog-tied by dysfunctional Albany, as his three predecessors (George Pataki, like many moderate Republicans, had a good first year in office but followed it by not really accomplishing squat for the next 11 years; Spitzer was flailing even before “Client #9,” and the functionally illiterate Paterson never had a prayer). The money’s just not there for more liberal experiments; unless the state changes its ways, Cuomo will leave office with nothing accomplished, and he knows it. A third may be that Cuomo’s investigations of the corruption in state pension funds – including targeting former Democrat comptroller Alan Hevesi and Obama Administration ‘car czar’ Steve Rattner – opened his eyes to the depth of corruption in business-as-usual Albany. And national ambition may be another driver – if Barack Obama wins a second term solely by virtue of a weak GOP field in 2012, four more years of Obama will almost certainly leave the Democrats looking for a new national leader unencumbered by Obama’s fiscal profligacy if they hope to survive. Cuomo may be hoping to craft an image as some sort of fiscal centrist with an eye on 2016.

New York conservatives, often scorned and abandoned by the state GOP, don’t and shouldn’t trust Andrew Cuomo any further than we can throw him. But we can certainly get behind enough of his agenda to send the message far and wide that even blue-state liberal Democrats recognize the need for Daniels/Christie/Walker-style reforms to how our states do business. If even Andrew Cuomo can wake up and smell the tea, why can’t your state?

COMMENTS

  • http://www.scragged.com petrarch

    America needs two viable, loyal parties. Republicans can’t have permanent power, they become just as corrupt as Dems.

    Thus, the Ds have to be saved from themselves, and be at least non-bankrupting-traitors. Maybe Cuomo is the guy to do it.

    • Dan McLaughlin

      But with the GOP so fatally dysfunctional, it’s heartening to see a Democrat bid for conservative support. Maybe that will remind the state’s Republicans that there’s actually a market for the market.

      • writeblock

        It knows no party.

        • rickbull
    • CJB68

         My view is that Cuomo realizes that his party (and liberal Republicans in Albany and elsewhere) have effectively wiped out the productive caste which was actually keeping people in New York State employed and tax revenues rolling in.  They might not’ve cared much if Rush Limbaugh skipped town for sunny Florida, but when the owners of what little remained of the manufacturing and retail sector started taking off, so went the jobs for schlubs like myself and taxes which would’ve been garnished off of their income.  I think this plan to hike the taxes on property being owned in New York city and state was the last straw here.

  • Marcus_Traianus

    and NY’s bond rating goes up.

    NY is a fiscal nightmare both in many localities and at the state level. Agreed, there are very few options available as a remedy, but Albany is still filled with many of the same denizens creating this mess. It is no small wonder why NY is losing population almost as fast as California.

    I would completely agree you can not trust Cuomo. Plus ultimately I don’t see him having the clout needed to pull this off. Combine that with his typical liberal agenda including more gun control and it is the same old tired ideology in a new suit.

    I think Democrats truly believe they can play the shell game to buy some time until the economic situation improves, then go back to business as usual.

    • Dan McLaughlin

      is how hard he’s willing and able to twist arms in his own party to get this stuff done. It’s all well and good to declare yourself publicly in favor of tax caps and spending cuts, but let the Assembly play bad cop. If he’s able to get Sheldon Silver’s caucus to say Uncle, then he will really have accomplished something.

      • Marcus_Traianus

        The Assembly is really the cause of our problems. While it doesn’t help NY has not had a strong governor in some time, nothing will really happen until they wipe out the seemingly permanent occupants in Albany. First and foremost, Silver. He has run this state into the ground from the shadows.

        I simply don’t see Cuomo winning that battle. He doesn’t have the stones,

        This state simply continues to defy basic human logic, People continue to vote for the same, tired, reckless politicians time in again.

        Even here in your former stomping grounds, people complain about taxes and mismanagement. Then mostly vote for the usual suspects. Guys like Vanderhoef who just raised taxes, but claims to be a fiscal conservative. Huh? How about you shrink the bloated government workforce first?

        Or the school system that has been killing people with tax increases year after year, How about you grow a pair and negotiate better contracts or get rid of the gaggle of assistant superintendents making over $100 k each?

        Sometimes I think they simply need a mass exodus of tax revenue and insolvency to cure the problem…

  • mriggio

    my state is Illinois.

    • outbackjon

      As a New York resident, it’s not often I get to say this, but, “Sucks to be you! Ha ha!”

    • rickbull
    • acat

      Somehow, I don’t see Quinn winning re-election next go’round. He lucked into a relatively poor opponent this time. (Brady should have been pounding Quinn like a government mule.. but didn’t.. and didn’t effectively respond to Quinn’s emotional (Brady wants to kill dogs!) attacks.

      The question is whether Wisconsin and Indiana will suck enough GOP votes out of Illinois to turn it into another New York or California…. We’re at a tipping point, I think…

      Mew

  • melbedewy

    Which will be more borrowing, more shell games, more smoke and mirrors.
    Count on it.

  • Viator

    1) Maybe he’s been mugged by reality

    2) Maybe he’s looking forward to President Cuomo

  • silkywiley

    Public employees future increases tied to inflation? Wow, they sure did pull one over on us. Inflation is coming down the track like an out of control train on full throttle. And of course they still have their little tricks for upping retirement benefits, those retirement benefits that come all too early. Inflation–killer of the American dream and the politicians best friend.

    I enjoy Red State and other conservative sites, but I know they are whistling past the grave yard. I have moved on, every man for himself, and survival is on my mind. The American dream is sclerotic. Killed by 60 years of socialist incursion. Government is now the best place to maintain an upper middle class life. Just as India and yes-China upper middle class was government positions. Of course after 70 years of poverty and struggle and failed economic systems, they are turning to the capitalist model. The Russians cannibalized their upper middle class, and because of the wholesale slaughter, they now have a pure peasant population, no rebirth going to happen there.

    So now the US is passing under the shadow of a dark star. My daughter is graduating with a political science degree and an internship with the federal government leading to full employment. She has my blessing, if you can’t beat em’ join em.