Moving RINOS Rightward is Good, Defeating them is even Better


How legislative scorecards don't tell the full story.

Well, the dust has settled from the 2010 legislative session, and organizations like National Journal and American Conservative Union have published their annual voting reports.  So who are the ‘top conservatives’?  You’ll never guess.

Here is a list of the ‘top conservatives’ from National Journal and the ACU, along with their composite conservative scores.  Check out this link for the description of ACU’s scorecard and this link for National Journal’s methodology.

National Journal

1. John Barrasso (R-Wyo.) 89.7
1. Saxby Chambliss (R-Ga.) 89.7
1. John Cornyn (R-Texas) 89.7
1. Mike Crapo (R-Idaho) 89.7
1. Jim DeMint (R-S.C.) 89.7
1. John McCain (R-Ariz.) 89.7
1. Jim Risch (R-Idaho) 89.7
1. John Thune (R-S.D.) 89.7
9. Tom Coburn (R-Okla.) 87.3
10.Roger Wicker (R-Miss.) 86.8

American Conservative Union

12 Senators Scored a perfect 100.

John Barrasso, Sam Brownback, Saxby Chambliss, Tom Coburn, John Cornyn, Mike Crapo, Jim DeMint, Orrin Hatch, John McCain, James Risch, Jeff Sessions, John Thune

I’m sure everyone would like to know how the likes of John McCain made it to both lists along with Jim DeMint.  Well, for one thing, the ACU only scores 25 votes and although the National Journal scores 100 votes, they have not published their descriptions.  More importantly, these reports prove two things; the effectiveness of grassroots conservatives and the inherent flaws of legislative scorecards.

Many grassroots conservative activists, including those in our Red State community, have been impugned for our supposed effrontery to incumbent Republicans.  We have been ridiculed for daring to challenge such inimitable and infallible public servants who have earned their seniority through years of selfless sacrifice.   At times, we have been accused of targeting incumbents with ‘impeccable conservative credentials’ in impetuous pursuit of ideological purity.  Worst of all, we are charged with sabotaging Republicans in the general election.

Those voices within the Republican establishment blithely overlook the ancillary successes of our intra-party challenges.  Our bold efforts to challenge incumbents have often resulted in one of two outcomes, both of which benefit Republicans of every stripe.

The first outcome results in the incumbent initially denying the charge of being a RINO.  Then, as the conservative challenger overtakes him, he validates the accusation by shedding the conservative disguise and openly voting with the left on every significant issue (Bennett in Utah, Murkowski).  In some cases, they have actually switched parties (Crist, Specter), or at the very least, refused to endorse their victorious primary opponent (Mike Castle, Dede Scozzafava).  Even the ‘big tent’ Republicans cannot deny our indispensable service in outing those who are an anathema to Republican values.  Or is the big tent just one big circus?

The second outcome results in the Republican incumbent undergoing a cathartic change by extolling all of the conservative virtues that they so vociferously rejected prior to the primary challenge.  John McCain has become the champion of election year foxhole conversions.  In addition to McCain’s stellar National Journal score, he has also joined 11 other Senators in earning a perfect 100 from the American Conservative Union in 2010.  McCain also earned a 96 the year prior to the election in 2009.  However, his performance was dismal in the previous few years.  It is incontrovertibly clear that grassroots conservatives have been successful in reining-in McCain, along with some of the Senators who are up for reelection in 2012.

However, are these pre-election foxhole conversions really sincere?  There is a flagrant weakness in relying on legislative scorecards and thus allowing elected officials to use them to validate their conservatism.  Scorecards only account for the final votes on passage of fundamental issues that distinguish the two parties.  Most voting reports largely ignore roll calls on cloture or motions to proceed.  They are completely silent on the full scope of committee activity, including markups, amendments, votes, and backroom deals.  There is no way to possibly contrast the indefatigable efforts of Jim DeMint to promote constitutional government with those who work to get things done.

The voting report cannot possibly quantify the amount of times that John McCain worked assiduously to obviate a conservative proposal so that it would not come to a vote.  (You can’t exactly quantify the Gang of 14.)

The scorecard certainly will not evaluate well intentioned, yet mistaken, efforts by John Barrasso to exempt states from the ObamaCare individual mandate, thus precluding their grounds for a lawsuit.

No legislative report will calculate the amount of pork that Roger Wicker stuffed into appropriations bills before they reached the floor.

Thus, while some of the aforementioned Republicans will eagerly promote their scorecard as a conservative stamp of approval, it is not.

Except for those like Olympia Snowe, Susan Collins, and Dick Lugar, most Republicans will vote with their party on the final roll call of major bills.  In fact, anyone who is not on the list of 100% is someone who has voted with the Democrats in contravention to fundamental Republican values.  A perfect ACU score should be the floor, not the ceiling, for a conservative voting record.

As we head into the 2012 elections, many Republicans will condemn our primary challenges as party purges.  Some senators will point to the fact that they earned the same score as DeMint.  We will need to inform them that there is more to being the people’s representative than a couple of roll call votes.  We will remind them that we know Jim DeMint, and you are no Jim DeMint.

Red Meat Conservative (Cross-posted)


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36 Comments Leave a comment

Thank you, dhorowitz3, for documenting...

acat (Diary) Thursday, February 24th at 10:49PM EDT (link)

in detail, exactly what’s wrong with the ratings. As someone who has been critical of ratings in the past, I have to admit I’m pleased to see the case made.

The one point I didn’t see you make is that these metrics only track votes, they don’t go into detail on bill sponsorship, committee activities, authorship.. the sausage-making process, to use the old analogy.

Or, to put it in terms even someone voting based on a “voters’ guide”, if your guides’ method shows Ron Paul as a conservative, perhaps you need a better guide…

Mew

——
self-portrait

Caveat Suffragator

Ratings mean nothing...

writeblock Friday, February 25th at 12:45AM EDT (link)

if there’s no fire in the belly, if our side is too comfortable with the status quo, if they’re a bunch of wimps. When was the last time anybody on our side walked out to prevent a quorum, for instance? I’ve got to hand it to the lefties–they know when to get mad. Our guys have a tough time rising to the occasion. Look at the recent poll of Republican insiders. The majority fear a government shut down. Why? They should welcome the chance to impose some clarity on the national debate. Instead they’re looking for cover and checking the polls.

 
 

Fine, but ...

junkbondtrader41 Thursday, February 24th at 11:17PM EDT (link)

Is it too much to ask you to choose your battles, and candidate quality, wisely?

We sat right here and watched, after Erik himself had admitted Christine O’Donnel behaved idiotically, accusing the interviewer on a radio of show of being on the take from her opponent, and still endorsed her in the end. All so she could not only go on to defeat in a deep blue state, but give serious Tea Party candidates an undeserved reputation as flakes nationwide.

It would be impossible to quantify, but I suspect her antics may very well have cost us a few close races. Intangibles can be factors in politics, too.

Choose quality, and fight only on WINNABLE turf, please.

All of

Daniel Horowitz (Diary) Thursday, February 24th at 11:22PM EDT (link)

the above-mentioned states up in 2012 are in deep red states. If we can’t elect unapologetic conservatives to states like Wyoming, Utah, Indiana, Mississippi, and Tennessee, then we should take our toys and go home. There is absolutely no point to electing Republicans just for the sake of it. It is not a sports game. If after 80 years of socialism we cannot find those who can roll it back, we will never seize the opportunity.

As for O’Donnoll, I agree that she was a bad candidate, but I don’t give a hoot that Castle lost.

Ron Johnson/DE

thego (Diary) Thursday, February 24th at 11:34PM EDT (link)

I agree tha Castle had to go. He wasn’t a moderate republican, he was a democrat, plain and simple.

Here is my question. IMO, Ron Johnson was the perfect conservative candidate. Private sector experience, smart,articulate and down to earth likable personality. Would he have won the Deleware Senate race against Coons?

 

In defense of O'Donnel

obxster Friday, February 25th at 5:09AM EDT (link)

O’Donnel was a “bad candidate” only in that she did not know how to handle the media and it’s assaults. Her message was pure conservative and every speech I hear her give was pretty good.

 
 

You learned the wrong lesson from the Coons-Castle-O'Donnel race.

The_Gadfly (Diary) Friday, February 25th at 6:08AM EDT (link)

The correct lessons were:

1. When a Republican goes RINO, the party needs to recognize it and recruit a decent candidate to replace him, because if they don’t the base will accept ANY other alternative for whom they can pull the lever. The old mantra of “where else are they going to go?” is dead.

2. The establishment needs to develop means of strongly encouraging the losers in primaries to endorse the winners of the primary. We’ve lost Republican seats in DE, MD, VA and other places because the RINO had a hissy fit after loosing and endorsed the Dem candidate instead.

5555555!!!! eleventy!

kyle8 (Diary) Friday, February 25th at 6:55AM EDT (link)

you nailed it!

“Nothing works like freedom, Nothing succeeds like liberty”
Kyle

 

Exactly

Daniel Horowitz (Diary) Friday, February 25th at 8:00AM EDT (link)

They always blame us for not properly taking out the trash. Well, it is a little difficult when we have to fight our own side in order to do it. Just look at what a difference it makes when the NRSC throws an incumbent under the bus. Cornyn basically has told John Ensign of Nevada that he is on his own. The funny thing is that politically, he is pretty conservative. I wonder of Cornyn will be so neutral with Luagr.

 
 
 

thego, i would submit

junkbondtrader41 Thursday, February 24th at 11:47PM EDT (link)

Yes. Wisconsin is purple-to-blue and he defeated an iconic incumbent, In 2010, if you could beat a strong candidate on neutral turf, you could probably pull it off against a bad candidate on hostile turf. I certainly think that kind of quality could carry the day against a fringe novice like Coons, even if the territory was bluer.

 

I've told my senators if they're not sure how to vote,

Melody Warbington (rwm52) (Diary) Friday, February 25th at 12:03AM EDT (link)

to just look over and see how Senator DeMint is voting and do the same instead of reaching across the aisle to hold hands with the enemy. Fortunately, Senator Sessions lines up pretty close to DeMint. Shelby not so much. It’s past time to vote him out.

The woman saith unto him, I know that Messiah cometh (he that is called Christ): when he is come, he will declare unto us all things. (John 4:25)

 

Challange Carefully

freemanja1991 (Diary) Friday, February 25th at 3:32AM EDT (link)

only challenge incumbents in a state where a more conservative candidate can get elected. Like Indiana, Leave Collins and Snowe Alone. Reagan said take 80% when you can and come back for the other 20 later. we cant afford to damage ourselves by loosing moderates when a more conservative person cant win.

RINO RED

imperfectamerica (Diary) Friday, February 25th at 5:11AM EDT (link)

I might suggest that a real conservative is actually electable in states like Maine and Washington. The key however is to control their message and not let their opponent shift the argument to cutting Grandma’s Social Security or not supporting education. Given the predisposition of the population, it is a difficult argument to make stick in voter’s minds, but a message that solid conservative policies will help drive economic growth and prosperity can play.

In an environment where examples of progressive failure are so numerous, tangible and well documented, if a conservative can’t make a compelling case for his positions today, he may be in the wrong line of work.

 

Never concede any territory.

The_Gadfly (Diary) Friday, February 25th at 6:13AM EDT (link)

Like McCain, Collins and Snowe both move right in the two year period before the election. That means they KNOW they aren’t voting their constituency the other 4 years and are counting on the meme that only moderate Republicans can win in their state. As Becker has pointed out in comments and diaries, McCain is a different story because he controls the precinct system in Arizona. Not sure how much that comes into play for Maine.

Lame Duck Session

Daniel Horowitz (Diary) Friday, February 25th at 8:07AM EDT (link)

has taught us that the whole elect moderate in blue state thing is soooo 2004. We have come to the point that not only do they serve no function for us, they score points for the other team. They gratuitously handed Obama legislative victories and debased this country on all three levels; defense, fiscal, and social. And they gave O a political bounce to boot.

The scary thing is that if we take back the Senate and many liberal R’s become committee chairs, they will promulgate the same policies as their Dem counter part (Lugar and Kerry are identical on foreign affairs). The only difference is that we will suffer the political consequences instead of the Dems.

I used to be one of those who thought that we should tolerate rinos in certain circumstances, but as we head into the 4th quarter and they continue continue to score points for the other team, you gotta wonder if this mentality has become counterproductive.

 
 

Absolutely

BigRedConservative (Diary) Friday, February 25th at 9:30AM EDT (link)

We might be able to get a proper conservative elected once on the back of a Tea Party style revolution. But after six years, they’ll have managed to peeve off the left enough for them to get kicked out. And then the whole spectrum swings to the left, and we end up with someone like Gillbrand or Inouye-which no-one wants. And we end up even worse than we were initially. Therefore it’s (unfortunately) important to keep both Snowe and Collins. Lugar, though, we might be able to remove in a Primary. If Indiana can elect Mike Pence and Mitch Daniels, it can probably elect a conservative Senator.

And two and two always makes a five
It’s the devil’s way now
There is no way out
You can scream and you can shout
It is too late now

Radiohead

 
 

I think what these scores show is that

kyle8 (Diary) Friday, February 25th at 6:40AM EDT (link)

John McCain, and a few others will be very conservative when a liberal like Obama is in office. But he will be far less conservative when his own party is in office. It’s the old Maverick thing.

“Nothing works like freedom, Nothing succeeds like liberty”
Kyle

 

That term should be banned.

NightTwister (Diary) Friday, February 25th at 6:59AM EDT (link)

RINO, that is. It’s just as bad as neocon. Both are used to refer to someone not as conservative as me.

Going after some on this list is going to work against the goals of Republicans, and that is to elect Republicans. I saw it live last year in Colorado.

“Baseball fits America well because it expresses our longing for the rule of law while licensing our resentment of law givers.” ― Major League Commissioner of Baseball A. Bartlett Giamatti

Senate

Daniel Horowitz (Diary) Friday, February 25th at 8:02AM EDT (link)

Are you referring to the Senate race there?

Yes...nt.

NightTwister (Diary) Friday, February 25th at 8:16AM EDT (link)

“Baseball fits America well because it expresses our longing for the rule of law while licensing our resentment of law givers.” ― Major League Commissioner of Baseball A. Bartlett Giamatti

Colorado

Daniel Horowitz (Diary) Friday, February 25th at 9:23AM EDT (link)

you probably know more about this than me, but didn’t the whole gubernatorial fiasco really sink the GOP there?

Nope, not at all.

NightTwister (Diary) Friday, February 25th at 9:54AM EDT (link)

We took back the state house, and two U.S. congressional seats. We also took the State Treasurer and SoS. We lost the Governor race because unelectable candidates were chosen. This was more the case with the former than the latter, but in the 2010 political climate there’s simply no reason we lose these seats if we choose electable candidates.

“Baseball fits America well because it expresses our longing for the rule of law while licensing our resentment of law givers.” ― Major League Commissioner of Baseball A. Bartlett Giamatti

Oops.

NightTwister (Diary) Friday, February 25th at 9:55AM EDT (link)

“We lost the Governor and Senate races…”

“Baseball fits America well because it expresses our longing for the rule of law while licensing our resentment of law givers.” ― Major League Commissioner of Baseball A. Bartlett Giamatti

 
 
 
 
 

I"m with you

zornorph Friday, February 25th at 9:57AM EDT (link)

I absolutely despise that term.

 
 

The methodology ...

cam1 Friday, February 25th at 8:04AM EDT (link)

for both the National Journal and the ACU is either flawed or lazy when Jim Demint, Saxby Chambliss and John McCain are listed together with the same conservative scores.

 

Yeah Right .. Another Media Poll

dkm466 Friday, February 25th at 8:37AM EDT (link)

Voting records don’t mean squat. It means they voted. John Cornyn is a RINO. When media puts out a polls its irrelevant. Its a skewed poll b/c the object of the poll anyway is to “guage” public opinion and “then” publish skewed poll results. John Cornyn is a Rino. He is a party man. He wants what the party to be able to control and “negotiate” compromises. Cornyn is also a natorious pork barrel spender, He supported Lisa Murkowski after she lost the primary. He didn’t support Rand Paul. He wanted Mike Castle … John Cornyn is not a true conservative. He’s a corrupt Politician and thats all.

 

RINOs have learned to say anything

teridavisnewman (Diary) Friday, February 25th at 8:43AM EDT (link)

RINOs and politicians in general will say and do anything to keep getting re-elected to keep the money rolling in. Did you know that insider trading IS NOT ILLEGAL for members of Congress and the Senate?

Teri Davis Newman
Consultant
2010 Republican Nominee for Congress
12th Congressional District of Illinois
www.terinewman.com

Got a link for that?...nt.

NightTwister (Diary) Friday, February 25th at 8:44AM EDT (link)

“Baseball fits America well because it expresses our longing for the rule of law while licensing our resentment of law givers.” ― Major League Commissioner of Baseball A. Bartlett Giamatti

 
 

If you can't, or don't, or just won't name names of

mbecker908 (Diary) Friday, February 25th at 8:56AM EDT (link)

possible candidates, this whole discussion is nothing but mental masturbation.

The part about ratings is on point (and I’ve made it myself a zillion times), but the comments digress when the discussion goes beyond the obvious and the nuance about ratings.

“Senator X is a RINO”. Yeah, so what. Unless you (royal “you” dh, not you) have a potential candidate to discuss, there is no discussion. McCain for instance. I’ve never voted for him in a statewide election in AZ & I’ve been here since ’92. In ’10 he could have faced a very strong challenge from Shadegg or Flake but there was no organized recruitment of either of them so JDH stepped up and filled a hole. Worst possible candidate, a waste of money, time and resources. Snowe or Brown? Got a name? Because without specifics I’ve gotta say we won’t do better and while I’m perfectly happy to see either of them go away in a primary, I’m not perfectly happy to spend resources we certainly won’t have in ’12 jousting at windmills and weakening a winning candidate for a loss in the general. Unless you’ve got a credible candidate – see Indiana and Texas – we don’t do better than the incumbent and I’m personally good with the incumbent.

There are lots of people I’d love to see lose in a primary, but if we don’t have recruitment well ahead of the election cycle, we’re just jousting at windmills. Lindsey Graham anyone?

Change

points

Daniel Horowitz (Diary) Friday, February 25th at 9:22AM EDT (link)

well taken. It is still a bit early but we’re working on it because primaries start several months earlier during presidential election years. We definitely need to be judicious in terms of who we spend time and resources on. However, the larger point is that we first must recognize that there is a problem as shown by the lame duck session.

There is always so much push back against challenging incumbents, even when there are solid challengers. I remember all of those articles bemoaning the challenge against Bennett, who is “a solid conservative”. John Danforth has already said that if Dick Lugar cannot survive in the party, then nobody can. These people are living in alternative universes. We need to prep the battle field first, and yes, learn from the mistakes of 2010.

There will always be pushback against challenging incumbents.

mbecker908 (Diary) Friday, February 25th at 9:46AM EDT (link)

After all, these people go to Washington, live there, make friends. And forget from whence they came. One sniff of power and they are wannabe DC Insiders. That will NEVER change, we simply need to adapt to the facts on the ground.

Bennett is the prime example of that adaptation. Conservatives in Utah developed their strategy based on the facts on the ground in Utah. Their strategy won’t work elsewhere right now. They identified an outstanding and well known conservative candidate to take Bennett on. They got conservatives into the party machinery that selects the candidate and they beat Bennett in caucus. I hope they do the same thing to Hatch.

I haven’t driven through the numbers with respect to Lugar, but as of now I think he can be beaten. And if we can beat Lugar with smart strategy – NOT Delaware, Nevada or Alaska ’10 – Danforth will be proved right for once in his life. No Senator will be safe.

Change

 
 
 

Beware the "future" lame duck GOP senator

gawken (Diary) Friday, February 25th at 12:42PM EDT (link)

McCain disguised himself for the electorate, and is once again acting up, reverting to his old habits. Which is why it is vital to defeat, via a primary, Lugar and Hatch. If they are elected, it will be the last terms for both, and as such they will have ZERO accountability to the voters. They can do whatever they want, and they can do considerably damage. I expect that McCain and Graham ( for Lindsay is effectively a lame duck..there is no way he survies a primary) will combine to cause significant problems for conservatives in the Senate.

 

A word about Jeff Sessions

soljerblue Friday, February 25th at 1:06PM EDT (link)

I was not surprised to see him show 100 percent in the ACU scoring. The rating I saw last year — the early part of the year — was ACU 95-point-something-or-other, one of the highest scores in the Senate at that time. He is running again in 2012, and should have a fairly smooth campaign in Alabama, which went even redder(is that a word?) in 2010. The dark side will throw some piece of cannon fodder in the listings, but with things as they are here now, he should have pretty smooth sailing. He has had very few votes with which any good conservative could disagree, and in a flipped Senate he would be a key player on Judiciary — which may be where he’ll be most needed should any supreme court seat come up.

We need to keep a few old-timers around

Melody Warbington (rwm52) (Diary) Saturday, February 26th at 1:02AM EDT (link)

to teach the freshman how things work. I’d love to see us kick Richard “Porker” Shelby out, but Sessions votes consistently with DeMint. I can’t see any of the current libs beating him in 2012 since Artur Davis has moved on, but there are some in our Tea Party who just want to kick everybody out and start over. I think that would be a huge mistake, but things could get ugly in the primary.

I think redder aptly describes the 2010 election, especially since we elected a Republican majority in the state legislature for the first time in 136 years.

The woman saith unto him, I know that Messiah cometh (he that is called Christ): when he is come, he will declare unto us all things. (John 4:25)

 
 

Yes you CAN quantify the 'Gang of 14'

takemccain2 (Diary) Friday, February 25th at 11:54PM EDT (link)

as an example of John McCain’s numerous betrayals.
I think that moment was far more defining (and damaging) than most in the GOP realize.
Social Conservatives had been rallied for the 2002 and 2004 elections and worked tirelessly to give Republicans control of the U.S. Senate for the purpose of stopping the unconstitutional filibuster of judicial appointees. This issue was core to them as they saw judicial activism chipping away at the culture of our nation. To them, culture and country are indelibly linked.
When McCain pulled his Judas along with his sycophant Lindsey Graham to sell out for political expediency, Social Conservatives left the party in droves. Argue if you wish, but it is the hard truth. Social Conservatives have never really come back and the huge loss in 2006 started with them leaving in 2005. To further illustrate the point, take a look at the 2008 election returns with emphasis on demographics. It is clear who stayed home.

I think, therefore I am not a Democrat. I fight, therefore I am not a Republican.

 

"Legacy" Republicans - a better description?

WmCraig (Diary) Tuesday, March 1st at 9:42AM EDT (link)

Just a quick thought. Incumbent Republicans implies that all previously elected individuals who belong to the Republican party are equal because there is an R next to their name.

Legacy republicans separates those who have been here before the shifting paradigm and those elected since then.

The term “legacy” could prove a valuable tool for conservatives since it implies, not so subtlety, that it isn’t only Republican freshmen that are on probation.