« BACK  |  PRINT

RS

FRONT PAGE CONTRIBUTOR

Notes From “The Food Stamp Recovery”

A Nation Where Even Burger-Flipping Jobs Are As Hard To Get Into As Harvard

In case you missed it, Jay Cost had a great piece on Friday on “the Food Stamp recovery”, laying out the ways in which the currently-underway “recovery” is the weakest in memory. His bracing conclusion?

[I]f the economic recovery does not begin to show substantial improvement, the likes of which we have not really seen in the last two years, and if the GOP nominates a reasonably acceptable alternative, this president is going to lose in 2012, and the final result will not be close. Nobody gets reelected with employment way down, real income way down, and 14 percent of his fellow citizens on food stamps. Nobody.

Let’s add a couple of items that help explain why the economy may be looking up for managers of corporations large enough to collect government favor but not for most Americans. The good news?

1) CEO pay? Up 11% in 2010.

2) Individual income tax receipts? Up 25.9% from October to April, but not rising fast enough to keep up with federal spending increases. Of course, the growth of tax receipts is generally driven by the wealthiest Americans, who pay a vastly disproportionate percentage of all taxes.

The not-so-good news?

1) The housing market? Had its worst quarter since 2008. Home prices have now fallen 57 consecutive months. Unsurprisingly, like the “Cash for Clunkers” program, temporary tax credits were only able to temporarily slow the rate of decline, putting off the inevitable: “the improvements, spurred by federal programs that gave buyers up to $8,000 in tax credits, proved fleeting. Sales collapsed when the credits expired last summer, and prices in many markets have been falling ever since.” Like Keynesian solutions in general, temporary incentives are like a drug addiction, creating an economy that can only stay up by getting yet another hit.

2) Jobs? Let’s put it this way. McDonald’s recently announced a one-day hiring program, which netted a million applications, of which 62,000 people were hired. That’s a 6.2% acceptance rate. Harvard College’s acceptance rate for the Class of 2015? 6.2%. In Barack Obama’s America, it’s officially now as difficult to get a job flipping hamburgers as it is to get into Harvard.

In many ways, a weak recovery is an even more perilous time for a big-government guy like Obama than an economic crisis. Americans may be more willing to accept a large government footprint in the economy when they fear the bottom falling out. But they will nonetheless recognize that unleashing the vibrant power of an entrepreneurial economy is outside the competence of an Administration that thinks in terms of temporary props to ward off price shocks and business failures – essentially, the economic playbook of Nixon’s first term, which gave us the economy of the 1970s. Even people who call the fire department when their house is on fire know when to tell them to turn off the hoses because the house is all wet.

COMMENTS

  • steve010

    It isn?t really a problem so much with me that citizens believe that they need food stamps in order to eat, nearly 44 million people at current count. The problem is what it takes to qualify to receive the benefit. A person or family has to be indigent.

    This means no assets. The qualifications are nearly the same as filing for Chapter 7 bankruptcy. The person can have a car that is worth less than $1000 dollars, can have a job that earns under the poverty level and personal property worth less than $1000, but that?s it. It?s astounding to me that there are 22 million adults (subtracting the half that are probably under 18) who are totally asset less.

    And if one thinks that they can just apply on line and get food stamps, not so. You can apply on line, but after doing so you have just given your State government carte blanche over your life. Now you have no secrets, they can access your bank account, they can discover if you are working or working under the table or any number of ways a person or family can elude the system. And the State governments who administer this program are much tougher on compliance than the federal government would ever be.

    So these numbers are probably accurate. 22 million adults who have absolutely nothing. That is nearly 10% of our adult population. Which would correspond with the unemployment figures and foreclosure figures . This is definitely a national catastrophe.

    • Warrior

      or ex-husband’s name. Believe me, it’s not nearly as tough getting foodstanps as you describe. And as far as the gubmint knowing all your secrets — my question is, “What secrets?” You live in poverty and ostensibly have nothing, although I don’t know how being on food stamps allows the gubmint any better idea of whether you are working under the table or not.

      Most State Depts of HR (Welfare) “foodstamp” caseworkers have 150 to 250 clients or more. They barely know their clients’ names, much less what they are doing when they are not in the office. Besides, the DHR ain’t checking with the courthouse to see if you have a $20K bass boat in yur name. Even if they did, it could easily be registered in another county or even state. Remember, when hunting down the OK City bombers, federal investigators found thousands of guys moving from state to state collecting welfare and SS checks and using local fleabags for their address?

      No, I’ve stood in line behind too many people at the grocery store paying with EBT cards (foodstamps) who are buying stuff I cannot afford myself to feel a lot of pity. It’s an inter-generationa tragedy though.

      Now, I’ve lived on foodstamps and other public assistance for a few months myself — it was much appreciated. But as soon as I could, I got a job and got off of them. Most people would agree with such sentiments.

      The problem is third, fourth and fifth generation welfare recipients who now accept gubmint as part of their family and expect to be taken care of by it. That’s Obama’s ultimate goal for every one and it is not pretty. It is the antithesis of what has made our country great.

  • Death_of_the_Donkey

    First, the pace of this recovery (in GDP terms) is about equal with both the 1991 and 2001 recession recoveries and the pace of job growth is actually faster than both of those recoveries (of course we had a much deeper recession this time). Second, productivity gains are astonishing and have been throughout the recession, thus making it much more difficult to create new jobs. Third, globalization is yet another factor making the creation of American jobs more difficult, as not only can many products be made cheaper abroad for importation, but it is much harder for us to export to developing markets now that they can produce their own products.

    As for the income tax issue, while it is true that the wealthiest Americans pay most of the INCOME TAX, the payroll tax now accounts for almost half of all (non-corporate) tax revenues and thus it would be interesting to see a breakdown of all tax receipts.

    • acat

      It’s called http://www.indeed.com.

      I go and search for jobs in my career field that I could apply for.

      There are a lot fewer now than there were 2-3 years ago.

      You can claim jobs are being created but .. I’m not seeing it.

      Mew

    • Dan McLaughlin

      WSJ notes that payroll tax receipts are down 6.1%, although in part due to a temporary payroll tax cut.

      Also, do you have some basis for disagreeing with Jay Cost’s metrics for considering this recovery much weaker than those you cite?

  • carolina

    Unfortunately I have learned of some folks who get ‘help’ getting around the red tape rules in order to qualify for govt programs.
    The govt workers know their way around the system and they do help their friends. Its human nature (I guess) and our tax $$.
    Reminds me of a deal my ex husband worked years ago – he got us qualified for low-med income housing when the cooperative govt worker filled out the paperwork with his old salary (ignored a recent wage) and counted our 2nd child (yet unborn) as a member of the family. I will say that the one year we spent in a nice 3 bedroom townhouse with a low rent did allow us to save enough to buy our first house.
    I can tell other such stories. Friends take care of ‘friends’.

  • talgus

    there is a hidden driver to these gains. As management reduces the workforce, due to the LOUSY job prospects, most workers are more than willing to work 125% to keep their jobs. Hence, amazing productivity gains. (and upper management gets the rewards for Obama’s boot on the economies neck) . When we get back to reality (hope), the workers will scatter.