Trump’s Next Victim: Pollsters
There’s a market for bad polls showing Trump competitive with Hillary Clinton. Guess who is jumping in?Read More »
i wrote multiple times in my post the other day that I still want Christine O’Donnell to win the Delaware Primary, and I do. See for example this line:
“I wish Christine O’Donnell the best. I’d rather her than Castle.”
and this line:
“I want Christine O’Donnell to win.”
Nonetheless, many people read my prior post as a decision to support Castle, which I made absolutely clear it was not. In light of recent events, I want to add a few more thoughts.The Wall Street Journal, my favorite newspaper, wants tea party activists to compromise in Delaware in favor of Mike Castle. The last time this newspaper wanted conservatives to compromise, it was to pass TARP. ‘Nuff said.I would rather 50 seats without Mike Castle than 51 seats with Mike Castle. The push to support Mike Castle by “conservative” groups, pundits, and others says more about the selling out of the conservative movement to the GOP than anything else. It happened in the Bush years and many conservatives were so thoroughly co-opted by the GOP Establishment they might as well be cut off from the conservative movement permanently.Conservatism is not Republicanism. For all the people saying conservatives should compromise and support Castle, I dare say the conservatives who take them up on that offer will be more willing to compromise their principles than a Senator Castle.Good for the Tea Party Express supporting O’Donnell. Good for Sean Hannity having O’Donnell on his show yesterday too.That said, I stand by my prior post.Every campaign has three limited elements: time, talent, and treasure.In the conservative campaign to move the Senate right, I do not see how we wisely spend the resources on Christine O’Donnell’s bid when we could help Ovide LaMontagne in New Hampshire, some of the conservatives still running in the New York primaries, or Sharron Angle, Ken Buck, Rand Paul, etc. and get those people through the general election.Yes, I do believe that a candidate who is down ten points can win. Heck, Rubio was down thirty points when I went all in with him. But there was time.There are just over sixty days left in Delaware.Likewise, were Christine O’Donnell to win the primary, and again, I hope she does, I do not believe she is surrounded with people fully capable of firing on all the necessary cylinders in the general election. This is not, by and large, her fault. The GOP establishment and paid political class abandoned her for pro-abort leftist she’s running against.But with limited time and limited talent and already limited treasure, I cannot in my mind justify encouraging conservatives to cast their lot in Delaware.It may be crass to say, but in the battle between midgets and tigers, the midgets can win, but only if a few of them get eaten. In the battle between conservatives and the establishment, conservatives can win, but only if a few of them get eaten.Thats what Delaware looks like to me. I want O’Donnell to win, but I lack the faith in her campaign’s ability to pull it off that I had in Rand Paul, Mike Lee, Ken Buck, Maro Rubio, Pat Toomey, and others.Now, it is very possible I’m wrong about all this. I’d love to be wrong. I’d love to see O’Donnell in the Senate. But the probability that I am wrong is ridiculously small.Your mileage may vary.