Here is a not so secret dirty little secret. For the past month a lot of conservatives have been nervous over Sharron Angle's Senate bid in Nevada. Her campaign seemed uncoordinated and unprofessional — amateurishly caught off guard by the hell unleashed on her.
Behind the scenes, Sharron Angle recognized she needed to regroup and reassess. For the past couple of weeks there has been a reorganization, some new faces, and renewed commitment to winning. Angle realizes a lot more is at stake than just beating Harry Reid.
Conservatives went with Angle against Sue Lowden. If Angle screws us, there will be a lot of egg on a lot of conservatives' faces by the "we told you so" crowd — some of whom would actually like to see Harry Reid win so they can rub it in.
I've now been on the ground in Nevada, met with Sharron Angle, gotten to know her updated campaign team, and talked to Nevada voters. Harry Reid should be scared.
Take a look at the various surveys of Nevada, including the latest Rasmussen survey that has it 45% to 43% in favor of Reid, and I'm not so worried about Sharron Angle being two points behind the incumbent Majority Leader of the United States Senate.After left-wing groups have poured more than $11 (ELEVEN) million into Nevada to tar and feather both Sharron Angle and the tea party movement, she is only two points behind. More troubling for Reid, after all the shift in support away from Angle, Reid hovers at 45% and can't get most of the undecideds to come to him.
It is as if the undecideds want to see some signs of good faith and competence from Angle and they'll go back to her. Given the Reid ground game in Nevada, it is apparent that he understands this too.
Dive into the numbers and it is easy to see what has Harry Reid so scared and his son afraid to use his last name in his own gubernatorial race.
Angle leads among white voters 48% to 41%.
Angle leads among seniors 48% to 43%.
Among unaffiliated voters, Reid barely wins 41% to 39%. This one is within the margin of error.
Then there are the negatives:
- Voters who have a strongly negative opinion of Harry Reid outnumber those who have a strongly negative opinion of Sharron Angle 48% to 41%.
- Seniors who have a strongly negative opinion of Harry Reid outnumber seniors who have a strongly negative opinion of Sharron Angle 47% to 36%; and
- Unaffiliated voters who have a strongly negative opinion of Harry Reid outnumber unaffiliated voters who have a strongly negative opinion of Angle 52% to 44%.
Add to that data from Rasmussen that 62% of Nevadans have a negative view of Barack Obama and there are lots of danger signs for Harry Reid.