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Super Tuesday: Romney and Santorum Limp Along, Tea Party Claims First Scalp

Romney wins OH, VA, MA, VT, and ID; Gingrich wins GA; Santorum wins OK, TN, and ND.  Alaska is still pending.  Here are some random thoughts.

1) It looks like Romney will eke out a very narrow win in Ohio.  The pattern is becoming familiar.  Romney can’t just outspend his opponents; he must swamp them in order to pull out a narrow victory.  There is simply no comparison between Romney’s campaign apparatus and Santorum’s primitive organization.  Yes, a win is a win, and Romney is racking up many important ones.  But if superior money and organization is the only way to compensate for his flaccid appeal to the public, then what does that say about his chances against Obama in the general election when he will lack those advantages?

2) Ron Paul was able to garner 41% against Romney in Virginia, where Santorum and Gingrich were off the ballot.  He even won CD-3, picking up 3 delegates. This is not a vote of confidence in Mitt Romney.

3) All the talk of Romney closing in on Santorum in Tennessee was unfounded.  Romney clearly does not resonate in the south, even with Santorum trending down and splitting the vote with Gingrich, and even as he put some resources into the state late in the game.  In fact, Romney’s Super PAC outspent Santorum 3-1.  In the end, he only won 3 counties by narrow margins. Romney clearly has a problem with southern and evangelical voters, a key component of the GOP base.  From here, the show moves on to Kansas, Alabama, Mississippi, and then Missouri.  Rick Santorum should be in a strong position to win those states.

4) According to exit polls, 50% of Massachusetts voters feel that Romneycare went too far.

5) Newt put almost all of his time and treasure into winning his home state.  He won it. Yay!  But he came in third place even in other southern states like Oklahoma and Tennessee.  He has been coming in dead last in almost every primary.  If he really wants to see Romney defeated, he is clearly not the one with the credible plan to do so.  Santorum definitely has a more legitimate narrative.

6) Ron Paul has really fizzled since his strong performance in Iowa.  He has yet to win a primary or caucus, and all the hype about him winning North Dakota was false.

7) With Santorum losing opportunities to pick up delegates in Virginia, Georgia, Massachusetts, and part of Ohio, it is hard to see him ever winning a majority of delegates.  On the other hand, Santorum’s relatively good performance, in conjunction with a favorable calender, will encourage him to fight on and make it difficult for Romney to turn his delegate lead into a winning majority.  This might raise the hopes of those who are rooting for none of the above at the convention.

8) Perhaps, the biggest news of the night is outside the confines of the presidential election.  In OH-2, Representative Jean Schmidt was defeated in a stunning upset by conservative challenger Brad Wenstrup.  She is the first of those who voted for the debt ceiling deal to go down in a primary.  This should encourage us to focus our attention on congressional races in the coming weeks.  There are primaries in Alabama and Mississippi next week.  Several weak incumbents, such as Jo Bonner, Spencer Bachus, and Steve Palazzo, have primary challengers.  I’m especially interested in Bachus’s seat.  Let the house cleaning begin.  We should not leave any stone unturned.

Cross-posted from The Madison Project

COMMENTS

  • minister_of_war

    He really needed it. It was Romney’s 5th win of the night on Super Tuesday.

    • gumbojuice

      People here are going to spin until their heads explode, but the fact is Romney was behind in Ohio by double digits until a week ago. Ohio is right next door to PA, Santorum’s home state and has a demographic supposedly favorable to Santorum’s blue collar message. It would be like if Romney lost Vermont or NY.

      Did he KO Santorum? No. But Romney is right on track to winning the nomination. Everything else is handwringing.

      • educateactivate

        I am hoping that Mitt Romney will not be able to pull this off in the South. Except for Florida where he spent $14 million in ads attacking Newt Gingrich (and Floridians weren’t informed well enough to know that all of these ads were absolutely false) , most of the states where he has won have been states where this was no surprise. Virginia was a disgusting joke (where most people realize a lot of this ballot fiasco had to do with the Republican establishment) where he and Ron Paul were the only ones on the ballot. This could end up a race between Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum. Seemingly, the South feels the same about Romney as they felt about McCain. Until Palin surfaced no one was happy about voting for the Republican ticket.

      • joeydavis

        It would have been a nice win for Santorum but they were playing the money game for the future in Ohio. Santorum bought no advertising in the Cleveland market even though he had resources to do so.

        But he didn’t have a full slate of delegates so they chose to invest resources in more favorable environments going forward like the $1 million buy in MS AL and KS today.

        Santorum was never going to get the delegate win in Ohio, but another $100,000 invested in Ohio would have won the election. I’m not the strategist and Brabender is certainly doing a good job of playing shorthanded, but I think I would have put more chips in play.

        Some polls showed a double digit lead but I don’t believe any sane person was buying that. I think the Santorum camp had an even better night than expected in Ohio.

        Every one wants to win the golf tounament but when you’re playing a scratch golfer and you have a 10 handicap you’ll 78 against his 76.

        Spin however you want, it was a terrible night for Mitt Romney in OH. He won only one county where Republicans will compete in the fall. His staff should be on suicide watch.

        • ffc99

          as your last sentence is simply not true.

          • joeydavis

            besides Hamilton?

            I’ll take another look but Romney only won about 13 counties total. He won 4 in greater Cincy, 2 in greater Columbus and the rest in greater Cleveland.

            I suppose he might possibly carry all 4 of the Cincy counties, but after that it’s a Democratic sweep.

          • ffc99

            what you meant by “compete” in your earlier post? To my thinking, if Republicans have any hope of winning Ohio (regardless of who eventually is the candidate) we need to win counties like Butler, Hamilton, Warren, Clermont, Greene, Delaware, Lake and Geauga Counties. These are counties won by Mitt yesterday and by GW in 2004. We also need to be competitive in places like Stark, Portage, Montgomery, Franklin and Erie Counties (counties won by Mitt, which were narrowly lost by GW in 2004). Let me be clear that I’m not arguing here that Mitt is the best general election candidate. I simply wanted to take issue with your statement that he “only one county where Republicans will compete in the fall”.

      • ihateliberals

        Romney out spent Santorum 3-1. If Santorum would have had a few more dollars Ohio would have been his. Romney even had to buy his home state of Michigan. The ony states Romney seems to not struggle in re Blue to the core states and I would suspect more liberals are voting in those states. If Newt would go ahead and throw n the towel and support Santorum Romney would fade away in a heart beat. The Problem is that the GOP establishment wants Romney no matter what the people wnt and they wil stop at nothing to make sure Romney wins. It’s de ja vu all over again just like with McCain. When you pit a liberal like Romney and a liberal like Obama against each other the stronger liberals wil win. this is especailly true when Romney needs that base of people that the GOP has alienated and that is the Republican conservatives, tea party conservatives, Democratic conservatives and the independents. there is no way Romney is going to beat Obama with the lost of the strength of those four groups and actually one more group from the Bible belt. That last group might not vote for Romney but the won’t vote for Obama either.

  • clowngirl

    In other words, when Newt was the prominent non-Romney he dominated the spot more than Santorum is now.

    Had Santorum dropped out after South Carolina, Newt would be cruising to the nomination by now.

    Also — according to Rasmussen, in Ohio, Newt leaving the race would help Romney, not Santorum.

    • minister_of_war

      … the upcoming civil war between Gingrich & Santorum supporters. :D

      But if I was thinking in a purely strategic sense, Gingrich has only one in 2 States! And one of those states, Gingrich represented in Congress for 20 years. Gingrich didn’t even vote today. What a pathetic example that was for young voters. But all he had to do if he didn’t want to choose another candidate was to actually get enough signatures to be on the ballot. I mean even Ron freakin Paul made the ballot.

      Gingrich pretty much has no reason to remain in the race, but I’m glad that he is staying in to siphon off voters from Santorum so that Romney will continue to win & get the number of delegates necessary to be our nominee in Tampa.

      • clowngirl

        Interestingly enough Newt has gotten nearly as many votes as Santorum.

        I’m actually not planning to stick around to see all the pro-Santorum / Newt should get out talk.

        As I’ve already posted repeatedly — the must recent polling suggests that Newt getting out might benefit Romney more than Santorum.

        So unless I feel inspired to write a pro-Newt diary or something — I’ll be logging out and waiting till Newt is clearly back in contention before I resurface.

        I have nothing nice to say about Romney or Santorum right now — and so it’s probably best to say nothing at all.

        • therapsid

          Newt’s rationale for staying in the race is that, even if Romney may be the nominee, he can push genuine conservative ideas and policies going forward.

          What other candidate has spoken seriously about private savings accounts, reforming Social Security, and the Chilean model? What other candidate has dealt with how deregulation and massive private investment in American energy can lower gas prices and foster a new wave of growth? What other candidate has focused on how the FDA can be rolled back so that the pharmaceutical industry can introduce new cures and treatments in a timely fashion?

          The difference between Newt vs. Mitt and Rick, with all respect to the other candidates, is that he’s interested in not just an election cycle but the next decade and generation hence.

          • lapert

            Really that is just shorthand for I’m interviewing for my TV gig now.

        • hls87

          If you’re gone until Newt is back in contention, you’re gone for good. Newt was never in contention and he never will be. Ditto Santorum. Romney will beat any one of the remaining candidates or any combination of them. He’s had the nomination sewed up ever since Iowa and SC both chose to put the spotlight on utterly implausible candidates. It’s a tragedy, but it’s also a fact.

      • gumbojuice

        Romney would owe Newt one then.

      • texastaxpayer

        Here’s a hint. Those other people casting ballots are Obama supporters….

        • sowa1

          the economy gets better (hope it does) but that is no reason to vote for Obama. He has broken the Law several times, dislikes the Constitution, Goes around Congress, has added more taxes and spending and on and on. Just wait until the Bush Tax cuts expire. He had two years of all Democrat controlled Congress and still did not bother with Immigration, so don’t believe he will if he gets re-elected. Just words. To win, people vote for the Republican Candidate. That simple.

          • texastaxpayer

            That simple.

          • ragstoriches

            “But to expend millions for the sake of getting a few vile acts repealed and routing the present ministry [king?s officials] only is unworthy the charge, and is using posterity with the utmost cruelty, because it is leaving them the great work to do and a debt upon their backs, from which they derive no advantage. Such a thought is unworthy a man of honor, and is the true characteristic of a narrow heart and a peddling politician. . . .” — Thomas Paine, “Common Sense”

          • fishgod3

            When the Obama family went on vacation to Maine,I quess there was not enough room on air-force one for the family dog BO,he few on a seperate plane.In the koran it says that dogs and Muslim may not travel in the same transport. I wonder whtch one is the Muslim.

      • romeg

        is because he couldn’t vote for himself. He could only vote for his opponents.

        He’s a VA resident and he wasn’t on the VA ballot. He’s no longer a legal resident of GA so he could not vote there.

        As for his failure to be on the VA ballot, well you have a valid point. There’s no excuse for that.

        But it should be abundantly clear to all that the VA Republican establishment wanted Mitt from the Gitt-Go. They erected every barrier possible to prevent other candidates from receiving any votes whatsoever.

        Kudos to Ron Paul for getting onto the ballot.

      • clowngirl

        It’s no longer time to be fighting to be the head non-Romney.

        It’s time for both Gingrich and Santorum to do their best, win delegates, aim their harshest fire at Romney and ensure he doesn’t go to Tampa to be annointed.

    • ddawg

      However, it’s maybe apples to apples, but different kinds of apples.

      Santorum won TN and OK, finishing 2 places ahead of Gingrich in each. Gingrich won SC, finishing 2 places ahead of Santorum, but lost Florida, finishing only 1 place ahead of Santorum. Gingrich beat Santorum by 2 places in Nevada (2nd vs. 4th), but he lost badly to Romney (50-21).

      After Nevada, the focus shifted to Santorum as Not Romney, and he swept Missouri (Gingrich not on ballot) and Minnesota (Gingrich 4th), which were somewhat expected, and Colorado (Gingrich 3rd), which was not expected.

      Since then, Santorum has beaten Gingrich in every state but Georgia, including AK (likely), ID, MA, ME, MI, ND, OH, OK, TN, VT, WA, & WY.

      Gingrich has many admirable qualities as a politician. His debating skills are excellent, and he regularly demonstrates a keen intellect. The state of the race, though, is that if one does not want to see Romney become the nominee, there appear to be 2 possibilities:

      1. Gingrich stays in and manages to create a true 3-way race that yields regular results similar to Tennessee and Oklahoma, with Gingrich or Santorum winning frequently.

      2. Gingrich drops out soon, and encourages his supporters to vote for the most conservative candidate remaining.

      In both scenarios, the greatest likelihood is that no candidate enters the convention with a majority.

      However, if Gingrich stays in, but Romney ends up winning most of the races 35-30-25 or similar breakdowns (while Gingrich and Santorum split the conservative vote), there is a significant likelihood that Romney will reach a majority of delegates.

      Here’s a link to Sean Trende’s delegate calculator to see what the possible outcomes might look like: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2012/02/15/how_likely_is_a_brokered_convention.html

    • educateactivate

      Prior to the millions and millions of dollars of ads to falsely accuse Newt, with the purpose of destroying a man who has done more for America than all of the candidates together, Newt Gingrich was the only candidate who actually energized the American voters. I like Santorum a lot, but he doesn’t energize or electrify people as Newt does.

      • Scope

        that Newt is the only one that energized the voters, and Romney has carpet bombed every candidate that threatens him this entire campaign season. I heard a comment last night that was telling. At some point Romney is going to have to start winning on his own merits soon, and not just eliminating his competition with money spent to gain the nomination. Truer words were never spoken, but, alas Romney’s highest donors, Goldman Sachs just keep pouring in the money, and Romney and his PAC just keeping ramping up the negativity. I expect Romney to win the nomination, but I expect that Nov. will look like VA primary yesterday.

        • clowngirl

          Primarily against 1 guy. Plus a scorched earth effort from the media.

          Respect to Santorum but he hasn’t faced the same level of fire and he probably would’ve been seriously damaged if he were the primary Romney opponent in South Carolina and Florida. He probably wouldn’t have won Iowa if $10 million in ads ( and another scorched earth campaign from the media) had been directed against him.

          Both Gingrich and Santorum should be given their due.

          If Romney had practically tied for IA, then won NH, SC and FL and done it without having to go ultra negative – I don’t think we would’ve seen a Santoum resurgence in February.

          As it was Romney spend a lot of energy and $$ and drove up his negatives a lot- opening the door for Santorum.

          Likewise if Romney hadn’t of had to fight for MI and if he’s won ND- Super Tuesday would’ve been much worse.

    • joeydavis

      Tennessee was part of Newt’s southern strategy and Santorum took the state.So was Oklahoma for that matter.

      Santorum has won in the South (TN, OK), the midwest (IA, MN), the plains (ND0, the mountain west (CO). Gingrich has won 2 states, one where he built the Republican party from the ground up in the 1970s and it’s neighbor. Out of 20 states, Santorum has beaten Gingrich 16 times.

      After Nevada, the score was Gingrich 3 Santorum 2 head to head and 1 win each. Now the score is 16-4 and 6-2 wins for Santorum.

      Gingrich at this point has no path to victory, he’s getting beat in the south, the midwest and the mountain west. At this point all he’s doing is allowing Romney to steal states (MI and OH). There is no state where a 60-40 split or even a 70-30 split of the Santorum vote between Gingrich and Romney would have given Gingrich a win.

      I like Newt Gingrich and I won’t insult his conservative credentials but if he’s true to the conservative cause, he’ll step down. Otherwise Mitt Romney is going to win the nomination and the blood will be on Newt Gingrich’s hands.

      • clowngirl

        Let’s look at a few of yours:

        “Gingrich has won 2 states”

        True, but Gingrich has also:

        Accumulated nearly 2 million votes (1,827,336 to be exact) only 130,391 votes behind Santorum — meaning he trails Santorum by around one and a half percent of the total votes cast.

        Here’s another fact:

        Santorum has only won 1 more primary than Newt and, prior to Super Tuesday, had only a little over half as many votes as Newt.

        Santorum didn’t win his first primary till Super Tuesday. Prior to that, he won 4 caucuses (and no, I don’t see caucus wins as as indicative of general election potential as primaries)

        Let’s look at some other numbers related to what was going on when he won his first caucus ( by 0.1%) :

        $10,000,000

        That’s approximately the amount of money spent in attack ads against Newt in Iowa -just in* televised * attacks. (Newt’s daughter Jackie pointed out that if you calculated it on a per vote basis, it would take several BILLION dollars to replicate that in a general election.

        $0

        That, (AFAIK) is the amount of money spent attacking Rick Santorum.
        (I could be wrong – there may have been a few — but the vast difference in the number of attack ads

        Let’s look at a couple of other phrases that could be rightfully associated with Iowa. ( I don’t think you’ll have any trouble figuring out which candidate each applies too)

        Press going scorched earth negative to take out a candidate.

        Press doing everything possible to amplify a candidate’s fledgling momentum.

        Leaving Iowa aside, let’s look at some numbers and phrases that can be associated with South Carolina:

        23 points. That’s how much Newt beat Rick Santorum by in SC.

        19 points: that’s how much Newt led Santorum by in national polls after SC.

        “If Romney wins Florida, he’ll coast to the nomination” was, as I remember it, a common narrative at the time.

        Some said Santorum should drop out and support Gingrich — but he said (and I’m paraprasing “I don’t need to ask anyone to drop out — I’ll beat Romney straight up”

        Rick saw no problem with attacking the primary Romney alternative(and not making a peep when Romney and the press lied and misled in their attacks) and siphoning off votes in a crucial state.

        Then THE VERY NIGHT Santorum demonstrated a bit of momentum , his supporters started calling for Newt to drop out.

        I could go on with this for some time – but I’ll just skip to a couple more numbers:

        65% – that’s the percentage of delegates Santorum needs to take to win the nomination outright. (and most remaining states are proportional)

        70% that’s the percentage of delegates Newt would need to take to win the nomination outright.

        In my view there isn’t much difference between 65% and 70% — certainly not enough to justify pushing for Newt to drop out.

        2% : That’s how much Romney GAINED in a hypothetical head to head poll against Santorum if Newt was hypothetically not in the race.

        Look, I don’t want Romney to win either. But we need to be realistic that neither Newt or Santorum is likely to win a majority of delegates.

        We need a brokered convention. with most of the states proportional – having 4 candidates decreasing the likelihood of Romney getting 48% of remaining delegates. Especially when you consider this figure:

        8 out of 10

        Without thinking about it too much, I wrote down the top 10 states likely to be favorable to Romney “(which, admittedly, is somewhat subjective) 8 of them have already voted.

        (here’s the states I picked in case you’re curious:

        MA, MI (home states where he or his dad were Governor)

        ID, AZ, NV,UT, WA – all have unusually large Mormon populations, (and most of those even have floodable caucuses)

        NH and VT border MA

        NJ – North Eastern state where Chris Christie is a very vocal supporter.

        Only NJ and UT haven’t voted yet.

        In contrast there are 13 states that could be classified as Southern that haven’t voted yet.

        • http://MichaelHarrington.org Michael Harrington

          Wow Clowngirl you set my heart athumpin.

          Alas I already know your taken, all the good ones are.

          However excellent use of statistics overall.

          Color me, a Statistics hobbyist, impressed :)

          • clowngirl

            newly engaged actually! :)

            actually, I just noticed that I made an error.

            I meant to say Santorum had around have as many votes as Newt BEFORE AZ and MI – not Super Tuesday.

          • http://MichaelHarrington.org Michael Harrington

            50% * X

            Where X is the multiplier, Value is 2 for Conservative Women, .5 for Liberal women, 4 for math geniuses, and 1.999999 for a Southern Bell.

            So far this formula has never erred, lol, and cry for me :p

  • Two-Sided

    And yeah, Santorum territory is coming up with Kansas, Alabama, Mississippi, and Missouri, so that will be interesting for the Romney camp. Gingrich will make an appearance too.

    Two-Sided
    http://twosided.us

    • liberty22

      Romneys wins for all his money and attacks on Santorum and others are pathetic, 62 % of Republicans in Ohio don’t want him as is the case in other states. If Newt were out, Santorum would be walking away with this race and all you Romney Rhinos and syncopants know it.

      • clowngirl

        Rasmussen found that in a hypothetical head to head between Romney and Santorum , sans Gingrich — Romney did 2 points BETTER than with Gingrich in the race.

        Santorum didn’t have a full slate of delegates in Ohio – so, even if he’d won, he would’ve probably gotten fewer delegates than Romney.

        And I respectfully submit, that having numerous Santorum supporters calling for Newt to get out, after Santorum refused to get out when Newt was polling 19 points ahead nationally and having Romney lose Florida was really important — is probably not all that likely to persuade Newt supporters to throw in with Santorum.

  • http://MichaelHarrington.org Michael Harrington

    Will it be the mainstream incumbent, or the Ron Paul of the Left incumbent that walks away!

    Inquiring minds want to know!

  • CarolT

    I live in MA and know of a number of people that were going to vote but only to vote against Romney.
    I thought about casting my vote for Rick Perry, but I had hoped that Mitt would not win here. I should have voted with my heart for Perry, as Erick did.

    I honestly do not those two beating Obama, Newt might be able to but I heard that his made mistakes in his speech, making it all about him and $2.50 gas. I was at work and took a break and checked RS on my phone.

    • Remington_Steele

      of people voted against Romney in MA. This always comes down to a delegate contest, but it is interesting that Romney scored higher percentage of votes in his political home state than Newt did in his political home state. That’s even with 50% of people saying Romneycare went too far.

      • gumbojuice

        for Romneycare going too far though. Romney vetoed several of the more onerous amendments that were overridden by the MA legislature. That’s what happens when Dems control 85% of your legislature.

    • gumbojuice

      MA is a proportional state, he turned it into a de facto winner-take-all state.

      You honestly thought Romney would not win in MA?

      • texastaxpayer

        ;)

      • sashamanda

        Who was the last conservative to win Mass?

        • texastaxpayer

          in Massachusetts was Dukakis in 87. That of course was until Mitt Romney and his disaster of an attempt at leadership. Now they have a shiny blue liberal as governor, thanks Mitt.

        • romeg

          If a Conservative can’t win in MA then why are we nominating a former MA Governor to lead the Conservative charge against the most liberal president since FDR?

    • sowa1

      Obama. What a disaster.

      • texastaxpayer

        You have lost it dude….. Plain and simple…

      • iluvit

        There is a significant possibility now that neither of the candidates get the required delegates and a brokered convention will happen. Romney is going to have big trouble in the south

  • snowshooze

    Look, I had a horrible day.
    On the way to work… I stopped by my customary polling place.
    —zip—
    Ok, so then when I got to work, I checked the local newspaper.
    I discovered a link to GOP headquarters… fought with that to no good end. But I got their number.
    Called ‘em.
    ” Well, you go to this church…. ”
    So, I did. I had to take the highway to get there, rather then the 10 blocks to my customary polling place.
    When I arrived… it was a zoo.
    It took me 20 minutes to find a snowbank soft enough that I felt ok with crashing my $30,000.00 pickup into… and then I risked my LIFE wading through unplowed streets to make it to the polls.
    Not so bad for me, but I saw a Mother with Infants…risking life and limb.. dragging her children through unplowed streets and absolutely NO chance of using the sidewalks under 4′ of snow… in bumper-to-bumper traffic…
    OMG. This was so stupid it was dangerous.
    I would wager 40% turned around without voting. They were smarter than I.
    Additionally, this was on a captive street, with no secondary access. One way in, one way out. I spent 45 minutes just discovering that fact… and was on the verge of insanity before I escaped.
    Upon surviving this trip to the polls that some pack of idiots that call themselves the GOP party… I refused to allow my Wife to vote.
    I felt there was a very clear danger due to incompetince.
    This is totally wrong. I want to claim damage due to lack of reasonable ballot access.
    Mark

  • driveinkid

    Romney made a tremendous comeback in Michigan. Santorum was leading him by 20 points a little over a week ago in Ohio and supposedly the rust belt states are Rick’s territory. Despite that, Romney took him tonight, even doing pretty well with voters making under 50 grand. And yet across the media Mitt is considered “weak”? What would you call the guy (Santorum) who blew a 20 point lead? Strong? Newt has won 1 state (his adopted home state) and Paul is non-factor at this point. Yet somehow this all bad news for Mitt?

    • snowshooze

      MITTY wins in his own living room.
      Pull yer danged head out.

      • gumbojuice

        Rather pathetic.

        • texastaxpayer

          Snowshooze is great and I agree with him/her about 98% of the time…. Guess I belong in the pathetic group too…. :(

        • EyeofMitt

          entea

        • snowshooze

          Pawfettik.

      • driveinkid

        You can go cry awhile, there is no stopping Mitt now. Santorum would have to get 50% or more of the votes in the remaining states to beat him. Ain’t gonna happen when he is usually languishing at around 25%. The money is going to be drying up too, he is already dipping in to his personal savings.

        Neither Newt or Santorum have never had the organization in place for the long haul anyway. Newt’s campaign was a book tour that got extended because of the Cain/Perry meltdowns. Mitt is the only guy who really had a chance after Perry melted. This has been over for months.

        • snowshooze

          If you can call that impressed.

        • davesinsanantonio

          will your smugness be?

    • fishgod3

      Attack ads that were false, 3million dollars worth,this is what the party has fallen to.What happened to talk of the issues,solutions,remadies,Honest pols that really tell the truth,I quess I`m just too old. I remember when people said what they meant and meant what they said.

  • http://nobletimes.com Franklin Brown

    Sums up the evening very well. Santorum presents himself well, but missed an opportunity to really punch Romney in Ohio. Newt is barely surviving. Paul continues to be a joke.

    • annie54

      Perry’s votes in Ohio, he would have made up the 1%. I haven’t seen how many votes Perry received, but if CNN said it, it must be true. They have no reason to misrpresent the facts. (Only FOX misrepresents facts where Romney vs Santorum are concerned.)

  • EyeofMitt

    N/T

  • flapjackmaka

    i already thought Romney would win the nomination when Cain was leading and then go on to lose the presidency. We’re right on track. He wont have the money advantage or enthusiasm advantage Obama has in the general so it’s safe to assume Mittens is donezo

    • driveinkid

      Obama has no enthusiasm behind him. Sure he will get the 30% of the hard core libs but he is not the shiny new hopey changey candidate he was in 2008. The economy is in shambles, his record is awful. He is gone. Hell I know Democrats that will vote for Mitt.

      • flapjackmaka

        The democratic base is easily much more enthused than the conservative one right now. What is romney going to run on? How his state was 47 in job creation? How he was for every dem position before he was against it? He demolishes our obamacare advantage and you think he’ll be able to walk in with simply because of obama hate. Thats what libs thought in 2004. Mitts money advantage is gone in the general and mitt wont run against any more shoestring canpaigns where even when he outrageously outspends he can only squeak a win. He is a weak canidate who wont win his homestate. No geographical base whatsoever. Yeah, and i’ll love the reactions of the bots when Obama campaigns and states bain took bailouts. Romney doesnt come off as a reassuring economic voice at all and will repel the blue collar vote.

        If you think romney “the economy is improving” will beat obama, you’re smoking something funny. The romneybots will be alone on election day supporting their “one time election winning” robot.

      • la2000

        In the WSJ poll just released, Obama bests all of the republican contenders, including a generic republican, is personally more popular among independents than Romney, and a plurality of Americans preferred the idea of a democratic Congress to a republican one.

        This will not be a walk in the park. The fight hasn’t started and republicans are behind. You need to take this seriously or it’s liable to be a blow out — and not in a good way.

        As much as you may dislike Obama, he isn’t going to lose without a fight.

        • flapjackmaka

          Romney has lost a lot of money in the primaries simply to win by 2 or 3 percent. Obama has raked in 100s of millions already. Romney bots will say the polls are wrong till election day

  • gumbojuice

    Romney 33
    Santorum 29
    Paul 24
    Gingrich 14

    So much for Sarah Palin’s clout.

    That’s 6 out of 10. Again, not KO for Santorum, but still double the states and delegates.

    • snowshooze

      My old Uncle say’s ” People are stupid”
      The wisdom contained in those three words has never ceased to amaze me.

      • snowshooze

        And it was near life-threatening trying to caucus today.
        I refused to let my Wife participate.

    • driveinkid

      Palin has been taking shots at Romney and praising Newt for months and it hasn’t helped Newt. I don’t think she has any clout nor should she. She was on the last failed ticket and then quit her job in the middle of her term.

      • flapjackmaka

        Hey, at least the bots can worship romney silently when he loses to obama in one of the most important elections in the century. That’ll be a “failed ticket”.

  • http://theheartlander.wordpress.com/ heartlander

    Churchill became Prime Minister of Britain only one month before the Battle of Britain began. Churchill was nearly the only Brit of any consequence who had seen what was coming. He was despised by most Brits — criticized for being “impulsive” and “arrogant” and for having “poor judgment” and “grandiose ideas” — until Hitler’s tanks rolled into Poland, and the British people could no longer afford the luxuries of denial and wishful thinking.

    Whether people realize it or not, America’s survival is at much risk right this moment as that of Britain was in the spring of 1940. Unlike Britain, America’s most dangerous enemies are not outside our borders, but within them: Marxism and radical Islam. Not only are Alinskyite Marxists running the White House, but numerous individuals affiliated with Muslim Brotherhood offshoots occupy high-ranking positions in the Obama Administration, including the Dept. of Homeland Security.

    There is only one candidate who recognizes, understands and vocally confrontsthe two “enemies within.” Indeed, Newt Gingrich is the only politician on the national stage besides Allen West who clearly grasps what we are up against, and has the knowledge and the courage to engage both these enemies.

    Sarah Palin announced tonight that she voted for Newt Gingrich in Alaska’s presidential preference contest earlier because Newt will offer the “clearest contrast” with Obama. She also referred to Newt as “the cheerful one” of the four candidates. Indeed, Newt is a “happy warrior” — like the late, great Andrew Breitbart. Like Andrew, Newt thinks outside the box, understands who the Left really is, and takes the fight to them. I truly believe that Newt embodies the spirit of Andrew Breitbart more than any other candidate — and furthermore, that he is our own brilliant, tenacious bulldog of a Churchill.

    God help us in our hour of crisis, and may we have the good sense to elect the man who can lead us through it.

    • WillWong

      With your permission, I am going to cut and paste and email to my contacts and crediting you for the content!

      • http://theheartlander.wordpress.com/ heartlander

        You might also like to check out the links I posted below, The first is a wonderful editorial from Investors Business Daily on “Newt Gingrich Seems A Lot Like Churchill.”

        (oh and it’s “Amen Sister!”)

        • WillWong

          I remember reading the article in the Investors Business Daily!

    • http://theheartlander.wordpress.com/ heartlander

      Here they are:

      On Newt and Churchill, Click here.

      On Newt vs. Romney and Santorum, Click here.

    • http://www.doctor-bob.biz rsklaroff

      This is why I am so hard on EE’s suggestion that The Newt fold his tent.

      There is far too much focus on horserace-type discussions, and far too little on issues-focused analysis.

      The SCUM [So-Called Unbiased-Media, per "Flagstaff"] has been propping-up Santorum as the non-Mitt because he’s so vulnerable [regarding the social issues], thereby shutting-out The Newt.

      As Rush noted four years ago, the GOP should not allow the non-GOP to choose our candidate, and it would appear no one learned that lesson [or, rather, Mitt allegedly influenced the rules to maximize his ability to block the capacity for others to apply that lesson].

      *

      As I wrote [comment #3] in reacting to EE’s analysis of this alleged-”mess,” the Perry Posse [on other websites] considers him to have aided/abetted its creation. His motives may have been noble, but he ripped the rug from underneath a quality-candidate. Whether the definition fits “insanity” or “stupidity,” the concept of avoiding repetition of a proven-error must dominate.

      The lamentation among those in the Evangelical, Constitutional-Conservative, and TEA [Taxed Enough Already] Party movements is that he has consistently eschewed this level of support. It can be argued that Santorum has become the beneficiary of this vacuum–for whatever reasons that others know better than I [e.g., Vander Plaats]–but the result has been an enthusiasm deficit.

      This effort of “Wall St.” to crush “Main St.” is lamentable, but it was avoidable; it is difficult to appreciate how the wound will be healed within 1/2 year. Perhaps the epitome of this dichotomy was articulated on “The Five” on Monday, when Barbara Bush [1]–lamented negativity, and then [2]–fervently expressed the desire for Mitt to win ASAP, despite the fact that he created the negativity.

      All the gloating by Mitt’s Minions on RS won’t alter these fundamental observations, shared via ‘phone in far more graphic language than has been typed in blogs. People are trying to accommodate themselves to Santorum’s excess-verbiage [particularly sexual, as Dick Morris ticked-off...and that makes others ticked-off], but it’s difficult to achieve a comfort-level. This is for good reason, as is listed on my Diary, and these problems with his reasoning are amplified by review of his extended remarks on Church/State relations [from the Catholic...but not the "catholic"...perspective] in a speech from 2010.

      *

      As BHO continues to destroy America [domestically and overseas], one need only compare/contrast the sound-bites from The Newt with those emanating from Mitt and Santorum [during the past few days]. Santorum went to AIPAC, while the others spoke via video-’phone, but there is no question that–given the obvious forced-militarism in all three–The Newt articulated the broad-scope of what’s wrong with BHO’s overall approach to Foreign Policy.

      http://togetherwithisrael.wordpress.com/2012/03/06/full-text-israel-political-brief-republican-presidential-candidate-rick-santorums-speech-remarks-to-aipac-american-israel-public-affairs-committees-policy-conference-2012/

      http://historymusings.wordpress.com/2012/03/06/full-text-campaign-buzz-march-6-2012-republican-presidential-candidate-mitt-romneys-speech-remarks-to-aipac-american-israel-public-affairs-committees-policy-conference-2012/

      http://blogs.wsj.com/washwire/2012/03/06/gingrich-to-obama-deliver-red-line-ultimatum-to-iran/

      *

      Mitt is banking on forced-unity, a shotgun-marriage, if you will. We can envision unifying flyover-America against BHO, but his destruction of competitors yielded destruction of the verve/vitality of the supporters of these competitors. This did not have to have occurred.

      When noting erosion of support for Mitt [after revelation of his overt hypocrisy on Romney/ObamaCare this past weekend, as an example] and for Santorum [as backlash against his social stances solidifies among women], The Newt again is rising. Next week will be instructive, as he noted in yesterday’s speech [video & transcript].

      –http://newtgingrich360.com/video/watch-newt-gingrich-s-full-super-tuesday-speech-we-survived-every
      –http://historymusings.wordpress.com/2012/03/06/full-text-campaign-buzz-march-6-2012-newt-gingrichs-super-tuesday-speech-remarks-after-winning-in-gop-republican-presidential-primary-georgia/

      It was phenomenal to note how the SCUM panned it [allegedly, too self-referential, despite the fact that he tied-together the chronology with the campaign themes], particularly because it reflected both [1]–straight-talk, and [2]–precise-rhetoric. He would look forward to splicing/dicing the “delicious” “incoherent” quotes proffered by BHO, such as the “algae” solution.

      *

      The Newt speaks so eloquently, so precisely…when up against Mitt and Santorum…and it would be desirable if EE [and others] were to amplify this obvious-fact. Curiously, perhaps in reaction to the reaction to his contraception/religion satire, he chose to praise The Newt’s comments unabashedly [regarding energy independence] without even attempting “balance.” He has set an example for others [including EE] to emulate, rather than to countervail.

      Perhaps FNC reacted negatively to his speech because it lasted ~23 minutes, because it required the listener to concentrate on its content/images, because it dared to touch-upon issues. Regardless, when listening to those who would have him cease attracting delegates during the next three months, it is vital to attempt to appreciate what this stiffling effort actually entails, for each delegate [as we know from Ron Paul] carries a policy-message to the Convention, as well as a [potentially-pledged] first-ballot vote.

      Perhaps I respond to these events more aggressively because EE chose to entitle his comment “The Nominee”…even as he is fully-aware of ongoing/justifiable resistance to Mitt. If this indeed is a battle for delegates and if this indeed has not portended a sudden landslide for Mitt, then there is no reason to abandon efforts to promote a laudable alternative. People can worry about a foreshortened campaign-season [2 months to unify and implement], but they forget the ability for the party to fill this attention-gathering process during a summertime of intrigue.

      http://www.redstate.com/erick/2012/03/07/the-nominee/#comment-176050

      Illustrating why The Newt [and, by extension, Perry] should not self-silence a unique voice, one need look no further than his having appeared on Sunday-a.m. on ABC/NBC/CBS/CNN/CSPAN.

      *

      I close by quoting a posting on EE’s parallel-commentary site, edited slightly by “center77″:

      “I guess when Romney is the nominee, the valid reason to support him will be he is not Obama, but I cannot defend him against the flip flop, the dirty campaigning, or the rich guy out of touch charges. I?ll defend what he says he will do, but if someone says, you don?t know he will, I?ll have to say your right. If I was an moderate independent, I?d never support Romney, but I?m not, so unless Gingrich?s humbled himself like Perry did for him, this is over, and Romney is it.

      “My name is Timothy Bladel. I?m from Davenport, Iowa. I am a Undergraduate, Double Majoring in Journalism & Mass communication, with my other major being political science. I am conservative in nature, sometimes a tad bit libertarian; the Tenth Amendment is vital to changing this country for the better.
      http://www.timothy-bladel.com/

      “I?m a proud supporter of Rick Perry. God Bless everyone.

      ? ‘We the people’ tell the government what to do, it doesn?t tell us. We the people are the driver, the government is the car. And we decide where it should go, and by what route, and how fast.? Ronald Reagan?s farewell address (January 11, 1989).

      http://www.redstate.com/erick/2012/03/07/the-nominee/

      • http://www.doctor-bob.biz rsklaroff

        I was referring to Rush when I wrote:

        Curiously, perhaps in reaction to the reaction to his contraception/religion satire, he chose to praise The Newt?s comments unabashedly [regarding energy independence] without even attempting ?balance.?

      • romeg

        I LOVE reading your posts. Clear, concise and well reasoned and I rarely (maybe never; my memory ain’t what it used to be) find anything where I would disagree.

        As for where we now find ourselves, too many of us, I fear, would rather be right about the nominee than victorious in November.

        But I fear we are where we are precisely where we are because Mitt was running in the first place. Anyone who watched the campaign in ’07/08 knew that Mitt’s stock-in-trade is to outspend his opponent(s) with a scorched-earth approach. He has had a very chilling effect on potential candidates that might otherwise have been willing to take Obama on.

        He has spent tens of millions of dollars telling voters why they should not vote for any candidate but himself but has made no compelling case why anyone SHOULD vote FOR him. How imaginative must one be to repeat the mantra “I’ve worked in the Economy. I’m not a politician.” when he has, in fact, spent about half of his adult life running for office.

        If we lose in November HE should be forever reminded of why that happened. If we win in November we should be grateful that enough Americans recognized the danger that 4 more years of Obama poses to our way of life and the form of Government that Lincoln described as “..Of, By and For the People…” but should take no comfort in the belief that it will be preserved by President Romney.

  • la2000

    Romney’s only path to the nomination is if conservatives remain divided. It is time for Santorum and Gingrich to have the merger conversation. One takes the top of the ticket, the other agrees to take VP and they run united as conservative messengers. This must happen before the southern states vote. It is the last firewall.

    If you look at the states Romney has won, 2 of the 5 could have been flipped by combining the “conservative” votes for Gingrich and Santorum (Ohio and Alaska), In fact, Ohio would have been a blow out for conservatives. But conservatives have diluted their strength by running two candidates.

    Who should be at the top? While Santorum has managed to collect more delegates, Gingrich has the billionaire backing to really build an organization and give Romney a serious run, (although either of them could work.)

    This can’t wait. It must happen NOW. This is a battle between the “electables” who think that the country will dump a personally popular sitting President just to take one baby step to the right, and the “conservatives” who think that only a real and dramatic alternative will motivate voters to show up and vote.

    Victory in November hangs in the balance. The next few weeks will determine whether we win or lose.

    • driveinkid

      Rasumussen polls indicated that Newt’s supporters would have gone to Romney more than Santorum in Ohio. Don’t assume that if Santorum or Gingrich quits that all of their support automatically goes to one or the other.

      • la2000

        The idea is to unite the two constituencies by having the candidates run as a “ticket” at the primary level, not to have one or the other quit.

        • snowshooze

          And will hold out ’till heck freezes over.

        • http://www.doctor-bob.biz rsklaroff

          …was fleshed-out on my Diary site.

  • snowshooze

    That is the best two words I can say about him

    • flapjackmaka

      It’s obama’s election to lose. All his advantages will be gone against Obama and he’ll lose in tremendous action. There is no path to victory for him. Obama wins ohio, where he is leading and mitt is hated among indies and blue collar folk, and it’s done.

      I bet the bots think mittens can take my homestate of PA, lol

    • gumbojuice

      Do they have grapes in Alaska?

      • EyeofMitt

        frozen grapes left in Anchorage — just ask around.

      • flapjackmaka

        You’ll be crying in November when the electable mess isnt elected. He isnt even leading obama before the media and his campaign machine start going. He’ll make the election about honesty, mitten’s worst attribute

        • EyeofMitt

          You all remind me of the quarterback in high school who can’t get the head cheerleader. And when the class president all around great guy gets the girl the quarterback has no other way of expressing dissatisfaction or using other coping skills except than burning down the entire school to get back at the quarterback. Now THAT’S what I call pathetic! See you in November —– pssst — I know you will be there too. Goodnight all.

          • snowshooze

            If I have to vote for that spineless jelyyfish..
            sobeit.

          • flapjackmaka

            Ok, what is mitten’s path to victory. You talk about getting girls=winning elections. Romney has won one election in his entire lie of a career. The election so far has Romney losing to Obama in the polls. You dont have any defense of Mitt anymore now that his polling advantage over Obama is gone. His money is going away with each primary and will be nothing against Obama who can garner more enthusiasm amongst his base than Romney ever could.

            You can only win elections by giving people something to vote for. Mittens or his bots have not done it.

  • wagthedog

    Did you see? Look how many voted AGAINST Mitt Romney. It’s too late for a 3rd Party now, or ever. Romney cannot beat Obama, neither can Santorum or Gingrich. Now, regardless of who ends up with the Republican nomination, there will only be one way to win……..play the wildcard.
    The wildcard is their pick for Vice President. That decision is going to be the one that will determine if those who don’t like Romney will go vote against Obama or stay at home – or the bar. The outcome of this election now lies exclusively on VP selection.

    • snowshooze

      And then knock off whoever is the President to get him in?
      Hey… cool strategy.

      • wagthedog

        …glad you thought of it.

    • naraht

      Just curious as to the last time that you think that the VP choice mattered in who won the election…

      • texastaxpayer

        If Sarah “gun toting beauty” Palin couldn’t swing it what makes you think Rubio or West can?? I like them both but not enough to vote for a northeastern liberal who frankly has a record more Obama than Reagan.

        • wagthedog

          John McCain was the problem. Sarah was the only way I could vote for him without vomiting in my mouth – but nothing could have made me vote for Obama.
          I don’t like Romney, but I’ll take damage control over total destruction.

      • wagthedog

        I am 48. I’ve been paying close attention to politics for about 10 years. Spotty attention prior going back to 1980. In my opinion, there have been no other Presidential elections where the choice for VP was so critical.

  • Scope

    Yeay. He can spend his time out looking for space aliens, or drumming up more conspiracies with his good friend Ron Paul. Also in another piece of good news, the NRA, who is supposedly strong in IN, is going to be endorsing Lugar’s conservative challenger Mourdock today.

    Kusinich- Gone
    Lugar-Gone
    Hatch- Gone

    We really do need to start focusing on the House and Senate races.

    • Repair_Man_Jack

      -NT.

  • Melody Warbington (rwm52)

    It’s past time to toss Spencer “Spender” Bachus a/k/a Spencer Stabbed Us in the Bachus.

    State Senator Scott Beason has the best shot. He is a solid conservative who has done a great job in the state legislature. Bachus has a lot of money to spend, and his campaign is focused on running ads that pitt him as the conservative who will continue to fight Obama. I don’t think Beason has a lot of money, but tea party folks are behind him.

    Here’s a link to Beason’s website Beason.

    If Bachus wins the primary, it could very well lead to a loss for the GOP. Even though our district is solid red, I don’t think Bachus will be able to generate any enthusiasm, and in fact, many are angry with him (and rightly so). The Dems are running 2 candidates in their primary. One sounds like a conservative. The other is still running against Bush. If the former wins, based on what I’ve heard about her, she’ll be a strong challenge to our nominee, especially if it’s Bachus.

  • annie54

    woke up confused mentioning Panetta, went back to sleep, then woke up again asking for questions from the panel. He was told there is no panel. It’s on video

    Gingrich Falls Asleep at AIPAC, Wakes Up More Than a Little Confused .

    And, I do mean with all due respect to Newt. I like him. However, . . . .

  • gwbramhall

    Did I hear right, did Rep. Kucinich lose his seat
    yesterday? I thought I heard it amongst all the
    election news this morning. Why so little noise?

    No, it was not a dream! See:

    http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/dennis-kucinich-loses-ohio-primary-challenge-is-this-a-career-ending-defeat/2012/03/07/gIQAhQMPxR_story.html

  • soljerblue

    is not a “weak” candidate, Moe. he has money to burn, and the (hefty) state GOP on his side. However, he IS vulnerable. In 2010 he had one quite strong, and a couple of earnest but weaker primary opponents. This time he has two — one of whom, a well-known and generally liked state senator is primarily responsible for Alabama’s new, and very popular, immigration law. That senator has a lot less $$$ than Bachus (of course), but he has at least a fighting chance at a run-off. Bachus is my 6th District Rep, and I have followed his career for years. There’s an undercurrent in the district that it’s time for a change. This may be the year, maybe not, but another cycle could see Bachus beathen, or choosing to retire.

    We can hope.