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New Record Monthly Deficit 37 Months into Obama’s Presidency

Here’s a headline you won’t see in the media this week: we incurred the largest monthly deficit on record in February.

Seven months into a government “reined in” by the Budget Control Act, we are supposed to be reaping the benefits of budget reduction.  Yet, according to CBO, we incurred a gargantuan $229 billion $232 billion deficit in the month of February.  The conservative Washington Times was the only publication to note that this was the largest monthly deficit on record.  Keep in mind that we didn’t start accruing annual deficits of $230 billion until this past decade.  The preliminary estimates from CBO projected outlays at $335 billion and revenues at $103 billion.  Our total deficit for the first 5 months of fiscal year 2012 is $631 billion ($869 billion in revenue; $1.5 trillion in outlays).

Think for a moment about what it means to spend $335 billion in 29 days.  It comes out to $11.5 billion per day; $480 million per hour.  So the next time Congress deliberates over a few billion in spending cuts over the course of a month, remember that we will add several hundred billion more in debt during the course of the debate.

What is so astounding about the record monthly deficit is that it comes amidst a recovery in the job market and an overall increase in revenues.  Due to quirks in the scheduling of government payments, February is always a bad month; nevertheless, even during the worst months of the recession, we never suffered such a large budget deficit.  In February 2009, the monthly deficit checked in at $193.8 trillion.  At a time when tax receipts are increasing again (corporate tax receipts are up 56%), we should not be racking up such high deficits.  Hence, it is incontrovertibly clear that we don’t have a revenue problem; we have a spending problem, most prominently, an entitlement and welfare problem.

While some figures show spending for the year down a few points, that reduction is entirely due to an accounting shift.  Most federal entitlement payments are sent out on the first of the month; however, this year, October 1 (which was also the first day of the fiscal year) fell out on a Saturday.  As such, $31 billion of October’s payments (accounting for 55% of this year’s “deficit reduction” and 92% of outlay reduction) went out on the last day of September, thereby saving the new fiscal year from the extra accounting burden.  So ultimately, we have not cut a dime in spending (even before the record deficit set in February).  As CBO notes, spending has actually gone up in some areas:

“In contrast, net payments to the government-sponsored enterprises Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac increased by $11 billion, as compared with those in the first five months of fiscal year 2011. Adjusted for timing shifts, outlays for Social Security benefits and Medicare also were higher, by $14 billion (or 5 percent) and $6 billion (or 3 percent), respectively.”

Over the next few months, we’re going to witness sharp debates over the FY 2013 budget resolution, the sequester, and the level of discretionary spending.  While it is certainly important to reduce as much discretionary spending as possible, it is clear that any budget deal that ignores mandatory spending will do nothing to stop the record deficits.

Cross-posted From The Madison Project

COMMENTS

  • radicalrighty

    .

  • Ausonius

    …who will be trumpeting this additional nail in America’s coffin against BIG BRObama?

    We await the TV and radio ads! We await the indignant news conferences…

    Oh wait! Maybe there won’t be any such thing, because…

    so many Republicans have gone along with this idiocy?

  • Flagstaff

    $229 billion deficit in February.

    Obama administration claims to have “created” 227,000 jobs in February.

    In other words, about $1 million in extra borrowing to “create” each of those jobs.

    Can I get me one of them million-dollar jobs?

    • poiema

      we continually elect people who do not have the common sense that the person on the street has. Anybody who is not dead knows you can’t continually spend two to three times what you make without falling into total ruin. yet we enter another election season where the populace will be tricked into electing the same kind of people. Time is running out.

  • Flagstaff

    At a time when tax receipts are increasing again (corporate tax receipts are up 56%), we should not be racking up such high deficits. Hence, it is incontrovertibly clear that we don?t have a revenue problem; we have a spending problem, most prominently, an entitlement and welfare problem.

    Our candidates need to hammer this everyday.

  • wennejunk

    One thing that doesn’t seem to ever get brought out is: where are we spending the money?

    These numbers are meaningless (as in ‘mind-numbling-overwhelming-meaningless’) with out the reference of where the money is going.

    It is hard to be outraged and take action (vs. simply hopelessly depressed) without detail.

  • rebel999

    Just as a household has to borrow to get itself out of a financial hole President Obama had to borrow to get America out of the financial hole that was given to him when he became president. However our budget deficits will greatly decrease next year as the Bush tax cuts are no more. Our economy is improving and that will lessen the cost of government and bring in more revenue to the government. So brighter days are just ahead.

    • Juggernaut

      so till we see far more jobs created you’re just blowing smoke hoping it will work out but the fact remains Obama has a 3.6 trillion budget and a portion of that is reserved for Executive Earmarks aka payoffs to sleazebags and congressional big spenders. Don’t expect the Bush tax cuts to change, Obama is in bed with the 1% too and we can make the books balance only after cutting entitlements, education and safe areas in defense.

    • funwithknives

      on a thing, and you will get less of said thing. Income Taxes and Cap. Gains were raised by Gordon Brown and Assoc. in G. B. to give the illusion of fairness {where have we all heard THAT ONE lately?} and revenue went down.

      The same will apply here as it has before and will again.

      They’re called *Truisms* for a reason, rebel999. Could it just be that they are TRUE?, and historically proven? If growth is projected at < than 3% next year, with the Bush cuts not in law currently , where is all the money coming from? By their own admissions we all hear fairly often Barry's boys often use the well-excercised term *Unexpected* to give themselves cover.
      Could it be in the realm of possibility it is because they are That Clueless about Econ#101?,and basically are shooting at 'demons in the dark'? What we have is ample evidence of this proposition.

      You really want to "lessen the cost of government?" Stop spending what you do not have. A child knows this, but Barry does not, and examples such as yourself ,seemingly swallow it whole.Keeps the taste to a minimum ….eh?

    • http://908StraightSt.wordpress.com/ mbecker908

      Give you mom back her laptop and zip up.