2012 Asked Another Way


UPDATE from Erick: I’ve posted a duplicate for Sunday so yesterday’s link doesn’t break. In the morning I’ll take off the lowest vote getter.
————-

Due to a bunch of requests, I’m putting this up this way so you can pick from the full slate of candidates.

I have not added people like Chris Christie and Bobby Jindal because they have been fairly adamant that they are not running and are giving every hint in private that they are not running. Consequently, I’m leaving out an “other” category as well. This will also prevent the Gary Johnson v. Ron Paul fight in the other category.

In any event, here you go:

Who is your initial preferred pick for the GOP President Candidate
Haley Barbour
John Bolton
Jeb Bush
Herman Cain
Mitch Daniels
Mike Huckabee
Sarah Palin
Tim Pawlenty
Mike Pence
Rick Perry
David Petraeus
Mitt Romney
John Thune

  
Free polls from Pollhost.com


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132 Comments Leave a comment

Herman Cain

lurker9876 Sunday, December 19th at 7:08PM EDT (link)

I would like to see him on the 2012 ticket.

Mrs. Palin is up 2-1 so far.

gekster (Diary) Sunday, December 19th at 7:13PM EDT (link)

They say Republicans are for the rich, Democrats are for the poor.
If they need more voters,
then they have to make more of who they are for.

We are there in the various Tea Party groups, leaderless, but not rudderless.
We steer always toward the Constitutional principles this nation was founded upon.
Erick Brockway

I’ve gone from
“Hope and Change” to
“Hopeless and Changeless”

Actually the results are a valuable indicator for how Red State should focus on 2012

red_oakster (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 8:59AM EDT (link)

The results show that there’s no consensus on a presidential candidate among Red Staters, and that means we’re going to have no influence on the race. Better to focus on races where we can make a difference, namely, a lot of Senate and House primaries.

That Is Now

wonkish1 (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 9:12AM EDT (link)

That wont necessarily be the case after the first several debates. A few will pop out and most will coalesce.

“First you win the argument, then you win the vote.” Margaret Thatcher

Conservative Innovations I Want To See Succeed
http://rightnetwork.com/ –New conservative TV network
http://actright.com/ –Fundraising hub for all things conservative
http://connect.freedomworks.org/ — Connecting Tea Partiers around the country
http://procinct.net/ –GOTV walk/call lists
http://www.citizensunited.org/ –Their documentary arm

I'm not sure

red_oakster (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 10:35AM EDT (link)

Most people around here are pretty die-hard about their favorites, and will stick with them through Iowa and New Hampshire. And then most candidates disappear immediately, and two or at most three will be left. There was no real coalescing in 2008 and the wide open race suggests the conditions for consensus are much worse this time.

My point is that Red State can focus early on Senate contests in places like Ohio and Virginia and make a difference. And it can try to weigh in some blue states as well.

 
 
 
 
 

I want to see the fighters included!

davep Sunday, December 19th at 7:18PM EDT (link)

Bring back Johnson and Paul to the vote… we the people want to have as broad a choice as possible, not just the ones the Party thinks has a chance to win.
DaveP

Request denied. (nt)

Neil Stevens (Diary) Sunday, December 19th at 7:46PM EDT (link)

RS contributing editor and “a hardy variety of crabgrass.”
Read the RedState Posting Rules

Unlikely Voter: Poll Analysis, Election Projection.

“I rejoice that America has resisted.” – William Pitt, the Elder

 

davep- What do you mean, bring back

Scope (Diary) Sunday, December 19th at 7:54PM EDT (link)

Paul and Johnson? They were never included to begin with.

 
 

Rick Perry

kleerstreem Sunday, December 19th at 7:30PM EDT (link)

Not running.

 

Doesn't really matter

Scope (Diary) Sunday, December 19th at 7:48PM EDT (link)

EE. As long as the vote is being hijacked by some very loud and vocal Palin supporters, asking everyone they know to come and vote for Palin, it really loses much meaning. It is no where near representative, unless of course you consider Hillbuzz, and what ever else Palin website, is representative of the nations voters. If I’m not mistaken, Cain also did the same with last weeks polls, and may be also involved in this poll, I don’t know. It would be fair if each of the other candidates listed asked their supporters to also run over to RS to vote for them, but, I suspect many of them don’t even know this poll is here, and, even if they did, they would rather win fairly and squarely. I don’t want to be disrespectful, but, this is very similar to the 08 Ron Paul on-line polls. As much as I will get slammed for this, I’m really beginning to wonder if the Palin supporters aren’t getting as bad as the Ron Paul supporters in 08, or currently. Obama had cult like supporters. Remember them fainting, and saying Oh prescious God thank you for taking time out of your busy day types. No more cults please. I have not been against Palin. I think she has done a tremendous job with the mid-terms. I have gone to bat here for her with the great work she is doing, and against those that have constantly repeated the same old. same old mantras such as “she quit” and blahh blahh blahhh. I am beginning to get creeped out now with what truly has become the Palin cult which mirrors Obamas. You always want to support someone being treated unfairly, which the press has done to Palin for 2 years. You always want to deny those that have screamed “she’s unelectable.” There are so many that have claimed that she has done tremendous work for the conservatives, and, she has. The cult has now put me in the complete opposite direction. I pray to God she never sees the Presidency in my lifetime. We already learned the hard way what happens to cult leaders. Ron Paul’s cult followers did him in.

I think we need a closed poll.

gekster (Diary) Sunday, December 19th at 7:57PM EDT (link)

One just for registered Red Staters.
Then we could find out how “we” feel.
And with my Palin post, it was just for info.
Nothing more.

They say Republicans are for the rich, Democrats are for the poor.
If they need more voters,
then they have to make more of who they are for.

We are there in the various Tea Party groups, leaderless, but not rudderless.
We steer always toward the Constitutional principles this nation was founded upon.
Erick Brockway

I’ve gone from
“Hope and Change” to
“Hopeless and Changeless”

 

A cult..

bcochran1981 Sunday, December 19th at 8:48PM EDT (link)

..is defined in part as: “an instance of great veneration of a person, ideal, or thing, esp. as manifested by a body of admirers; a group or sect bound together by veneration of the same thing, person, ideal.” Under that definition, any group of people believing in the same “anything” could be defined as a cult.

A more common definition would include an irrational belief in perfection (which Ms. Palin’s supporters don’t suffer from. the majority realize that, like any candidate, she has her pluses and minuses.) and a devotion which is obviously fanatical. That definition, as you pointed out, can easily be applied to a segment of 08 Obama supporters. The fainting, the almost messianic fervor, the accusations that anyone not agreeing with him was racist, etc.

Are Ms. Palin’s supporters vocal and adamant? Certainly. She, at least at the moment, is one of the very few high profile Republicans that seems to encapsulate the anti-incumbent sentiment. She’s young, conservative, articulate, attractive (it shouldn’t matter, but it does) and not afraid to go head to head with the “old guard.” She engenders vocal and passionate response from supporters and detractors. Not unlike another unabashed conservative from about 35-40 years ago. No, she’s not Reagan. Just an example people responding fervently to someone.

There’s no cult. Just a group of people that see in her, perhaps, a glimpse of something they can be proud to stand up for, instead of holding their nose and swallowing.

You can fool all of the people some of the time, some of the people all the time and liberal voters every time.

 

I can hear the wailing and the gnashing of the teeth

philipjames Sunday, December 19th at 10:40PM EDT (link)

So, people who are Palin supporters who read Red State are not supposed to vote. Interesting.

Look you dolt, Scope… here are the facts. When Eric ran the first poll, people were dropped off as the poll went along. And guess what, Cain urged his Facebook and Twitter people to vote for him. In addition, all the LOSERS – the supporters of the losing candidates – started to vote for “anyone but Palin” and the final vote total was a little over 16,000 votes with Cain getting a bit more than Palin.
Then, logic appeared and Eric decided to do a second poll that was going to be more reflective off the support for all the candidates. And guess what… Sarah is smoking everyone and has more than 2 times the next person. WITHOUT asking her 2.5 million Facebook fans or 350,000 Twitter followers to vote for her.
So, quit your whining. She is not winning because of any campaign… if she was noticing this poll and wanted to, she could generate 100,000 votes by just asking for them.
SImple.
It amazes me that the strongest and most capable candidate to change Washington for the better is right in front of all of you and you insist on looking for some other dolt candidate who will not win. Who is the most vetted candidate in the political world right now – Palin. Do you think there are any skeletons in the other potential candidates closets that have not been exposed simple because no one has really looked yet? You betcha. Do you think there are any in Sarah Palin’s that have not been found out by now after two years of intense digging and scrutiny? Remember the ambush on Bush about that DUI just before the election that led to the close vote? And that is just one thing to consider for the next Republican candidate for President.
Smarten up and yes, lets have a hard fought primary as Palin says, but to dismiss Palin as being unelectable by some on the right is sheer idiocy and a sign of being a liberal pawn.

I see- You are

Scope (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 7:12AM EDT (link)

a Palinbot, you dolt.

 
 

Attack Palinistas to attack Palin...again.

alwaysfiredup Monday, December 20th at 10:44AM EDT (link)

I don’t want this to get into a flamewar. But this is getting extremely tired. There are a number of comments to this diary that flat out say Palin is stupid. That’s okay but a few words of defense make one a ‘bot?

Palin has fans. Period. You’re not going to change that by complaining about them.. And I don’t see how it benefits RedState to alienate them. either.

I am one of Palin’ fans. I am not a cultist. I do not appreciate the rant. That’s all.

I appreciate what she is doing for

Goldwater_Conservative (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 11:45AM EDT (link)

the grassroots movement right now. But I’m deathy afraid that she will win the nomination and get rolled by Obama. And I think you can see how that fear would keep me up at night.

Palin will beat Obama

alwaysfiredup Monday, December 20th at 12:14PM EDT (link)

…so I don’t really share your fear. :)

You Don't Know That For Sure

wonkish1 (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 12:56PM EDT (link)

Nobody knows that she will, and nobody knows that she wont. Politics in non linear there have been countless examples of severe underdogs coming back and pulling it off.

If the primaries get off and her favorables aren’t above 40% you still wont even be able to say she will likely beat him. At best it would still be a tossup at the start of primary season if she doesn’t have favorables above 40%.

You don’t know, I don’t know, nobody know’s. Again, the best suggestion I can give anybody is to reserve judgement.

“First you win the argument, then you win the vote.” Margaret Thatcher

Conservative Innovations I Want To See Succeed
http://rightnetwork.com/ –New conservative TV network
http://actright.com/ –Fundraising hub for all things conservative
http://connect.freedomworks.org/ — Connecting Tea Partiers around the country
http://procinct.net/ –GOTV walk/call lists
http://www.citizensunited.org/ –Their documentary arm

Calm down.

alwaysfiredup Monday, December 20th at 2:53PM EDT (link)

I was tweaking him. My belief in Palin is imo as reasonable as GC’s fear.

I Am Calm

wonkish1 (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 3:01PM EDT (link)

Sorry, if you got a tone from my words that I didn’t intend, just a friendly reply as always.

“First you win the argument, then you win the vote.” Margaret Thatcher

Conservative Innovations I Want To See Succeed
http://rightnetwork.com/ –New conservative TV network
http://actright.com/ –Fundraising hub for all things conservative
http://connect.freedomworks.org/ — Connecting Tea Partiers around the country
http://procinct.net/ –GOTV walk/call lists
http://www.citizensunited.org/ –Their documentary arm

 

the only problem is

Goldwater_Conservative (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 3:08PM EDT (link)

I have clear polling evidence that my fear isnt all that misplaced. Now you can say that polling this far out is speculative at best, but when dealing with Palin I think most people have already formed an oppinion its not like she needs an introduction. If she is getting thumped right now in a head to head matchup with Obama while Romeny, someone with actually less name reck than her, is beating Obama I think that is a clear signal that she is extreamly weak in a general election. Is it impossible for her to overtun this? No, but why pick the steepest hill to climb when you get a merit badge for just climbing a hill?

This Is What I See

wonkish1 (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 3:23PM EDT (link)

I see that since human nature tends towards everything *now.* So instead of seeing if a person is capable of pulling out a shocker we just assume that we have to make a decision now.

That is a problem because if Palin screws up big time in the primaries then her supporters better be able to jump ship quickly. If they are left there defending someone that has clearly blown their shot then everybody suffers.

But also if Palin pulls a rabbit out of a hat and all of a sudden some things she is saying(or doing) is causing middle America to jump onto her candidacy then all the anti-Palin people better get with the program quickly.

This is the exact same for any other candidate. And why reserving judgement is by far the smartest move at this stage.

But if you are absolutely so impatient that you have to make up your mind right now please do so within reason. For those of you that purely go off of electability develop a reasonable set of criteria that would allow you to jump ship in the primary. And for those of you purely going off of who appears to be the best in your eyes right now please set up a list of criteria for other candidates that would cause you to think about switching.

I think the only thing we have to be scared about is this: **if someone does something wrong or stupid a bunch of people run around trying to excuse it and if they do something right a bunch of other people run around trying to downplay it.** And that is where we get ourselves into trouble.

“First you win the argument, then you win the vote.” Margaret Thatcher

Conservative Innovations I Want To See Succeed
http://rightnetwork.com/ –New conservative TV network
http://actright.com/ –Fundraising hub for all things conservative
http://connect.freedomworks.org/ — Connecting Tea Partiers around the country
http://procinct.net/ –GOTV walk/call lists
http://www.citizensunited.org/ –Their documentary arm

I made up my mind

Goldwater_Conservative (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 3:34PM EDT (link)

when she left her governorship. But what I”m saying about the Palin case is that while we are very early, in her case people have already formed their oppinion. Once people form an oppinon, its a lot harder to change than going from unknown to liked. In another of words, these guys that didn’t have anything to do with the 2008 campaign will have a better change at woing voters than will Palin because they havent formed an oppinon about her. Palin is like Hillary in 2008, people either love her or hate her but they know her and have made up their mind, her actual campaining did little to change those numbers.

Hillary's

wonkish1 (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 3:52PM EDT (link)

Approval index did rise as the primaries went on if I’m not mistaken. They moved slowly, though. And that will be true of Palin as well unless she shocks the public with something is capable of moving the numbers much faster.

As someone has opinions more formed of them,, the candidate has to do something more and more outside of the box to move the numbers.

In my personal opinion, if she run’s a traditional campaign she could likely lose. That is also true for practically everybody on my list. And I also feel like in each case it is more likely than not that they will run non traditional campaigns which is a break from everything we have seen for the last 20 years.

Due to my belief that this election cycle will break with reality and lead to non traditional campaigns, I can’t back anyone I like because the nature of non-traditional campaigns is that they are risky. Some will fail and others will succeed. I’ll wait for someone on my list to pull off a non-traditional campaign and then back them.

A presumption that Palin wont be able to move her approval index(or strongly held views about her) is an assumption based on a traditional campaign. Since it is likely that wont be the case, then you are forced to take that information with a grain of salt.

“First you win the argument, then you win the vote.” Margaret Thatcher

Conservative Innovations I Want To See Succeed
http://rightnetwork.com/ –New conservative TV network
http://actright.com/ –Fundraising hub for all things conservative
http://connect.freedomworks.org/ — Connecting Tea Partiers around the country
http://procinct.net/ –GOTV walk/call lists
http://www.citizensunited.org/ –Their documentary arm

 

Hillary's favorability improved a lot.

alwaysfiredup Monday, December 20th at 3:52PM EDT (link)

Particularly among the larger electorate. People saw her be tested and be resilient. Republicans in particular improved their opinion of her. I actually believe Hillary would have won the presidency by a larger margin than Obama, had she the opportunity.

She got a lot of Republican

Goldwater_Conservative (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 4:02PM EDT (link)

support when it became clear that Obama was the frontrunner and the more liberal candidate. Obama made her look better, I dont see how she did anything different other than campained with no major screw ups in the primary.

Obama benefited from being

Goldwater_Conservative (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 4:07PM EDT (link)

unknown while Cliton suffered from the already held oppinions. Thats why I think the GOP candidate that has the best shot to win a general election is someone who most people dont know yet.

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Its a very fair vote

SirGladiator (Diary) Sunday, December 19th at 8:29PM EDT (link)

While it is of course true that Governor Palin has many Internet supporters, that’s because she has many supporters, period. She’s the Front-Runner nationwide in the most recent poll I saw, a couple weeks or so back, so it only stands to reason she would have the most Internet supporters also. For those complaining about her Internet supporters, its quite obvious that her Internet support is actually much more proportional to her actual support than others, such as Mike Pence or Herman Cain, neither of whom are remotely well known Nationwide but are getting double digit support in this poll. If anyone wants to complain about a candidate’s supporters, those are the ones you should be complaining about. Of course I think its absurd to complain about any candidate’s supporters, its a good thing not a bad thing for folks to like a candidate and vote for them in polls. If your candidate isnt doing well, help them organize their support and drive their vote up. Governor Palin is winning because she has the most support, both on the Internet and throughout America.

That Isn't Quite Accurate

wonkish1 (Diary) Sunday, December 19th at 8:41PM EDT (link)

When the poll was launched the first 2 thousand votes had Pence and Palin within an Arms reach of each other. As the night went on and into the next morning the percentage of Palin and Cain voters shot through the roof which tells you that it was votes coming from different sites. Well it turns out that we discover that was actually occurring.

I should have screen shot the first couple thousand votes it was pretty telling. Realistic estimates for Redstate(not elsewhere) are approximately 23-25% for Palin and Cain is pretty close to Daniels in %. Otherwise, everybody else appears to have held pretty close to the same proportion since the start of the poll.

“First you win the argument, then you win the vote.” Margaret Thatcher

Conservative Innovations I Want To See Succeed
http://rightnetwork.com/ –New conservative TV network
http://actright.com/ –Fundraising hub for all things conservative
http://connect.freedomworks.org/ — Connecting Tea Partiers around the country
http://procinct.net/ –GOTV walk/call lists
http://www.citizensunited.org/ –Their documentary arm

I noticed this too. When I went to bed it was virtually a dead heat.

SoFiMil (Diary) Sunday, December 19th at 9:20PM EDT (link)

nt

www.suvstrategery.blogspot.com

 
 
 

I dont' care much for the choices

TrueConservative Sunday, December 19th at 8:38PM EDT (link)

But if I had to pick, I’d go with Palin. She’s the only one who has challenged the status quo and doesn’t appear to be an elitist insider. But face the facts, she has a very very small chance to win a general election thanks to a media that has been out to destroy in the same way the ridiculed and destroyed Dan Quayle.

Ron Paul is the only person that can save the Constitution and our freedoms, but I’m under no illusions that he will actually win anything. But still, he has my vote if he decides to run. The neo-cons need to face the fact that Ron Paul has a huge following among the conservative youth. Tea Party all the way. If the Republicans nominate an insider RINO like Mccain or another bailout, amnesty-loving Bush, millions of Tea Party supporters will go third party. We have had it with RINOs stabbing us in the back. Learn the lessons of ’06 and ’08 when Republicans lost their way and conservatives stayed home. We will gladly go down with a Christine Odonnel or Sharon Angle if the alternative is “winning” with a Mike Castle or any big government ‘conservative’.

It'd be great

cej Monday, December 20th at 3:33AM EDT (link)

To have Gary Johnson in the poll too. If Romney or Thune or Huckabee or any other of these big government neoconservative career politicians receive the nomination, I’ll be voting third party or not at all. Probably the only acceptable choice to me on that list is Mitch Daniels.

I really don’t see much difference between the huge majority of this list and Obama. Can we get a nominee who actually cares about defending our liberties rather than taking them away??

 
 

How about a ranking vote

txgho1911 Sunday, December 19th at 8:44PM EDT (link)

Maybe with an approval voting method used we could narrow the field better. Rank the favorite 10 and the least favorite 0. Those candidates you have no opinion on no ranking number.
Mitch Daniels
0 Mike Huckabee
9 Sarah Palin
6 Tim Pawlenty
8 Mike Pence
3 Rick Perry
1 David Petraeus

This would kill the spoiler 3rd candidate in this 2 party system we have. How about a try?

Quaker Vote

wonkish1 (Diary) Sunday, December 19th at 8:50PM EDT (link)

1. Is that you have a preference towards that candidate
2. Is that you can live with, *or don’t know enough about to make a decision*
3. Is that you cannot live with

Give 1, 2, or 3 to each candidate.

“First you win the argument, then you win the vote.” Margaret Thatcher

Conservative Innovations I Want To See Succeed
http://rightnetwork.com/ –New conservative TV network
http://actright.com/ –Fundraising hub for all things conservative
http://connect.freedomworks.org/ — Connecting Tea Partiers around the country
http://procinct.net/ –GOTV walk/call lists
http://www.citizensunited.org/ –Their documentary arm

I second the Quaker vote idea nt

aesthete (Diary) Sunday, December 19th at 9:09PM EDT (link)

“It is a popular delusion that the government wastes vast amounts of money through inefficiency and sloth. Enormous effort and elaborate planning are required to waste this much money.”
-P.J. O’Rourke

 
 
 

Sarah Palin

vrwcohio (Diary) Sunday, December 19th at 8:50PM EDT (link)

Maybe I’m in the minority, but if Sarah Palin is the nominee she will be guaranteeing the reelection of Obama.

In my opinion she can’t win, and isn’t bright/smart enough to do the job.

I want the candidate to be a governor who spends the next 2 years stripping power from unions, highlighting underfunded pensions and forcing the unions to re-negotiate, and who has his or her state’s fiscal house in order by cutting spending and not raising taxes.

100%

edstate Sunday, December 19th at 9:18PM EDT (link)

Palin certainly satisfies a “stick it to them” urge for some of us, but she also represents a lot of what’s wrong (or perceived to be wrong, which in politics is the same thing) with Flyover America: emotion and “gut” over critical thinking and education. Not that Sarah’s dumb, far from it. But people simply don’t want their “outspoken next door neighbor” to be POTUS.

As you note, those dearies next door aren't about to "own up."

SoFiMil (Diary) Sunday, December 19th at 9:24PM EDT (link)

And I’m a big Palin fan. She’s certainly been effective, as whenever she speaks, people listen and the message gets instantly breaks through the MSM blackout (e.g., Death Panels).

www.suvstrategery.blogspot.com

 
 
 

Duh?

edstate Sunday, December 19th at 9:13PM EDT (link)

Rubio?
Ryan?

Comon guys. Don’t make JV mistakes.

;)

Huge Supporters Of Each

wonkish1 (Diary) Sunday, December 19th at 9:53PM EDT (link)

But the poll is of those that actually have signaled they may be running. Rubio and Ryan garner enough support that it would skew the results of the poll and make it useless. Polls with significant % of votes going to folks that aren’t going to be entering the primaries is useless in regards to any information.

“First you win the argument, then you win the vote.” Margaret Thatcher

Conservative Innovations I Want To See Succeed
http://rightnetwork.com/ –New conservative TV network
http://actright.com/ –Fundraising hub for all things conservative
http://connect.freedomworks.org/ — Connecting Tea Partiers around the country
http://procinct.net/ –GOTV walk/call lists
http://www.citizensunited.org/ –Their documentary arm

 
 

Only one question....

Marcus_Traianus (Diary) Sunday, December 19th at 9:45PM EDT (link)

Who is freeping the poll? Sarah Palin? C’mon I love the gal and all, but she will be more effective right where she is.

“Both of our political parties, at least the honest portion of them, agree conscientiously in the same object—the public good; but they differ essentially in what they deem the means of promoting that good. One side believes it best done by one composition of the governing powers; the other, by a different one. One fears most the ignorance of the people; the other, the selfishness of rulers independent of them. Which is right, time and experience will prove.”.Thomas Jefferson

 

What about Bachmann?

LuciusCicero (Diary) Sunday, December 19th at 10:35PM EDT (link)

MICHELE PAC has given more than $31,000 to Iowa candidates.

That’s more than TWICE what Palin’s PAC has given.

http://topics.npr.org/article/0bpngxSa8qdyk

http://www.minnesotademocratsexposed.com/2010/12/19/is-michele-bachmann-running-for-president-2/

 

Why Jeb Bush?

yuletide Sunday, December 19th at 10:57PM EDT (link)

Why Jeb Bush and not Christie? Jeb Bush has said several times on camera (last was on CNBC) that he is not running for President yet he is included in this poll. I still think someone like Christie or Rudy Giuliani gets into the race.

 

Why Jeb Bush?

yuletide Sunday, December 19th at 10:57PM EDT (link)

Why Jeb Bush and not Christie? Jeb Bush has said several times on camera (last was on CNBC) that he is not running for President yet he is included in this poll. I still think someone like Christie or Rudy Giuliani gets into the race.

Reasonable Point

wonkish1 (Diary) Sunday, December 19th at 11:01PM EDT (link)

Jeb hasn’t exactly given really any signal of running. Maybe he should be taken off of any future polls.

Christie is absolutely not getting into the race. And to be quite honest I think he is getting a bit ticked being asked all the time. Giuliani, I have no idea haven’t heard anything.

“First you win the argument, then you win the vote.” Margaret Thatcher

Conservative Innovations I Want To See Succeed
http://rightnetwork.com/ –New conservative TV network
http://actright.com/ –Fundraising hub for all things conservative
http://connect.freedomworks.org/ — Connecting Tea Partiers around the country
http://procinct.net/ –GOTV walk/call lists
http://www.citizensunited.org/ –Their documentary arm

This is exactly why polling doesn't make any sense at this point in time

JSobieski (Diary) Sunday, December 19th at 11:03PM EDT (link)

We should wait until people are actually forming exploratory committees.

Did you know that China has been losing manufacturing jobs since 1995? For the specific data, see Table 1 in the following link: http://www.bls.gov/opub/mlr/2005/07/art2full.pdf

Agree, but CPAC straw poll is coming Feb. 10-12, 2011.

SoFiMil (Diary) Sunday, December 19th at 11:21PM EDT (link)

Candidates, whether we/they like it or not, who want some momentum and not get left behind, will have to start making some noise soon.

www.suvstrategery.blogspot.com

Even Romney will wait until after Christmas to form an exploratory committee

JSobieski (Diary) Sunday, December 19th at 11:28PM EDT (link)

Feb 12 is more than 50 days away, and frankly the CPAC poll is about as meaningful as that Iowa straw poll that Pat Robertson won once.

Did you know that China has been losing manufacturing jobs since 1995? For the specific data, see Table 1 in the following link: http://www.bls.gov/opub/mlr/2005/07/art2full.pdf

The Ames Iowa poll meant more than CPAC

Adjoran (Diary) Sunday, December 19th at 11:59PM EDT (link)

CPAC is a bunch of people paying to be “players” in the conservative movement, put on to make a profit. And as an excuse for some to get out of town for some mischief.

In terms of meaning or influence among those who do not attend, it means nothing at all. The only attention most people might pay is if there is some scandal surrounding the conference next year.

Coming debate on CPAC help Huckabee?

chihank Monday, December 20th at 12:01PM EDT (link)

CPAC is deabting whether to continue to allow GOPproud (a conservative gay rights group) and the John Bircherers to be sponsors of CPAC 2011.

Some SoCon groups are refusing to attend CPAC if GOPproud is allowed to be sponsors. Huckabee will try to portray the Establishment as trying to throw SoCons off the bus and that only Huckabee will stand up for American values.

 
 
 
 
 

This is exactly why polling doesn't make any sense at this point in time

JSobieski (Diary) Sunday, December 19th at 11:03PM EDT (link)

We should wait until people are actually forming exploratory committees.

Did you know that China has been losing manufacturing jobs since 1995? For the specific data, see Table 1 in the following link: http://www.bls.gov/opub/mlr/2005/07/art2full.pdf

 

No. More. Bushes.

heartlander (Diary) Sunday, December 19th at 11:41PM EDT (link)

nt

“The still, small voice of God in every human soul is the greatest ally of the pro-life cause, and why it will ultimately prevail.”
–Donald R. McClarey

I commend you for your well-reasoned argument

Neil Stevens (Diary) Sunday, December 19th at 11:46PM EDT (link)

Oh wait. You provided no logic or fact at all. Just a silly bumper sticker slogan.

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My criteria is conservatism combined with electability

nvrepub (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 12:05AM EDT (link)
 
 
 

Maybe.

LibertarianHawk (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 12:05PM EDT (link)

It’s tough at this point to put together a list of potential candidates.

I’m starting to think, for the first time in a while, that Mitch Daniels is going to take a pass.

He’s said that he’ll make a decision in the April timeframe. But most of his recent commentary seems to lean against it (such as answering “Maybe” to a question about whether his relative lack of political activity should be taken as a signal).

It Has Always Been

wonkish1 (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 12:48PM EDT (link)

More likely that Mitch would pass than run. He first said absolutely no, but then was persuaded to be “open to the possibility.”

The bottom line is that his wife really, really, really doesn’t like politics. And I think she is 100% against him running for president. Most of the time, I think when it comes down to your wife being ticked and a couple million people being disappointed you usually bow out graciously.

“First you win the argument, then you win the vote.” Margaret Thatcher

Conservative Innovations I Want To See Succeed
http://rightnetwork.com/ –New conservative TV network
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http://connect.freedomworks.org/ — Connecting Tea Partiers around the country
http://procinct.net/ –GOTV walk/call lists
http://www.citizensunited.org/ –Their documentary arm

 
 
 

Rick Perry, ftw.

the_invisible_hand (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 12:11AM EDT (link)

This is a guy that once he gets his name out there will be a real frontrunner not a media created one.

The Democrats are the party that says government will make you smarter, taller, richer, and remove the crabgrass on your lawn. The Republicans are the party that says government doesn’t work and then they get elected and prove it.
-P. J. O’Rourke

 

This poll is full of inside the beltway lamestreamers.

whiskey_sierra Monday, December 20th at 2:51AM EDT (link)

Please god not another big spending pro-interventionist war mongering anti-liberty candidate like Mitt WRONGmny.

Get some real liberty candidates like former 2-term New Mexico Governor Gary Johnson(R).

http://www.garyjohnson2010.com

When are we going to stop letting the liberal elites in media and the other liberal elites in the Washington republicans tell us who our ‘only’ choices are?

Moron alert

Neil Stevens (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 4:47AM EDT (link)

You just turned off a dozen people from Gary Johnson with your idiotic ranting, moron.

You and your terrorist-enabling ilk make me sick. You are a blight on the site.

Get out of here. Get out of the party of Reagan, Goldwater, and Lincon before you start smearing them as”war mongers” too.

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Didn't Lincoln initiate the bloodiest war in American history? nt

cej Monday, December 20th at 5:15AM EDT (link)

No.

Neil Stevens (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 5:23AM EDT (link)

I see you’re one of those, too.

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So Abraham Lincoln did not initiate the civil war?

cej Monday, December 20th at 6:33AM EDT (link)

Seems like a pretty clear-cut question of history to me.

Yes it should be

Neil Stevens (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 8:24AM EDT (link)

But apparently Paultards know as little about history as they do the Constitution.

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"If you leave me I will murder you and everyone you love."

cej Monday, December 20th at 5:23PM EDT (link)

-Abraham Lincoln

Abe Lincoln said that?

gekster (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 5:28PM EDT (link)

Did he?
Or are you being sarcastic.

They say Republicans are for the rich, Democrats are for the poor.
If they need more voters,
then they have to make more of who they are for.

We are there in the various Tea Party groups, leaderless, but not rudderless.
We steer always toward the Constitutional principles this nation was founded upon.
Erick Brockway

I’ve gone from
“Hope and Change” to
“Hopeless and Changeless”

This was his policy position towards the South.

cej Monday, December 20th at 7:07PM EDT (link)

No real question about it.

You are quoting him.

gekster (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 7:13PM EDT (link)

did he say that?
His policy position not withstandig, are those his words?

They say Republicans are for the rich, Democrats are for the poor.
If they need more voters,
then they have to make more of who they are for.

We are there in the various Tea Party groups, leaderless, but not rudderless.
We steer always toward the Constitutional principles this nation was founded upon.
Erick Brockway

I’ve gone from
“Hope and Change” to
“Hopeless and Changeless”

No He Did Not Say Those Words

wonkish1 (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 7:39PM EDT (link)

I laughed hard when I read that.

“First you win the argument, then you win the vote.” Margaret Thatcher

Conservative Innovations I Want To See Succeed
http://rightnetwork.com/ –New conservative TV network
http://actright.com/ –Fundraising hub for all things conservative
http://connect.freedomworks.org/ — Connecting Tea Partiers around the country
http://procinct.net/ –GOTV walk/call lists
http://www.citizensunited.org/ –Their documentary arm

Thanks for the info:

gekster (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 8:50PM EDT (link)

I have learned alot of things here mostly by reading, but by asking questions
I have about things.

Some people get really offended when asked a question.
It seams this particular person won’t answer mine, so I thank you for the answer.
I did find the statement hard to believe, but I’ve run across harder things that I found out to be true.
The worst.
Gingrich saying Reagan conservatism was dead.
Didn’t want to believe it, and lost Gingrich when I found out it was true.
Some people are redilly handy with thier links when asked.
Done with semi threadjack.
Again, thanks.

They say Republicans are for the rich, Democrats are for the poor.
If they need more voters,
then they have to make more of who they are for.

We are there in the various Tea Party groups, leaderless, but not rudderless.
We steer always toward the Constitutional principles this nation was founded upon.
Erick Brockway

I’ve gone from
“Hope and Change” to
“Hopeless and Changeless”

 
 
 
 
 

I love fake libertarians who are pro-slavery (nt)

Neil Stevens (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 8:27PM EDT (link)

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It's interesting how you accuse me of being

cej Monday, December 20th at 8:40PM EDT (link)

pro-slavery when my position is about as far from advocating involuntary slavery as you can get. I am an advocate of peace and liberty for all men. Slavery should have clearly been dealt with in the Constution at America’s founding.

If Lincoln really did care about freedom for blacks, then why didn’t he free the slaves in the Union? It makes no sense. Whatever the ultimate resolution of that horrible instution, there was no reason to slaughter 600k over a question that every other rich nation solved peacefully. Lincoln could have just bought the freedom of every slave multiple times over with the funds he spent on the Civil War.

It is incredible to me that people on this site, who claim to be for small government, actually consistently advocate for large government. Stifling secession basically set the stage for the behemoth we have today. It’s why we get terrible things like Obamacare and the War on Drugs and the War on Obesity and all sorts of other Federal overreaches. It’s why we have fought wars of choice and aggression for the past 50 years.

We get it we get it

Neil Stevens (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 8:56PM EDT (link)

You think the slaves had it coming and Lincoln was a bad man for wanting to steal the property of the slaveholders.

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Really try harder to think about these issues

cej Monday, December 20th at 9:44PM EDT (link)

as opposed to giving either intellectually dishonest or ignorant retorts. If you read enough about the situation and spend a lot of time really thinking about the reason the Civil War was fought, I think you will come to the same conclusion. If you care about at least trying for the truth, that is.

How cute

Neil Stevens (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 9:48PM EDT (link)

He wants to sit at the adult table like a grownup.

Can someone get his him to wipe that spitup off his face and walk him back with all the other kids who don’t know a thing about the Constitution or US History?

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This is not a personal battle between you and I.

cej Monday, December 20th at 10:01PM EDT (link)

I just think you hold some very dangerous positions that threaten freedom and peace in our time. It’s nothing personal. If you present me with something good enough, I’ll be man enough to incorporate that into my belief set. I’ve done it before so it’s not impossible. Most of the things I could change my mind on are the gray areas of the libertarian philosophy, such as whether it is better to engage in politics than to spend time developing technology that allows for an escape from politics.

What might you change your position about? If we disagree about something, one of us is right and one of us is wrong. I am more than welling to bet that I am the former.

There there, sport, don't cry

Neil Stevens (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 10:11PM EDT (link)

When you grow up, you’ll be able to participate in the big boy political discussions, too.

Now go play with your GI Joes, sparky.

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libertarian philosophy doesn't require you to rewrite American history

scorpio0679 (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 10:16PM EDT (link)

You should never

Jim Tomasik (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 10:33PM EDT (link)

offer an olive branch to a billy goat. :)

 
 
 
 
 

There was that whole problem

aesthete (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 10:05PM EDT (link)

wherein an entire region of the US rose up in open revolt, mostly to preserve the institution of slavery. The South is cool, and I too wish we could have resolved slavery as peacefully as Great Britain and Portugal*, but must we really indulge Civil War revisionism?

*BTW, most of the developed countries only made slavery illegal after significant pressure from GB, and because their economies weren’t dependent on the institution.

“It is a popular delusion that the government wastes vast amounts of money through inefficiency and sloth. Enormous effort and elaborate planning are required to waste this much money.”
-P.J. O’Rourke

 
 
 
 
 

It Was The Other Guys

Repair_Man_Jack (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 2:08PM EDT (link)

Who opened artillary exercises on Ft Sumner, SC.

Mr. Obama is pretending that an economic “recovery” is underway when he knows damn well that the banking system is just blowing smoke up the shredded *** of what’s left of that economy – James Howard Kunstler

Don't confuse him with facts, now nt

aesthete (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 5:39PM EDT (link)

“It is a popular delusion that the government wastes vast amounts of money through inefficiency and sloth. Enormous effort and elaborate planning are required to waste this much money.”
-P.J. O’Rourke

 

What you're forgetting, RMJ...

Neil Stevens (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 6:15PM EDT (link)

Was that Andrew Johnson was on the grassy knoll.

With Will Folks.

Don’t ask.

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Read A patriot's guide to American History, Lincoln's election initiated and the south's reaction initiated the war.

earlgrey (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 5:28PM EDT (link)

It was not Lincoln himself.

This book was relaly helpful for me. Unfortunately I have already read 400 pages and am only half way through.

 

No.

Frederick (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 8:55PM EDT (link)

Edmund Ruffin claimed to have fired the first shot, under the command of P.G.T. Beauregard. Lincoln’s only act was to attempt to resupply Fort Sumter, which South Carolina demanded its surrender.

Saying Lincoln started the Civil War is akin to saying Roosevelt initiated America’s involvement in World War II by embargoing Japan from our steel scrap.

The question isn’t, “Didn’t Lincoln start the war,” but rather, “Was Lincoln within his rights to reinforce a fort on what was by then legally foreign soil?”

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“I would rather be exposed to the inconveniences attending too much liberty than to those attending too small a degree of it.”
– - Thomas Jefferson, to Archibald Stuart, 1791

The Rebel position was absurd

Neil Stevens (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 8:58PM EDT (link)

If Kentucky seceded at the peak of Fort Knox’s gold reserves, would Kentucky get to claim all the gold?

The Rebels unrealistically demanded all US property in the seceding states. They started an aggressive war of conquest to take that property from the United States of America. From my country.

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I won't argue...

Frederick (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 9:19PM EDT (link)

…that the Confederacy shouldn’t have compensated the United States for the forts, their materiel left behind, and the land they sat upon, as those were lawful possessions of the United States of America.

However, the establishment of a military fort in a foreign nation (which the Confederacy was–at least by the standard we set for ourselves in 1776) is a privilege. Once that privilege is revoked, the United States must evacuate, or we become a beligerent occupying force.

If, say, the United Kingdom demanded we evacuate our air base at Diego Garcia, or perhaps even our bases on British soil, would we not then be obligated to do so? Would we not be in violation of their sovereignty if we failed to do so?

The Confederacy had no right to demand the unconditional surrender of the fort without offering recompense, nor to fire upon the fort based simply upon its being reinforced. But Lincoln had no right to reinforce and retrench the Federal position in defiance of the clearly stated Confederate desire to remove Union military forces from its territory.

All of which is beside the point of the original question, which was was answered, “No.”

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– - Thomas Jefferson, to Archibald Stuart, 1791

Fort Sumter wasn't established in a foreign nation

Neil Stevens (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 9:27PM EDT (link)

It was established in the USA.

Just because SC seceded, it didn’t give them the right to dictate terms ANY MORE than Fidel Castro would have had a right to dictate terms to us at Gitmo.

Could they diplomatically ask that we give it up? Sure. Would Lincoln have spent the next 6 years negotiating it and eventually given it up? I’m sure he would have.

But the Rebels had big chips on their shoulders. They were war mongers, and war they got.

To be clear though, Fred, I’m not so much arguing with you, as using your comments as a springboard to rub the truth in the faces of the Paultards. :)

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Too bad CA wasn't involved

Jack_Savage (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 9:34PM EDT (link)

It would have turned out better for us, I believe.

“But the Rebels had big chips on their shoulders. They were war mongers, and war they got. ”

Did that come from the autobiography of King George?

Oh please

Neil Stevens (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 9:40PM EDT (link)

Your last comment I’m just going to pretend is a joke and will ignore. :)

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I was just wondering

Jack_Savage (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 9:43PM EDT (link)

I like to see things sourced on the internets and all.

Is CA considering secession these days? If not, is there anything we can do to make you reconsider?

Maybe we could pay CA to jump ship.

Jim Tomasik (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 10:01PM EDT (link)

It could be cheaper than bailing them out.

Give all the area from just north of San Francisco, from there go south,

gekster (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 10:14PM EDT (link)

and only on the west side of the Mountains, to Mexico.
The Mountains are a natural fence,
and it’s more Mexican than American any way.
Isn’t that the part La Raza claims the US stole from Mexico.

They say Republicans are for the rich, Democrats are for the poor.
If they need more voters,
then they have to make more of who they are for.

We are there in the various Tea Party groups, leaderless, but not rudderless.
We steer always toward the Constitutional principles this nation was founded upon.
Erick Brockway

I’ve gone from
“Hope and Change” to
“Hopeless and Changeless”

I think they've stolen it back. nt

Jim Tomasik (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 10:22PM EDT (link)

So we don't loose much.

gekster (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 10:26PM EDT (link)

Do we. :)

They say Republicans are for the rich, Democrats are for the poor.
If they need more voters,
then they have to make more of who they are for.

We are there in the various Tea Party groups, leaderless, but not rudderless.
We steer always toward the Constitutional principles this nation was founded upon.
Erick Brockway

I’ve gone from
“Hope and Change” to
“Hopeless and Changeless”

Just think of the undocumented democrats

Jim Tomasik (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 10:30PM EDT (link)

we would not have to deport.

Just keep getting better,

gekster (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 10:35PM EDT (link)

doesn’t it.
And isn’t most of the debt there.
Besides loosing the port of SF, I can’t see how we loose on this.

The only bad would be the San Diego Charges, But Detroit could use a good football team.

They say Republicans are for the rich, Democrats are for the poor.
If they need more voters,
then they have to make more of who they are for.

We are there in the various Tea Party groups, leaderless, but not rudderless.
We steer always toward the Constitutional principles this nation was founded upon.
Erick Brockway

I’ve gone from
“Hope and Change” to
“Hopeless and Changeless”

 
 
 
 
 

Oh yes, we'll be paying them all right - one way or the other

Jack_Savage (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 10:37PM EDT (link)

They’re too big to fail. Or so they think.

I wouldn’t take 25% interest to buy any California muni bond right now. Worth about as much as confederate currency – right Neil?

 
 
 
 
 

That period is fascinating and different than a lot

cactusjack Monday, December 20th at 9:50PM EDT (link)

of the common perceptions today . For example:
1. Buchanan was the President for most of the siege. He famously did nothing and hadn’t a clue what to do. He was as s politically paralyzed as Carter during the Iranian hostage ordeal. Lincoln really inherited a real mess that had already festered into something worse.
2. The South had already given the North an ultimatum to clear out some weeks before, or firing would start. The deadline passed. The South felt like it was losing the game of chicken in the public eye and started the shooting as much out of embarrassment than hot headed bravado. Neither is a good reason of course. Secession had always been more effective as a threat than a played card, since New England (yes, New England) had been the *first* to threaten it in the 1820s.
3. But as far as Southerners were concerned, the war had already started when Lincoln called for 75,000 federal troops to be used to invade and disarm the South, some time before Fort Sumter. As far as especially the Lower South was concerned, the war was already on because of that. Bear in mind, calling for troops to invade was so shocking to the Upper South – VA, TN, NC, AR they didn’t think Lincoln would do that – it caused their immediate secession. Lincoln had made the bad even worser.

 

Castro didn't offer any compensation...

Frederick (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 9:58PM EDT (link)

…and was, by and large, a beat of our own creation.

But I understand your point, and enjoy the reparte.

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– - Thomas Jefferson, to Archibald Stuart, 1791

 
 
 
 
 
 

T' Ha Ha Ha

wonkish1 (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 8:35AM EDT (link)

Some people don’t just know when they are hurting their own cause.

The interesting thing is that I(and many would agree) actually appreciated Johnson’s governorship because damn he kept spending low. But it is absolute Morons like whiskey that make me think twice about any appreciation.

I am literally surprised that people line up to do damage to their own candidate of choice because they are a moron.

“First you win the argument, then you win the vote.” Margaret Thatcher

Conservative Innovations I Want To See Succeed
http://rightnetwork.com/ –New conservative TV network
http://actright.com/ –Fundraising hub for all things conservative
http://connect.freedomworks.org/ — Connecting Tea Partiers around the country
http://procinct.net/ –GOTV walk/call lists
http://www.citizensunited.org/ –Their documentary arm

 

Oh so non-neocon = terrorist enabler?

whiskey_sierra Monday, December 20th at 1:59PM EDT (link)

So your saying that anyone who does not tow the line on the neocon nation building craziness is a “terrorist-enabler”?

Yeah, right.

I want a secure border, but Bush, McCain and the other neocons for years showed that they want amnesty more than they want security.

Meanwhile who knows who is walking right into the country, and they could be carrying whatever device they want and walk straight from the border to your nearest shopping mall, sports stadium or other such event without getting a single interruption to their travel plans.

Which one of us is REALLY for protecting the country and a strong defense?

So wait

Neil Stevens (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 6:20PM EDT (link)

When you say Neocons you really mean Jews right?

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PS Erick called out your lame candidate by name and rejected him

Neil Stevens (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 4:48AM EDT (link)

We don’t like your kind.

We love America instead. We actually read and respect the Constitution, unlike you Paultards.

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I agree with you, Whiskey...

taxmaiden Monday, December 20th at 7:51AM EDT (link)

It’s not a “full slate” without Gary Johnson.

“It is futile to fight against, if one does not know what one is fighting for” – Ayn Rand

 

I don't see any problem with it.

LibertarianHawk (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 9:55AM EDT (link)

And, moreover, I don’t really understand why Neil Steves, etal, below do.

That said, just as I seriously doubt that Sarah Palin will ever be elected president, I even more seriously doubt that Gary Johnson would. And I say that as somebody who, in many ways, thinks highly of Gov. Johnson.

But it certainly seems possible that he’ll be throwing his hat into the ring — which means he’ll be there for the debates and such. And it wouldn’t be fair to call somebody who sat in a governor’s office longer than Mitt Romney and Sarah Palin combined a “fringe candidate”.

Sure, it seems apparent that some people here don’t care for some of his views. But that’s immature, IMO.

It’s not my poll, it’s Erick’s. So he can include and exclude anybody he wants. But I don’t see any good reason why Johnson ought to be excluded from questions about the Republican Party’s nomination.

Cool Story Bro (nt)

Neil Stevens (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 6:21PM EDT (link)

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Your flippant and unconsidered dismissals of

cej Monday, December 20th at 8:42PM EDT (link)

the concepts of freedom and peace, are, frankly, unbecoming. I hope you think very hard about your positions.

Your flippant disregard for reality is troubling (nt)

Neil Stevens (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 8:55PM EDT (link)

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Everytime I see a Neil Stevens "Cool Story Bro" in the comments roll . . .

scorpio0679 (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 9:01PM EDT (link)

. . . you’re guaranteed to warp into an interesting discussion. lol @ this thread.

 
 
 

I'm sorry...

Frederick (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 9:03PM EDT (link)

…but who?

Also, nice link to a vacant site…

Seriously, if you want to promote someone for President, you should probably have more than a broken link, some buzzwords and a puglic figure whose wikipedia article looks like something put together by semi-literate staffers trying to hide things they think could harm his candidacy.

He might actually be a good candidate. I don’t know because he’s not well known outside of his region and there’s little useful information available.

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Gary Johnson: Dopehead for President

Neil Stevens (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 9:43PM EDT (link)

Apparently the Paultards think that electing a former coke dabbler wasn’t bad enough, so we have to elect a guy who was on cannabis for YEARS.

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Uh...

aesthete (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 9:56PM EDT (link)

George Bush, Bill Clinton, Barack Obama, Sarah Palin, and Newt Gingrich, anyone?

“It is a popular delusion that the government wastes vast amounts of money through inefficiency and sloth. Enormous effort and elaborate planning are required to waste this much money.”
-P.J. O’Rourke

[Citation needed]

Neil Stevens (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 10:08PM EDT (link)

When you can find evidence for any of them having been on drugs for YEARS, RECENTLY, let me know, troll.

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Unlikely Voter: Poll Analysis, Election Projection.

“I rejoice that America has resisted.” – William Pitt, the Elder

Goalpost moving

aesthete (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 10:39PM EDT (link)

You just said that Johnson used for years (and said nothing about how recent), which is true of all of those listed, given that they themselves admitted to using in college for extended periods of time.

Personally, I think discussion of substance abuse that doesn’t affect job performance (and from what I can tell, it didn’t for Johnson or any of those listed, regardless of my thoughts on their records) is a distraction. Regardless, if you’re going to criticize Johnson on his drug use, I think that you should be even more critical of the pols above who used, didn’t go to jail, and yet support expansion of the WoD (which includes all of the ones above).

“It is a popular delusion that the government wastes vast amounts of money through inefficiency and sloth. Enormous effort and elaborate planning are required to waste this much money.”
-P.J. O’Rourke

Huh... I'm personally not enamored

Frederick (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 10:48PM EDT (link)

with any on that list.

Many people have done drugs at different stages of their lives. I’m not about to discount someone for doing something in college or early adulthood. But people who pick up or continue to use long into their adult years I have little respect for.

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“I would rather be exposed to the inconveniences attending too much liberty than to those attending too small a degree of it.”
– - Thomas Jefferson, to Archibald Stuart, 1791

Nor am I

aesthete (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 10:54PM EDT (link)

Their drug use isn’t responsible for what I didn’t like about them, though.

“It is a popular delusion that the government wastes vast amounts of money through inefficiency and sloth. Enormous effort and elaborate planning are required to waste this much money.”
-P.J. O’Rourke

 
 
 
 

I was wondering why you put Sarah Palin in that group, but then I remembered,

gekster (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 10:19PM EDT (link)

She was accused of smoking Salmon.
And Pacific Chinook, if I remember.

They say Republicans are for the rich, Democrats are for the poor.
If they need more voters,
then they have to make more of who they are for.

We are there in the various Tea Party groups, leaderless, but not rudderless.
We steer always toward the Constitutional principles this nation was founded upon.
Erick Brockway

I’ve gone from
“Hope and Change” to
“Hopeless and Changeless”

Heh, that's actually pretty funny nt

aesthete (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 10:40PM EDT (link)

“It is a popular delusion that the government wastes vast amounts of money through inefficiency and sloth. Enormous effort and elaborate planning are required to waste this much money.”
-P.J. O’Rourke

 
 
 

I guess that one depends...

Frederick (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 10:10PM EDT (link)

…on if it was impertinent youth, or a life-long habit worthy of ridicule…

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“I would rather be exposed to the inconveniences attending too much liberty than to those attending too small a degree of it.”
– - Thomas Jefferson, to Archibald Stuart, 1791

That's just it

Neil Stevens (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 10:14PM EDT (link)

Gary Johnson was on dope for several years, as an adult. After he was Governor.

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Unlikely Voter: Poll Analysis, Election Projection.

“I rejoice that America has resisted.” – William Pitt, the Elder

 
 

CLUE: Its legal in New Mexcio

whiskey_sierra Tuesday, December 21st at 12:50AM EDT (link)

Johnson says he needed the drug following a 2005 paragliding accident in Hawaii. His sails got caught in a tree, he stalled—and fell about fifty feet straight down to the ground, he says. Johnson suffered multiple bone fractures, including a burst fracture to his T12 vertebrae. “In my human experience, it’s the worst pain I’ve ever felt.”

“Rather than using painkillers, which I have used on occasion before, I did smoke pot, as a result of having broken my back, blowing out both of my knees, breaking ribs, really taking about three years to recover,” Johnson says. He explains that painkillers had once caused him to suffer nasty side effects and the pain of withdrawing from the pills was unbearable. So, Johnson says, in 2005 “someone” who cared for him gave him marijuana to deal with the pain.

 
 
 
 

ARRRGH! (as Charlie Brown used to say)

Adjoran (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 5:20AM EDT (link)

A year is like an eon in politics. It’s way yonder too early to be picking favorites – we don’t know who is in and who is out, and there are usually surprises on both.

Take 2003-04, for example. Dean came from nowhere, was the surprise frontrunner, set fund-raising and volunteer records. He became like a juggernaut crushing everything in his path. But the pressure of it broke him, and he gave some dumb answers to questions in interviews before squandering all his money (charter flight to fly wheels of Vermont cheese to call centers in Iowa) and melting down in Iowa.

By late 1995, Phil Gramm had raised a then-record $25 million and looked to be a contender, but never caught fire and was out early.

This stuff changes in a hurry. Relax and enjoy the show for a while.

Agree and disagree.

LibertarianHawk (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 10:39AM EDT (link)

It’s way too early to be predicting who *will* win the nomination.

But, on the other hand, the first debates are already being scheduled for next spring. That’s not that far away.

No rest for the weary, I guess. ;)

 
 

What abt Lt Col West?

mamamitzvah Monday, December 20th at 5:48AM EDT (link)

bs’d
I would come home and campaign for Lt Col Allen West if he agreed to run.

These thoughts were as foreign to her as philosophic discussions on MTV. Ben Goldfarb Jerusalem Post Feb 1, 2008

 

Jim Demint- Not on the list??

i8bugs (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 6:01AM EDT (link)

NT

Smart is not always wise, and wisdom trumps smart every time.

 

I will support whoever is nominated

LibertarianHawk (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 9:47AM EDT (link)

….and will do so without reservation.

Further, I don’t understand conservatives who would say that they would support Obama over Palin (and, yes, I’ve heard some conservatives say that).

But I strongly, strongly doubt that Sarah Palin could ever be elected President of the United States. It would be good if conservatives took at least some pragmatic consideration to fielding an electable candidate.

I understand many here disagree with me on this. And, that’s fine — I respect that. Nobody would be happier than me were I to be proven wrong.

But I’d really rather not repeat the mistake the Democrats made in 1972 with George McGovern, 1984 with Mondale, or 1988 with Dukakis. It’s not simply conceivable that any of those 3 could ever have been elected.

 

Newt should be on this list

lepelerin Monday, December 20th at 9:56AM EDT (link)

He’s a serious candidate, more then Sarah. I just watched another episode of Sarah’s Alaska. She’s a great Mon but has little “gravitas”. Without that she’ll have little traction when when MSM starts attacking her. She’ll get laughed out of town.

I'll take issue here, too.

LibertarianHawk (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 10:10AM EDT (link)

I have no problem whatsoever with Newt being on the list. He’s talking about running and, obviously, a former SOTH should be regarded as a serious candidate.

But can we drop the whole “more then (sic) Sarah” schtick? Sarah Palin clearly belongs on any list of potential GOP nominees. While I don’t think she stands much chance of being elected, I don’t see why we should say “Newt should be there before Sarah!!”

Why not put them both on there? And Gary Johnson. And anybody else notable who is at all flirting with the idea of seeking the Republican nomination.

And then we can just let the votes go where they will….without having to form a circular firing squad over who even merits consideration.

I was just showing my bias

lepelerin Monday, December 20th at 10:52AM EDT (link)

I do believe Palin should be on this list since she is as committed as Newt.

 
 

Newt the Quitter?

chihank Monday, December 20th at 11:40AM EDT (link)

Couldn’t the same arguement against Sarah, be made against Newt?

Newt did quit his House seat and Speakership just days for the 1998 eelction. Also Newt’s favorables/unfavorables according to Public Policy Polling (KOS Pollster) are just as bad as Palin. I guess the case can be made that Palin & Newt are poor general election candidates. Yet, the Establishment wants to keep Newt around and sandbag Palin.

Not Really

wonkish1 (Diary) Monday, December 20th at 12:28PM EDT (link)

Newt left leadership because of bad results in 1998 elections. He cared enough about the movement that he saw himself as doing more harm than good if he stayed on at that point because there were a lot of more establishment type guys(like Delay) that wanted him gone.

Also, what happened in 98 was that Newt wanted the GOP to run on another reform plan similar to 94 on top of the Lewinsky situation. He went to the head of the NRCC at the time and said that they couldn’t just be about Lewinsky, that they had to also offer up things people wanted to be apart of(conservative reform). The head of the NRCC and some of the leadership told him to take a hike. They bet the farm on Lewinsky and the GOP lost seats in 98, and then blamed Newt for it. He essentially was proven right, and then got blamed for the others being wrong. Not fair, but so is politics.

In regards to favorables and unfavorables. Both Palin and Newt need to execute a plan on how to get there’s back in positive territory. If they can’t then, they can’t win. Luckily, Palin is just starting to execute her plan, and Newt has been spent serious time figuring out his of the last decade(due to his time spent on campaign and movement theory).

Ultimately though it is a matter of performance. If either of them or both of them succeed in getting their approval index higher then they should be taken seriously. If they can’t, then they suffer from a failure to perform. Either way it is a big reason why all of us should withhold judgement on both as well as all of the other candidates.

“First you win the argument, then you win the vote.” Margaret Thatcher

Conservative Innovations I Want To See Succeed
http://rightnetwork.com/ –New conservative TV network
http://actright.com/ –Fundraising hub for all things conservative
http://connect.freedomworks.org/ — Connecting Tea Partiers around the country
http://procinct.net/ –GOTV walk/call lists
http://www.citizensunited.org/ –Their documentary arm

 
 
 

Sent Here From Honey Trail

yomotley Monday, December 20th at 10:28AM EDT (link)

I am glad this poll was linked over where I ready regularly. All the comments here are food for thought. This article was linked in the comments of http://honeytrail.wordpress.com/2010/12/20/lame-duck-monday-12202010/

Also, Cain was discussed in this article http://honeytrail.wordpress.com/2010/12/18/why-because-many-have-never-heard-of-him/