Just the facts. That’s all I’m going to give you here — no blame game. No names.
Largely because I don’t want RNC people calling and crying and trying to spin me when all I’m doing is pointing out some facts.
It has been suggested that the reason the GOP didn’t take more Senate seats is because of conservatives. The facts show otherwise.
What the facts show is that while you and I are focused on the most House pickups since 1948, we probably should have made even bigger House gains. Likewise, we probably could have taken the Senate. Losing the Senate had nothing to do with conservative candidates and everything to do with GOTV.
Success has a way of covering up problems.
You can decide who to blame, all I am doing is giving you the facts.
First, consider this: A number of Republicans underperformed their polling by several points. Typically, polling leans slighting Democrat, so for the GOP to underperform that much indicates a real problem.
Now, consider this: Washington State and Colorado did not have gubernatorial contests. They were two of the closest Senate races. Well, okay, Colorado did, but not with the Republican being competitive. In other states, the race was so lopsided that last minute resources did not have to be spent on gubernatorial contests in several states.
The RNC did not have a 72 hour program this year. Instead, the RNC relied on the Republican Governors Association’s get out the vote program.1
Guess what? Neither Washington State nor Colorado saw the RGA pouring significant sums into a GOTV program because in Washington there was no race and in Colorado the Republican was toast and everyone knew it.
In New York, the RGA spent no money and we have seen the GOP lose some House races narrowly. In Arizona, the RGA spent only $500,000.00 and we saw some House races go down in flames. The story played out across the nation. Where the RGA did not put a pile of money in, the Republicans had no significant ground game and lost races narrowly.
More troubling, even when the RGA did pour money in, there was no high level coordination for a last minute get out the vote program. The RGA program is largely an absentee ballot program, not a “get people to the polls” program — that requires the GOP’s highly praised and highly successful 72 Hour program.
Except this year they did not use it.
Consider this from the Nevada GOP’s website; it is an article from Roll Call:
Since the Senate adjourned Sept. 29, high-ranking Democratic staffers have hitched up with campaigns in West Virginia, Nevada and other battleground states, while many GOP aides are nervously idling in Washington, D.C., frustrated with their party’s decision to suspend its last-minute get-out-the-vote deployment.
“We will lose races because of this,” said one senior Senate GOP aide, referring to the Republican National Committee’s inability to coordinate the traditional 72-hour GOTV effort for House and Senate races. Though its name implies a three-day deployment, in past years Capitol Hill staffers left as soon as Congress adjourned in order to help in tight races.
To recap: The GOP lost a significant number of very close House and Senate races. What do they all have in common? They were in states that the RGA was not heavily invested in and the RNC did not deploy a 72 Hour program to get people to the polls.
In addition, there was the $8 million last minute sum put into California by the National Republican Senatorial Committee instead of offsetting the ground game in Washington and Colorado that the RNC did not fund.
These are just the facts. You decide who to blame.
What’s my point? It’s simple. While Republicans relish having the Democrats keep Nancy Pelosi around, the Democrats are doing the same with Republicans who keeping around some of their leaders. Our success last Tuesday is covering up some very fundamental and institutional problems that will hurt us in 2012.
-
The RNC is pushing back saying they do have a 72 hour program, but as this Roll Call article notes the on the ground people in the field stuff was cancelled.
↩
Jeff Emanuel
Neil Stevens
And yet Cornyn stays
Sean (SIConservative) (Diary) Monday, November 8th at 9:43AM EDT (link)The first step should be replacing Cornyn with Toomey at the NRSC. That would help to solve some problems with GOTV, recruiting, and primaries.
ugh!
justfedup Monday, November 8th at 10:16AM EDT (link)There on the front page of Sunday’s Houston Chronicle (only good for coupons) was an article praising the “powerhouse second term” Cornyn for his deeds in this past election cycle. I guess they could spell sabotage.
Two problems
redtillimdead (Diary) Monday, November 8th at 5:59PM EDT (link)One, Toomey is in his first year. waaay to early for him. Second, it is not the NRSC’s job to do GOTV. It is the RNC’s. The RNC was so effed up that the RGA had to do it. That is not the RGA’s job, and the money they had to invest on GOTV because of Michael Steele’s failure to do his job cost us Gov races in IL, VT, CT, and likely MN. The RNC’s main job is to raise money to fund the party committees and GOTV. Instead, the party committees had to raise money to GOTV, costing them is close races. Michael Steele needs to be replaced with Henry Barbour.
Nancy Pelosi can kiss my asstroturf.
by who's rules, Rtd?
Sean (SIConservative) (Diary) Monday, November 8th at 10:53PM EDT (link)Who says that the head of the NRSC has to have been in office for a while? Both George Allen and Elizabeth Dole served in the position as freshmen, albeit not in their first two years. What’s more, Toomey has more experience recruiting viable candidates than just about anyone in the caucus, including Cornyn. Oh, yea, and the candidates he recruits don’t end up changing parties.
The RNC and NRCC did nothing for me
teridavisnewman (Diary) Tuesday, November 9th at 8:23AM EDT (link)The Republican Party didn’t lift a finger in my race and on my own with no help AT ALL, I garnered nearly 40% of the vote as a first time unknown candidate against an “unbeatable” Democrat incumbent. If they’d helped me, I would have won in a landslide. I had about $25,000. in donations and my own money to spend and got almost 40% of the vote against an entrenched Democrat with a 3 million dollar war chest. His best attack on me was that I didn’t live inside the district which isn’t required and sent out mailers implying that this was illegal. Any kind of mailer to refute this would have won the election for me and I got nothing. I called the RNC repeatedly and finally they told me “If we were going to help you, we’d have already done it” and hung up on me. The 12th IL seat would be a Republican seat if they’d lifted a finger to help but they did nothing. The State party did nothing. The county parties in 2 counties did all they could but didn’t have resources to help–but I carried those counties. Eric is right about this–but even he did nothing to help me either. America won big which in the end is all that matters and I’ll survive the loss, but it’s annoying to know that I would have won with even a little help from the Party.
Teri Davis Newman
Consultant
2010 Republican Nominee for Congress
12th Congressional District of Illinois
www.terinewman.com
How's that again?
dalebret Tuesday, November 9th at 11:20AM EDT (link)There was no contest for governor in Colorado? I can only guess where your head was but Tancredo was rising in the polls. Not Republican enough? But you are right in one sense, the Republican on the ballot was toast which is why Tancredo entered the race.
All that aside, for a “Just the facts” piece, this was heavy on opinion and light on facts. You usually do much better.
We did our share here...
Charles Cianfrocca (Diary) Monday, November 8th at 9:44AM EDT (link)… in Webster NY. We might just have saved Ann Marie Buerkle:
http://www.syracuse.com/news/index.ssf/2010/11/how_the_west_was_won_by_ann_ma.html
Time will tell, of course, if it was enough. But we worked hard for it.
“Get your hand out of my pocket. Ain’t nothin’ there that belongs to you.”
- Sonny Boy Williamson
Michael Steele has been an absolute disaster at the RNC
AceInTX (Diary) Monday, November 8th at 9:59AM EDT (link)As has Cornyn at the NRSC.
The fact that the these two organizations could not beat Democrats at fund raising in a wave election such as we’ve just gone through is alarming to me.
And I’ll also point to Steele sending RNC Money to Guam of all places. Morning Joe over at The Weekly Standard points to the fact that Guam has a large voting block of delegates who vote for the Chairman of the RNC….Given this combined with all the stories about Steele running for another term as chairman points to the fact that Steel was more focused on keeping his job as RNC Chair during this election than he was in maximizing the gains Republicans would see in the biggest wave election in America in over 3/4s of a century.
Support Michael Steele
calgacus (Diary) Monday, November 8th at 10:39AM EDT (link)Precisely because he is a clown. The last thing we want is a powerful RNC.
As Erick Pointed out...GOTV is an RNC responsibility...
AceInTX (Diary) Monday, November 8th at 10:55AM EDT (link)The fact that Steele sent money to Guam when he should have been focusing on GOTV efforts should disqualify him from another term…period
His job as RNC Chair is to promote Republicans…not Promote Michael Steele.
Clorrection...Not Morning Joe at The Weekly Stadard...It's Morning Jay nt
AceInTX (Diary) Monday, November 8th at 10:52AM EDT (link)Tug-o'-War
jamo (Diary) Monday, November 8th at 11:34AM EDT (link)That’s what I’ve been saying. Big Tent is B.S. The Dems don’t play Big Tent. THey play Tug-o’-War. If you give them any latitude at all, they pull you and your society inexorably left.
The correct analogy is Tug-o’-War. Conservatives need to pull with all they have, especially including conservative candidates and political positions. Then the electorate can choose between them. We need to pull the country right, not just get along.
RNC polls versus Cell Phones
boxedquad Tuesday, November 9th at 10:44AM EDT (link)If I were to guess, too many polls were taken and opinions formed based on No Answer or No phone for registered voters. If 50 to 60 % of people have quit land lines, how did pollesters contact them?
Steel did some good and some bad things. Perhaps Sarah should have that job, if she is not going to run in 2012, which I hope is the case.
We in AZ now have to put up with that no-account commie, Raul G. thanks to lack of EARLY FUNDING BY RNC and funding by MSNBC anchor…a socialist. Damn bad.. RNC made a string attached late in the cycle, only to have McClung turn them down…which they had taken it and the small margin could have been removed. But we have lots of early voters and mail in votes done with knowledge done earlier than 2 weeks prior to election.
No wonder RNC was late…
Michael Steele tactically was terrible
whitneymuse Sunday, November 14th at 6:41PM EDT (link)What the heck was Michael Steele doing/thinking? I’m no big time (R) person, but this chairman needs to be replaced soon.
We heard more about his problems this midterm than the coordination of election teams on the ground.
In CA we have the man who was responsible for the huge Union poliforation of public union benefits and the absence of any RNC visible help.
Ok he’s black, but not competent.
Be sure and sign up for NumbersUSA
In Michigan we should have taken Dingell down.
smitch61 Monday, November 8th at 10:00AM EDT (link)Dr. Rob Steele was a terrific candidate, should have won. Districting is a huge problem here. The good Dr. was ahead in the polls until the very very liberal city of Ann Arbor began reporting their results. That sealed the deal for Dingell. The republican party should have been all over this race. I am in the 15th district, cast my vote for the good Dr. Ann Arbor is 23.5 miles from my home. It is the city that is outside the district and yet takes it all the time. The UAW members this year voted unanimously for Dr. Steele.
I agree, with this economy, the unemployment at unacceptable levels, the dems should have lost bigger than they did.
And mark my word.
smitch61 Monday, November 8th at 10:03AM EDT (link)John Dingell will retire before the term ends and will put his wife Debbie up for his seat. His clan needs to be defeated, and had the GOP did their job he would have been. Dr. Steele was the closest to ever make Dingell nervous. The endorsement by the NRA for Dingell did not help matters, even though Dr. Steele is a lifetime member, hunter, gun owner, and of course conservative.
Dingell
dog_nut Monday, November 8th at 12:40PM EDT (link)I was afraid that his retired GM P.R. flak wife would take his seat also(I’m in the 15th district as well) until someone pointed out that this would be Gov. Snyder naming the replacement, not Comrade Dingell appointing his wife.
Wont happen that way
Hancock Monday, November 8th at 5:42PM EDT (link)Governors cannot by law appoint successors to House seats. There must be a special election, period. It’s only the Senate where the Governor can appoint. These laws date back to the days where the House was elected by the people, but the Senators were appointed by Gov or state legislature.
Let hear for RINO's to retire...
boxedquad Tuesday, November 9th at 10:51AM EDT (link)Wish all Rino’s in senate would retire and let Republican Governors replace them, lets start with my state, ARIZONA. Perhaps when they do that others will help hold the Senate… might even get some switchers to join them… and to blazes with Reid.
And About AZ: we need SB1070, part two, add in OK laws and Missouri laws, to fill in the blanks… Let Justice Sue that…ha, fat chance…
Michigan needs a Right-to-Work Law....
audax (Diary) Tuesday, November 9th at 12:55AM EDT (link)With a super majority in the State Senate and a GOP State House and Governor, NOW is the time! UAW will be in big trouble when all the new auto jobs that produces in MI will be non-Union.
Audeamus pro audere est facere
While I agree
edniceville Tuesday, November 9th at 2:49PM EDT (link)That Michigan needs a Right to work law…as do ALL states, we need to be more focused on PREVENTING ‘Card Check’ from passing with this current Congress. I also agree that Michael Steele absolutely did NOT do his job this past cycle, we should have had many more gains! But, Steele has been so busy defending himself and trying to save his job, that he did a very poor job! We need a “Jim DeMint” kinda guy to be chairman of the NRC. Who in turn, will recruit like-minded people for the NRSC and NRCC. It is waaaaaay past time for our party to return to our “Reagan Roots”, and lead as Conservatives who are more interested in crushing the Liberal Agenda than “getting along”!
“Everyone is entitled to his own opinion, but not his own facts.” – Daniel Patrick Moynihan
We did not lose because of conservatives
irishfreedomfighter (Diary) Monday, November 8th at 10:08AM EDT (link)I do, however, think that we could have done better than Angle and O’Donnell (and Huffman, and McMahon). Not with more liberal candidates, but with a better recruiting process, more viable ones. Sadly, it’s all a perception game with things like that.
And we should have won many more house districts. What the heck happened in North Carolina? I thought we’d gets at least two seats there. The top R’s need to start spending their money more wisely. No money at all to help Loughlin in Rhode Island? the man lost by five points. It was winnable.
Then I bring you good news, Irish...
acat (Diary) Monday, November 8th at 10:11AM EDT (link)Now is the time to start looking for candidates for the 2012 races.
Maybe if you get involved in the process now, in 2012 you can brag on how you knew Candidate X when he was still doing his previous job…
Mew
——

Caveat Suffragator
I can't help but wonder how Angle would have fared with the $8 million dumped down the CA shoot for Carley
AceInTX (Diary) Monday, November 8th at 11:38AM EDT (link)The contrast between the support given to a couple squishes in CA and Consrvative candidates elsewhere is breathtaking.
Oh…and I’ve heald fire about the way the Nevada Republican Establishment went after the Party’s nominee and refused to support her till now…but check this out
Sharron Angle too ‘radical’ for Nevada GOP
Harry Reid-Sharron Angle race fractures Nevada GOP
And I don’t need to chronicle the way the establishment trashed O’Donnell and others along the way…Rand Paul won but had toi fight off Republicans as he want along as they trashed him along the way…so let’s not pretend these were bad candidates who lost despite all the help the RNC and NRSC could give them.
This goes to pattern…when the establishment big tent crowd is foiled…refuse to give the conservative who one any support….work behind the scenes to make sure the conservative loses…and then come out and trash “purists” and the radical fringe of the Republican Party for the loss after it’s over….and prattle on endlessly about how we’d win more if we’d just let our betters pick our candidates for us.
Best Candidates
jamo (Diary) Monday, November 8th at 11:40AM EDT (link)Angle and O’Donnell may or may nbot have been the ‘best’ candidates. The point is, the Tea Party was an insurgent grass roots movement with which more seasoned politicians dared not associate themselves because of the distortions in the media. Jim DeMint is a notable exception.
Candidates just as right thinking as O’Donnell and Angle and others will not lose because of their conservative (right) thought processes. But between now and 2012, it would be wise for the Tea Party to find somewhat more eloquent and savvy conservative persons to run for the numerous senatorial seats coming up.
Yes, and those candidates need to start stumping now!
davesinsanantonio (Diary) Tuesday, November 9th at 6:13AM EDT (link)It is getting out in front of the people and articulating the principles you stand for and will run and serve on that get people fired up for your candidacy. It also hones your presentation skills and your interviewing skills for the time when the media will begin to take notice. By that time the candidate will be seasoned in those skills and will not look like a nut case (unless they are a nut case) and the media will not be able to scare voters away. So, find some good, likely candidates and get them attending, talking, persuading, and most especially LISTENING now.
Also, it does not hurt at this point in time to have two or more likely, good, conservatives vying for the same position, or even just getting exposure and deciding which offices to run for later. At a minimum it is getting the message out to more people, and givng them longer to digest and internalize it. It doesn’t hurt in that regard to address the opposition if that opportunity presents itself, or to undecided or neutral audiences. That exposure might also turn into support later.
Conservatives ...
cam1 Tuesday, November 9th at 7:36AM EDT (link)in the states you mentioned need to get “better” conservative candidates in the primary elections. It’s up to conservatives in each state to put into place conservatives that can beat RINOs first and dems in the general election. It’s up to each state to put the best people they have in the senate. When that doesn’t happen, it is the fault of that states electorate. And, it really is that simple.
NC results
marty Tuesday, November 9th at 10:35AM EDT (link)NC did change its State House and Senate to Republican for the first time in over 100 years, which is unbelievable. However, many of our losses were due to districting. Hopefully, that will be fixed once we get the census results and fairly redraw the district lines.
Done Better?
edintexas Wednesday, November 10th at 11:47AM EDT (link)There aren’t many (any?) who could have done better with the entire establishment (Republican, Democrat, and entertainment/alleged “news”) continuously dumping on the candidate nominated by the people. That applies to both Angle and O’Donnell, though O’Donnell took the most of any candidate in the past election cycle. That POS Rove even dumped on her AFTER she was the nominee. Rand Paul did reasonably well, but my impression is that he didn’t take quite the ration of crap the others had dumped on them. He was able to overcome his slips, perhaps because they didn’t lead the “nightly news” and comedian’s shows. The media Left (but I repeat myself) figured out with Palin that if they concentrated on one person, they could destroy the election chances of that person/team – for at least that election cycle (and probably beyond – consider the “Palin is not electable” comments on RS).
We had two House races in Arizona that we should have won.
mbecker908 (Diary) Monday, November 8th at 10:23AM EDT (link)Jesse Kelly in CD08 should have beaten Gabrielle Giffords and Ruth McClung had Raul the Marxist on the ropes. We should be able to win both next time around. All they needed was a little help.
This post by Erick will hopefully be the beginning of investigating what went wrong
red_oakster (Diary) Monday, November 8th at 10:25AM EDT (link)It’s pretty clear the Democrats made a comeback in the final days of the campaign. If the election had come 72 hours later, they might have saved the House and we would have lost Toomey and Kasich as well. Conversely, if the election has happened four or five dyas earlier, we might have won 80 plus seats in the House and won a majority in the Senate. The party didn’t have a closing argument. This wasn’t just about GOTV, though it clearly was a factor in some instances.
We have a chance to add to the majority in the House next time. We also have by my count 18 Senate seats where we have at least a fighting chance in 2012.
Getting a good read on what went wrong in the last few days of this election is critical.
5555 mbecker. Seeing McClung go down when I
deano64 (Diary) Monday, November 8th at 11:05AM EDT (link)know we could have won hurts. I didn’t think the Kelly and Giffords race would be that close. Without a doubt the left had thier boots on the ground in Tucson and that could easily have been the difference.
Precinct Committeeman before it was cool.
“The American Republic will endure until the day Congress discovers that it can bribe the public with the public’s money.”
Alexis De Tocqueville
ALL the current GOP leadership needs to step down..NOW
fpete13527 (Diary) Monday, November 8th at 10:35AM EDT (link)They need to step down and let new conservative blood in. I don’t care if they don’t like the comment.
Starting with their empowerment to those like Crist, Scozzafava, and muliple RINOs, and continuting through – the most pitiful GOTV program in the history of man, they are the problem…..and they don’t get it one bit.
No wonder Barry and Nancy are not at all worried about the GOP.
Although the House is completely won, the GOP is still talking about Unicorns, rainbows, love, and reaches across the aisle. Even junior Camp Fire Girls are showing more fight than the GOP Congress. No wonder Nancy is deciding to stay right where she is.
And the GOP Senate has never let down their faith in Barry. The GOP Senate group’s only goal is to expand the new progressive “Pragmatist (RINO)” Caucus and expand and continue earmarks. They are concerned mostly with sending the NRSC chief lawyers to fight against the fair winners of the Republican primaries, if the candidate is Conservative. The NRSC then pushes for the election of the liberal Independent progressive write-In “pragmatist” candidates at all costs.
The GOTV program for the GOP was finally formulated about a week before the election and the focus was in la la land.
The GOP Senate are the ones who especially still dont get it. They aren’t even in the same Universe as the American people.
It’s time for change. Yesterday.
GOP leadership…..please step down.
NO. Stop.
Moe Lane (Diary) Monday, November 8th at 10:19AM EDT (link)I understand that it’s easier to just throw everybody out at once and start over, but that is not the answer. The ANSWER is to go in, figure out who the heck did his or her job properly, who did not – and get rid of the latter. Which will be actual work, true.
Such is life.
The Kim Kardashian of blogging.
Check out my blog at http://moelane.com/.
http://moelane.com/filthy-lucre-filthy-lucre/
http://twitter.com/moelane
My (combined) wish list.
Although difficult...that makes sense
fpete13527 (Diary) Monday, November 8th at 10:38AM EDT (link)It is, and I'm as guilty as anybody else...
Moe Lane (Diary) Monday, November 8th at 11:03AM EDT (link)…for not doing my part in 2010.
So we all learn better for 2012. On the bright side, learning from success is a lot easier on the soul than learning from defeat.
The Kim Kardashian of blogging.
Check out my blog at http://moelane.com/.
http://moelane.com/filthy-lucre-filthy-lucre/
http://twitter.com/moelane
My (combined) wish list.
AMEN
AceInTX (Diary) Monday, November 8th at 11:44AM EDT (link)If you expect any successes on '12, you have to keep
davesinsanantonio (Diary) Tuesday, November 9th at 6:19AM EDT (link)the current winners and holdovers from messing up in the meantime. We cannot afford to let them alone to do their own thing for 18 months or so and then take an interest again. The Indys will have made up their minds to give up on us long before that. So, look forward to ’12, but pay attention now also.
Leadership changes from the ground up
scorpio0679 (Diary) Monday, November 8th at 10:52AM EDT (link)You know how we get a new RNC chair? Get out of your basement, go down to your local executive committee headquarters, and become a precinct committeeman, or if the slot is already taken, put your name in the hat and run for the position.
Elect a grassroots supported committee chairman. Then, with your local tea party caucus, put someone up for state delegate.
If this happens across the state, you will then elect new leadership at the state level. You will also send new delegates to the RNC, who can vote in new leadership at the national level.
EVERYONE needs to be doing this all over the country. But you have to get out there, knock on doors in your precinct, and make it happen. I just read elsewhere on RS that we should start this work next year. No, how about last Wednesday? I may be new to RedState but I am not new to my interest in politics. The only difference is that I’m taking up my responsibility to do the real hard work that BEGAN on November 2.
True Moe....But it's hard for the rank and file to know who did their jobs and who didn't....
AceInTX (Diary) Monday, November 8th at 11:43AM EDT (link)so we end up throwing a blanket over everyone up there
Not Only Leadership
edintexas Wednesday, November 10th at 11:55AM EDT (link)I agree that those in positions of leadership who failed to do their job must be replaced. But we also need to consider that often in DC the staff is the tail which wags the dog. An inept leader, a too busy leader or a self aggrandizing leader, is a leader who is only too willing to let the staff run the show. In years like this one, where the establishment is on the way out, the staff represents the establishment and will not do the “right thing” for the challengers to the establishment.
The GOP probably lost 14
rdelbov Monday, November 8th at 10:44AM EDT (link)seats because of third party conservative candidates who ran either as indies or liberterians. A total of 14 democrats won or apparently will win with less then 50% of the vote.
So those purists who think its better to vote for the most conservative candidate instead of the republican you can substract 14 seats. In some cases you have super solid guys like Jesse Kelly going down because a liberterian gets 10K plus votes.
I might I add the RNC has been a joke since Jan 2009.
Its been my impression, however, that at the state and local level the GOP has had enough funds to do GOTV. I don’t about Washington state but its volunteers not money that drives GOTV. How many people here are motivated by robocalls??
Now I got real people who called me this year and that mattered. In a congressional district 300 volunteers (which is nothing in a 700K population) making 500 calls can reach 150,000 households. That’s your GOTV right there. I don’t blame money for not enough wins. We had the money. There were 1000 people at the tea party express rally in AK for Miller. 1000 people times 100 phone calls is 100,000 personal contacts and Miller only got 68,000 votes.
You don’t need money for GOTV you need motivated people.
In CO 20,000 people attended the GOP caucus for Buck-. There was enough grassroots people to do that why do you need GOTV? Even 5000 people contacting 200 people gets you a million hits–
I don’t blame lack of money. The money was there-the people were there. Third party candidates hurt us plus our campaigns either got outworked or our candidates were weak.
Let's disect that a bit rdelbov
AceInTX (Diary) Monday, November 8th at 12:06PM EDT (link)I’m not defending those third party candidates that ran so don’t even go there with me…but I will say….the establishment shares equal blame with what you derisively call purists for making large swathes of the Republican Coalition feel as though they are not represented by their own party.
So be careful when you trash Republican Voters who vote their consciences rather that accede to the demands of an arrogant establishment that forces center left candidates on a right of center party seeking office in a center right country.
I think you are right about needing motivated people more than Money for GOTV efforts….and I’m on board 100% with that sentiment…But someone has to organize those motivated people and point them in the right direction…THAT is the function of the RNC and the NRSC….and they weren’t there….
and to add insult to injury…you have party officials and public faces of the party actively attacking and trashing Republican Candidates in the lead up to the election…
and I’ll harp once again on the fact that we had Michael Steele sending money to Guam….who gave us how many Representatives in the US House and Senate?…oh yeah….ZERO…so he can get a caucus of Guamese delegates to vote for his continued chairmanship….But Michael Steele has always been about promoting Michael Steele first and foremost hasn’t he?
A Question
alaskaescapeartist (Diary) Monday, November 8th at 10:47AM EDT (link)Doesn’t under performing against the polls merely reflect bad polling?
That certainly doesn’t undermine the premise of this post. It’s very discouraging to think that all assets weren’t deployed.
More evidence to confirm the concerns about party leadership.
And they wonder why we want to eliminate the middle man when it comes to our contributions.
Or, it could indicate a better last minute GOTV effort by
davesinsanantonio (Diary) Tuesday, November 9th at 6:23AM EDT (link)the opposition.
My Question RE: 72-Hour Program
tominkorea Monday, November 8th at 10:47AM EDT (link)It wasn’t utilized… why? Was it a lack of volunteers and/or money? Whoever makes such decisions felt it wasn’t needed or would be better if ‘saved’ (no such thing) until the ’12 cycle?
The 72 hour program's premise
Erick Erickson (Diary) Monday, November 8th at 10:54AM EDT (link)Is sending all available Hill staffers to the ground in key states to train activists on GOTV operations and mobilize volunteers to get out the base. Michael Steele said it was not cost effective and cancelled it.
Who will stand on either hand and keep this bridge with me?Follow @EWErickson
If ever there was a time to engage the grassroots it was this year.
earlgrey (Diary) Monday, November 8th at 11:10AM EDT (link)Steele should lose his position for this.
You know we lost a congressional seat near me by a landslide, and what did the campaign manager say we should have done differently? Nothing. He said it takes years to develop roots in a community and framework for GOTV. That makes sense to me.
So when anger and enthusiasm were bubbling over with rage for nearly two years, Steele decided not to engage the grassroots? These people will find other interests. I find myself even wondering if I will have the strength and self discipline (not to mention money) to fight as hard as I did this year for the next election. The party has already lost conservatives even this year. In my phone banking I had people tell me they voted republican all their life, but wouldn’t this year.
Christine O’Donnell won her primary in my opinion because she listened to the people while the establishment and Castle tried to stand above them.
Whoever chairs the RNC must be committed to working with not against the grassroots, or this party will become a minority party agian very quickly. They need to repair the damage, and engage the unwashed.
Steele Sends $20,000 to Guam for...what exactly?
AceInTX (Diary) Monday, November 8th at 12:13PM EDT (link)RNC Sends Money To Guam
Talk about incompetence
nepanyrush Monday, November 8th at 11:17AM EDT (link)On Saturday, November 6, I received a mailer from the national GOP reminding me to vote on November 2 to stop Pelosi’s agenda.
My guess for that would be the Postal Worker's Union nt
AceInTX (Diary) Monday, November 8th at 1:58PM EDT (link)My expirence
rdelbov Monday, November 8th at 11:40AM EDT (link)has been the best GOTV has been local people volunteering their time. When I see out of town or out state people coming in trying to get a campaign up and running I just roll my eyes. You see people getting paid-wearing crisp collars and fancy ties-trying to motivate local volunteers its just rolls off of me.
That being said the RNC was a disaster this year. Steele was not the spokesperson we needed plus he lost all confidence in the big and small fundraisers. I think it was a mailing scam this year. The RNC raised 120 million but spent 100 million in costs raising it.
We either need new leadership or a model.
I would rather see “Redstate candidate link” with links to conservative candidates. I said several times this year that a million small donors contributing $100 would not only match the RNC for the year but fund out 100 conservative GOP candidates. A certain GOP candidate could have $1 million without the 1st PAC contribution without a 1st local fundraiser or DC fundraiser or 1st contribution from a GOP congressman.
We need a new model–this massive direct mail operation of the RNC -RCCC-NRSC is an Edsel.
Funding requests=Boredis-um
boxedquad Tuesday, November 9th at 10:59AM EDT (link)When I sent in my yearly donation, it was that . and I told them so.
Yet Mailers came and request came at horrible expense to them.
Damn poor management….time for a change, I like Red State Link idea, it needs a little input from the Pols.
Angle's Loss
jamo (Diary) Monday, November 8th at 11:45AM EDT (link)Did Sharon Angle lose in Nevada because of the third candidate in the race, the one with ‘Tea Party’ next to his name? There’s yur trouble.
RNC
eldstenorge Monday, November 8th at 11:53AM EDT (link)This is why I will never give a penny to the RNC, only to candidates. Until we get a solid conservative in there, get rid of Steele, and do not replace him with Norm Coleman, who I like personally and who should still be in the Senate, we have no reason to give to the RNC. They are to blame for the defeats of Rossi, Buck, and Angle. If they and the Delaware had not spent so much money and time attacking Christine O’Donnell during her primary with Mike Castle, when she was actually leading Coons in the polls, she may have won as well.
Reid & Bennett won due to their 72-Hr
chihank Monday, November 8th at 11:56AM EDT (link)We lost NV and CO due to the GOTV efforts by liberal groups.
The Dems don’t have a 72 Hour GOTV effort because the liberal groups don that.
I think conservative groups should stop depending on the RNC, NRCC, NRSC, RGA, etc., and develop their their grass root efforts on the local effort.
BINGO!
AceInTX (Diary) Monday, November 8th at 12:18PM EDT (link)Holding the GOP accountable . . .
scorpio0679 (Diary) Monday, November 8th at 1:17PM EDT (link)is best done from the outside of political parties. You are right on the money.
I would say though that outside groups should make it an additional aim to take control of the party infrastructure as well . . .
Get rid of Cornyn...
rowdydfw Monday, November 8th at 12:22PM EDT (link)He made really bad decisions…and his non-support of Tea Party candidates point me to an establishment RINO…he helped grow government instead of curtailing it…not so much in the last congressional session but prior to that.
We need new blood in leadership positions…ones that will stand on our mandate of no compromises…the democrats only appear to compromise in committee, but once they get the bill on the floor they battered the bills refusing any compromise in amendments. It’s a bait and switch game.
Compromises got us in this mess…compromise is not going to get us out of it.
Not winning the Senate...
swami7774 (Diary) Monday, November 8th at 12:22PM EDT (link)…might be good in the long(2012) run.
We got the House and picked up 6 Senate seats. Obama’s agenda is dead.
But even with a GOP House and Senate, nothing would have gotten done–like complete repeal of ObamaCare–during the next two years.
Things CAN be done only after Obama is voted out. That task would have been much more difficult with a big, fat, unified GOP Congress for Obama to shoot at.
The economy will not get much better over the next 2 years, and as long as the Dems have 2 of the 3 legs of DC power, they’ll continue to get most of the blame.
Today, there is a name for the political doctrine that rejoices in scarcity of everything except government. The name is environmentalism.
Angle had 26 million
rdelbov Monday, November 8th at 12:30PM EDT (link)dollars to play around with plus there was another 10 million in outside ads that hammered Reid.
Did Angle really need RNC money for GOTV?
She could have hired 1000 people at $500 for 5 weeks and swamped Washoe & Clark county with door to door GOTV. Come to think of it there were 4,000 tea party members in NV who could have swamped washoe and Clark county door to door.
Money is sweet but all the marketing in the world did not sell “New Coke” and some candidates in some races in some states can’t get it done.
It's not RNC Money she needed...it is organization and boots on the ground that was needed...
AceInTX (Diary) Monday, November 8th at 1:40PM EDT (link)Erick has said that…as have several others…which begs the question?
How long are you going to hold onto the straw man arguments that you keep standing up here?
One of my biggest gripes with the GOP is that there is no organizational information for people who want to get involved. I’ve been a Precinct Chair, Senate and State district delegate and served on the credentials committee at the local Republican Party….and it frustrates me to no end that we have no source of information for GOTV opportunities, No calenders showing where local meetings are occurring…no news of any efforts to help any local, district, state, or national candidates at all…
you’d think that someone who has served on the district credentials committee could get information from the party without having to pry it out of someone after searching high and low for it…wouldn’t you?
This party has become too bureaucratic…to top down and dictatorial…That’s where the problem lies…and Erick is 100% right…The Party Bureaucracy dropped the ball in the closing weeks of this campaign…an d unless there are serious changes….we’re in trouble come 2012.
Spot on
rdelbov Monday, November 8th at 1:58PM EDT (link)and I agree with you 100%. I say not just because of the picture of TN’s own Fred Thompson–who I backed in 2008.
its because its ain’t money its people.
Did we leave seats on the table–probably.
I mentioned the 14 democrats who won with less then 50%. There is no excuse when the enemy is in sight to get distracted and vote third party. Its Obama/liberals or the alternative. We tossed some seats away. I might add that the democrats actively encouraged third party candidates-recruited them-got them on the ballot-funded-aided them. Here in TN local democrats in TN4 & TN8 would not debate unless third party indies were included. One guy in TN8 went around calling himself the teaparty approved candidate. So here’s place #1 I look for lost seats.
#2 is certainly lack of financial and time commitments on the grassroots. Surely between Rush-redstate-Beck-Hannity whoever we get just two million folks to put $100 directly into conservative candidates for the house. Somehow all these millions of teaparty people and committed conservatives left alot of candidates unfunded. I do fault the RNC-what a waste they were this year but what’s our excuse. Ditto for time and effort.
Did anyone hear from any candidate saying “we got so many volunteers we ran out of space for them?” I saw that during Scott Brown’s campaign but I did not see it during this fall.
Yes I fell short in time–I did my $500 but did not give enough time.
I see what you're saying here....
AceInTX (Diary) Monday, November 8th at 7:20PM EDT (link)About third party candidates taking away votes…and I agree…The Dems aught to be ashamed of themselves for playing that game…
That said…if they are going to play that game…we need to be looking for liberal people we can back for third party runs against those 14 seats you mention when they come up in 12….they want to play dirty like that, let’s up the anti….lets look for Green Party candidates to put up not only in those 14 districts next time…let’s make it 28
AEI panel
clintonformccain Monday, November 8th at 2:14PM EDT (link)One of the more interesting election post-mortem panel discussions was the one held by the American Enterprise Institute and available in the CSPAN archives.
http://www.c-span.org/Watch/Media/2010/10/21/HP/A/39748/AEI+Discussion+on+2010+Midterm+Elections.aspx
One of the panelists (probably Baronne) pointed out that the Republican tide in the House stopped at the Democrat districts (as measured by presidential voting). In other words, the Republicans recaptured the Republican disctricts and many swing disticts, but were stopped at the Democrat districts. This analysis suggests that American election results are systemically determined by underlying demographics and that additional gains in the House were probably not there to be had. Blue is blue and no GOTV effort is likely to change the outcome in, for example, Barney Frank’s district.
Several pundits have pointed out the signficant fact that we have largely returned to a 2004 poitical map. The anger at the George Bush policies (mostly driven by Iraq) resulted in an aberration with many swing districts and independents tilting Democrat. The election last week undid those gains and returned to a more textbook political map with urban, white gentry, and university districts voting Democrat and suburban/rural/heartland districts going Republican.
The problem for the Dems is that they got wiped out across the South and Midwest and Florida.
Not True - There Are Still a Significant Number of "Red" and "Swing" Districts Yet To Be Won
IJB Monday, November 8th at 2:56PM EDT (link)Off the top of my head – UT-02, OK-02 and AR-04 are all *deep Red* districts that we didn’t pick up this year. There are plenty of other examples – KY-06, MN-07, the three NC districts we didn’t pick up, etc.
There are also still plenty of “swing” districts still to be won (e.g. IN-02, MN-01, TX-28, GA-02 and GA-12, etc.) still to be won too.
IOW, there is still at least the *theoretical* possibility that we can win *more* seats in 2012, without even needing to win substantially “Blue” districts…
Well, sure, but...
clintonformccain Monday, November 8th at 5:43PM EDT (link)You never win every race in an election.
only 11 Red districts still held by Dems
Pirohy Monday, November 8th at 3:41PM EDT (link)you’ve basically mentioned all the Red districts still held by Democrats. I would add 3: Altmire and Holden in PA and Owens in NY
Nick
If I had to made a list of targets for 2012
rdelbov Monday, November 8th at 4:20PM EDT (link)I would start with the 14 democrats who won with less then 50% in 2010.
Then how about the 11 democrats who won with 51%
Then the 20 democrats who won with 52-53-54% in 2010.
Find better candidates-find more resources maybe redistricting might help a bit and there is base of targets of about 45 seats.
You do not have to go very far to find 50 GOP targets without even talking about redistricting.
Right! Don't let the possibility of redistricting get in
davesinsanantonio (Diary) Tuesday, November 9th at 6:50AM EDT (link)the way of doing the necessary grunt work now. For one thing, any redistricting could be tied up in the courts well past 2012.
Your suggestion for going after the low-hanging fruit is valid. Why climb to the top of the tree when there are ripe apples within reach from the ground? If the Dims were shocked by this year’s results, imagine if they were to lose another 45 seats! One can only dream!
Let’s talk it up more. It is just this kind of goal that can keep people motivated for the ensuing two years.
But, beware! We have to keep this new House’s feet to the fire. We cannot let up on them, or we could end up losing all we gained this time around. The people want us to keep our promises. That is why the voted so strongly with us this time. If we let them down again, we will never get them back again.
You've missed a critical point
maggiethurber Tuesday, November 9th at 8:13AM EDT (link)It’s no longer just a 72-hour focus. With early voting, especially in Ohio, the Dems/unions spent an entire month turning out their voters and getting people to the early voting centers. If we wait until the last 72 hours, we’ll still be behind
There Need To Be Hearing on Both "Early Voting" and "Vote By Mail"
IJB Wednesday, November 10th at 12:17PM EDT (link)Frankly, I’m against both. Elections have gotten worse and worse (and longer and longer) in California because they (meaning the Left Wing establishment here) have been push and pushing early voting and ‘permanent absentee voting’ (essentially ‘vote by mail’ by another name.
And, yet, here we are *a full week* after Election Day, and we still have no idea who won CA-11, CA-20 or even the CA AG race! And we’re not likely to know for at least another week or two!!
How is it that Brazil can run an election in a day, and in the U.S. elections now take over *2 months*?!
This is crazy.
Congress needs to look at this issue, and if necessary pass legislation to rein it in…
No thanks
Neil Stevens (Diary) Wednesday, November 10th at 12:27PM EDT (link)Leave it to the states to run their own elections please.
RS contributing editor and “a hardy variety of crabgrass.”
Read the RedState Posting Rules
Unlikely Voter: Poll Analysis, Election Projection.
“I rejoice that America has resisted.” – William Pitt, the Elder
The Relevant Phrase of The Constitution Is...
IJB Wednesday, November 10th at 12:35PM EDT (link)“The Times, Places and Manner of holding Elections for Senators and Representatives, shall be prescribed in each State by the Legislature thereof; but the Congress may at any time by Law make or alter such Regulations…”
Like it or not, the Feds have a say in this. It’s right there in the text.
Personally, a good start would be to roll back or eliminate ‘vote by mail’.
I Shuould Append That This Applies To House (and Senate?) Elections Only
IJB Wednesday, November 10th at 12:44PM EDT (link)Presumably, if backwards states like CA, OR and WA want to keep their silly election practices for state elections, they could ‘de-couple’ the state elections date from the Federal elections.
But, bottom line: The Feds have a say in federal office elections.
That's neat
Neil Stevens (Diary) Wednesday, November 10th at 12:58PM EDT (link)Except I didn’t argue it was unconstitutional.
RS contributing editor and “a hardy variety of crabgrass.”
Read the RedState Posting Rules
Unlikely Voter: Poll Analysis, Election Projection.
“I rejoice that America has resisted.” – William Pitt, the Elder
Oh and by the way
Neil Stevens (Diary) Wednesday, November 10th at 12:59PM EDT (link)If you want to take away my vote by mail ballot, come and take it from me.
RS contributing editor and “a hardy variety of crabgrass.”
Read the RedState Posting Rules
Unlikely Voter: Poll Analysis, Election Projection.
“I rejoice that America has resisted.” – William Pitt, the Elder
No Party Gifts
eburkedisciple Tuesday, November 9th at 8:53AM EDT (link)It is time to realize that gifts to the party propagate mediocrity. Give directly to candidates that you know, trust, and believe in – and give generously. The party has demonstrated that they cannot be trusted to vet and advance solid conservative candidates. They must take those that they deem electable. Thus, we end up with safe candidates, life safe sex, it makes you feel safe but you get the disease and die anyway.
“The American dream is not that every man must be level with every other man. The American dream is that every man must be free to become whatever God intends he should become.” –Ronald Reagan
Oh good, then we'll have no GOTV at all! (nt)
Neil Stevens (Diary) Wednesday, November 10th at 12:29PM EDT (link)RS contributing editor and “a hardy variety of crabgrass.”
Read the RedState Posting Rules
Unlikely Voter: Poll Analysis, Election Projection.
“I rejoice that America has resisted.” – William Pitt, the Elder
The RNC needs NEW leadership - PERIOD!
capeconservative Tuesday, November 9th at 10:27AM EDT (link)Michael Steele has been tested and found lacking.
Our money has been going to individual CONSERVATIVE candidates all over the country and to Jim DeMint’s Senate Conservatives Fund – spending MUCH more than ever given to the national party, but we believe by so doing, we HAVE made a difference!
Boots on the ground by CONSERVATIVE supporters has proven to be the answer to the malaise that had been permeating our party. Hopefully the leaders in Washington will realize the effectiveness of those of us who are speaking out AGAINST an out-of-control government! Excessive government interference in our lives should NO LONGER BE TOLERATED!!!!