« BACK  |  PRINT

RS

MEMBER DIARY

Victory in NC and IN, But There’s More to Do

The big news of the night is that Richard Mourdock absolutely eviscerated John Kerry and Vladimir Putin’s favorite Republican 60-40%, an unprecedented feat going up against a 35-year incumbent.  On the other hand, it’s not surprising, and yet, it serves as a potent lesson for the Tea Party going forward.

Richard Mourdock wasn’t always this inexorable juggernaut.  He was way behind in the polls for most of the year.  It wasn’t until he began to show a little promise that the Club for Growth jumped in and dropped $1.5 million into the race (Erick endorsed him a long time ago).  Then, in a self-fulfilling cycle of winners and losers, Mourdock began to evince the image of a winner.  It became cool to support Mourdock.  At that point, the entire movement united behind him, as even some usual suspects who aren’t with us in other races jumped aboard the Mourdock ship.  The more Mourdock looked like a winner the more people supported him.  Thus, the margin of victory is not that surprising.

We must learn a lesson from here.  Yes, it takes a good candidate and a lot of money to win against establishment incumbents, and even challengers.  But we won’t always have the luxury of waiting until the candidate is surging to jump in.  In some races we must coalesce behind the conservative before he/she takes off, or else he will never take off.  To that end, we have unfinished business to do.

In North Carolina CD-8, the Cantor/establishment candidate, Richard Hudson, only won 32% against Scott Keadle’s 22%.  There will be a runoff.  Keep in mind that the other lesser candidates in the race, who garnered 45% of the vote in total, enjoyed a lot of Tea Party support.  Many of their supporters should go to Keadle.  However, he needs our help.  Keadle will stand with the most conservative members of Congress and lead a coalition to challenge leadership when necessary.  This is a guy who is worth as much support as a Senate candidate.

In other good news, the North Carolina marriage amendment cruised to victory 61-39%.  Yes, even one that bans gay civil unions.  Don’t worry; it also bans father-son civil unions too, so I can’t form one with my 2-year old son who I love dearly.  Some things in life just aren’t fair.  Words and concepts have meaning, especially those that have been defined since the dawn of times.

In NC-11, conservative Mark Meadows, who was involved with the marriage amendment, fell just short of the 40% needed to avoid a runoff.

There are also other lessons to internalize here.  In CD-2 and CD-6 Renee Ellmers and Howard Coble were kept to just 56% against no name candidates.  In IN-8, mediocre incumbent Larry Bucshon was kept to 58% against his opponent who spent just $10,000.  If we put up semi-viable candidates and work them hard, we can take out incumbents.  But we can’t wait until the challenger is ahead.

With that said, let’s look forward to #hatchnext.

And there’s plenty of work to do with open seats and Democrat incumbents: Ted Cruz, Don Stenberg, Richard Mourdock, Mark Neumann, Josh Mandel, Clark Durant, and Jeff Flake.

bonus election tidbits

  • Keith Judd, a federal prisoner, garnered 41% of the vote against Obama in the West Virginia Democrat primary.  That guy also won a number of counties.
  • In the Wisconsin recall primaries, Scott Walker received as many votes as all the Democrat candidates combined, even though he had no competitive primary.  That bodes well for us in the general recall election against Tom Barrett.

Cross-posted from The Madison Project

Get Alerts

COMMENTS

  • rabun1016

    Name a dentist who was a good legislator. He could be the first, I guess. Working in small dark cavities may be similar to what is now required. But I see no across the board conservative positions from Keadle other than fiscal thriftiness.

    • http://madisonproject.com/ Daniel Horowitz

      right on his site plan for America

      • Flagstaff

        Dick Morris was on TV last night, plugging his new book, Screwed! One of his points (also made in the book, he said) is that re-elected or not, the current crop of Senatorial and Executive losers will be working to approve some anti-US treaties during the lame duck session. There’s no reason to think Dick Lugar won’t be right in there with them. An example is the Law of the Sea Treaty, which was postponed until Lugar had a chance to win his primary.

        Any attempts to approve treaties in the next months must be thwarted, and that might require filibuster support from every Republican (RINO or not) in the Senate.

      • davidsongirl

        the marriage amendment. At the polls, people were asking the candidate representatives where they stood, and Hudson’s people said Hudson opposes the amendment. The Cabarrus County Commissioner who tried to primary Republican State House Rep. Larry Pittman also opposed the amendment, and his people were handing out anti-marriage amendment flyers.

    • rowanconservative

      I didn’t vote for Keadle in the primary but certainly will in the runoff. I supported John Whitley because Whitley was, by far, the best candidate. Keadle seemed unprepared in the debates. He got flustered at times and just didn’t have the thoughtfulness, confidence, and demeanor of Whitley. But, his position on the issues is very conservative. The supporters of the lesser candidates will go for Keadle but he will need to spend some money to match the Hudson marketing machine.

      • rabun1016

        Anyone know Keadle’s position on gay marriage? Federal funds for abortion and planned parenthood? The right of the fed govt to impose requirements on church school employees regarding birth control etc.? I could not find anything in his plan. I hope he is conservative on values, as well as finances.

        • davidsongirl

          n/t

    • dodgeone

      https://www.legis.iowa.gov/Legislators/legislatorAllYears.aspx?PID=915 State Representative Gary Blodgett Retired Orthodontist he served IA from 1993 to 2001

  • septembergurl

    Federal inmate #11593-051. It’s like a country-western song. i think we can say the appalachian vote is lost to the dems for the near future.

  • elayman

    And the bandwagon of a candidate winning but with possible ethics issues is no better when it is our side than the Democrats. But his is ideologically worlds better than Lugar so here is hoping for a more positive campaign against Donnelly !

    • davesinsanantonio

      nothing but smears!

      • commonsenseobserver

        When your opponents’ views are silly enough to be ignored.

    • http://xmmlbchat.blogspot.com katesmith

      It’s said Mourdock got $1.4 million from Club for Growth leaving $600,000 from small donors. If anyone is looking like a big money super pac hack it’s Lugar not Mourdock. Mr. Lugar should not have run for a 7th term against anyone. And he should not have advocated for global warming.

      • acat

        Talk about money poorly spent!

        Mew

      • elayman

        The conservative Club for Growth has spent nearly $1.5 million attacking Lugar in support of Mourdock; tea party sponsor FreedomWorks’ super PAC has spent $646,000, and the National Rifle Association’s NRA of America Political Victory Fund has spent $525,000, according to estimates from the Federal Election Commission and figures from the Campaign Media Analysis Group.

        http://www.theindychannel.com/politics/31030586/detail.html

  • zachv

    I was assuming it was only going to be in the 55-45 range.

    (FANTASTIC that Walker took in almost more votes than the entire Democratic primary! I’m more happy about that than I am disappointed in NC.)

    • celador2

      I knew yesterday was the Democratic primary and since its an open primary those interested in that race would participate in large numbers. I knew Walker wanted supporters to vote for him but did not know if many would bother as he had no real competition.

      What a happy surprise!

      Yet Scott Walker swept the state and got the most votes of all running. And more voters made a choice to take part in Republican primary than Democratc primary.

  • jimmaloney

    I went by my precinct yesterday morning to vote in the Keadle-Hudson NC-08 race and did not see the race on my ballot. I questioned a poll worker and learned to my extreme displeasure that the recently Republican-redrawn boundaries have moved my precinct out of the 8th and into the notorious 12th-and my representative is no longer Larry Kissell but (expletive deleted) Mel Watt…needless to say I was NOT pleased…

    (someone: please tell me how a Republican State House could add to the mess that is the NC-12th-unless it is a process of addition by subtraction)

    • davidsongirl

      which helped in other districts, but probably made the 12th even stronger for Mel Watt. Overall, it’s a win, but for us, it’s hopeless.

      Jack Brosch will run against Mel and we will help him all we can to turn out the vote in November and to educate a few undecideds about which party is right for them.

  • skorrent1

    If the establishment, led by Rove, will pull another Angle/O’Donnell and start badmouthing Mourdock to give us a Dem senator from Indiana and teach those TEA-baggers another lesson!!

  • infiltr8tr

    I read a column the other day where Hatch was quoted as saying some rather harsh things about the Tea Party & a challenge to his seat. It went something like, “I don’t know who they think they are but they don’t come into my state and say what they want about me, not without getting punched in the mouth.”
    Funny how people like this never say anything remotely to their political opponents like……..Pat Leahy, people who deserve to rot in prison, but let a challenger from the right step up and tell them that their time is over and watch the fur fly!!!!
    I don’t live in the state, but I’ll say this and this goes for anyone else from the Tea Party unseating a challenger; Promise that one of your first acts after being inaugurated will be to haul Trumka, Holder, Jones, Ayers, Jackson Lee, Waters, Dodd & Frank before your committee on live television to explain their actions for the last four years, while the DOJ simultaneously conducts an investigation on what role they had in all the money disappearing and I’ll tell you what, whatever money I have (It isn’t much) will go to your campaign.

  • celador2

    When I voted before one o’clock I was number 407, a low turnout. I was stopped upon entry by a man at a round table who asked my name to check if I had voted by absentee. I had not so everything else in voting was normal. I signed my name after I accepted my ballot. These two reforms cut down on fraud. Photo ID is on hold.

    All evening I checked a map of Wisconsin counties from Yahoo news link to POLITICO. To my surprise iI saw that as many or more Republicans voted to stand with Scott as did Democrats despite a heated contest by Democrats between municipal workers backed Kathlene Falk and Milwaukee mayor Tom Barrett.

    This was the first real time test that shows how much voters support Walker compared to Democra rivals. But, a Marquette U poll shows a Barrett tie. This will be a hard race as both sides are determined to win. The recall overwhelms everything else, even the presidential primary with a 25% turnout. Recall primary had 30-35%.

    Dane county went for Barrett at 61-31 over Falk. But Falk is former Executive Dane and had government union support of all those city and county union members. Apparently not.

    Scott was upbeat and his old energetic self at his victory speech in the clip I saw. And he is getting down to basics. His office issued a nasty statement against Barrett before polls closed. Barrett is a two time loser. Today he said city Milwaukee was poorly run. Until now Scott Walker ads were pale and wimpy.

    Sock it to em, Scott smack ‘em down! Lets keep moving!

    Stand wth Scott Walker
    Rebecca Kleefisch
    four state senators

    Cel

  • Pingback: Resource