« BACK  |  PRINT

RS

EDITOR OF REDSTATE

The Horserace for August 4, 2011

IA Caucus: Feb. 6, 2012
NH Primary: Feb. 7, 2012
NV Caucus: Feb. 18, 2012
SC Primary: Feb. 28, 2012

That sound you hear is the Huntsman campaign imploding. Or it could be the Perry campaign launching. Both are happening concurrently. A slew of new polling is out showing a Rick Perry entry is going to shake up the race. Even more so, Sarah Palin is joining the soundbite wars to go after Mitt Romney.

This race is as fluid as ever and more and more interesting. The list of candidates is also getting shorter. I no longer see Rick Santorum, Newt Gingrich, or Thad McCotter as viable, adding each to the list of former candidates.

But now we have to take Rick Perry seriously, keep an eye on Sarah Palin, and also glance at Rudy Giuliani. The horserace is getting interesting.

Michele Bachmann

Michele Bachmann continues a strong performance. She got a shout out from Sarah Palin for standing on her principles. So much for the “cat fight” meme the media has been pushing. In fact, Bachmann’s loud condemnation of the plan set her apart from Mitt Romney and made her look like a leader while his seeming opportunism made him look less than a leader.

The problem for Bachmann remains Rick Perry. She’s doing great, but there is a media bias against her more pervasive than any sort of liberal bias. It is the historic bias that a member of the House of Representatives has not gone to the White House since the eighteen hundreds. Bachmann is going to have to overcome not just a liberal bias, but also a bias toward history in paving her own way into the White House.

She can do it, but she won’t have a lot of outside help along the way. And polling suggests Perry’s entry will rock the boat big.

Herman Cain

Herman Cain has moved beyond the muslim issue, but all the upside does leave one issue outstanding. As long as he was saying that stuff, the media found it worthwhile to focus on him. Now he is just a run of the mill candidate. He is going to have to find more ways to shine.

But with the grassroots, Cain continues to shine and that’s why, though some would love to count him out, it is impossible. He has strong ties into the grassroots community and there is a lot of affection. To be sure, Bachmann’s campaign has sucked up most of the energy, but there is an ever closing window of opportunity for Cain to get back some of those grassroots as they shift their glass from Bachmann to Perry.

Herman Cain will probably have to spend some capital to make it happen, but it is still possible to put him on a path to victory. It’s just he has a very small window and if he doesn’t get into the top three in Iowa, he not only has no path to the White House, but has no path to the Vice President’s house either. He would, however, still have a path to the Senate challenging Saxby Chambliss in 2014.

Rudy Giuliani

I’ll say what I said last week. There are signs of life in a possible Giuliani campaign, but not much. I still don’t think he will run, but should he it will hurt Mitt Romney. In fact, were Rudy to get in, he’d never say it, but I think it’d be to get Romney out.

Now let me add something else. Even Rudy’s 2008 fundraisers are cold on him running, so I don’t think it will happen and this will probably be his last appearance in the horserace.

Jon Huntsman

I told you people that hiring John Weaver was a sign the Huntsman campaign wasn’t viable. This happened with John McCain too. That Huntsman saw what happened to John McCain in 2000 and 2008 and decided to go the same route raises all sorts of questions about his judgment.

The media darling is still loved by the media for embracing both the Boehner plan and the compromise plan — but both put him at odds with the bulk of the GOP base. Huntsman’s strategy has always been to avoid conservative voters and hope to woo moderates and independent crossovers into the primary. I still don’t see there being enough of them to get him over the hump.

Jon Huntsman’s days are numbered it would seem, but remember he has a pile of money to buy his way out of trouble. I just think it will be an insurmountable pile of trouble he himself has stacked up. It is all summed up for me, in this bit from the Politico:

Huntsman’s father and wife, Mary Kaye, are worried about the direction of the campaign. “Why isn’t he on any of the talk shows yet?” his wife asked in June. “Why isn’t he on ‘The View?’”

Dude is running in a Republican primary and his wife wants him on The View?!?!?!

Game over.

Sarah Palin

I’ll say what I said last week. Palin will be heading a big even in Iowa for the tea party movement on September 3rd. There are no outward signs that she’ll use it to launch a Presidential campaign. If Perry gets in before then, I really don’t think she will run. But, several people have pointed out that the date of her speech is the 3rd anniversary of her speech in 2008 at the RNC.

Let me add that I hear there is a growing sense among people at Fox that Palin is not going to run. Likewise, Palin has now been out praising Rick Perry and Michele Bachmann, while calling Mitt Romney, more or less, an opportunist. I still don’t think she’s running, but I would remain delightfully surprised if she did get in.

Ron Paul

Ron Paul will not be the nominee.

Tim Pawlenty

More and more it seems Pawlenty, who has run a largely flawless campaign, will not be the nominee. I have long thought he would, but his campaign never caught fire. As long as there are people expecting a Perry entry, it will make it even harder for Pawlenty to gain traction. With polling showing a Perry entry pushes Pawlenty further down the list, even in Iowa, I do not know how he will be able to sustain himself.

He is a genuine, likable, good guy. But that isn’t translating in the field right now. If he can’t retool and find a way to stand out and stay in people’s minds, it’ll be lights out sooner rather than later.

Rick Perry

According to fundraisers and others, Perry’s entry is all but a done deal. We’re already seeing the opposition research dump coming on strong against Perry. I think he is going to have to play his initial entry well, or the media story will be how he came out and lost his footing early.

It is doable, but he needs to remember that everybody, including the Bushies, will be gunning for him. All that said, one Democratic operative recently told me the reason a lot of Washington Democrats who know Perry fear him. They say he has more charisma on the stump than any other politician in America and is the GOP’s version of Bill Clinton. He also has the come from behind, poor roots that Clinton had to present a compelling narrative. Democrats and Republicans both worry about Perry, which means he is going to get the crap beat out of him the moment he declares. We’ll see if he can take a punch and throw one back.

Mitt Romney

The “Mittness” Protection Program meme has taken hold. Even Sarah Palin is dinging Romney for disappearing only to raise his head after sticking his finger in the wind. Polls show he is still the front runner, but his lead slips with a Perry entry. If the anti-Romney faction consolidates behind Bachmann, Pawlenty, or Perry, the Romney campaign will not be able to hold on to first place.

Why?

Well, not to put too fine a point on it, but one of Romney’s largest advantages has been the psychological factor of the inevitability of him being the nominee. If the others consolidate behind one person, that factor goes out the window and Romney becomes just another candidate, not the heir apparent. At that point, people are going to have to take a hard look at him.

What they’ll discover is that a lot of the establishment has embraced him simply because he was the presumed front runner and a lot of the grassroots distrust him because of Romneycare and presumed flip-flopping on issues.

Once the other candidates consolidate, Romney is going to have to give people a reason to vote for him for something other than being heir apparent. But don’t count him out. There are plenty of reasons to vote for a guy like Romney with his business experience. More so, Romney has the money the other candidates do not have.

He’s still the front runner and even with Perry getting in, Romney is the odds on favorite. Thought it is worth pointing out he is slipping behind Perry in intrade, the online stock market that lets you place bids on who will or will not win. The market is starting to turn against Romney.

Listing of Presidential candidates
I consider “former” candidates

(in order of being dropped)

Gary Johnson
Rick Santorum
Thad McCotter
Newt Gingrich

Tags:

COMMENTS

  • acat

    Conspiracy! (cheshire grin)

  • http://jhpruitt.blogtownhall.com/ kipling

    I like it!

  • robbyshankar

    I don’t dislike Perry, in fact, I like him quite a bit, but I don’t think he’ll be the savior of the GOP many are hoping for. Right now he benefits from the fact that most people don’t really know much about him, and he doesn’t look good as a general election candidate.

    Perry has a lot of problems that have been discussed ad nauseum by political followers. A lot of conservatives won’t have a problem with some of those issues (although the attempted forced vaccination by executive order is like a mandate from hell), but I think a lot of primary voters will see those issues as bad for a general election candidate. While Texas has had a lot of job growth, an in detail look at the jobs in Texas isn’t necessarily positive. (One of the largest numbers of minimum wage jobs in the country, low health insurance, etc.)

    I still think Romney wins the nomination. I’m fine with that, he’s not perfect but the advantages Erick listed could be helpful to the country.

  • red_oakster

    If Pawlenty finsihes worse than a respectable second, he’s done. If he beats that benchmark, he is back in the game.

    Finish third or below in Ames and say goodnight, So goodbye to Santorum, Gingrich, and probably Cain.

    Ames will narrow the current field to either two (Romney and Bachmann) or three (add Pawlenty).

    Then we’ll see about Perry, Palin, and Guiliani getting in.

    As ideologically difficult as it is to explain, Rudy’s candidacy appears to be connected to Perry staying out (hint: it’s about fundraising).

    Perry needs to show he can take a punch in Iowa. He needs to beat Bachmann and maybe Pawlenty as well.

    Romney is hoping for a two way fight with Bachmann.

  • gawken

    Really like it..she’s been subtly changing her appearance, dress, and her speaking voice has become much more modulated….in a lower register..she’s obviously getting top notch coaching…..and why woudl she be undergoign such a make-over, if not for..

    BTW..her hairdo ressembles Bachmann’s..coincidence?

    Lat thought…assuming Mitt’s NOT the nominee ( and I don’t think he will be) that means we’re likely to have a solid conservtaive atop the ticket….so, how about Rudy for VP?…it works, in a weird way…

  • Aaron Gardner

    I believe Perry supports disproportionate response as a tactic. Should be fun to watch.

  • e_rowe

    This is no time to settle for some mushy moderate like Romney or Perry.

    We have the opportunity to get a purist in there who will get the government off the trajectory its been on for a century now under presidents from both parties. Let’s not pass it up.

  • mbauer

    Waiting late to get in, but the people are calling very loudly for him to enter. Seems like the kind of guy who can satisfies DC insiders and outsiders.

  • forphase1

    Rudy for VP does NOT work in any way, regardless of who is atop the ticket. Rudy as VP would be a deal breaker for many of my conservative friends and associates. Getting someone more moderate to balance the ticket is one thing…getting Rudy is something else entirely.

  • mbauer

    These guys and gal(s) that want to get me excited (and hopefully people like me) should write a manifesto, or some white papers, or something specific. If they don’t have the political courage to do that, I’ll assume they’d play like Obama did in the last debt debate and never present anything concrete.

    This is Tim Pawlenty’s best chance to get the grass roots behind him. Hell, anyone who can set out a specific route without depending on typical republican talking points will immediately have my interest. Lay out a detailed plan on how exactly you plan to solve every major obstacle this nation faces (not just platitudes).

    From immigration to energy, the budget to the 10th amendment, what the hell is everyone’s exact plan.

  • acat

    it’s got too much RonPaul stuck in it!

    The problem with Ames, especially this year (and I think a hat tip to toonces on this, but I may be misremembering) is that, in addition to Team LuapNor obviously trying to buy a win, the poll is letting voters write in candidates who aren’t even running, so .. even though Palin and Perry don’t appear on the ballot, they could still get votes.

    (cough) Murkowski (cough)

    Mew

  • acat

    Let him clean up after Holder.

    Also, Bolton for SecState, Petraeus for DoD, and Trump for Dept. Ed.

    (Trump gets orders to say “You’re fired!” to everyone, then turn in his own resignation…if he gets it done by 2014, he gets to do the same to {insert useless department here})

    Mew

  • redtillimdead

    If he wins Ames, Romney is in trouble. I think, if he wins Ames, he wins Iowa. If he wins Iowa, he is capable of coming in strong second in NH. Perry and Bachmann will have limited appeal in NH. He’d crush Romney in SC, come in 2nd or 3rd (to Paul) in NV, and then beat Romney in Florida (and Georgia?) then on to Super Tuesday with Pawlenty looking inevitable.

  • red_oakster

    Paul is a sideshow for the nomination as is Huntsman. However, in Ames, Paul is a terminator for any candidate who finishes below him.

    I don’t expect too many Perry or Palin votes because it costs $ to vote and they won’t spend money unless it is to sink Pawlenty.

  • red_oakster

    Rudy is at the top of a ticket or nothing. My guess is that if Perry runs, you’ll see an early Rudy endorsement and Rudy at the cabinet table if Perry wins.

  • Scope

    Then again, the Ron Paul supporters consider anyone a moderate that isn’t far right radical.

    As EE said in his analysis, Ron Paul will not be the candidate. No “purist” if there is such a thing, will get the nom.

  • Whacker77

    While I totally disagree with his immigration policy, Jeb Bush should have run for president. I argued for him mightly back in the winter and spring, but his advisors thought Obama was unbeatable. Wrong.

    Considering the way Jeb would have locked up Florida from the get-go, he would have only needed to compete in Ohio and he would have been president. Even if he failed to win Ohio, he still had seven or eight other states where he could have won the presidency.

    Jeb made a mistake not running because it appears a Republican, Romney or Perry, will be president next year. That means Jeb can’t run until 2020. That means Jeb won’t be president.

    I argued for him based on his results in Florida and electoral math. I also think his coattails would have produced a Senate with 55 or more Republicans. Too bad for him.

    I hoep Perry can capture the economic message we’ve been waiting to hear.

  • Scope

    having a record to go on. I’d much rather see what someone actually did, rather than what they say in a campaign they will do. Fred Thompson had written some terrific white papers before leaving the Senate, which identified government duplication and waste. That still didn’t help him in 08.

  • Jim Tomasik

    or just the candidates who show up?

    I can see RonPaul winning the straw poll.

  • http://www.erickerickson.org Erick Erickson

    To get dropped from the list.

  • acat

    and end up in positions of some influence, where their skills can be used.

    Hmmm. Newt for Sec.Treas?

    Mew

  • http://www.WILLisms.com WILLisms

    An in detail look at the jobs in Texas is absolutely positive. Under Rick Perry, Texas leads the nation in the creation of new science jobs, new engineering jobs, new math jobs, new technology jobs, new export-related jobs, etc. High wage jobs. Self-employed (nonemployer) type jobs. Corporate jobs. Small firm jobs. Blue collar jobs. Financial services jobs. Health care jobs. And yes, minimum wage jobs.

  • http://travismonitor.blogspot.com Freedoms Truth

    “his advisors thought Obama was unbeatable. Wrong.”

    There are far too many ‘establishment’ types in the GOP who completed missed who Obama really is and how vulnerable he is. We dont need those types running in 2012. We need a hammer and tong take-out-the-trash campaign vs Obama.

    It aint over until its over, but the folks who doubted we could win in 2010 or who thought Obama was unbeatable are way way wrong.

  • Scope

    in an American Research Group poll in Fla.

  • rightwingmom52

    to participate in a debate. He’s not going to give Romney a pass on anything.

  • http://travismonitor.blogspot.com Freedoms Truth

    Preach it WILLIsms.

    Jobs, economy, growth.
    Government involvement in your life.
    Spending, budgets and deficits.

    On all 3 top issues, Perry can draw a sharp and positive contrast with Obama. Perry’s progrowth pro-jobs fiscally conservative and smaller Government Federalist approach beats Obama’s Big Government by a mile.

    As a bigstate Governor, he can show executive leadership over 10 years.

    Perry can energize the party base in a way that Romney cannot. Perry can unify the party in a way that few or no other candidates can.

    Perry has a Texas-sized story to tell. So, WILLIsms, when will he start telling it? Is there a date?

  • standingonthewall

    Bachman, Palin, Perry or even Cain or Pawlenty – OK. We’ll see who comes out on top of this stack. Any would suit me.
    Romney, on the other hand, for me and I suspect for many conservative R primary voters, is only acceptable because he is not Obama (and not McCain).

  • http://online.logcabin.org/about/ suzieQ

    I’ll settle for Perry. If Palin gets in, sorry Michelle my allegiance will shift. Other than those three (Palin, Bachmann, Perry, in that order) I just don’t get excited by any of the others listed here.

  • standingonthewall

    Absolutely love it. Great suggestions. I pray they come true.

  • Scope

    the Western Conservative Summit straw poll. It keeps his name in the mix. He is holding his own with the Tea Party crowd. Perry came in second. It will be interesting to see who the last man/woman standing will be once Perry announces and starts gaining momentum. I hope Herman Cain is one of them.

  • acat

    I don’t see Perry being nearly as weak on communications as Bush was, nor as insular.

    I can only hope that Perry will be as good on Supreme Court noms, abortion funding cuts, and defense issues as Bush proved to be.

    I expect Pawlenty would be a better President, but Perry is already a far better candidate… and it’s the candidate who wins.

    Mew

  • Scope

    Forget to close the link. Let me try that again. Western Conservative Summit straw poll.

  • johnnyd

    NUMBERSUSA has Perry rated a terrible D and others do not score any better.

    https://www.numbersusa.com/content/action/2012-presidential-hopefuls-immigration-stances.html?

    If we do not stop and send back Illegals we cannot reduce our States and our Countries debt. Immigration needs to be right there on top along with the repeal of Obamacare.

    Please ask Perry what he will do about immigration at the Redstate gathering.

    Someone needs to take the case to the Latino voters that if Illegal immigration is not stopped there will no longer be an American Dream. We need a candidate to reach out to Mexico and pledge our military resources to rid Mexico of the drug cartels. America needs to invest in Mexico instead of many other far away foreign countries so we can make Mexico a place where the Latinos want to stay instead of fleeing to the US. A healthy Mexico is the key to stopping the chaos on the border, along with multiple fences.

    It is hard to think about since America is not healthy at this time but it is imperative that Mexico is cleaned up.

  • Scope

    I thought you were going to say that Perry would be like Bush. I was hoping that Romney4Prez didn’t finally get to you. LOL

  • kowalski

    It’s all smoke and mirrors, I’m voting for Mitch Daniels. ;)

  • Scope

    He was a bull on cleaning up crime and corruption in NYC. Hopefull he would be just as bullish on cleaning up Hitler’s, oooops, meant Holder’s path of destruction at the DOJ.

    acat, did you see the story about Kitler the kitten, who was born with a Hitler type mustache marking? No one wanted him, but now there are 500 people who want him. I love stories with happy endings.

  • carolynr

    Talk about inheriting a mess…if Perry does take the nomination…ALL OF us are going to have to back him. For all the reasons stated…Perry is the candidate.

    More importantly…Mitt Romney needs to be out of this race. After seeing his 50 list of lawyers as consultants…it just looked like Obama’s czar list. Romney is BIG GOVERNMENT….we are now at 100% of GDP….do we need Romney…NO…NO…NO.

    The fact that the Bushies hate Perry is a plus for him. That should bring over Reagan Democrats that hated Bush…but can’t stand Obama.

  • kowalski

    …and there isn’t anyone who will beat Obama. You’ll have to make up two new dwarves but the point is the same. Out of all of the Dwarves Romney has the best chance but how can he survive? Redstate will do their best to wreck his campaign before it even really gets started, they’ll frag him, pull the pin on the grenade and toss it into his tent, so to speak.

    He isn’t pure enough for anyone.

    The other “pure” candidates are people who can’t win. So you’ve successfully marginalized yourselves. Herman Cain? Great guy but give me a break nationally. Palin and Bachmann would be the utterly destructive choices.

    We have nobody who can win. Nobody.

  • travis690

    I am perplexed about people saying Romney has “business experience.” Maybe in the sense of, “more than Obama,” but the experience he has presented is for FUND-RAISING, not operating any type of business. He worked for an LBO firm and he raised money for the Olympics. OK, but is this “managing a business,” which is touted as his biggest attribute? These seem more like the characteristics of either a politician or someone making cold calls to get people to donate money to the local Community Chest campaign.

  • lifedontwasteit

    This is rarely the opportunity like it is now. This is THE time to get in a real conservative and turn this ship around. It’s not just an opportunity, it really is a necessity. I just don’t see any viable candiate who is showing themselves as both electable and truly a conservative at heart esp. in spending and who has guts other than Bachmann. Bachmann appeals of course to the religious right which is necessary (Bob Dole? or McCain anyone?), but she is more known for her fiscal conservatism and anti-big government. She hasn’t been on tv for the last several years for any other reason. Not one other candidate has those qualities if we are honest. They may have social conservatism but are rather on the big government side, they may be small government, but are not going to make the religious conservatives happy.They could be both but have little chance of winning and just haven’t got any traction going. My grandma make the best President but she just isn’t going to win, so don’t waste time with that, when we could be beating Obama. Lastly, Bachmann will pull in some semi-feminists and moderate types who just like the idea (being a mom I’m on a lot of non-political mom sites, she gets lots of postive comments from non-political type moms – that is VERY good. One in particular, the writer (liberal of course) was anti-Bachmann in the article but almost every real mom comment was positive and these were NOT die hard conservatives or Republicans, or big church goers etc… Just your basic moms. It was fantastic to see. I have some real hope for change this time and I’m voting for Bachmann.

  • http://www.hakubi.us/ Neil Stevens

    It’s delusional to say otherwise.

    Ron Paul just might lose Texas.

  • KBDay

    Whoever gets the nomination better be a solid street fighter. Dems are not going to go quietly. So far, the only solid street fighter I see is Perry who technically isn’t in the race tho we all believe he is running.

    What will be equally important is a running mate to broaden the top of the ticket platform.

  • Scope

    or on any other site for that matter, can do more to destroy Romney than he has already done to himself. Just because we really really need to get rid of Obama, it doesn’t mean that we have to go Obama Lite with someone who stands by Romneycare, ethanol subsidies, man made Global Warming. I haven’t checked today, but I think he is still trying to sell those positions.

  • http://www.hakubi.us/ Neil Stevens

    America does not elect the mentally ill, nor is it the time for an opportunist porker.

  • kowalski

    In my mind Romney shouldn’t even be on the list. If the Tea Party and the Conservatives vote true-to-type Romney shouldn’t even be on this list. So it’s better to strike him right now, before anyone spends any money on him.

    So who is left? Go look again at the list above and tell me which one of them is going to be electable material?

    The answer is: NOBODY.

  • poleok

    Rick Perry/ Marco Rubio for 2012….

  • Scope

    from Carter, and it took some time, but he did turn it around. Agreed that the next president will have disasters of unknown magnitude to clean up after Obama. Hopefully most everything can be thrown out, and we can finally get a fresh start. I hope that the next president doesn’t keep the first Obama employee around beyond inauguration day. He can also spend his first day overturning every one of Obama’s EO’s.

  • izoneguy

    Perry would have not raised the debt limit – but instead he would have gone after a slew of Government agencies to gut. This is why the establishment – left & right – are going to go after Perry with a vengence.

  • kowalski

    It’s a PURE FANTASY. Herman Cain might be a wonderful businessman and a stellar human being but he is never going to win the Presidency of this country as a black Conservative. He’s a pizza entrepreneur. I might as well paint myself in blackface and run in his place.

  • izoneguy

    Is that he is an Aggie….
    But hey – even this UT Grad won’t hold that against him!!

  • Scope

    no text

  • kowalski

    (nt)

  • http://www.hakubi.us/ Neil Stevens

    It was like his campaign *stopped* the second his official campaign started.

    That’s not going to happen with Perry.

  • Scope

    I don’t think Cain has much chance of the nomination either. I would like to see him in a Republican administration in some capicity. Or, as someone suggested here, he should run for the Chambliss Senate seat in 2014. He will surely have pre-earned name recognition.

  • Scope

    maybe we have a winner.

  • Stan

    At least for me, Romney is the GOP’s version of Bill Clinton – a fellow who will do, or say, whatever he thinks you need to see & hear in order to get elected. He’s for Romney-care, but against Obama-care. He was pro-abortion to get elected in Mass., now he’s against it. To borrow a line from Yogi Berra, it’s deja-vu all over again.

    I’ll vote for Mitt if he’s the nominee, but it will be one of those “hold your nose” moments, just like last time.

  • Scope

    that after all the begging and pleading for FDT to get in, he really didn’t want to be there. He is what taught me what fire in the belly meant.

  • kowalski

    But I also think we should be counseling Mitch Daniels very strongly to get back into the game. He’s against it because he doesn’t want the friendly fire, from what I’ve heard. But Mitch Daniels is really one of the best people in this country to counter Barack Obama.

    I’d like to see Perry, Daniels, Christie and Giuliani throw their hats into the ring in that order. I’m sorry but I don’t see Bachmann as a serious candidate. Palin has so much baggage that she’s an also-ran. She’s much better as a media commentator, not a candidate.

    My top four candidates, in other words, are completely different than the field that exists now.

    And as far as Romney is concerned, I would accept him as a #5 candidate if I could really believe him.

  • kowalski

    It’s just that when I listen to Bachmann speak I have to grab something sturdy to convince myself she really even understands what she says.

  • Scope

    when some that have nothing better to say against Perry, say he is an establishment RINO. The establishment fears him for the reasons you stated. His first machete swing would be against the EPA. It wouldn’t stop there.

  • rinowatch

    Dude! T-Paw blinked at the vital moment when Conservatives took their first good look. That huge flaw ended his campaign. I’m not sure what kind of overly intellectual argument you might have pinging around in your judgement machine, but, back on earth — there was a fatal flaw.

  • kowalski

    And I don’t want to see him suffer the slings and arrows of this campaign. He’s already been branded a race traitor and a class traitor by the Progressives. Only they would do that to him, but given some of the rhetoric coming out of places like the Washington Post today, I really worry for his survival. I mean that sincerely. Black Conservatives in this country? As the President? You want to talk about a knife fight…

  • Scope

    to fast and preventing you from replying to yourself? Imagine that, some still ask what Kowalski means. LOL

    Glad we are on the same page with your first preference on your list. The others I have no interest in. I think EE is correct in that when Perry announces, Bachmann will fade rather quickly. I was worried that the debate stage would be so full they would have to put them on tiers. By the time of the debates next year, hopefully the field will have narrowed to the point that we can actually get more than 30 second answers to how the candidates will save the country.

  • logicalliberty

    http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/obama_41_ron_paul_37

    Then if we assume Rasmussen is off by 16 points,

    Perry would lose by 21
    Bachmann would lose by 23
    Palin would lose by 25
    Pawlently would lose by 28
    Cain would lose by 35

  • Scope

    he has had all the racist, Uncle Tom crap thrown at him all his life, and he survived it all, stayed with his principles, and was ready to fight again the next day. If Cain was polling near the top, and was proving to be a real threat to Obama, then I would really fear for his life, literally.

  • lifedontwasteit

    I don’t recall the exactly ‘grade’ but it’s not correct to say the others do no better. Bachmann got at least a B-. No one else got into the Bs at all.

  • Scope

    Ron Paul’s district that day.

    Perry is beating Ron Paul in Texas by a long shot, and he hasn’t even announced yet.

  • gekster

    You don’t have the full address.

  • http://www.hakubi.us/ Neil Stevens

    Your username is not fitting.

  • phenne

    … the Trump job assignments.

    Damn, you’re sharp, acat!

  • logicalliberty

    Hmm don’t know why the link didnt go through, I’ll try html.

    If you copy+paste it, it works

    Paul 37 Obama 41

  • Aaron Gardner

    In order: agree, I think he will be better, and I think he’d be better than Pawlenty especially because his coattails will bring a House and Senate that is on board.

    But we’ll see.

  • mikeymike143

    i am going to beat the drums for ken cuccinelli of virginia. can you imagine him taking over for holder.

  • Michael Dugas

    Bow Tie and all!

  • mbauer

    NT

  • phenne

    Just asking, “What was the flaw?”

    thx ;)

  • mbauer

    just because he didn’t win the nomination doesn’t mean the move wasn’t smart.
    I still think his white papers are why he caught fire here. We trusted him. He had written something down he could be held accountable before.

  • mikeymike143

    in 2008 ron paul ran in the republican presidential primary for president. he got 5% of the vote. that means 19 OUT OF 20 REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS said no way to ron paul as president.

    ron paul also ran for president in 1988. he didnt carry a single state. so that made him 0-50 as a presidential candidate. come to think of it, he didnt win a single state in 2008 either. so as a presidential candidate ron paul has been rejected TWICE by every single state in the union, including texas, do the words 0-100 tell you what america thinks about ron paul.

  • renny

    Or Perry-Christie? Christie says he won’t run for prez. He has not said he would not run for veep. I’d like to see Christie behind those closed doors with do-nothing Dems. You would hear the explosion in the Bahamas.

    BUT WHEN is Perry going to declare?

  • logicalliberty

    Ron Paul did not run in the general election in 2008, Neil Stevens was referring to what he would lose by in a hypothetical general election.

    RP also did not run as a Republican in 1988. Rick Perry was not a Republican until 1989.

    It just seems strange to me that most people cite Rasmussen polls but seem to disregard this one in particular

  • Scope

    you can’t have Cuccinelli. A very recent poll shows Cuccinelli beating the current VA LG Bill Bolling by a mile, for the next Gov. election. Cooch has not taken a run for Governor off the table. After his term as Governor, he can run for president.

  • e_rowe

    It’s not that he’s so liberal. It’s the way he panders so blatantly with this conservative religious rhetoric to try to make himself appear more conservative than he is that irks me so much.

    If Ron Paul doesn’t get the nomination, then he doesn’t.

    If that’s an argument not to support him, then I don’t really get it. He’s in the race, he’s an available option. He has the name recognition and level of funding and support that someone needs to win a primary. He polls well against Obama. The only reason to believe he can’t win is because some people keep saying he can’t win. If all the people who like Ron Paul on the issues but only don’t support him because they think he can’t win actually decided to support him anyway, he’d win, and win easily.

    What I say to people who like that is, “Just keep watching him, and if his support level gets up to the point to where you accept that he can win, I hope you help make that happen.”

  • Scope

    in 1988. That’s when he decided to become a faux Republican, in an attempt to fool the voters into thinking he had gotten some sanity. Rick Perry, as a Democrat would be what most would consider a conservative today. As Reagan said, he didn’t leave the Democrat party, the party left him. It just took Perry a little longer to realize that lesson., but learn it he did.

  • Scope

    and if you can’t carry a single state in the primaries, you sure as heck won’t carry any in the general either.

  • http://travismonitor.blogspot.com Freedoms Truth

    “America does not elect the mentally ill, nor is it the time for an opportunist porker.”

    Really?!?!

    Then explain VP Joe Biden.

  • logicalliberty

    As far as I know, he is the only Congressman never to vote for a tax increase or debt limit increase.

    Are you required to vote for a tax increase or debt limit increase to be considered a “real Republican”?

  • e_rowe

    Yes Paul barely broke 5% in 2008. That doesn’t mean that 19 out of 20 said no way to him. It means that 19 out of 20 picked some other candidate over him, which is more than can be said of anyone who ran for president other than Romney, McCain, and Huckabee. And most of those votes were cast after it was already clear that Paul wouldn’t get the nomination. In Iowa and New Hampshire he got more like 10%. Frankly for a then relatively unknown member of the House to do that well is impressive. I don’t see that as any big deal.

    The fact is, he’s more popular in Texas than Rick Perry (who’s despised by conservatives there) is. This race very well may come down to one standard bearer for the establishment and one for the tea party conservatives. In those races, of course, the advantage historically has always gone to the establishment guy. But if Perry does become that establishment champion and Paul does become his chief rival, it will be very interesting to see how they do in Texas. My guess is that Paul would handily win that state.

  • http://travismonitor.blogspot.com Freedoms Truth

    Too much ‘cheap labor lobby’ money influencing him.

    OTOH, he’s a danged sight better than sanctuary city Bill White would have been a Governer, signed voter ID bill, and would be a vast improvement over Obama as President.
    He will, at minimum, work to really secure the border.

  • http://travismonitor.blogspot.com Freedoms Truth

    Florida and Texas in the bag and a conservative double-header.

    Liberals and progressives hardest hit.

  • http://travismonitor.blogspot.com Freedoms Truth

    have him take on and beat Chambliss.

    Nice to see Lugar getting warmed up for retirement.

    Lots more of these old fogey Republicans who need to go.

  • davesinsanantonio

    get in the race so much as I want them all out preaching the message now and supporting the eventual candidate strongly when that time comes. If all the strong conservatives were pounding the beat explaining economic realities and political history then we could eventually realize not only a landslide of epic proportions, but have enough popular political support for what needs to be done once January ’13 gets here to stiffen the spaghetti spines and cow the likely turncoats and across-the-aisle glad-handers into doing what is necessary, not just what will get them kudos as bi-partisan civility go-alongs. If the above listed, and Pence, Rubio, West and all the eventual dropouts from the race would do this, we cannot lose–either next November nor in the fight to save this country.

  • flodnar

    I would like to see Trump, or anyone, start with the DOI, Department of Interior, AKA, Department of Idiots. The top , Ken Salazar, has his head where the Sun does not shine. Along with the EPA and Dept of Energy, they have totally tanked any enegy program and we will be hold us hosage to the Arabs and Brazil ( Thanks to $1 Billion from Obama).

  • e_rowe

    He has never not been a Republican. His Republican credentials are far greater than his Libertarian credentials.

    Frankly, the fact that the Republican party is so bad that a candidate who actually legislates according to the values the party claims to support has to do it in another party, Republicans should take that as an indictment of the party, not of that candidate.

    I’ve noticed, by the way, that it’s become more and more common for moderate Republicans to label anyone to their right as a “libertarian,” presumably as a way to be able to pretend they themselves are conservatives. Mike Huckabee does it, Lindsay Graham does it, Michale Gerson does it, Bill Kristol does it. Is there some talking points memo out there advising that kind of sophistry or something?

  • Scope

    his religion, or religious rhetoric to define his conservatism, nor does he pander to anyone. If his strong personal faith bothers you, then he is not the candidate for you. I suspect that at least a few other candidates, such as Bachmann, have strong personal religious beliefs. I promise Perry won’t try to make you go to church.

    Ron Paul will never get the votes to win the nomination even he if somehow inherited Fort Knox. As to name recognition, he would probably have to change his name to get any more support than he currently has, which is not much. I have no fear that I will have to accept that he can win, so it’s a waste of time to fret about having to vote for him.

  • http://uslibertyjournal.blogspot.com/ Daezy

    One dead giva-a-way question during these debates would be “Will you push to repeal the candescent lightbulb ban?”. As a big supporter of Mary “Cap & Trade Gang of 8″ Bono Mack, Romney should be pressed HARD on this issue.

    Let there be light!

  • davesinsanantonio

    we need to promote. His first EO ought to be to drill, drill, drill, The second should be to build the fence. We can talk about what to do with the illegals already here once we shut the door on more of them. Just these two things would go a long way toward getting this country back on its feet again.
    I would really like to see some changes in the laws and EPA regulations that would stop the stupid nuisance law suits that prevent us from bringing more power sources on line. Maybe, the loser pays the winner’s legal bills? But, we also need to make it harder to get standing, so that these suits don’t waste decades in getting needed stuff done.

  • funwithknives

    “Ricky, can you Hear Me?”
    “Ricky, can you Hear Me?
    “Can you Hear Me,.. h o w Can We Be S a v ed?”
    Awaiting your reply, sincerely: Lotsa Believers, and The General Public

  • Scope

    He is a libertarian, and that is a big difference. Just because someone plugs an R after their name, does not mean they have adopted that platform.

  • e_rowe

    He doesn’t. When it comes to legislation he doesn’t care one bit about Jesus.

    What he uses his religion for isn’t to shape his actual views on anything, it’s to sell himself to Christian voters. And he’s blatant about it.

    It’s like in the 2010 Texas gubernatorial primary when he had to answer a question about his order for the HPV vaccine and he said that he did that because he’s was “so pro-life.” Clearly some people bought it, but it’s a wonder how.

  • davesinsanantonio

    pick a candidate because she or he might bring in a certain state, but ones who will do what they are elected to do. A person is only the official candidate for a few months, they have to govern for four years. We need to pick someone who will govern as needed. Especially with so much damage to undo. And, don’t whine that we have to pick someone who is “electable”. Obummer is toast as long as we pick someone that the majority of Americans will trust to do what she or he says they will do. The majority of Americans know this country is in deep trouble, and they know that is because we have been overspending and over regulating, and over controlling for way too long. Give the voters some credit for some sense, and pick candidates who will present themselves as willing and able to do the hard work ahead of us.

  • funwithknives

    He was going to be Barry’s good right hand. Too bad about that uncontrollable twitch of his. You Know, the one that won’t allow him to shut up and Continually Verbally Meander. Set him free, like the Indian in * One Flew Over The Cuckoo’s Nest *. Humane ,yet final. Fitting, No?

  • Scope

    He ran in the 88 presidential race as a libertarian. The only area where Ron Paul is even a conservative is with respect to some fiscal issues, and even there he is iffy at best. Ron Paul has recently written legislation to just not bother paying the Federal Reserve back the $1.2 trillion in bonds it is owed. Great way to show the world how we pay our debts, in addition to every other negative consequence that move would cause across the markets. As I said, iffy at best.

    Ron Paul is an anti-war pacifist with respect to foreign policy, which is not only not conservative, it is not Republican. Ron Paul is closer to a liberal on social issues. Ron Paul is a fraud.

  • rightwingmom52

    with the extremely far left-wing radical Cynthia McKinney and urge voters to go third party for any reason whatsoever like Paul did in 2008 can hardly be called a “real” Republican, much less a conservative. He may be a decent guy in his personal life, but that one thing in the world of politics is unforgivable. He should be ashamed to be in the same picture with that anti-American, hate-filled, freedom-bashing extremist hack.

    http://blogs.wsj.com/washwire/2008/09/10/ron-paul-endorses-the-third-party-field/

  • logicalliberty

    The Federal Reserve was established by Congress. It sounds like paying the Federal Reserve $1.2 trillion would amount to an increase in taxes to the tune of $1.2 trillion…

    Ron Paul has repeatedly stated he is not a pacifist. I’ll assume you just didn’t know that rather than assume you are trying to conceal the truth.

    And how is Ron Paul a liberal on social issues? He is against abortion, wants Roe v. Wade overturned, and supports federalism so states like New York can’t force states like Texas to legalize gay marriage.

    I still fail to see any area of the “platform” where Ron Paul could not be considered a Republican.

  • gekster

    from ProjectVoteSmart.

    from:
    http://votesmart.org/voting_category.php?can_id=296

    make up your own mind.

  • e_rowe

    He has run as a Republican candidate for House, Senate, and the President, a total of over a dozen times, including many both before and after 1988. He was one of the few Republicans who endorsed Reagan in 1976. Reagan also endorsed him for Congress, and praised him for being strong on defense.

    If his one race as a Libertarian means he’s not a Republican, then what does that say about Rick Perry, who ran for office multiple times as a Democrat all the way up to 1998.

    In 1988, Rick Perry didn’t endorse either Bush or Paul. He endorsed Al Gore.

    He only became a Republican in 1998 when it became politically expedient for him.

    And somehow that’s all ok, but Ron Paul’s one run as a Libertarian, running on a very conservative platform isn’t?

    I get how you feel about the military. That’s where I was 4 years ago. But at least be honest about it. He’s no pacifist. His foreign policy is what conservative Republicans generally held in the days of the Old Right. He voted for the war in Afghanistan, but not the boondoggle in Iraq. His policies would have kept us out of Vietnam , Korea, and World War I, but not World War II. His idea of what the American taxpayer’s responsibility is when it comes to foreign countries is the same as the responsibility most taxpayers in most countries already bear right now. If you want to fund a policeman for the world, by all means donate the tax dollars you save to the UN. But I don’t see why you insist on spending my money for me.

    As for paying debts, those aren’t “our debts,” as you say. You and I have no obligation to pay them. Those debts were made by politicians on our behalf without our consent. If anybody has any moral duty to reach into their pockets to pay those debts, they do. But you and I don’t.

  • Flagstaff

    Erick nailed it with “he has more charisma on the stump than any other politician in America….” That is, his source did. Charisma is what has kept Obama in office–without it, his own party would have impeached him. Perry’s charisma is a different sort, but it’s the sort that the Republican nominee has been sorely lacking since 1985.

    In a nutshell, Perry knows what he’s doing, knows what he’s talking about, and he has the ability to express himself without completely ticking off the listener with some verbal idiosyncrasy that makes even a supporter grind his teeth.

    “While Texas has had a lot of job growth, an in detail look at the jobs in Texas isn?t necessarily positive. (One of the largest numbers of minimum wage jobs in the country, low health insurance, etc.)”

    This is pure spin. “Largest number of minimum wage jobs in the country” means there are lots of start-ups and lots of people willing to work their way up in Texas because of the favorable business environment. “Low health insurance”? Texans are healthy.

  • lastgopinillinois

    e-rowe wrote: “It?s the way he panders so blatantly with this conservative religious rhetoric”

    how much our politicians PUBLICLY announce their religious beliefs.
    Louie Gohmert (R Tx) may often be seen on the floor of the House talking about nothing more than our founding fathers faith and how it helped to form this great country. He and Steve King (R Iowa) are amoung my all time favorite people in congress.
    The fact that they are not afraid to publicly announce their belief that our freedom goes all the way back to the beginning of time when God created man and gave us Free Will, is a feature about them I admire very much.

  • Flagstaff

    gawk, I have noticed the same things about her appearances on Fox News. But it seems to me more than a superficial improvement. Her statements, answers to questions, announcements, have all been right on the conservative money. On principle, she wins the conservative sweepstakes hands down. She is clear, concise, and factually correct. She appears to have been doing the things she needs to be a serious player, whether as a candidate or an advisor.

    In my estimation, she has passed Bachmann in credibility, at least if we compare comments each one has made. Of course, she has an advantage because Bachmann is making many more comments. But, except for her spine, Bachmann’s message is starting to wear thin.

  • kowalski

    The real argument against Palin as candidate for President isn’t that she’s been successful in the media, or accurate, or anything else. My argument is kind of screwy: she’s been TOO successful, in fact where she is now is probably the best role she could hope to achieve.

    At this moment in time, Sarah Palin is more powerful than Hillary Clinton because she’s a commentator and an advocate and a VOICE for conservative women around the country. If she runs for President, who is going to be First Man? Her husband? Her family and the rest of everything else will continue to be a circus of the first order throughout her candidacy. It will be a tremendous distraction because she’s running for the highest office in the country. MISTAKE MISTAKE MISTAKE.

  • Scope

    doing some research before spouting off untruths. Ron Paul is not well liked in Texas, and couldn’t win the state. According to a July Public Policy Poll, Ron Paul unfavorables are higher than his favorables.

    “One thing very clear in the Texas numbers- Republicans there don’t care for Ron Paul. Just 37% hold a favorable opinion of him to 45% with a negative one. It’s pretty much a given that Paul’s chances at the nomination are close to zero but the fact that his fellow GOP voters don’t even like him takes Paul’s troubles to a different level.”

    Ron Paul has been calling Perry the “status quo” simply because Ron Paul knows that he can’t beat Perry. Perry is actually Paul’s worst nightmare. As has been pointed out above, Perry is not well liked, and is feared by the Washington R establishment, because they know he will eliminate and/or at least hollow out some federal departments that the incumbents fund for the benefit of campaign donations. Perry would not be beholding to anyone in the Washington Republican cocktail party crowd.

    Currently Bachmann has the lock on the Tea Party supporters, not Paul. Perry would likely eliminate that position even from Bachmann.

    I just read another Texas Chron article where almost the entire Texas delegation is now behind Perry, with the exception one guy who is supporting Gingrich, and of course Ron Paul. Ron Paul has no support from any of the Texas delegation at all, not even one.

  • kowalski

    Palin is the single most hated and controversial political persona in this country aside from Hillary Clinton, who I don’t think will ever run for President again, either. The instant Palin announces her candidacy, the 2012 elections will turn into a twelve-ring circus with klieg lights and geek shows on the streets and every newspaper reporter in this country doing nothing but talking about what she’s wearing that day and where her husband is and what he is doing. Her children, too.

    The Palins have reached the level they can aspire to achieve. Let’s pray they don’t try to really test the Peter Principle with so much at stake. It will be a disaster of the first magnitude.

  • kowalski

    .

  • Mike

    Didn’t we have an auto-banhammer for Ronulans at one point?

  • logicalliberty

    The you are citing a Democratic polling firm to prove that Ron Paul is not a Republican…

    In any event, Bachmann hardly has a “lock” on tea party support. If you discount a 1-month old Quinnipiac poll (which I assume you’d be open to doing as apparently you are discounting an old poll from June which had Paul beating Perry in Texas), Paul would be at about 9% nationally with Bachmann in the high 12′s. Hardly a blowout.

    And in a Florida primary poll released today, Paul is tied for 3rd place with Palin, only 4 points behind Perry, and is actually beating Bachmann who only gets 6 percent of the vote to Ron Paul’s 9! Florida is an important state.

    I can understand if you like Perry, but he is undoubtedly a more “Status quo” candidate, atleast relative to Ron Paul. Some people think a moderate is a better choice in a general election, but polling has shown that Ron Paul does only worse than Romney (who I definitely admit is a moderate), but better than Perry, Huntsman, Pawlenty, etc. in the general election matchup with Obama.

    Also, you said Perry isn’t an establishment candidate, but then went on to say he was backed by almost the entirety of Texans in Washington. Doesn’t add up!

  • logicalliberty

    Not that I am sensitive, just curious. Name-calling in the midst of debate seems rather childish to me.

    For a Republican site to automatically ban someone for supporting a candidate early in the Republican primary who is tied for 3rd nationally among announced candidates just baffles me. Reminds me of how the Bush people treated Reagan supporters in 1980.

  • Scope

    This is my final reply to you because you are doing nothing but playing dense, making things up, and being a contrarian. You are so locked into a loon, and you refuse to see the forest for the trees. Ron Paul could have sex with a dog on a public stage, and you Paulies would find a way to make him out to be the hero, and the dog would be a neocon.

  • logicalliberty

    and Ford*

  • Scope

    You could put every bit of factual information in front of a Paulie, and they will find a way to make their hero appear to shine. e rowe is hopelessly in love with his guy, nothing will ever change that.

    Any talk about blamming the Paulies again?

  • logicalliberty

    nt

  • logicalliberty

    What is it about Ron Paul’s voting record that should change my mind about supporting him?

  • http://www.WILLisms.com WILLisms

    Great points.

    Obama has a jobs and economy deficit. Perry’s Texas is an amazing contrast there. Even if you strip out every public sector job (mostly teachers at our growing school districts), every minimum wage job, and every oil and gas job, Texas still has created far more net new jobs than the next few/several states combined.

    Obama has a budget deficit. Perry (granted, thanks mostly to the wisdom of the Texas Constitution) has a decade of balanced budgets and even a multi-billion dollar surplus in the Rainy Day Fund.

    Obama has a leadership deficit. Again, Perry has a decade of executive experience.

  • Scope

    Paulies to stop the name calling on sites that are not monitored. The Paulies have the lock on name calling and rudeness. They are the children needing supervision. They have a nasty habit of going into any article that supports one or another candidate and trashing that candidate with lies, half-truths, and deceitful misrepresentations.

    Ron Paul is not tied for third nationally in the national averages. In fact Paul only just recently broke double digits with a 10 in one poll. Try he is more like 5th or 6th, and second tier.

  • Scope

    as to why the site banned Paulies in the 08 elections, and hopefully will do so again soon. You may have been able to go to CPAC and scream and shout all over the place, and act as though you own the joint, but you are in a private website now, which gets to make the rules.

  • logicalliberty

    4th if you include Perry. I highly doubt Palin and Giuliani will be running, but if they do, Paul is still at 9 percent which puts him closer to the first tier than the second tier (Pawlenty, Huntsman, Santorum, Gingrich) which all poll around 4 percent or lower.

    I can understand why people would be upset because some Ron Paul supporters were rude last cycle. But if you go to Paul supporters’ websites, you see that the vast majority consist of kind and thoughtful discussion. Certainly nothing justifies calling every supporter a ‘Ronulan that should be banned on sight”

  • Scope

    and dump all the Paulies all over RS?

  • logicalliberty

    Look at what you just typed 1 post up.

  • Vegas_Rick

    That’s why he called you a Ronbutt or Paulbott or whatever.

  • kowalski

    I could be wrong because I like answers to questions, not endless speculation and sideshow circuses.

    It may very well be that most Americans really want to watch the Circus into 2012. I have the feeling that a large portion of the American electorate would just as soon watch the circus as think. If Sarah Palin runs for President, they’ll get the Circus every single day.

  • logicalliberty

    But he is a lot like him, and was in fact endorsed by Reagan at one point. I’m saying the negative attitude some people have toward fellow Republicans reminds me of Reagan’s multiple primary runs is all

  • dajeeps

    Because it is truely time for the Era of Big Government to be over. If anyone can make that happen, it certanly isn’t Romney and I don’t think the other candidates are strong enough politically to be able to deal with the huge mess Obama will leave for them. Our nation cannot afford more Obama (in fact I would rather he just leave now)and also we cannot afford another failed presidency.

  • funkyconservative

    Amen! I think the debt ceiling blackmail showed the willingness of the old fogey GOP establishment to continue with business as usual; why not? They’ll be maggot fare when our children and grandchildren inherit an economic black hole. Good riddance!

  • Vegas_Rick

    that is important. No one knew better than Reagan how important it is to PROJECT military strength. Paul’s an isolationist. We can’t afford that in a jihadist world.

  • Flagstaff

    She HAS been too successful.

    From back-country housewife to VP candidate in less than ten years IS too fast, too fast to acquire the proper seasoning. It’s ironic that Sarah embodies the feminist dream–successful, powerful, loving family (although some of the feminists don’t stress that part much, but it’s part of the “you CAN have it all, baby” mantra), and beautiful as well; yet because she is a conservative Republican, feminists do all they can to destroy her. In fact, everything she’s done, she has done on her own, not on the back of her husband’s success in politics.

    If the feminist power brokers were not so rigidly ideological, not firmly rooted in the liberal Democrat camp, they’d be using her as an example of what CAN be done if one has the will to do it. Still, she wouldn’t be in her current position if Johnny Mac hadn’t been desperate for a ratings boost, if he had just been a true conservative himself, thereby eliminating the need for her help. She would have finished out her term as Governor and— who knows what next? But she’d probably now be in a ‘career building, resume enhancing’ stage of development,and she wouldn’t have the tremendous load of carp that Johnny Mac bequeathed her hanging around her neck. Thanks again, John!

    I predicted some time ago that she’d get into the race, although I agree that it would be better for her and probably us if she didn’t. What I think she’s been doing is putting herself into a position where she CAN run if she thinks it is necessary–a la Donald Trump, without the bombast.

    So, after agreeing with you, I’ll now disagree.

    “The real argument against Palin as candidate for President isn?t that she?s been successful in the media, or accurate, or anything else.”

    No. Everything beyond ideological sniping has revolved around her bad interviews with the Perky One and Professor Charlie Gibson, her sometimes shaky explanations of her policy positions, her unappealing speaking voice, her lack of knowledge of foreign affairs (whether real or not), and her lack of experience (even though she had more leadership experience than BO), and recently her unnecessary re-interpretation of the Paul Revere story. That ALL centers on media success and accuracy.

    She can fix ALL of that, except the experience part. BO would not have gotten past his own inexperience if he hadn’t had the media in his corner, or if Hillary hadn’t been so slow to realize he was stronger than she thought (and HER media support had eroded without her noticing it). Palin won’t have the media in her corner, and she really ISN’T a credible candidate for President except on the domestic policy front. Not that BO was really credible, but his PR carried the day. I can’t see Palin as our candidate, nor being elected President, even though she is far more accomplished than BO and better able to handle our current problems.

  • logicalliberty

    He’s a non-interventionalist. By the way, Reagan never went to war.

    Now, Reagan did engage in what could be called acts of war but never all-out war with a country like Bush did.

    Paul would not have gone to war in Iraq, a war which has cost thousands of American lives, a trillion dollars, and was primarily fought against Saddam Hussein when we could have focused on Afghanistan!

    Exactly how is it in America’s best interest to lose the lives of our men and women in the military as well as trillion dollars of American wealth, just so we can build infrastructure for Iraqis for 10 years?

    The Republican party needs to be the Republican party again, and stop mimicing the foreign policy of Lyndon Johnson.

  • funkyconservative

    The Texas Governor is one of the weakest by law. Sure, he can glad-hand, suggest, and wield his mighty veto pen, but the Lt. Governor and legislature have the bulk of the power. I’m not taking anything away from Perry, but I don’t want to give him too much credit for Texas’ positive economy.

  • Flagstaff

    So do some other people. Same idea.

    “I think he is going to have to play his initial entry well….”

    The RedState Gathering would be a tremendous launching pad, and then we would all get to be a small part of history–again.

    Y’all come see if it happens.

  • Scope

    sites is neocon. That is applied to everyone that is not Ron Paul. Wouldn’t you be more comfortable discussing whatever you Paulies discuss within your own community of Paul supporters. Surely you can’t think that you will win over any hearts and minds here for Ron Paul.

    The Paul supporter rudeness has grown exponentially since the 08 elections. They were horrible at the Rumsfield/Cheney reunion at CPAC. They have also booed and hissed at other candidates speeches everywhere.

  • gekster

    do a search on “ron paul redstate”.
    Everything you bring up has been brought up already, ad nauseum,
    and shot down quite handidly.
    Read through what you find, then come back with some original arguements on RP.

    Not a complaint, just a suggestion. The choice is yours. ;)

  • logicalliberty

    That Ron Paul is anti-military or anti-defense.

    Ron Paul receives the most support and donations from active military.

    Precious American lives and resources were lost in Iraq, and we have been building Iraqi infrastructure for years while America is plunged trillions into debt.

    If there is really an argument that justifies that kind of Liberal foreign policy I don’t think I will find it in search, but until then I welcome people from the present to point one out

  • Scope

    is the Republican Party, take it or leave it. The Paulbots don’t get to infiltrate the party, and turn it into their image. If you can accept what the Republican platform is, great. If not go back to the libertarian party, and see if they will accept you. Because the country is a two party country, you don’t get to throw out what you don’t like, and change what you think you can. Reagan didn’t give up his principles ever, including his strong peace through strength military policy. Reagan attracted the support and respect that he did because he was an all around conservative. He wasn’t a single issue fiscal conservative only. He knew that adherence to all three legs were intertwined, and required to keep the conservative stool standing.

  • rightwingmom52

    I’m really curious as to how you can defend this.

  • izoneguy

    when it comes to “job creation”.

    Rick Perry is a salesman for Texas. He can bring them in the door
    but the “buyers” are the ones making things happen.

    Now a politican cannot create jobs – they can only create a fertile environment for job creation to take place. So today the White House said “We cannot create jobs”……I already knew that. But Obama sure makes it hard for businesses to create jobs. Don’t look for Obama to create that fertile environment. He does not know how to do that and would never do it anyway. This is what I have been telling everyone for over 3 years.

    It will take the 2012 election cycle to get headed in the right direction.
    Then 2016, 2020, 2024, 2028, 2032 – to get back to where we were in 1988.

    Yes it will take over 20 years to erase the 4 years of this Marxist experiment.

  • logicalliberty

    Practiced “Peace through strength”

    Not the Bushean “War with less strength”

    Our national defense would be a lot stronger if we retained the resources and american lives that were lost in military ventures in Iraq, and now Libya (I know for Libya its just resources not lives, yet).

    Paul is closer to Reagan’s policies than the previous Republican administration was.

    Bush’s foreign policy was shockingly similar to Woodrow Wilson and Lyndon Johnson, etc.

  • usastandup

    Does this mean your have repented and bleed maroon now?
    ;-)
    Welcome to the Right Side!
    Gig-em!

  • logicalliberty

    It wasn’t a very “Republican” thing for Ron Paul to do. But nominating Sharron Angle and O’Donnell for Senate weren’t the best things to do for the “Republican Party” if you want to look at political actions just in terms of victory for the party. But there are times when principles come first.

    But first, considering all the candidates, I don’t think the third parties were drawing JUST from Republicans. And Ron Paul did not endorse a specific candidate, and certainly not a left-wing candidate. This was a move that highlighted the problems with the two-party system, and that Americans would be voting for the lesser of two evils once again. I see McKinney and Nader on stage, and I really don’t see this move hurting John McCain with votes at all.

    That said, Ron Paul has made it clear he is running as a Republican and has no intention of running “spoiler” for the eventual Republican nominee. I think the Tea Party has brought the Republican party close enough to Ron Paul’s views since this time that it wouldn’t make sense for him to do so anyway.

  • logicalliberty

    When I say “principles” I am in no way hinting that Ron Paul shares principles with the Green Party’s candidate…I’m saying this was just to highlight the problems with the two candidates (McCain and Obama) and in no way hurt McCain in the general election..

  • http://www.ArchitecturalShots.com mdyou

    …is the male Sarah Palin.

    Seriously – is there any doubt this guy would surround himself with good people, work with a friendly House and Senate to make good decisions, and tell the rest of the world that there’s a new sheriff in town? In short, that he would SOLVE PROBLEMS?

    But the media will never let him near the nomination, or even the VP nomination. He’s too big a threat to their meme.

  • logicalliberty

    And I realize the “not” is more likely,

    I was a McCain supporter in 2008. Since then, my views have changed. But back then I was offended by the term “neocon” and was annoyed when I saw Hannity being heckled by Ron Paul fans.

    But what I hope you realize is, this behavior is not representative of most Ron Paul supporters. Yes, there are a few that will wear masks and yell. But most of us are just trying to build support for Ron Paul because we are excited about his candidacy, and we know that kind of behavior doesn’t help. I maintain that if you went to a Paul website to have a discussion, people would try for the most part to persuade you rather than criticize you for being a “neocon”. I myself don’t even use that term.

  • septembergurl

    are really outside the Republican primary, namely the precipitous decline of Obama and the continued financial disaster. What this means is that the Republican nominee is going to be the next President.

    What we have,though, is a mismatch because early on, our Republican establishment types were so fixated on Obama’s fabulousness, popularity, etc, that they declined to enter the race. Only the Tea Party, Red State types were willing to take a chance. Well, who’s laughing now, Mitch Daniels, Jeb Bush, Haley Barbour, Chris Christie, Rudy Giuliani? Only Rudy has the star power to enter now, and it would only be as a spoiler to take out Romney early on.

    It’s exactly like 1992, where the Democrap Bigs were scared off by Bush’s supposed invincibility, allowing Clinton to win out over the second string and win the Presidency (though only with a plurality).

    Anyway what we have is Romney and Huntsman rattling around in the Establishmnent bracket, while the Redstate bracket is filled up with Bachmann, Cain, Pawlenty,Paul, Santorum,, Perry, maybe Palin, and even Gingrich. So.

    Bachmann: Solid, consistent, brilliant, brave. I personally can’t wait for the next debate, which I think is in Iowa this month. I think she will whack Romney and Pawlenty both. If she isn’t in the next President’s Cabinet (I’d like to see her heading up the dept of Education — and by “heading up” I mean demolishing) she should run against Al Franken in 2014.

    Cain: I expect him to put up good numbers at Ames and in Iowa. After that he will have to win something — NH, FL or SC. I don’t see it.

    Gingrich: I can’t see him in any of these contests. I believe he and Callista will be holding a tailgate party in the parking lot at Ames, where they’ll be grilling franks and toasting marshmellows.

    Giuliani: You know the saying about Italians and revenge? Nuff said.

    Huntsman: “The longest journey begins with a single step” — some Chinese guy.

    He’s focused on taking out romney in NH and he’s landed some blows. Palin and other conservatives echoed his attack on Romney for his trademark waffling/pandering on the debt issue. This campaign melodrama stuff, while fun, is only interesting for what it tells us about the candidate. What it tells us is that he will toss this family retainer type (Fischer) under the bus like Prince Hal tossing out Falstaff (Shakespeare) when it’s necessary. Good stuff.

    Paul: Heck, he could win Ames, but not the caucus.

    Pawlenty: If he were smart (see above) Pawlenty would have positioned himself in the Establishment bracket with Romney where there’s a lot more room. Oh wait, I said “Smart.”

    Palin: So much more influential outside the race. Who will she endorse? Perry? But she had good things to say about Bachmann….the drama continues.

    Perry: Will be interesting to see how his campaign plays out vs the hopes of his supporters. He could win because the schedule of primaries favors a southerner/conservative. He has just started whacking Romney.

    Romney: It’s all working out the way Willard planned it. A poll (I think rasmussen) polled a three-way (Romney, Perry, Bachmann) and they came out with Mitt at the top with something like 34%, Perry and Bachmann in the 20%s. Romney has all along figured that the Tea Party vote will split, allowing him to retain the frontrunner status long enough to create a sense of inevitability. So far it’s working.

    Santorum: Might be a factor in Iowa.

  • Tbone

    The difference is that my dog is smart enough not to poop on the floor.

  • logicalliberty

    And if you’re dog is polling above 10% nationally, I’m quite impressed.

  • rightwingmom52

    First, there is absolutely no comparison in O’Donnell & Angle with McKinney. The former may not have been the best candidates, but the latter hates America. Forget “Republican,” I not only question the principles, but also the decency of anyone who claims to want what’s best for our country to appear on stage with her. While Paul may not have specifically endorsed her or Nader, the implication was that any third party candidate was better than Obama or McCain which is an outright lie. McCain is indeed a RINO, but again, no comparison to McKinney.

    As for the Tea Party views, we have a few in our local group who support Paul, but the vast majority do not, especially those who fully understand his views.

  • logicalliberty

    nt.

  • Tbone

    I’d be impressed.

    However, neither of those attributes are going to get either of them elected.

  • logicalliberty

    O’Donnell & Angle to McKinney. In fact, Paul was also on stage with the Constitution Party candidate. I’m not even saying Paul should have done this, I don’t think it was the right thing to do.

    But it certainly wasn’t “unforgivable” what he did. If anything, it was a minor protest against the way the two-party system was working at the time, and I don’t think it hurt McCain much at all.

  • onemovoter

    But Perry has actually worked to increase the power and influence the Governor of Texas has over much of the government there. Mostly through appointing and getting candidates elected to positions that he works through. He has the same knack that Palin has in office with consolidating power through people loyal to him. It’s a tell-tale sign of a person with very good leadership skills. Something we desperately need.

  • onemovoter

    He’s very relaxed and inviting, personable and likeable. He’s got the charm and leadership skills like Reagan had when he ran. Perry even used to be a Democrat turned Republican like Reagan.

    I do have a prediction I’m betting on happening. Perry will announce his candidacy at either the end of August or 1st few days of September. Palin on the 3rd will then announce she isn’t running for prez because she sees Perry as someone she can wholeheartedly get behind and support. A week or 2 later, Rudy comes out and announces he isn’t running and will support Perry. This 1-2 punch will push Perry out front for the rest of the race.

    Anyone else see this happening or any other predictions?

  • e_rowe

    Did I break site rules somehow?

    Everything I said about Paul and Perry is true. I certainly didn’t say anything about Perry that was any worse than your calling Paul a fraud. And I assume that supporting Perry is not a prerequisite for posting comments here.

    I try to be polite when I debate here. Sometimes my sarcastic side gets the best of me. But judging from what I’ve seen from others who test the limits of civility, I don’t think I ever have.

  • onemovoter

    That group has some really shady information. They are pushing for reduced human population which reminds me of certain liberal groups that are into environmentalism.

    BTW, Mexico currently has a 4.9% unemployment rate and is drawing many of the illegals here back to Mexico.

  • onemovoter

    We need to keep every single conservative republican in the senate in order to get the majority needed to overturn stuff.

    I’m sure there will be someone out there who can be the attack dog to fill the VP slot and help bring in a toss up state.

  • e_rowe

    I’m tellin’ ya.

  • Scope

    on military strength through peace or otherwise. Ron Paul said that we could protect this country with a few good submarines. Reagan increased the defense budget, even in not the most prosperous times, in order to protect America from the therat of the communists. Not surprisingly, Paul said that there was no threat of the radical islamists, the 9/11 attackers were nothing more than a bunch of thugs with box cutters. He said that the threat was no more valid than the threat of communism in the 50′s and 60′s. He is delusional.

    I love and have tremendous respect every one of our military members, They have kept this country safe by fighting the enemy abroad, including in Iraq. Even if Paul was adamantly opposed to the war in Iraq, he has never, that I know of, supported our wounded troops when they came home. Paul, and his supporters consider the troops nothing more than warmongers. If Paul’s supporters had their way, they would be spitting on our returning soldiers, wounded or otherwise. They would be considered killers, rapists and baby killers, just as the liberals tagged the returning Viet Nam military members. Stop with the military members being killed in wars, you sound like the liberals who try to pull at the heart strings always falling back on “it’s for the kids” or it’s “for the elderly.” In your case it is an emotional argument against our military deaths, which you couldn’t care less about. To you and Paul, they are the real enemy. They have more guts, American loyalty, and spine than any one of you pansies that run from a scratching cat in horror. They are the ones that have kept you free to post your idiocy on a computer. As a former Paul supporter said, unfortunately the only way you creeps will wake up will be with another terror attack to hit the US. Sorry to say, but I hope they hit your area first. And, our military members will still help and try to protect your sorry arse.

  • Scope

    like HIV does to homosexuals. Eventually it kills those that it has caught onto. Beware.

  • logicalliberty

    I actually thought you had some modicum of sense in you until you just wished a terrorist attack on me.

    Your claims of how Paul supporters feel about military service men and women are baseless, disgraceful, and completely untrue.

    You tell me why Ron Paul is the only candidate running who has served in the military.

    You tell me why Ron Paul received more than twice the donations from military service men and women then all other Republican candidates combined.

    You can’t support the troops by sending them into harms way for the sake of building a foreign country who was NOT a threat in any way to America. That is acting against the troops, who swore to protect America and its Constitution, not Iraq.

    What a despicable post you just made, claiming that Ron Paul supporters, more of which are active military men and women than supporters for any other candidate in the Republican field combined, would spit on returning military men.

    You just made a disgusting attack on many people who are actively serving in the military, and you should be ashamed of yourself.

  • gekster

    that do to budget cuts at the National Zoo,
    the monkeys were let loose with laptops and directions to RS.
    It appears there are some still around.

    Arm yourself with bananas. ;)

  • Scope

    you can’t fight stupid, hard headed, mind numbed, willing to believe anything Paulbots. As I said, once a Paulbot, you need years of treatment to get over the mind control. As so many are asking, when oh when will we start blamming them again? I’ll gladly donate the money to buy a case of blam sticks.

  • http://www.hakubi.us/ Neil Stevens

    Therefore you can take his opinions just that seriously.

  • gekster

    It must be past thier bedtime.

  • Kenny Martsolf

    From this comment. He has bragged about not giving it on a Ron Paul forum.

  • logicalliberty

    These two characteristics seem to be mutually exclusive.

  • funkyconservative

    I don’t doubt Perry’s political, leadership, or social skills. What I am saying is that there is/was a lot of good legislation proposed (and some passed) by state reps that wasn’t necessarily Perry’s idea. Ultimately, he favored the bills and signed them into law.

    He is personable, “good ole boy” shrewd, and proud to wear his Aggie ring in UT country. However, unlike his predecessor George W. Bush, he is not one to reach across the aisle to Dems. To that I say, “Gig ‘em Guv”, take the show to DC, and let the Democrat smackdown begin!

  • Tbone

    in your last life to have been reincarnated this effing stupid in this one?

  • logicalliberty

    as to reduce my level of argumentative capability to calling people “effing stupid”.

  • johnnyd

    Just because YOU say so?

    NumbersUSA has done much to stop the passing of the Dream ACT and other amnesty votes. So I strongly beg to differ.

    So we should just stop our illegal immigration enforcement because there was a report that mexico has a lower unemployment rate? Wow, that is some good reasoning there.

  • johnnyd

    nt

  • Tbone

    making observations. The fact that you are effing stupid is no longer open to argument your having already won that one. Decisively.

  • acat

    You have a better chance, as you’re not a “johnny one-note” and actually think about what you write.

    We disagree, that’s true, but I respect your right to hold different views.

    Mew

  • acat

    Candidate-for-POTUS and POTUS are remarkably unrelated skill sets….

    Perry will be a tremendous candidate. I am not convinced he’d be the best President out of the list of potentials above, but .. he’s probably the best candidate, and that’s huge.

    Mew

  • logicalliberty

    …then I must not be very “effing stupid”? And usually, when someone gives an opinion without any given premise, it’s considered a bad argument, rather than an observation.

  • acat

    He moved into the libertarian camp because they’d have him, not because he believes in libertarianism any more than he believes in conservatism.

    He’s about himself, nothing else.

    Claiming he’s a libertarian because he says he is one is like claiming David Duke is a republican or Jeremiah Wright is a christian.

    If you don’t take Ron Paul at his word on being a conservative or republican, please don’t take him at his word on being a libertarian.

    Mew

  • acat

    You have now said he’s both and – logically – that’s not tenable.

    Bring back e_rowe, at least he presented some good arguments.

    Mew

  • californiagold

    Don’t believe for one minute that Romney will bring out the base in a general election in the same manner that a Palin, Bachmann, or Perry would.

    The reality is, Willard Mitt Romney doesn’t represent conservative tea party types, and he would all but insure a third party run by someone like Trump, etc…A third party candidate won’t win the general election, but very well could take up to 5% of the vote – just enough to guarantee an Obama victory in 2012.

    The fact that republicans are even considering a liberal like Romney as a serious contender suggests that the establishment, big government republicans still control the party.

  • acat

    You’ll pardon me for thinking your mind may be leaking out….

    Mew

  • acat

    I hope for your and their sakes that Cuccinelli runs for and wins the Governorship.

    If Perry continues on the path Bush started, the role of Governor is going to become more important over the next 10 years as Federal power devolves due to lack of ability to pay…

    Mew

    (cat is feeling optimistic at the moment – yes, I saw your Kitty-Hitler post)

  • logicalliberty

    They say people who resort to insults lost the argument long ago.

  • LibertyWins

    Bachmann, Pawlenty, and Cain are good candidates but, when Perry gets rolling its gonna suck all the life out of their campaigns. Its basically a Perry-Romney race after that. I’m hoping Palin stays out.
    Palin could split the conservative vote handing the nomination to Romney. Romney would go on to beat Obama handily but, the Conservative cause would be better off with Perry at the helm.

    In all likelihood the GOP will have filibuster-proof majorities in both houses in 2013. We need a principled strong conservative leader to keep the more moderate GOP Senators from straying. We are on the verge of a Golden Age of the GOP not seen since the 1920s. Remember from 1919 through 1931, we ran a surplus every year. See,
    http://www.usgovernmentspending.com/spend.php?span=usgs302&year=1920&view=1&expand=G0&expandC=&units=p&fy=fy12&local=s&state=US&pie=#usgs30230

  • acat

    seems to be Perry to announce at the Red State Gathering.

    It’d be a very pointed way to make Perry’s “outsider” and “new media” cred very clear – this is not a campaign, nor a candidate, who is going to let the main stream media define him!

    Unfortunately, it’d also look a lot like a shot across the bow of the establishment, and Perry needs to at least keep them neutral toward him… Ironically, the build-a-burger attack, minus the nonsense and secret sauce, says Perry already has establishment cred…so this may be moot.

    My prediction, for what it’s worth, is that Newt – who is the establishment’s establishment guy – throws his support behind Perry just as fast as he can shut down his own campaign.

    Mew

  • acat

    you’ve said that Paul is effective and ineffective… right and wrong.

    If you don’t see it, well .. I’ll conclude that it’s because you haven’t really taken a look at Ron Paul.

    Mew

  • californiagold

    I’m not a RP supporter in 2012, nor do I agree with him on some big issues. But I don’t understand all childish attacks towards the guy.

    While it’s true that RP wants to bring the troops home from the numerous wars, polls show that the majority of Americans support that position as well. Furthermore, RP has earned the right to have an opinion on military matters, as he was drafted in the Air Force and served honorably in Vietnam. He could have taken the easy way out and received a deferment, but he chose to serve his country.

  • logicalliberty

    endorsing the 2008 3rd-party field. Reagan himself could have endorsed the 3rd-party field and would have been ineffective. That doesn’t contradict the fact that Ron is right on the issues, and is polling 3rd nationally out of announced candidates (which seems pretty effective to me)

  • acat

    That I agree with him on some issues is not surprising, I agree with everyone, including Obama, on some issues. (oxygen necessary for life, sun comes up in the east, sky is blue…)

    Let me put it this way. If Ron Paul can spend years in D.C. and not figure out how to build enough of a consensus to get some signature legislation passed, when Paul Ryan can figure it out in short order – something is wrong with Ron Paul. If Ron Paul can spend years in D.C. and run for president repeatedly under different party banners and not be winning going away, while Bachmann who has much less time in D.C. is polling very well, the fault is on Ron Paul.

    Most relevant, other candidates’ supporters didn’t and don’t make certain web sites unreadable due to spamming and otherwise create oceans of noise while convincing nobody… the fault is Ron Paul’s, for not finding a better grade of supporter.

    Mew

  • logicalliberty

    …considering the Ron Paul supporters in this topic have been the most civil ones in the discussion. Meanwhile, I have

    1. Had someone wish a terrorist attack on me
    2. Been called “effing stupid”; a “Ronulan”
    3. Been called a monkey escaped from a zoo with a laptop
    4. Had someone suggest I would treat returning troops as the Vietnam vets were treated
    5. I think someone suggested that I have a bedtime.

    Slightly immature if you ask me.

    Additionally, I think the recent debt debate has shown that Washington D.C. “consensus” is just part of the problem.

    I would rather have more congressmen who have never voted for a tax increase or debt limit increase…

  • acat

    here (http://www.redstate.com/erick/2011/08/04/the-horserace-for-august-4-2011/#comment-121499) and Right Wing Mom 52′s question here (http://www.redstate.com/erick/2011/08/04/the-horserace-for-august-4-2011/#comment-121453) (in the general election, republicans don’t call for third party challenges) …

    You are being a near-textbook example of a Paulistine.

    Mew

  • acat

    Really not much more to say. The gekster tried to help you…

    Mew

  • logicalliberty

    That Ron Paul is an ineffectual blowhard. Therefore the premise to your argument is faulty. One can fail to propel one of 3 (possible) 3rd-party candidates to the Presidency while still retaining self viability in future elections.

    Ronald Reagan himself wouldn’t have helped a 3rd-party field with an endorsement, that’s the way the two-party system is set up. I doubt you would consider Reagan “ineffectual”

  • acat

    odds are you haven’t realized just how foolish you appear.

    Mew

  • acat

    You said Ron Paul’s call had no effect. Ineffectual.

    Do. The. Math.

    Mew

  • logicalliberty

    is that he thinks his dog has a better chance of being President than Paul and that I’m “effing stupid” (without giving any evidence, of course). He doesn’t seem like a very effectual advocate for his positions.

  • californiagold

    I think you are projecting a bit much….

    Even if the economy stays in the toilet over the course of the next 15 months, (which is possible, but not likely), the republicans will have a tough time holding the house of representatives. The reason is simple….the budget proposed earlier this year, which included drastic changes to medicare, is highly unpopular. Pelosi and the dems will spend record amounts of money running “mediscare” ads in key districts that republican freshman now hold. Republicans are all but assured of losing seats, the question is, how many ?

    Whereas, in the senate, republicans have a much better chance of regaining the majority with at least a 5 seat net pickup, and maybe up to 8 if the economy continues to slide. But at this point it’s hard to see the road to a republican filibuster proof majority.

    As for the white house, if the election were held today, Obama would lose by a significant margin. The problem is, the election isn’t today, it’s not for another 15 months. A year is alot of time in politics, and Obama will have nearly a billion dollars to recreate his image during that timespan.

    The republicans run the risk of overconfidence which could spell trouble when deciding which candidate to nominate. Unless the republicans nominate a solid conservative with crossover appeal, they risk losing in the general…in spite of Obama’s poor poll numbers. While Romney might be the early frontrunner, his path to the white house is very treacherous because he has no base of support outside of corporate donors.

  • pacajka

    I’ve seen two candidates speaking in person thus far.
    Huntsman came to town to wow this mostly GOP county. He got some people excited with a few good ideas. The most interesting aspect is his avoidance of saying anything bad about Barack Obama. He sounded like a job applicant trying to avoid saying anything bad about a former employer.

    Rick Santorum came into town full of fire and willing to take stands on many issues. He’s firmly pro-America Exceptionalism and pro-life.

  • logicalliberty

    Represented by “-1″ and being effectual is represented by “+1″.
    On what I think about Paul:

    Getting a third party elected President, which no one has done: -1
    Passing a bill in the House to audit the Fed : +1
    Winning every House election with a > 80% approval rating: +1
    Raising the second most of all Republican candidates last quarter: +1
    Polling 3rd nationally among announced republicans: +1
    Endorsing his son, who won a US Senate race: +1 (looks like that was effectual, as long as we’re looking at endorsements)

    So far I’m at +4, making him effectual overall, and I could keep going for awhile.

    Let me know if I need to do more math.

  • logicalliberty

    You are equating “ignoring” a question with not paying close enough attention to every position in this thread where I have posted to catch every post targeted at me within the last 10 minutes.

    And again with the name-calling. What is this, gradeschool?

  • logicalliberty

    Paul doing second-best heads-up against Obama second only to Romney (i.e. better than Perry) according to Rasmussen: +1

    Being the first to oppose any debt ceiling deal, prompting copy statements from candidates like Pawlenty in Iowa: +1

  • ceili_dancer

    And I’ll say it again. Someone needs to add Dave Ramsey as OMB director. You want to get our credit rating back? Shoot, if he had his way we wouldn’t even worry about our credit rating. We could have a debt free countdown as a country after 8 years of a real leader as President. :)

  • californiagold

    …at a time when Pat Toomey wanted and needed Santorum’s endorsement ?

  • californiagold

    I remember back when Rand Paul announced his candidacy for the senate. Many republicans thought he was an extremist, etc, etc, etc…..

    Now he’s the republican senator from Kentucky. I wonder who he’s supporting in 2012.

  • logicalliberty

    There is a 5-stop bus tour in Iowa next week.

    http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0811/60615.html

  • ceili_dancer

    all of his negatives.

  • ceili_dancer

    .

  • logicalliberty

    Acat was saying I, myself had considered Paul an ineffectual candidate when in reality I had only mentioned one thing that Paul wasn’t “effectual” on.

    (I highly doubt Paul was expecting a third party to make any kind of dent in the 2008 race, his “endorsement” seemed like a protest of the two-party system to me)

    These posts aren’t about all the positives and negatives about Paul but rather if I had contradicted myself in my support for him, which clearly I had not.

  • http://moelane.com/ Moe Lane

    …my carefully-constructed mystique; but I don’t particularly remember this one, and he’s not on any of my watch lists. Link?

  • ceili_dancer

    with a +4 after listing the only negative as the being on stage/endorsing Mckinney. and yet fail to state he is one of the biggest porkers in Congress. Is a total pacifist when it comes to military matters. Has a fixation with the Fed. The list could go on, but I’m just glad that after the first couple of primaries, the bong is still full and the THC inhibits your motivation to get off of your chair, and change the channel from the infomercial of the best hits of the 70′s, let alone voting.

  • Kenny Martsolf

    See comment here. For the entertainment value, you may want to click the link to the RP forum and read what some of them have to say about you. :)

  • Doc Holliday

    Rand has already surpassed his father in the public sphere. He is giving the old man a nice final send off into political oblivion. I would guess Rand looks forward to the days when his father’s name will no longer be something to apologize for.

  • ceili_dancer

    You did the work. Read the RP forum post, what a tool.

  • mikeymike143

    And let?s look at Ron Paul has to say about Ronald Reagan. In 1987, Ron Paul wrote a letter to Frank Fahrenkopf, chairman of the Republican National Committee, starting that he wanted to totally disassociate himself with the policies of Ronald Reagan(funny but he has yet to disassociate with the 9-11 truther movement or Code Pink). He later told the Dallas Morning News that the presidency of Ronald Reagan was a ?dramatic failure?.

  • mikeymike143

    any day of the week.

  • http://moelane.com/ Moe Lane

    Which might actually save him: doesn’t seem quite… sporting, somehow. I have the referees reviewing the instant replay now.

  • http://moelane.com/ Moe Lane

    Although there may be mercy in the morning.

  • BigRedConservative

    Is it the half-baked support of the gold standard? Or the inciting of people to refuse to pay taxes? Or his effective legalization of child pornography? Perhaps his desire to cut ties with Israel? The fact that he opposed the bin Laden neutralization operation? His $400 million earmark budget? The refusal to award Rosa Parks a Congressional Medal of Honour? How about opposing all sorts of aid? Voting against PEPFAR? Not recognizing the genocide in Sudan?

    I could go on for much, much longer, but I do have a life, and you can’t get blood from the proverbial stone?

  • Scope

    but turning this guys account back on in order to apologize, and then bragging elsewhere that he had no intention of doing so, would warrant another look. Thanks for the reminder Kenny.

  • acat

    by saying he was ineffectual while at the same time saying he is the only one who could be effective.

    People are sometimes effective in one area but ineffective in others – Albert Einstein was a brilliant guy, but not the guy I’d want changing the tires on my truck – but you don’t even get that slide, this was Ron’s singular issue, politics.

    The fact is, Ron Paul is ineffectual at what he espouses, being a constitutional conservative, at getting anything done in D.C. in decades, or in running for any higher office.

    Areas where Ron is quite effective include milking the D.C. money machine for his district, protecting his pork, and making a fool of people new to politics who do not understand how to analyze his history of failure.

    You’re not even unique, every point you bring up has been beaten to death, cut into thin ribbons, burnt, and the ashes scattered. Perhaps we forgot to salt the ground….

    Ron Paul will not be the nominee. He runs to get donations to fill his own pockets. Nothing more. If he were serious, he would have run for Governor of Texas years ago. That he has not done so tells me he doesn’t really want the job… he just likes going to open auditions and trying out.

    That you believe him tells me you’re new to this. Stop thinking you’re clever and start asking “Why do so many on a conservative site dislike this man?”

    Mew

    p.s. if Ron Paul is the nominee, I will be voting for the green party candidate in the general. I refuse to support him. I would not spit on him if he were on fire.

  • Aaron Gardner

    Obama was never an executive of anything, including his own existence.

    Perry, on the other hand, is and has been for a while.

    I reject the premise of your comment in full.

  • izoneguy

    They have many of the same ideas.

  • devereaux

    Republican of the old school. I will be the first to admit Ron Paul is not a Bush Cheney Republican, William F Buckley called him a Taft Coolidge Conservative. But the party just isn’t as conservative as it used to be.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=45JSYIuTk0Y

  • devereaux

    Ron Paul only runs to line his own pockets?? In your world view he’s a crook??

    He runs because he loves his country. What prompted him to enter politics is an event that took place on August 15, 1971. 40 years ago. Richard Nixon on the advice on Treasury Secretary John Connally closed the gold window. At the time our national debt was 400 billion. Today it is 14 trillion. Gold restrains politicians. Without it the Federal Reserve can create trillions of dollars with the push of a button. It is called monetary socialism.

  • devereaux

    no great nation ever went off the gold standard and remained great.—-Ronald Reagan.

    12 men and women in a room planning what interest rates should be and how much money to inject into the economy.

    Sounds a lot like central planning. Monetary socialism.

  • devereaux

    Thanks for reminding me of that letter. Reagan himself admitted that he failed to reduce the size of government. He called it his biggest failure. His biggest regret was putting the Marines at the Beirut airport.

    One of favorite campaign slogans in 1976 was The nine most terrifying words in the English language are, ‘I’m from the government and I’m here to help

    Even though he did run up big deficits Reagan was a great President. He restored confidence in the free market. But his greatest contribution was ending the cold war peacefully. As he said,” I don’t want to win this war, I want to end it”

    I’m afraid Reagan would be considered an isolationist in today’s Republican party. He was very cautious, restrained, and prudent.

  • http://www.gopmall.com janesmoote

    No really, that’s all I have to say…

    for now.

  • audax

    Here are 2 Diaries I wrote on that.

    http://www.redstate.com/audax/2011/06/10/today-toomey-whom-santorum-deemed-an-inferior-candidate-is-a-us-senator-and-santorum-isnt/

    http://www.redstate.com/audax/2011/06/07/santorum-political-do-over-would-be-his-vote-for-the-medicare-prescription-drug-bill-rather-than-supporting-snarlin-arlen-in-2004-over-pat-toomey/

  • audax

    ….and his electoral prospects will get dimmer. He is genetically indisposed to do what Reagan did to turn around the economy.

    Obama WILL NOT cut taxes.
    Obama WILL NOT cut regulations.
    Obama WILL NOT stop Obamacare.
    Obama WILL NOT cut spending.
    Obama WILL NOT balance the budget.
    Obama WILL NOT reduce corporate taxes.
    Obama WILL NOT reduce unemployment.
    Obama WILL NOT be re-elected.

  • audax

    ….read all about it

    http://www.redstate.com/audax/2011/06/16/romney-he-tries-hard-to-sound-like-ronald-reagan-but-he-thinks-like-nelson-rockefeller/

  • BigRedConservative

    Gold is pegged to market fluctuations. A run on gold bankrupts the government. There is a fixed amount of gold in the world. When it runs out, will we just end the federal government. And the gold standard doesn’t allow for emergencies. A currency pegged to the gold standard could never have allowed for the Afghanistan mission. The best solution is to make the Fed electable from the states, and for Congress to limit the powers of it. But the gold standard is untenably bad, completely unusable in a modern world. Remember Bretton Woods? That was the last time we tried the gold standard, and it collapsed like a tower of cards.

  • BigRedConservative

    Huntsman and Obama are friends and colleagues, and I wouldn’t respect a man who insults his friends for politics. We can defeat Obama without being overtly aggressive. Otherwise we’re no better than the birthers.

  • devereaux

    Would have been possible under a gold standard. We’d have to raise taxes or slash spending someone else to pay for it. That’s the beauty of gold. It keeps politicians honest. Unpopular wars wouldn’t last long.

    Bretton Woods wasn’t a gold standard. It was a gold exchange standard where the dollar was defined in gold at 35 dollars an ounce. The rest of the developed word then pegged their currencies to the dollar. It collapsed because LBJ expanded government with the Great society and the Vietnam war. We printed a bunch of money to pay for it and foreign governments started demanding gold for the dollars they held. The American people could not conduct every day transactions in gold.

  • acat

    Ron Paul is either an incompetent who has pulled the wool over a lot of eyes – or he is, in fact, in it to line his own pockets.

    Show me where Ron Paul has one signature “Ron Paul Bill” passed in Congress in his entire time there. Just one.

    Show me where he ran for any office higher than rep but lower than POTUS.

    Your faith in Ron Paul and a gold economy is .. in my opinion, and the opinion of many others here on Red State and elsewhere .. badly misplaced.

    Mew

  • acat

    So far, you’ve been repeating the same trash and nonsense about Luap Nor that’s been repeated by most of his followers who have found their ways in here… and it’s all been refuted before.

    Ignoring gekster’s suggestion that you google (or bing, in deference to Neil) around some and see what’s been said was your second mistake.

    Your first mistake was taking Ron Paul for a political messiah. I could overlook this, not that I’m confusing myself for The Management nor forgetting that they used to ban Paulistines on sight, if you’d discuss it rationally and with evidence,

    Mew

  • acat

    I think he sucked in the statehouse and in the Senate (and as a dog owner* and human being, as far as I can tell) but he positively gleamed as the ultimate tabula rasa hope-and-change-and-anti-Bush …

    Candidate.

    The role Obama was born to play… the proof incarnate of Abe Lincoln’s saw about fooling all of the people some of the time…

    Obama certainly sucked less as a candidate than McCain, which is the only measure that mattered, when it’s said and done.

    There is no commonality between McCain, Perry, and Obama other than each will be a Candidate… and will be judged as Candidates…

    Unless there’s some big chunk of dirt that hasn’t come out – and in Texas politics that’s unlikely – Perry will wipe the floor with any Dem. Not just Candidate Obama.

    Mew

    * With all the rescue dogs out there, he picks a purebreed, and then gives the dog his initials for a name? Bad POTUS! No doughnut!

  • logicalliberty

    Is voting “no” on laws, not passing new ones.

    We’ve had enough “signature legislation” over the last 3 years.

  • gekster

    It was I who said that the monkeys were released from the National Zoo with a laptop and directins to RS.
    I never said escaped.
    So along with your statements on RP, you are wrong on that also.

    And it was I also who said the thing about bedtimes.
    I think everyone has one.

    As with RP, get your facts straight, or no one will take you seriously.

    Oh, wait, no one does.
    Nevermind.

  • Kenny Martsolf

    Can you name one thing that Ron Paul has accomplished in his 20+ years in the House that actually decreased the size of government? One bill that he authored that has been voted into law? In 20+ years in congress, what has he done that could be viewed as a qualifier for the Presidency? There are a lot of people that have gone to Washington and voted no. I want to know what he has done that you think makes him Presidential material.

  • logicalliberty

    In fact, the only “point” of mine that you’ve “refuted” was the use of the word “release” instead of “escape”. How kind of my captors at the zoo.

    I also find it telling that rather than contribute to the discussion on RP, you just throw in dismissive lines like “no one takes you seriously”. Quite an effective counterpoint, I’m so disappointed in myself for not seeing that one coming as I was forming my arguments!

    By the way, I can see atleast two new posters since I last checked this thread yesterday supporting RP and concepts such as the gold standard.

    First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win.

  • logicalliberty

    He passed a bill in the house to audit the federal reserve. I don’t know if that counts as decreasing government but it certainly doesn’t grow it. Also quite an accomplishment by a member of congress who, for obvious reasons, is not viewed favorably by Republican house leadership.

    Also, he’s the only member of Congress never to vote for a tax increase or debt limit increase. That alone makes him more qualified for office than the others, who seem to go by a misguided notion that we have a revenue problem rather than a spending problem, or that the way to solve a spending problem is to raise the debt ceiling.

  • Kenny Martsolf

    So, he hasn’t done anything to actually decrease the size of government and has never authored a bill that has been signed into law. 20+ years and absolutely no accomplishments. Were you a fan of the 2008 Detroit Lions, also?

  • gekster

    I got 18,600.000 hits.
    Lets throw out 1/3 for non related. =12,400,000
    Lets throw out 1/3 of that for duplicates. =8,266,666
    Lets throw out 1/3 for eroneous reporting. =5,611,111
    Now lets throw out 1/2 just for the heck of it. =2,755,555
    That is still ove 2 3/4 Million hits for RPs’ pork.

    Here are just two.

    from:
    http://motherjones.com/politics/2011/07/ron-paul-texas-federal-spending-pork

    excerpt.
    As a libertarian, Paul says he opposes federal disaster relief, but one of Paul’s staffers told me that his office has shepherded hundreds of FEMA claims, ensured the reconstruction of the county’s seawall, and won federal funding for an extensive beach nourishment project. Indeed, between 1999 and 2009 (the most recent year available), federal spending in Galveston County quadrupled to more than $4 billion. In 2009, the county received $14,707 per resident, topping average per capita federal spending in 46 of the 50 states. Paul earmarked some $60 million for projects in and around the city that year.

    and then there is this.
    from:
    http://freestudents.blogspot.com/2007/07/ron-pauls-personal-pork-projects.html

    excerpt:
    Paul says he only votes for spending authorized by the US Constitution. But when it comes to using his Congressional position, to request pork for projects in his own district, apparently anything goes. Whether the spending is Constitutionally legitimate, or no,t Paul brings home the bacon.

    According to the Houston Chronicle, Paul:

    …leads the Houston-area delegation in the number of earmarks, or special funding requests, that he is seeking for his district. He is trying to nab public money for 65 projects, such as marketing wild shrimp and renovating the old movie theater in Edna that closed in 1977 ? neither of which is envisioned in the Constitution as an essential government function.

    From the article, here is just some of RPs’ pork:

    1. $25,000 for the Brazoria County Sheriff to establish a ?Children?s Identification and Location Database.?
    2. $8 million for the marketing of wild American shrimp.
    3. $2.3 million for shrimp fishing research.
    4. $3 million to ?secure the acquisition of the McGinnes tract, protecting its critical natural resources and helping consolidate refuge inholdings.?
    5. $5 million to expand the cancer center at Brazosport Hospital.
    6. $200,000 for the Matagorda Episcopal Health Outreach Program to fund a ?National Health Service Corp Scholar.?
    7. $4.5 million to study the effects of the health risks of vanadium.
    8. $3 million to test imported shrimp for antibiotics. (Does anyone think there is a big shrimp industry in Paul?s district?)
    9. $10 million to repair the Galveston railways causeway bridge.
    10. $1.18 million for ?Personalized Medicine in Asthma?
    11. $100,000 for a ?data-driven automated system for nursing students on the Texas Gulf Coast.?
    12. $257,000 to ?prepare graduates from the doctoral program at the University of Texas Medical Branch School of Nursing to assume faculty roles in schools for nursing with a deficient number of doctoral level faculty.?
    13. $1.4 million to buy buses for the Golden Crescent Regional Commission.
    14. $2 million to buy buses for Galveston.
    15. $5 million for highway spending.
    16. $2 million to replace facilities for Galveston bus service.
    17. $3 million to replace facilities for the Golden Crescent Regional bus facility.
    18. $2 million to repair the Galveston trolley.
    19. $2.14 million to renovate the Edna Theater.
    20. $13 million for I-69 highway project.
    21. $30 million the Texas Maritime Academy to refurbish a ship.
    22. $4.5 million to maintain Cedar Bayou. Plus another $9 million
    23. $15 million for ?construction at GIWW Matagorda Bay.? Plus another $5.8 million
    24. $100,000 to maintain Chocolate Bayou.
    25. $2.5 million to maintain Double Bayou.

    Now explain that away.

  • logicalliberty

    Cain and Bachmann would also be disqualified from running.

    And to say Ron Paul hasn’t done anything to decrease the size of government is laughable. He’s done everything in his power as a Congressman. House members don’t actually control what goes on with a bill in the Senate or at the President’s desk.

    In fact, most congressmen in Paul’s own party have increased the size of government consistently over the last 12 years. So yea, I’d say he’s better than the alternatives.

  • logicalliberty

    If Ron Paul didn’t allocate that money (which was already spent, or appropriated), it would have been sent to the Executive departments as a blank check, and the Obama administration would have.

    It’s no surprise Obama supported earmark “reform”.

  • Kenny Martsolf

    You say:

    And to say Ron Paul hasn?t done anything to decrease the size of government is laughable.

    I have already asked, and you didn’t answer. What exactly has he done to decrease the size of government? You insert your opinion as fact, and when pressed try to point to other candidates. I am speaking specifically of Ron Paul. Explain to me, without projecting his weaknesses upon others, what Ron Paul has actually accomplished that has decreased the size of our government.

  • logicalliberty

    but I’m betting Paul voted against the authorization bill for this spending before appropriating it.

    Would you rather have Obama appropriating the money than individual members of Congress (who were intended to do so by the Constitution rather than the executive branch)?

  • logicalliberty

    He’s voted (which is what Congressmen do, they vote, apparently you are looking for someone who has wielded the power of a dictator at some point, but I don’t think Kim Jong Il is in the race yet) against every debt ceiling increase and every tax increase.

    Voting against debt ceiling increases would force the executive branch to spend only the revenues that come in rather than borrowing more money.

    Additionally, as I have already pointed out to you, he’s gotten an audit of the Federal Reserve through the house, which hadn’t been done before and was pretty significant.

    Now, if you are looking for someone who can vote for legislation, then vote for it again in a different legislative body, then singlehandedly get said bill through conference and sign it as president, you are probably looking for someone with the power of a dictator.

  • Kenny Martsolf

    So you are saying that he has never done anything in 20+ years in the House that actually decreased the size of government. You are also saying that he has never authored legislation that has been signed into law. That makes it very clear why you support him. You obviously appreciate ineffectual people.

    Successful legislators are able to draw people to their side and pass bills that they draft. In 20+ years, Ron Paul has never accomplished that. He talks constantly about reducing the size of government, but has not done anything to do that. His only accomplishment is loading bills up with pork, and voting no on them. If that is somebody you want to shill for as a President, go ahead. Just don’t be surprised when you get mocked for it by the rational people of this world.

  • gekster

    PRs’ been in for 20.
    Why did he take the pork for the other 17 1/2 years.
    Your arguement doesn’t hold up.

    And saying it would have been spent anyway doesn’t hold up.
    You are either for fiscal restraint, or you are not.
    And talking fiscal restraint while you have your hand out for Government money is kinda hypocritical, isn’t it.

    But I guess in your blind following of RP won’t let you see that, will it ;)

  • logicalliberty

    That has decreased the size of government.

    Unlike Congress as a whole, Paul in fact has voted consistently to decrease the size of government, a fact which you seem to overlook and which makes your argument particularly absurd.

    You talk about Paul being “ineffectual”? Thank God we have Congressmen who are voting to decrease the size of government rather than solely having those who vote to continuously increase the size of government, albeit at smaller increments (Thanks, debt deal!).

    I’m also still interested to hear your logic as to how authoring and voting for new laws rather than voting against new laws (i.e., every budget and authorization bill that isn’t balanced, every debt ceiling increase, every tax increase) is a more “effectual” way of decreasing the size of government.

  • logicalliberty

    Has nothing to do with spending money. This is one of the first things you learn if you ever study Congress. Your “fiscal restraint” argument isn’t even relevant here, and if anything this is an area that demonstrates Paul’s fiscal restraint.

    Paul in fact votes against authorization (spending) bills. If he was not to appropriate the money going to his district, it would not be “saved”. It would be spent by the Executive branch. So what if Obama has only been in office 2 1/2 years? Are you saying you would rather have money (which has already been spent) at the command of Bush or Clinton than your Congressman?

    Even if I was to suspend my disbelief and imagine that the money would be appropriated in good faith by the Executive Departments, I doubt they know enough about any specific district to appropriate the money wisely.

  • Kenny Martsolf

    I would rather vote for a proven leader than someone who has never actually accomplished anything. There are Governors in this race who have actually decreased their state’s governments, while Ron Paul has done absolutely nothing. I really don’t care at all about Ron Paul, I just enjoy poking his supporters with a stick. Everything I have said is true, and like a true Ronulan you have twisted and turned it all to try to spin it to your favor.

    Ron Paul will not be President. You can vote for him. Heck, you could vote for him 1000 times. He still won’t be President. The problem is, you can’t see any of his flaws. That’s OK. I’m pretty much done with you. Go along now, and shill for your leader. Spamming internet forums is bound to get ol’ Dr. Paul elected eventually.

  • logicalliberty

    Not Ron Paul. In fact, you’ve gone from advocating for “effective legislators” in your last post to governors. If you prefer a governor over a congressman, that’s one thing. But to focus the “Congressman” attack only on Ron Paul when we have 3 or 4 congressmen (and women) in the race just shows me you are displaying blind hatred toward the man for no reason.

    And sadly, just when I thought you were going to hold to a respectful conversation, you revert to gradeschool name-calling. How sad.

  • gekster

    you’re driving with you’re eyes closed.
    I’m against pork, but if it is going to get spent anyway, I want mine.
    Way to stand on principles there.
    A man with a true backbone.

  • Kenny Martsolf

    Only the esteemed Dr. Paul would know that we need to spend $8 million to <a href="http://archive.redstate.com/stories/congress/which_congressman_wants_8_million_to_market_wild_american_shrimp/" market shrimp. Good ol’ Dr. Paul. He’s absolutely looking out for the interests of American people when he inserts such earmarks.

    You are such a good shill, I am actually considering voting for Ron Paul. OK, that’s not true, I am actually just laughing at you. Hahahahahahahahahahahahah

  • Kenny Martsolf

    I forgot to close the tag. Link should be right here.

  • logicalliberty

    The Constitution delegates the power of the purse to House. This power has only been partially delegated by Congress to the Executive branch by requiring the President to “submit a budget” every year, which the Congress then reviews, rather than drafting it itself. If there is no “pork” in the house, there is “pork” in the Executive branch.

    Paul is as against “pork” as you can be. Apparently you are not against pork, you just prefer it to be allocated by the department of education or the EPA rather than your Congressmen. Doesn’t seem very principled for me. I’d rather shill for Paul than Obama.

  • Kenny Martsolf

    There are plenty of Congressmen that have actual accomplishments. You just can’t seem to admit that Ron Paul isn’t one of them. You are right that I would prefer someone with actual executive experience. That doesn’t change anything. You have done absolutely nothing but shill for Ron Paul, and I asked you to back it up. You have failed to do so.
    I agree, you are sad.

  • logicalliberty

    The fact is, the Congressmen who choose to give the EPA and department of education “pork” instead of appropriating money themselves are going against the spirit of the Constitution, and are actually doing a great disservice to their constituents, who pay federal taxes.

    You better believe I hope my Congressman appropriates, even tho I prefer he doesn’t spend to begin with (I understand this concept can be hard to understand, but it’s better to try than to laugh).

  • Kenny Martsolf

    That’s fine. I don’t.

  • logicalliberty

    How is it remotely possible that you draw that conclusion from the premises?

    Are you trying to misrepresent me or just being intellectually lazy?

    Dr. Paul, and I, are against authorizations. That means we are against spending. If you are against Constitutional appropriations by members of congress, you are supporting appropriations by executive departments like the EPA, and big government.

    I’d watch what you try to argue.

  • Kenny Martsolf

    Federal taxpayers paying for shrimp marketing in SE Texas isn’t big government. Nice leap of logic there. You have the gall to insinuate that I am intellectually lazy, but can conclude that? You just go right on ahead with your crazy logic, and I will continue to fight against the waste of federal taxpayer dollars.

    It’s almost 2:00 AM in my timezone, and I am going to bed. You have a good evening. Good night.

  • logicalliberty

    Federal taxpayers paying for shrimp marketing in SE Texas.

    I don’t know how I would appropriate the money in Paul’s district, I know nothing about it.

    I would actually prefer to appropriate NO money, because I would be voting against the spending bill to begin with. However, who you must understand is, if the authorization bill passes, and as a congressman you don’t appropriate, you are just letting the money be appropriated by Executive departments.

    The pork shifts from the congressional districts to the EPA. If you continue to fight against the Constitutional responsibility of Congressmen to appropriate money that has already (!) been spent, you are inadvertently increasing the budgets of big executive departments like the EPA, not fighting big government.

    The fight against big government happens at the authorization level, not (for the most part, because money can be appropriated stupidly) by shifting money from the districts to the agencies and departments.

    Goodnight, by the way.

  • gekster

    I have plainly shown you that, and you choose to ignore it.
    That is called blind worship.
    That’s what Jim Jones had. Look where it got his followers.
    He is the one they are referring to when they say “drinking the koolaid”.
    And you are drinking the RP koolaid.
    Who will you worship when RP is gone.

  • logicalliberty

    When RP votes against authorization bills, he is voting against spending the money that would go to his own Congressional District as well as all other districts.

    What about that don’t you understand?

    If Ron Paul didn’t appropriate money that is already spent, the “pork” would just shift to executive agencies and departments such as the EPA, etc. That right there is true big government. The spirit of the Constitution is for House members to appropriate money that is already spent, not for all moneys to be shifted to the executive branch. That’s big government.

    If you want to fight pork, the ONLY way to do so is at the authorization level. Which Paul does, every time.

  • gekster

    If he was such a champian against pork, he would lead by example, and not take any
    He does not.

  • logicalliberty

    Of the Constitution is where it talks about Appropriation of Money. It does not give that power to the Executive branch, nor was that the spirit of the constitution. The Executive branch is only given the power of appropriations when delegated by Congress.

    For a Congressman to refuse his Constitutional duty to appropriate money which has already been spent is to delegate said money to executive departments such as the EPA. That is pork. That is big government.

    Ron Paul always opposes pork in authorization.

    You can’t oppose pork in appropriation. It can’t be done. If you refuse to appropriate to your congressional district, the same money goes straight to the EPA and other places to be appropriated there. After authorizations, pork is pork.

    Really not a hard concept to grasp

  • logicalliberty

    It’s getting late.

  • gekster

    I am against drugs, but since crack is out there, if I don’t smoke it, someone else will.
    I know it is bad, but since it is being smoked anyway, I may as well get my share.

    I do have one rule I follow here.
    If you are dumb enough to argue with an idiot,
    be smart enough to know when to quit.

    (I hope they approve money for the National Zoo again).

  • logicalliberty

    Allowing all authorized spending to be appropriated by the government is a bad thing. Not only is it against the spirit of the Constitution and the responsibilities given to Congress, it shifts taxpayer money to big executive departments with draconian regulations such as the EPA. A congressman refusing to appropriate isn’t fighting pork, he (or she) is merely shifting it to the executive…

    Refusing to do drugs is a good thing. Refusing to appropriate is not. It’s only good for the executive departments and is, in fact, bad for the taxpayer.

    You should open up a Constitution some time and see if you can find where the Executive branch is given the power to appropriate money.

    Oh, that’s right, you won’t. You will probably just continue to advocate for Congressmen to delegate their responsibility to appropriate to the departments of the executive branch. It may not be in the spirit of the Constitution, but hey, Congress can delegate, right?

  • gekster

    You didn’t see my last comment.
    As of now, I will quit argueing with an idiot.
    Your blind worship won’t let you see the facts in front of you.
    The National Zoo money has been re-appropriated.
    Go back to your cage.

  • Aaron Gardner

    nt

  • devereaux

    No congress critter gets to earmark anything until money has been appropriated. He loses on all those votes. But once congress has voted to spend the money it is his duty to get some of his constitutuents money back. They do send billions to congress via taxes.

  • devereaux

    At you!

  • devereaux

    In monetary central planning is well not very conservative.

    I sure don’t want the government providing me with my great Android phone, LED TV, laptop computer, the fresh produce or prime beef I buy.

    But when it comes to money hey lets go all the way with government. The private sector can’t possibly deliver a better medium of exchange. That’s your opinion??

    I’m going to defend capitalism.

    http://defenseofcapitalism.blogspot.com/2011/03/gold-standard-and-monetary-freedom-by.html

  • acat

    There are some things that government are better suited to doing.

    Fielding armies, for example. I don’t really want contractors fighting our wars. We used to call them mercenaries, and .. sometimes they’d turn on their own side, if the price was right.

    Running a court system, for another example. I know there are calls to outsource this to Islam, and use Shari’a as law, but .. pass! Don’t think that leads to a good outcome.

    Determining a medium of exchange is, to this cat, constitutional, and is something that government can do that the private sector cannot – otherwise I’d be able to use the Starbucks gift card in my wallet at McDonalds…

    The private sector doesn’t like common exchanges, except where they benefit individual entities, if you don’t see this, please ask your econ professors to give you some remedial tutoring.

    Mew

  • acat

    ,

  • devereaux

    And since government has established its monopoly on our money the dollar has lost 95 percent of its value.

    In 1913 a twenty dollar bill would buy a one night stay at some of the finest Hotels in New York City. Of course in 1913 that twenty dollars could be exchanged for a 1oz gold coin. Today twenty dollars might buy a one night stay at the biggest flop house in New York. But a 1oz of gold as of Friday 5pm New York time is worth 1663.00 which will buy a one night stay at some of the finest Hotels in New York city.

    Government has destroyed the value of our money.

    no great nation in history that went off the gold standard remained a great nation———Ronald Reagan.

  • acat

    because he happened upon the problem with fiat currency?

    Given some of his other bumbling and his hypocrisy on pork, I have to conclude he’s not a working clock nor a pig with 20/20 vision…

    Mew

  • Scope

    on Paul’s earmark habits. You have been arguing the point that if Paul didn’t earmark the already appropriated taxpayer dollars, those dollars would be redirected to federal government agencies such as the EPA and the DOE. Then please explain why Paul has earmarked billions of dollars for the Army Corps of Engineers. Look down the partial list of Paul earmarks at the link and you will find billions requested by Paul for this federal government agency. The Army Corps of Engineers, is working hand in hand with the EPA to control every drop of water in the US through onerous regulations. Isn’t that your argument, that the EPA is a destructive federal government agency that shouldn’t get any funding? Then why is Paul taking taxpayer funds and funneling it back to a federal government agency? Weren’t the stimulus funds also supposed to go for shovel ready jobs, such as infrastructure projects, such as those already funded by Paul earmarks?

    You included money going back to the DOE if Paul doesn’t take some of that money back to his district. Go back to that link, and check the list again. In 2009, Paul earmarked $26 million for the “Reading is Fundamental” project in Washington DC. Last I checked that isn’t his district.

    Paul also earmarked $10 million for the “Reach out and Read” project in Boston, Mass. That isn’t his district either.

    So Paul earmarks federal taxpayer money for education projects, but out of the other side of his mouth he says that the DOE should be eliminated, and that education should go back to the individual states. Why would he be sending federal dollars to educational projects that he thinks the states should be paying for?

    The dollar amount that Paul tags for earmarks is far in excess of what the residents of his district pay in Federal taxes. Paul himself is deciding what projects in his district will get taxpayer money, and that insures that he retains large voting blocks in his district, like the shrimpers he subsidizes, even though he says he is against government subsidies. His earmarks have been the only reason he has been sent back to Washington for more than 20 years. Paul has played the same big government game that incumbents all play. Paul was one of only 4 R’s in the House that requested earmarks in the current congress. Without his earmarking, he wouldn’t have been reelected beyond a term or two.

    Again, why would Paul earmark federal money, to give back to a federal agency, that is working side by side with the EPA, which Gov. Perry has had to bring several lawsuits against for the destruction they are trying to cause Texas with job and industry killing regulations? Seems that Dr. No is only Dr. No when it suits his purposes.

  • aesthete

    I thought it motivated them, myself.

  • aesthete

    but logicalliberty’s right: the RP supporters on this thread have been pretty darned civil (if a bit tendentious in their support of their candidate); there’s no reason to compare them to those Paulites from ’08 that we banned who said and did truly execrable stuff, like threadjacking and blaming the JOOOOOOOS for influenza.

  • aesthete

    nt

  • aesthete

    Sorry, but as unhinged and ridiculous as I find Ron Paul’s candidacy, the discussion here is just noxious. “Logicalliberty” has been very civil in his responses, and should be responded to in kind. Instead, I’ve seen people wish a terrorist attack on him and his, suggest that he and his spit on soldiers, and other attacks more fit for Kos than RS. No one who responds as civilly as logicalliberty and e_rowe have should be accosted in that way. Heck, I don’t think that any of our house liberals who supported Obama have been responded to that viciously.

    Rather than impugning the patriotism of these people, why not point out Ron Paul’s apologia for the Viet Minh on the site “antiwar.com”?

    Rather than state outright that Ron Paul can’t win, why not give reasons for why he shouldn’t win?

    There’s no reason that we can’t win the argument without looking like simian monkeys — that applies as much to this argument as to arguments with Obama supporters.

  • aesthete

    That basically nixes him among voters from the get-go (which is unfortunate, because he’s the only Bush I really cared for).

  • aesthete

    “Numbers USA is one of many organizations fostered by John H. Tanton, an ophthalmologist from Michigan who has also championed efforts to protect the environment, limit population growth and promote English as an official language.”

    http://www.nytimes.com/2007/07/15/us/politics/15immig.html

    There’s also quite a bit of BS on their site regarding the “environmental harm” of illegal immigrants, such as this little number tracking the oil use, carbon footprint, green space and population growth of illegals (as if increased use of any of those things is a bad thing).

  • aesthete

    from criticizing RomneyCare (and yeah, I think that really hurt him).

  • acat

    Pawlenty forces the Dems to spend capital in Wisconsin and Minnesota and maybe Michigan that they could otherwise – in the case of Perry/Rubio or Perry/Palin – not spend.

    We can win in all three with solid candidates and with coattails. Pawlenty as veep ensures the coattails. Rubio .. does not, and worse weakens DeMint’s conservative caucus in the Senate.

    Mew

  • mikeymike143

    chance of winning.

    1. His foreign policy ideas are simply the same recycled bad ideas that Jimmy Carter had. A foreign policy of ?let?s hide our head in the sand like an ostrich and blame big bad America and hope that everyone leaves us alone? is not only ignorant, but also dangerous for our country. And the big winners in last November?s elections were the ones who espoused ?american exceptionalism?, not the ones who espoused ?anti-american apologism?. Now I will admit Ron Paul?s foreign policy message would go over well with the Code Pink/Dennis Kucinich voters, but those type of people tend to be Democrats, not Republicans. One of my facebook friends put it best when he said ?if Ron Paul had been president during World War 2, we would all be speaking German now?.

    2. He has no real political power. And this was proven beyond a shadow of a doubt in 2008. Yes, he can win any ONLINE presidential poll. So what. In 2007 the paulbots hijacked the same online polls and Ron Paul won them all. His followers then posed articles all over the internet touting his candidacy. He then suckered his gullible followers telling them that the ?polls showed he could win? and send to him money. Then came the 2008 primaries. Out of the 50 states that were availible for Ron Paul to win, guess how many he won? ZERO. And that is spelled Z-E-R-O. Now let?s go to the present day. His internet saavy paulbots are again winning all the online and straw polls for their idol. His followers are again posting articles about him like he actually has a legitimate chance to win. Next is going to come the annual ?moneybomb? when Ron Paul once again fleeces his followers by pointing out that he is ahead in the polls and has a chance to win this time. But their delusional fantasy is going to run into a buzzsaw called Republican primary voters. Paul got absolutely destroyed when he ran in 1988, got whipped by John McCain in 2008, and he will be a three time loser in 2012.

    3. There are plenty of people who are ?one issue voters? in politics. And in the Republican party there are plenty of people that ?opposition to islam? is the one issue they feel strongly about. You can go to any anti islam or conservative jewish site and see that the two politicians that are diliked the most are Obama and Ron Paul. Ron Paul has said ?I don?t believe for one minute the religion of islam is our enemy?. And Paul also attacked the Sunshine Patriots for their oppostion to the ground zero mosque. Now i am not going to debate the muslim issue here, but the fact that a decent sized voting group in your own party considers you one of their main foes is certainly not good news for your campaign. Now to be fair, you will get the people who think Israel is oppressing Palestine and the pro muslim agenda voters will be on Paul?s side. The only problem with that is almost all of that crowd are Democrats who support Obama.

    4. Let?s look at Ron Paul?s position on crack cocaine and heroin. Now I am totally fine with legalizing pot and prostitution in any state if the voters want it. If somebody wants to get laid or smoke a joint it sure isn?t any of my business. But we are talking about legalizing hard drugs because Ron Paul says that the government is unconstitutionally sticking its nose in peoples business by not allowing it. I say once it becomes legal, who is going to cover the costs of the people that get addicted to it to go to rehab or treatment centers. And please don?t say the addict. Probably the government will have to. Great, now here comes a great big expansion of government to fight the drug war that was ?caused by the tea party candidate?. Which by the way, I as a taxpayer will have to cover. Increased police and court costs etc, etc. But the issue isn?t what I think or Ron Paul thinks, the issue is what does the Republican primary voter think of this policy. The ?religious right? will certainly oppose it full force. And I would think that anyone that has had a family member suffer through the addiction process will be opposed to it. That?s two groups opposed. Of course, Paul will pick up the ?left wing hippie? vote and the anarchists vote. Except the left wing hippies are already card carrying members of the Democratic party. And all the anarchists who want to overthrow big bad America are already his supporters.

    5. If he were alive today, Ronald Reagan would strongly oppose him. Reagan believed in spending generously on our national defense and certainly had an interventionist foreign policy. And according to the Ron Paul playbook, that would make the greatest president of my era ?a neocon?. Their policies and beliefs are totally and completely different. Naturally Ron Paul?s followers will attempt to hide that fact by showing you an old video of Ronald Reagan praising Ron Paul as a candidate and using that as proof that Ronald Reagan would support Ron Paul in 2012. Now watch me dismantle that silly argument!!! Does anyone remember Senator Arlen Specter of Pennsylvania? Arlen was the senator that everyone on tea party and conservative sites called a liberal RINO. He was challenged by a tea party backed conservative in the primary named Pat Toomey and when Specter saw how opposed conservatives were to his candidacy he changed parties to Democrat. He voted for TARP, Obama?s socialized health care plan, and was pro affirmative action and amnesty. Yet, Reagan praised him as a true conservative back in the 1980?s and even cut a campaign ad for him. But go ask a Pennsylvania tea partier what they think of Specter today. LOL. If you were a House or Senate member, and of course running as a Republican, Ronald Reagan would praise you as a candidate for office. That?s part of what a sitting president does for members of his party.

    But rather than look at a 30 year old video let?s look at Ron Paul has to say about Ronald Reagan. In 1987, Ron Paul wrote a letter to Frank Fahrenkopf, chairman of the Republican National Committee, starting that he wanted to totally publically disassociate himself with the policies of Ronald Reagan(funny but he yet to publically disassociate with the 9-11 truther movement or Code Pink). He later told the Dallas Morning News that the presidency of Ronald Reagan was a ?dramatic failure?. OK, let?s take a look at the political success of both politicians and decide if that is true. In 2008 Ron Paul ran in the Republican primary for president. He got 5% of the vote. In other words, 19 OUT OF 20 REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY VOTERS DID NOT VOTE FOR RON PAUL IN THE LAST ELECTION. In 1984, Ronald Reagan was reelected as the president of the United States in a landslide, winning 49 out of 50 states, and his 525 electoral votes were the the most of any candidate in American history. Hmmm, I think we have to score this one for the Gipper.

    6. Illegal Immigration. According to the highly respected anti immigation group NUMBERS USA, Ron Paul has the lowest grade of any Republican presidential candidate out there, coming in with an F. Naturally, his paulbots try to put a spin on this by saying ?welfare and benefit programs should be unconsititutional so illegal immigrants wont come here?. If Ron Paul threw puppies off a tall building his hynoptized followers would be applauding and yelling it was ?constitutional?. That argument wont cut it with the voters. Polls overwhelmingly show that Americans are in favor of closing our borders and against all forms of amnesty. And that really holds true with Republican voters. April has posted articles by former Ron Paul allies like Tom Tancrdeo that blast Paul on the immigration issue. Yet again, Ron Paul thinks like a liberal Democrat, and in fact even has the same ?F? grade that NUMBERS USA gave Obama.

    7. Paul?s pork problem. One thing career politicians learn to do is talk conservative while picking the taxpayers pocket for money. And ?Porkulus Paul? has this shady routine down pat. First of all, let?s go back to last November?s elections to get the proper perspective on this issue. The Republicans destroyed the Democrats on November 3 due to the energy and votes of the tea party!!!!! Now the tea party came in and deservedly wanted to flex it muscles. And decided to take a principled stand against the unethical practice of pork(earmarks). The fight against earmarks was led by the Tea Party Patriots(TPP) and other tea party and conservative groups against the pork loving Democrats. In fact, TPP leader Mark Meckler considered this such an important issue that he promised to run a tea party challenger against any Republican that accepted them.

    ?We?ll do what we always do,? said Meckler. ?Our members will put immense pressure on every senator to vote against earmarks. This is a fundamental issue ? it?s both substantive and symbolic. Will they vote against the politics of the past or are they still stuck in it? This is a vote that will never go away, like TARP. Tea Partiers have long memories. Politicians have always taken advantage of the fact that voters have short memories, but we?ll know, we?ll remember, and in 2012 when they have aggressive, well-funded primary challengers, they?ll know why.?

    Then it came out that a Republican asked for 150 MILLION DOLLARS IN PORK FOR HIS DISTRICT!!! Surely this was a RINO. Maybe Olympia Snowe or Scott Brown? No, it was actually Ron Paul.

    U.S. Rep. Ron Paul (R-Texas) was one of only four House Republicans to break rank from the party and request earmarks despite a Republican Conference earmark moratorium. Paul sent 41 earmark requests totaling $157,093,544 for the 2011 Fiscal Year.

    Ron Paul is to the far left of the tea party on just about every major issue. Actually he looks just like a liberal Democrat to me.

    SAY NO TO THE FAR LEFT TURN, STAY RIGHT. NO PAUL IN 2012.