Seven More Days. You Have Not Stopped Obama. You Have Won Nothing.

By: Erick Erickson (Diary) | October 26th, 2010 at 05:00 AM |

RESIZE: AAA

You have not stopped Barack Obama. You have not, to paraphrase P. J. O’Rourke, served the restraining order.

You have not made this country safe.

You have not stopped the advance of socialism in this country.

You have not stopped the Democrats from destroying the economy.

You, all of you, have won nothing. NOTHING.

And it will stay that way — imaginary wins, fictitious actions against an elite hostile toward the idea of America — unless you vote on November 2nd.

You, me, all of us, we have won not one damn race. Many have decided it is in the bag. Many have decided they’ve done all they can, given all the can, and are now resting.

Don’t rest. The election is exactly seven days from day.

You have won not one race. But you can.

Vote.

And then the real fight begins November 3rd.

In the meantime, here again are the top 99 races in the country. The GOP only needs 39. 37 are already swinging their way. Bold picks are my personal favorites.

Give money. Volunteer. Pray.

Rank	2010 Incumbent	District	Nominee	Rating
1	Melancon	LA3	Jeff Landry	Safe R
2	Gordon	TN6	Dianne Black	Safe R
3	Snyder	AR2	Tim Griffin	Likely R
4	Ellsworth	IN8	Larry Bucshon	Likely R
5	Moore, D.	KS3	Kevin Yoder	Likely R
6	Edwards, C.	TX17	Bill Flores	Likely R
7	Kilroy	OH15	Steve Stivers	Likely R
8	Massa	NY29	Tom Reed	Likely R
9	Markey	CO4	Cory Gardner	Likely R
10	Halvorson	IL11	Adam Kinzinger	Likely R
11	Kosmas	FL24	Sandy Adams	Likely R
12	Tanner	TN8	Stephen Fincher	Likely R
13	Dahlkemper	PA3	Mike Kelly	Likely R
14	Driehaus	OH1	Steve Chabot	Lean R
15	Kratovil	MD1	Andy Harris	Lean R
16	Kirkpatrick	AZ1	Paul Gosar	Lean R
17	Perriello	VA5	Robert Hurt	Lean R
18	Nye	VA2	Scott Rigell	Lean R
19	Stupak	MI1	Dan Benishek	Lean R
20	Shea-Porter	NH1	Frank Guinta	Lean R
21	Baird	WA3	Jaime Herrera	Lean R
22	Hodes	NH2	Charlie Bass	Lean R
23	Teague	NM2	Steve Pearce	Lean R
24	Grayson	FL8	Dan Webster	Lean R
25	Kagen	WI8	Reid Ribble	Lean R
26	Kanjorski	PA11	Lou Barletta	Lean R
27	Berry	AR1	Rick Crawford	Lean R
28	Pomeroy	ND1	Richard Berg	Lean R
29	Obey	WI7	Sean Duffy	Lean R
30	Sestak	PA7	Pat Meehan	Lean R
31	Childers	MS1	Alan Nunnelee	Lean R
32	Murphy, P.	PA8	Michael Fitzpatrick	Lean R
33	Kissell	NC8	Harold Johnson	Lean R
34	Titus	NV3	Joe Heck	Toss Up/Tilt R
35	Boyd	FL2	Steve Southerland	Toss Up/Tilt R
36	Boccieri	OH16	Jim Renacci	Toss Up/Tilt R
37	Space	OH18	Bob Gibbs	Toss Up/Tilt R
38	Mollohan	WV1	David McKinley	Toss Up
39	Schauer	MI7	Tim Walberg	Toss Up
40	Herseth Sandlin	SD1	Kristi Noem	Toss Up
41	Marshall	GA8	Austin Scott	Toss Up
42	Spratt	SC5	Mick Mulvaney	Toss Up
43	Mitchell	AZ5	David Schweikert	Toss Up
44	Arcuri	NY24	Richard Hanna	Toss Up
45	Hill	IN9	Todd Young	Toss Up
46	Carney	PA10	Thomas Marino	Toss Up
47	Foster	IL14	Randy Hultgren	Toss Up
48	Hall, J.	NY19	Nan Hayworth	Toss Up
49	Bright	AL2	Martha Roby	Toss Up
50	McNerney	CA11	David Harmer	Toss Up
51	Giffords	AZ8	Jesse Kelly	Toss Up
52	Minnick	ID1	Raul Labrador	Toss Up
53	Salazar	CO3	Scott Tipton	Toss Up
54	Schrader	OR5	Scott Bruun	Toss Up
55	Adler	NJ3	Jon Runyan	Toss Up
56	Klein	FL22	Allen West	Toss Up
57	Hare	IL17	Bobby Schilling	Toss Up
58	Rodriguez, C.	TX23	Quico Canseco	Toss Up
59	Davis, L.	TN4	Scott DesJarlais	Toss Up
60	Chandler	KY6	Andy Barr	Toss Up
61	Boswell	IA3	Brad Zaun	Toss Up
62	Owens	NY23	Matt Doheny	Toss Up
63	Bishop, S.	GA2	Mike Keown	Toss Up
64	Delahunt	MA10	Jeff Perry	Toss Up
65	Donnelly	IN2	Jackie Walorski Swihart	Toss Up
66	Skelton	MO4	Vicky Hartzler	Toss Up
67	Murphy	NY20	Chris Gibson	Toss Up
68	Wilson, C.	OH6	Bill Johnson	Toss Up
69	Taylor	MS4	Steven Palazzo	Toss Up
70	Grijalva	AZ7	Ruth McClung	Toss Up
71	Bishop	NY1	Randy Altschuler	Toss Up/Tilt D
72	Heinrich	NM1	Johnathan L. Barela	Lean D
73	Critz	PA12	Tim Burns	Lean D
74	Boucher	VA9	Morgan Griffith	Lean D
75	Larsen	WA2	John Koster	Lean D
76	Peters	MI9	Rocky Raczkowski	Lean D
77	Connolly	VA11	Keith Fimian	Lean D
78	Maffei	NY25	Ann Marie Buerkle	Lean D
79	Sanchez, Loretta	CA47	Van Tran	Lean D
80	Kind	WI3	Dan Kapanke	Lean D
81	McMahon	NY13	Michael Grimm	Lean D
82	Altmire	PA4	Keith Rothfus	Lean D
83	Walz	MN1	Randy Demmer	Lean D
84	Murphy, C.	CT5	Sam Caliguri	Lean D
85	Sutton	OH13	Tom Ganley	Lean D
86	Rahall	WV3	Elliot “Spike” Maynard	Lean D
87	Himes	CT4	Dan Debicella	Lean D
88	Shuler	NC11	Jeff Miller	Lean D
89	McIntyre	NC7	Ilario Pantano	Lean D
90	Perlmutter	CO7	Ryan Frazier	Lean D
91	Pallone Jr.	NJ6	Anna Little	Lean D
92	Kennedy, P.	RI1	John Loughlin	Lean D
93	Etheridge	NC2	Renee Ellmers	Lean D
94	Costa	CA20	Andy Vidak	Lean D
95	Loebsack	IA2	Marianette Miller-Meeks	Lean D
96	Oberstar	MN8	Chip Cravaack	Lean D
97	Braley	IA1	Benjamin Lange	Lean D
98	Hinchey	NY22	George Phillips	Lean D
99	Carnahan	MO3	Ed Martin	Lean D

Tags: 2010

COMMENTS

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dudette

was doing better against Pallone???
fpete13527

Lots of work to do this week.

Events of last night definitely gave me some fuel though.:)
dudette

Hall’s townhall meetings if you can call it that—the man is perhaps a nice person but dumber than a box of hammers and as a hammer, is certainly a tool of Piglosi. His district is fairly conservative it should be no sweat picking him off. The only thing I can think is there may be spoilers that is other candidates but none with as much profile or money as the two, maybe they are siphoning votes, who knows. That surprises me. Also surprising that IIario Pantano is not pulling ahead. I gave $ to a ton of candidates and all the ones I donated to seem toss up or whatever—-I hope I am not the kiss of death, but then I also voted McCain.
dudette

did i miss someting
dudette

that is Bob Dornan’s old seat–I can’t believe it leans Dem. I gave $ to him too.
http://www.hakubi.us/ Neil Stevens

It was surely made safer for the Ds after the 2000 census.
wjsonl

Let’s see:

1) The unions are working harder than they did in 2008 (Obama’s paid them off with billions in “stimulus” dollars) to get out the vote, the Democrat vote, that is.

2) ACORN is still federally funded (despite being a criminal enterprise) and is using your tax dollars to get out the vote, the Democrat vote, that is.

3) The mainstream media is just as liberal, if not more so, than it was in 2008, and continues to spin news in favor of Democrats.

4) The Black Panthers haven’t gone away and continue to organize, agitate, and intimidate people to get out and vote, as long as they are going to vote Democrat, that is.

5) George Soros is still a far-left billionaire throwing millions of dollars into various politicians war chests, Democrat politicians, that is.

So, you think it’s a conservative/ Republican landslide?

Weeeelllll…..
SG_Lominac

I hear you on number .2 (Federally funded ACORN) and it has always annoyed me to no end that we have stood by while democrats continue to fund agents of our (republican) demise i.e. ACORN, PBS and NPR with taxpayer’s money. I don’t know what all is on the to-do list for a Republican congressional take-over but I hope defunding these entities is high on the list.
SG_Lominac

I hear you on number .2 (Federally funded ACORN) and it has always annoyed me to no end that we have stood by while democrats continue to fund agents of our (republican) demise i.e. ACORN, PBS and NPR with taxpayer’s money. I don’t know what all is on the to-do list for a Republican congressional take-over but I hope defunding these entities is high on the list.
krsnadas

You left out John Dennis – why? Even if he doesn’t win, it would make a great statement against Nancy Pelosi.
america1st

I quoted the body of your post as the basis of a mass mailing to all “reliable” individuals in my address books. No reason to tweak the less intelligent who might still believe in zero and the tooth fairy.
ihateliberals

break America and to reform it into a socialist state like France etc. This union represents the largest group of on-citizens in the country. this might include illegals too. They plan on funneling $2 million into PA to try to defeat Toomey. The RNC had better step up to the plate and help toomey out. Sestak should still be in double digit lost but is in a dead heat now sense the SEIU started beginning foreign money into play.
tngal

I know club for growth specified they were not putting in any republican seats in play on the list, and recognized DE and LA as two that are likely to flip, but some tight R seats could use the financial boost. Like Djou in HI 01. he’s slightly above dem Hannabusa in polling. And technically its only been Red a couple of months. Djou is not a seat warmer! He can win this and keep his seat. If anyone is looking to round this out to a hundred, say a buck a candidate or something consider djou. (this and illinois are O’s ‘homestates’ so an R win here would be sweet)
destryridesagain

THIS IS IT FOLKS! WE’RE GONNA FIGHT TO WIN AND WIN WE WILL!
Kyle-MI

Remember, they can’t cheat if it is not close. The greater the margin of victory, the harder it is to steal an election. Given the track record, we want to avoid recounts.
edintexas

The first day of early voting here in TX my wife and I took one of the Grandsons and went to vote. I went back the next day, but the nice ladies told me “Vote Early, Vote Often” was a Chicago theme, we only do the first part.

Just kidding about going back. I’ve voted, and I’m still contributing what I can (being retired means having a fixed income). And I proselytize, in person and via e-mail.
wjsonl

Despite all the evidence of voter fraud in 2008 (due to the activities of ACORN, Black Panthers, unions, etc), was there ever a recount? Was a recount even proposed? If the same things occur this time around, will there be a recount?

The answer is “NO WAY, JOSE!” to all of the above.

There will never be a recount on a nationally-significant election, regardless of the evidence of voter fraud, unless the victor is a conservative. End of story.
wjsonl

Despite all the evidence of voter fraud in 2008 (due to the activities of ACORN, Black Panthers, unions, etc), was there ever a recount? Was a recount even proposed? If the same things occur this time around, will there be a recount?

The answer is “NO WAY, JOSE!” to all of the above.

There will never be a recount on a nationally-significant election, regardless of the evidence of voter fraud, unless the victor is a conservative. End of story.
wjsonl

I apologize for the double posting. I was trying to respond to Kyle-MI (above) about recounts. I have no trouble on any other website, but for some reason this one gets things screwed up.
wjsonl

I apologize for the double posting. I was trying to respond to Kyle-MI (above) about recounts. I have no trouble on any other website, but for some reason this one gets things screwed up.
wjsonl

And it happened yet again! Jeez!
wjsonl

And it happened yet again! Jeez!
swami7774

He’s fighting the mother of all slime campaigns here in MA-10. The public polls have it a toss-up. Internals look a bit better.
But he’s being outgunned on TV and needs money.
Winning MA-10 would strike a blow in the heart of liberalism. Winning it convincingly–meaning the results would be announced nationwide fairly early next Tuesday night–would energize conservatives in the Mountain and Western Time Zones.
Please do what you can, and then a little more.

JeffPerryforCongress.com
http://908StraightSt.wordpress.com/ mbecker908
dmccracken

At least that is what I saw.

A statistical tie is good news also, since I don’t think anyone is counting on the total effect of the backlash against the current regime.

Anna has waged a solid grassroots campaign, going town to town with growing army of volunteers. Gov. Christi has been doing fundraisers for her as well.

I think she will pull it off!
http://908StraightSt.wordpress.com/ mbecker908

And that, my friends, would be a miracle on the order of Scott Brown.

Three of the four Republicans running against incumbent Dems are first time politicians. At this point it looks pretty good. The amazing thing is that while three of the seats are in CDs that should be Republican, the fourth – AZ07 – is a “Berkeley” district and the incumbent is THE most liberal Member of Congress. Ruth McClung, his Republican opponent is a physicist and is running one heck of a campaign. I dare say her IQ is higher than the collective IQs of all the Marxists voting for Raul.
ccdemuth

Incumbent Congressman Jim Himes is for the same type of command-and-control policies that have consistently led to low growth and high structural unemployment in Eastern Europe in the twentieth century and in Western Europe today: his only problem with pork-barrel stimulus is that there has not been enough of it. His only concern with the healthcare bill is that it did not go far enough. He voted to adjourn congress without addressing January?s massive tax hikes.

The incumbent is for unlimited government. On his watch, he voted for a government that increased borrowing by a trillion dollars a year. His answer is always the same: more government. More taxes, more spending, more job-killing regulation.

Challenger Dan Debicella believes that there is a better way: he is for policies conducive to economic growth such as replacing the pork-barrel stimulus with a payroll tax cut. He opposes all tax increases and intrusive regulation that stifles job creation.

Dan is for a constitutional, limited government. He would cap the size of the federal government at 20% of our gross domestic product. He would force politicians to make trade-offs between competing priorities instead of always growing the size government. He would reduce the number of government employees.

If Dan Debicella shares your beliefs and you want to help him advance those beliefs in congress, then you can do so here: http://www.40seats.com/ct4 . Both sides should be able to agree that your choice is clear and it is important. What kind of country do we want to live in? Do we want to continue down the current direction or do we think that there is a better way?
ccdemuth

??I am proud as hell of what we have accomplished…
?I stand behind what we have done and what we have voted for…
?I stand behind what this president and this congress has been able to do?
?I am proud as hell, not just on the economy?
?I am proud as hell…I?m just proud as hell.? ? Jim Himes

Jim Himes voted in favor of the $787 billion dollar stimulus plan. After saddling your family with over ten thousand dollars in additional debt, we still have a ten percent unemployment rate.

Himes voted the healthcare bill into law, a law which is already projected to cost more than was advertised.

Himes voted to increase our national debt by a record $1.9 trillion dollars, bringing our total debt to a new high of $12.4 trillion dollars.

Himes voted with Nancy Pelosi-led Democrats 95% of the time.

After two years of votes that create too few jobs but too big a role for government, most voters in Fairfield County disagree with each of these votes. Two-thirds of these voters think that Washington is on the wrong track. If you want more of the same, then there is an incumbent congressman who is ?proud as hell? of our current direction, but if you think that there is a better way, then you should know that Dan Debicella ( http://www.debicella.com ) thinks so too. If you would like to help Dan get across his message of free enterprise and individual liberty, than you can do so here: https://debicella.blue-swarm.com/donate . Please give what you can because Fairfield County deserves better.
IJB

All the double-posters on this site you IE, I think – switch to a better browser!
IJB

Is there any truth to that, MB? Or is it just LSM ‘spin’?
earlgrey

Yoda, The Clone Wars.
destryridesagain

GREETINGS AND SALUTATIONS!!!

I AM BUT A SIMPLE PERSON AND A HUMBLE SINNER AT THAT. HOWEVER, I’M CONFIDENT THAT BY IMPLORING OUR LORD GOD ALMIGHTY TO BLESS ALL OF YOU FOR THE EXPRESS PURPOSE OF RESTORING HONOR, DECENCY AND CHRISTIANITY TO THE WOEBEGONE STATUS OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, GOD WILL HEARKEN TO, AND (HOPEFULLY, HOPEFULLY) HEED THE ANGUISHED CRIES OF MY WOUNDED SOUL.

THE FOLLOWING IS MY HEARTFELT PRAYER FOR ALL OF YOU:

O LORD, BLESS YOUR CHRISTIAN SONS AND DAUGHTERS AS THEY VENTURE FORTH TO DO POLITICAL BATTLES WITH DEMOCRATS, COMMUNISTS, MARXISTS, SOCIALISTS, LEFTISTS, LIBERALS, PROGRESSIVES AND ALL OTHER EVIL FORCES WHOSE “DARK” AGENDA IS TO DESTROY AMERICA BY INSIDIOUSLY IMPOSING THEIR GODLESS IDEOLOGY AND UNCONSTITUTIONAL POLICIES UPON ALL AMERICANS.

DEIGN TO MAKE VICTORIOUS ALL DECENT, CONSERVATIVE AND CHRISTIAN CANDIDATES IN AMERICA AND KEEP THEM OUT OF HARM’S WAY BY HOLDING THEM IN THE PALM OF YOUR DIVINE HANDS.

ALL THESE THINGS I HUMBLY ASK OF THEE O LORD IN THE MIGHTY NAME OF JESUS, AMEN!!!
minncon

Seriously… the other day I went through each bellweather House and Senate race, and made a donation – sometimes small, sometimes larger – to the most conservative candidate.

Until I hit the Grayson/Webster race in Central Florida. I came to the conclusion that the most damage could be done to the loony left’s cause not by throwing Grayson out, but by letting him keep his megaphone.

I stopped short of contributing to him, though – THAT I could NOT do. If my former neighbors in Central Florida are embarrassed enough to toss his big mouth out of office, then so be it.

Was that wrong of me?
http://moelane.com/ Moe Lane

This isn’t a game.
capeconservative

the DNC that GUTTER POLITICS do NOT win elections! You know they are running scared because of the unending dirty political ads on radio, tv and even in the mail. They KNOW Jeff Perry is the most qualified candidate and are following their nationwide campaign strategy of ATTACK ATTACK ATTACK!

I see you show it as a ‘toss up’ – however, the Dem candidate has done NOTHING but MUCKRAKE, issuing false statements about 20-year-old incidents that were not even Perry’s actions, but those of a subordinate. The Democrat has put out NOTHING on any issues. His record as a District Attorney shows repeated leniency all throughout his term. He moved into a rental in the 10th District shortly before running…still owns his home out of District! I believe that is called ‘carpet-bagging’ – he is NOT the kind of man I want to represent ME in Congress!

Jeff Perry has eight years of HONORABLE service to his constituents as our state representative. He has lived in the District for ALL of that time! He has been elected overwhelmingly four times to serve in the Statehouse! He enjoys BI-PARTISAN support – winning 68% of the vote against a Democrat opponent even when Obama won the district in 08. JEFF PERRY is the REAL DEAL – a man of HONOR – and one who has conducted a First Class campaign, never crawling into the gutter regardless of his opponent’s filthy tactics. JEFF PERRY has shown us over the past eight years that he is a TRUE CONSERVATIVE and a STATESMAN who is concerned about out-of-control state and federal governments. When he is in Washington, he will work to repeal the atrocious Obamacare…and he will work to make our government fiscally accountable!!! Jeff Perry is a man who will serve the MA 10 well!
Ned Reck

On the plains of “Hesitation”… lie the blackened bones of
countless millions… who… at the dawn of victory…
sat down to rest… and while resting….. DIED.

~ Anonymous
heir2freedom

Gird your loins, good people. Even after November 2nd, much work will need to be done.

As Mark Levin has correctly said time and time again, these people are like locusts. Their appetite for power is insatiable. They will not stop. They are ideologically driven.

One step at a time. That’s why this election is so important — it’s currently the only one we’ve got.

NEW POST:

“This needs to go worldwide” — Lynn B.

ANALYSIS: JUAN WILLIAMS WAS LYNCHED BY NPR FOR NOT BEING “BLACK ENOUGH” (warning: controversial photo)
http://heir2freedom.blogspot.com/2010/10/analysis-juan-williams-lynched-by-npr_25.html
soljerblue

You BF’d your favorites on that list. I’m curios as to why former USMC combat vet Ilario Pantano isn’t one of them?
soljerblue

is running in NC-7
uselogic

No beers for you! As a current and nearly lifelong resident of CFLA, most of us want that oozing pustule exorcized. Only ones who don’t are those who are on the public dole and prefer to suck the life’s blood out of the rest of us.
mrscribbler

…after the new Congress is seated is to impeach Osama Obama.

Nothing else matters. When you are facing a rattlesnake, you don’t get very far by making speeches to it. No, you cut off its head.

If we are fortunate enough to get Republican majorities (that assumes vote fraud can be checked) we must demand that they make the removal of the President the Number One priority. No “hands across the aisle,” “cooperation,” “political realities,” “optics” or any other manifestations of typical political drones doing what they do best.

The root of the nation’s destruction can be found in the White House. Remove him, and his corrupt machine will wither and die.
http://908StraightSt.wordpress.com/ mbecker908

in AZ01. I would rate AZ05 a toss up right now.

The DCCC has bought about a zillion dollars of Phoenix TV time for really nasty ads. They’re running ‘em against Ben Quayle too but I think he’s safe – Mrs908 & I voted for him on Saturday.
http://908StraightSt.wordpress.com/ mbecker908
eastbaylarry
http://uslibertyjournal.blogspot.com/ Daezy

This has apparently moved to an unpredicented Toss-Up! Ya-Hoooo

David Price (D) & B.J. Lawson (R)

RS

EDITOR OF REDSTATE

Seven More Days. You Have Not Stopped Obama. You Have Won Nothing.

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