NY-09 Goes Republican For the First Time Since 1922


DNCNY09b

NY-09 last saw Republicans hold it in 1922. The seat, last held by Anthony Weiner, flipped back to the GOP tonight in a stunning rebuke to Barack Obama.

In every special election in New York for the past few years, even in 2009/2010, the Democrats pointed their finger at each one and declare it spelled disaster for the GOP. Today, the Democrats will declare NY-09 has no bearing on anything under the sun.

Except, in NY-09 the Democrats attacked the Republican, Congressman-Elect Turner, on the Paul Ryan plan. They attacked him on social security and medicare. All things the Democrats did in the last New York congressional special election they did again this time. And they lost. They lost a district that went for Obama, Kerry, and Gore. They lost a district that has had a Democrat representing it for almost 90 years.

Obama lost New York Jewish voters. He lost them because of three things.

First, he lost them because of the economy. Even in this reliably Democrat district, the voters are upset about the economy. No amount of spin can change that polling.

Second, he lost them because for three years the Democrats have said Jewish voters love Obama and they really don’t. As Ari Fleischer said jokingly on Twitter, “Obama calls for NY-9 to return to it’s pre-1967 status. Last time an R held the seat was 1922.” No doubt Obama will soon travel to Israel.

Third, and the one that will get little if any play in the mainstream media except frivolous debunking, the voters in NY-09 rejected David Weprin’s vote in favor of gay marriage. Yes, yet again we see a reliably Democrat area rebel against Democrats pushing gay marriage. (below the fold for data on that)

I’ve long said these special elections in New York really are not meaningful at a national level. They’ve served to highlight the incompetence of the New York GOP more than the failures of the national GOP. But in this race, you had a highly competent Democratic Party and union organizers on the ground turning out the vote and they lost. And the most consistent reason through multiple polling is a very simple reason — even Democrats now hate Barack Obama’s job performance.

I eagerly await the front page story in the New York Times about growing Democratic whispers of a primary campaign against Barack Obama. Oh, and yes, the GOP can now tell him to take a hike on his jobs legislation.

Here’s some data being circulated on the gay marriage point many will try to ignore:


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Ha Ha!

NeoKong (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 12:04AM EDT (link)

#Weinning

Follow me on Twitter.

5 nt

Kenny Martsolf (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 12:07AM EDT (link)

this NY election was ALL about the pro muslim/ anti israel policies of obama

mikeymike143 (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 8:41AM EDT (link)

and even more good news, this means a noted anti semite like ron ”the nutjob” paul is going to end up on the wrong side of this electorate.

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Yay.

swami7774 (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 12:05AM EDT (link)

Praise the Lord and Taylor.

Today, there is a name for the political doctrine that rejoices in scarcity of everything except government. The name is environmentalism.

"Lord and Taylor" I get it, very Good

throwback59 Wednesday, September 14th at 8:18AM EDT (link)
 

Weprin

DerKrieger (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 12:11AM EDT (link)

…should have hit Turner over Gardasil. Ba dum dum

“In questions of power, let no more be heard of confidence in man, but bind him down from mischief by the chains of the Constitution.” – Thomas Jefferson

“I cannot undertake to lay my finger on that article of the Constitution which granted a right to Congress of expending, on objects of benevolence, the money of their constituents.” – James Madison

Whenever the legislators endeavor to take away and destroy the property of the people, or to reduce them to slavery under arbitrary power, they put themselves into a state of war with the people, who are thereupon absolved from any further obedience.” — John Locke, 1690

5555555555555

Erick Erickson (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 12:15AM EDT (link)

n/t

Who will stand on either hand and keep this bridge with me?

 

You Aint Seen Nothing Yet

Freedoms Truth (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 12:43AM EDT (link)

Bachmann Turner Overdrive!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7miRCLeFSJo

Change!

petezarria Wednesday, September 14th at 8:28AM EDT (link)

Now THIS is change I can believe in!

 
 
 

No doubt marriage played some role, but economics

spainishirish (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 12:15AM EDT (link)

determined this election.

That is what will terrify the Democrats the most since the gay marriage issue can be ignored while hard numbers cannot be.

...and ISRAEL

heartlander (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 2:58AM EDT (link)

If you are a Jew who remembers the events of 1967 clearly – the absolute euphoria that followed that victory, the tears of joy for Jerusalem – JERUSALEM! – few things could be more appalling, more frightening, more loathsomely odious than Barack Obama’s declaration that Israel should be shrunk to her pre-1967 borders. And that the Palestinians should get their own state at a point in time when Fatah – the group founded by the Father of Modern Terrorism, Yasser Arafat – has joined forces with a group that is even worse!

Do not underestimate the importance of Israel in this election.

“The still, small voice of God in every human soul is the greatest ally of the pro-life cause, and why it will ultimately prevail.”
–Donald R. McClarey

 
 

The Democrat "party"

DerKrieger (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 12:16AM EDT (link)

…is no such thing. It is a fragile coalition of hyper partisan single issue voters aligned against the Founders’ philosophy of liberty and property rights. Tonight the coalition cracked. Conservative Jews and homosexuals? Cracked. Open borders, amnesty shills vs environmentalists, next fissure. Wall St. bankers vs. Community organizers (ACORN), crack. What next?

“In questions of power, let no more be heard of confidence in man, but bind him down from mischief by the chains of the Constitution.” – Thomas Jefferson

“I cannot undertake to lay my finger on that article of the Constitution which granted a right to Congress of expending, on objects of benevolence, the money of their constituents.” – James Madison

Whenever the legislators endeavor to take away and destroy the property of the people, or to reduce them to slavery under arbitrary power, they put themselves into a state of war with the people, who are thereupon absolved from any further obedience.” — John Locke, 1690

Unions vs. the EPA

DerKrieger (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 12:21AM EDT (link)

Homosexuals vs. socially conservative, Catholic Hispanics…

“In questions of power, let no more be heard of confidence in man, but bind him down from mischief by the chains of the Constitution.” – Thomas Jefferson

“I cannot undertake to lay my finger on that article of the Constitution which granted a right to Congress of expending, on objects of benevolence, the money of their constituents.” – James Madison

Whenever the legislators endeavor to take away and destroy the property of the people, or to reduce them to slavery under arbitrary power, they put themselves into a state of war with the people, who are thereupon absolved from any further obedience.” — John Locke, 1690

Wonder of wonders,

heartlander (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 3:04AM EDT (link)

thanks to groups like the National Organization for Marriage (and of course, the Tea Party), maybe the GOP is finally starting to cease being the Party of Stupid!!

I was so heartened to read here of the outreach to Jewish and Hispanic voters. Yessss!!!

Now let’s apply these lessons to attracting black voters as well!

“The still, small voice of God in every human soul is the greatest ally of the pro-life cause, and why it will ultimately prevail.”
–Donald R. McClarey

 
 

The Democrat party

DerKrieger (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 12:22AM EDT (link)

= a Jenga game

“In questions of power, let no more be heard of confidence in man, but bind him down from mischief by the chains of the Constitution.” – Thomas Jefferson

“I cannot undertake to lay my finger on that article of the Constitution which granted a right to Congress of expending, on objects of benevolence, the money of their constituents.” – James Madison

Whenever the legislators endeavor to take away and destroy the property of the people, or to reduce them to slavery under arbitrary power, they put themselves into a state of war with the people, who are thereupon absolved from any further obedience.” — John Locke, 1690

 
 

Yup. The meme that marriage is an issue only for white evangelicals could not be more wrong

usdebateboard Wednesday, September 14th at 12:25AM EDT (link)

I think this is a great template for some districts with heavy ethnic makeup.

 

Democratic state senator slams Democratic candidate and endorses Republican

Locked and Loaded (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 12:36AM EDT (link)

Now that’s good stuff!

Graphic I know, but I just can’t wait to see them gnaw at that disease called Barack.

No GM, GE, or any GSE for me.

Don’t I have the right to do what I want with my own money? Or are you envious because I am generous?
Matthew 20:15 NIV

 

This portends very well for Florida.

revivefederalism (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 12:48AM EDT (link)

It’s hard to see how he carries it if he loses much of the Jewish vote.

My thoughts as well.

spainishirish (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 12:51AM EDT (link)

I already thought for a number of other reasons Florida would be a Republican state, but this fairly well clinches it. As Eric wrote, Obama will take an Israel trip but his reception there may not help him back home.

DWS's response amounts to...

bk (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 5:42AM EDT (link)

“Who cares about those stupid Orthodox Jews when they are just a minority of REAL Jews like we have in Florida, and REAL Jews will vote for Obama.”

"My jews are different than their jews." DWS

steve010 (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 9:26AM EDT (link)
 

When Barry comes acallin'

flannery Wednesday, September 14th at 9:38AM EDT (link)

I hope that Bebe has him cool his heels while Bebe has dinner.

 
 
 

Republicans need to NOT quake over Obama's Stimulus

Freedoms Truth (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 12:52AM EDT (link)

We were told – WRONGLY – that the GOP hurt themselves in the debt ceiling debacle.

Wrong. Obama lost politically.

Now Republicans have to do the right thing and refuse to get pummelled by Obama over his phony failed ‘stimulus’ more-of-the-same plan.

House Republicans need to pass their OWN JOB BILL. Cut regulations. Drill here, drill now. Real tax relief long-term and tax reform. LOWER spending not higher spending. Make it the real Republican deal. Make it as serious as Cut, Cap and Balance and go out and sell it as an alternative.

Dont let Obama paint this ‘my way or nothing’.

I don't hear those words coming from Boehner and his ilk

usdebateboard Wednesday, September 14th at 12:58AM EDT (link)

All I hear him talk about is “working with him.”

I want to hear, “What happened to the first trillion?”

Or, “I thought we took care of infrastructure and jobs the first time around.”

I’m tired of Democrats who don’t play by the rules, and a Republican leadership that says it can seemingly do nothing about it.

Death by substitution - GOP response

Freedoms Truth (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 2:01AM EDT (link)

Boehner was smart to deflect away the instant-negative response, if only to expose Obama’s campaign tactic as a campaign tactic.

While Obama is out making partisan campaign speeches, Boehner is just laying low. Good rope-a-dope … if he has a followup.

The followup is to go in and replace all the noxious garbage with a real Republican-style jobs bill, take out all the spending, put in a real bill, and THEN declare. “Mr President, we did great. WE PASSED YOUR JOBS BILL.”

Then Obama has to actually go in there and either pass it and PRETEND it was his, or veto it and whine about what the Republicans didnt do exactly right.

Well … at that point, he’ll be exposed as a narrow-minded, petulant, my-way-or-highway lousy failed President who can even PASS HIS OWN BILL.

"...if he has a followup."

edintexas Wednesday, September 14th at 7:58AM EDT (link)

That is one big “if”. And Freedom’s “…go out and sell it…” is something I’ve not seen the Republican Party do in a couple of decades (and an eternity before Reagan).

Sometimes I see the Party as Charlie Brown, acting as if the Democrats have “honor” and “play by the rules”, when, like Lucy, they will lie to you every time. Other times I see them as simply incompetent at communication and campaigning.

They can’t continue to depend on the Democrats making sufficient mistakes to put them back in office.

 

Really good idea!!

Ann_W (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 9:47AM EDT (link)

nt

“The more the plans fail, the more the planners plan.” Ronald Reagan

 
 
 
 

Mixed Results in NY Don't read too much into it

RonLewenberg Wednesday, September 14th at 1:08AM EDT (link)

Nationally, it was a good night for Republicans. We picked up NY-9 and NV-2. Sadly, the national tide did not help Assembly races here. Most commentary on NY-9 by non-New Yorkers will come from people who don’t even know about the assembly races, one of which was in a district that overlaps Turner’s.

not that I am familiar with the district

sbm1 Wednesday, September 14th at 4:43AM EDT (link)

but given that there is a +37 dem registration in that area, are there even any decent republicans running in those assembly races. I lived in MA for a long time, and being a republican there is more like being a rotarian, you meet a couple of times maybe, but you never actualyl run a campaign with any chance of winning…

So Turner put his all into getting this,a nd got all the key endorsements, but I doubt that you are going to get significant D endorsements anywhere else down the ballot….and economy, marriage and Israel are all more key to Washington than Albany (they lost marriage in Albany already, only chance to stop it is in Washington)

Yes

RonLewenberg Thursday, September 15th at 1:12AM EDT (link)

Marco DeSena ran in AD 27, which overlaps CD 9. Marco DeSena was a domestic policy analyst and assistant speechwriter for Rudy Giuliani’s presidential campaign. He is a professor at Baruch College. Unfortunately, his campaign was woefully underfunded.

 
 
 

DEM bloggers already "blaming" the proximity to 9/11 remembrances

nvrepub (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 1:22AM EDT (link)

Well of course they are, it couldn't be because people actually think they are wrong, crazy, or both

Mike Ferguson (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 1:40AM EDT (link)

NT

Let us be sure that those who come after will say of us in our time, that in our time we did everything that could be done. We finished the race; we kept them free; we kept the faith.
Ronald Reagan

 

Not only that, but the Jews as well are to blame in their opinion.

PowerToThePeople (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 1:41AM EDT (link)

Some of the things said about the Jews and Israel over at sites like DKos are horrible.

 
 

Erick or mods, can one of you answer this for me

PowerToThePeople (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 1:39AM EDT (link)

I have heard rumblings in my internet travel that their is a push to shut down NY 09 and if it was lost, the shut down would happen. I know redistricting happens, is NY working on a redistricting plan now or is this something that would be a future try? From what I understand, they want the heavily republican Brooklyn broken up into stronger democrat areas.

Was wondering as I would hate to see this historic win end in a lost seat due to a change of a map.

Redistricting

smokedaddy Wednesday, September 14th at 4:28AM EDT (link)

The comments I’ve seen indicate that No big whup, the district is disappearing anyways. Well, technically that may be true, but in reality some other dem will get hurt in the process. For example, they could add/replace the Brooklyn part of the district to the current Staten Island district, but that would likely tip that district red. The truth is that in a normal year, possibly including ’12, this district will be tough for Turner to hold as it stands. As it stands, the Dems will likely try to swallow this pig. But doing so will inevitably weaken other Dems and/or avoid the GOP losing a district.

 
 

BREAKING NEWS: President Obama responds to the clear message coming out of New York's special election in which Republican, Bob Turner, won.

maustincpt Wednesday, September 14th at 1:47AM EDT (link)

BREAKING NEWS: President Obama responds to the clear message coming out of New York’s special election in which Republican, Bob Turner, won. The last time that seat was held by a Republican was in 1922. http://youtu.be/5UKLwSc5i7Y

 

55555555555555

Mike Ferguson (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 1:50AM EDT (link)

(nt)

Let us be sure that those who come after will say of us in our time, that in our time we did everything that could be done. We finished the race; we kept them free; we kept the faith.
Ronald Reagan

Opps, this a reply to maustimcpt's comment above.

Mike Ferguson (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 1:52AM EDT (link)

Sorry, I am to tired to be posting right now.

Let us be sure that those who come after will say of us in our time, that in our time we did everything that could be done. We finished the race; we kept them free; we kept the faith.
Ronald Reagan

 
 

Simply Astounding....

americanmale Wednesday, September 14th at 1:53AM EDT (link)

The fact that the voters not only rebuked Weiner, but the entire democratic philosophy at the national level is nothing short of remarkable.

I’m afraid though that the one who is most affected by this will be Scott Brown. Elizabeth Warren is announcing her candidacy tomorrow and so starts the war for Ted Kennedy’s seat.

Sure the money was expected to pour in droves. However, this NY-9 result will probably cause at a minimum, a significant increase in bus traffic up good ole route 95.

The more money the Dems have to pour in blue states the better

bk (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 5:48AM EDT (link)

GOP spent a lot of money in NV and Dems spent a lot in NY. Only one got anything to show for it.

Everybody on their side but the super-rich (you know, the ones Dems supposedly hate) is going to be tapped out before the 2012 election emotionally and financially. Dems spent untold millions of dollars and person-hours in WI alone and got nothing out of it. They got virtually nothing in other states except what Obama was able to dictate through the NLRB. 2011 has been a worse year for them than 2010, and they’ll be trying to get people to double down for 2012.

The Democrats will not be able to sustain it

kyle8 (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 6:29AM EDT (link)

A lot of their big donors no longer believe in Obama. Some of the big corporate donors have lost their ass in the recession.

Just from what I have seen and heard and read I sense a real bloodbath for the Democrats this time.

“Nothing works like freedom, Nothing succeeds like liberty”
Kyle

It sets up to be an interesting season

bk (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 7:27AM EDT (link)

They have 20-something Senate seats up and they need to protect almost every one to keep the Senate, a nearly impossible task.

It’s hard to see them making much progress in the House – most redistricting doesn’t help them much.

And nearly all of these House and Senate candidates will be avoiding the guy at the top of their ticket like he’s carrying bubonic plague.

It’s heartening to see DWS doubling down and blaming Weprin and anybody but Obama for Weprin’s loss – the more in-fighting over there the better.

 
 
 
 

First Grayson, now Weiner

thurman Wednesday, September 14th at 2:10AM EDT (link)

Who would have thought two of the most abhorrent, arrogant loudmouths in the House would both be silenced so embarrassingly, and have conservatives sitting in their precious House seats?

I couldn’t have written a better script just a year ago.

schadenfreude, is wonderful

kyle8 (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 6:38AM EDT (link)

leave it to the Germans to be the only ones with a specific word for enjoyment of the tragedy of others.

“Nothing works like freedom, Nothing succeeds like liberty”
Kyle

Sooo delicious

tankertodd (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 9:53AM EDT (link)

Schadenfreude is definitely the word of the day.

———————————
The way to stop discrimination on the basis of race is to stop discriminating on the basis of race – Chief Justice Roberts

 
 
 

DEMs blaming it on...

nvrepub (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 3:10AM EDT (link)

“Bush” economy; and also proximity to 9/11 memorials. Not accepting ANY blame.

 

but 1922 was a bad year for republicans....

sbm1 Wednesday, September 14th at 4:37AM EDT (link)

after the big swing election in 1920, we lost quite a few seats…..

 

From DWS:

hwgood Wednesday, September 14th at 5:58AM EDT (link)

“There are no Republican tanks in NY-09.”

 

Congrats

redpenny Wednesday, September 14th at 6:19AM EDT (link)

to the good people of NY-9. Seems there are people in NY with some common sense after all.This election is a stunning blow to Dumborats all across the nation.C’est la vie!!!!!!!!

Don’t bother: the moderators tossed me out on my racist posterior already.

 

Lessons Learned

nycmiddleman Wednesday, September 14th at 7:58AM EDT (link)

Weprin’s campaign was essentially an outright attack on the “Tea Party”. Every buzzword you can think of were worked into his ads, and his speeches.
“tea party”
“hostage takers”
“kill old people”
It’s very important to not that this sad, transparent tactic didn’t work. We need to make sure that it’s part of the news story.

 

Jews, Catholics, Other Religious People: The Abused Wives of the Democrats

Ausonius (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 8:19AM EDT (link)

Political entropy and inattention are what the Dems have depended upon for too long to maintain their traditional constituencies.

In the Internet age, perhaps the technique of repeating The Big Lie in one part of the country and then repeating contradictory Big Lie #2 no longer works! More people are paying attention to both sides of a politician’s mouth!

Of course, you could always just believe your own eyes to shake off the chain of traditional, inherited voting.

My grandparents and parents back in the good old days told me never to vote for a Democrat. But they ended up voting for Ronald Reagan, after watching the Dems implode over Vietnam and then over the economy during Carter’s years.

And for years the Democrats have stood for many policies antithetical to most of the beliefs of our religions! Eventually they were going to start thinking: Something is wrong here!

So it seems that eventually – like the abused wife who finally gets a shotgun – you will not be able to fool all the people all the time.

Ausonius: 310-395 A.D. Teacher, Poet, Consul, General, Farmer.

Personal Tutor to the future St. Paulinus of Nola and to young Gratian, heir to the throne during the turbulent final years of the Western Roman Empire. When his former student Gratian was assassinated, Ausonius threw up his hands and retired to his farm in Gaul. Rome was captured by barbarians 14 years after his death.

Cato@rock.com

AND…Know Your Czars…Before They Hit BIG BRObama’s Unemployment Line in November: http://www.czarcards.us/

555

runner12 (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 12:04PM EDT (link)
 

wasserman-putz, you lie!

Common_Cents (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 9:07AM EDT (link)

“It’s a very difficult district for Democrats,”

what a joke, and they expect people to believe anything this troll says?

its going to be a tough year for dems!

“Fathom the hypocrisy of a Government
that requires every citizen to prove
they are insured…. but not everyone
must prove they are a citizen.”
-Ben Stein

“In individuals, insanity is rare; but in groups, parties, nations and epochs, it is the rule.”[especially in DC] – Friedrich Nietzsche

 

Exciting development - and must read from Senor in WSJ

tankertodd (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 9:59AM EDT (link)

This is your must-read for today:
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424053111904353504576568710341742174.html?mod=WSJ_Opinion_LEADTop

When Senor lays it out, you can see that Obama has done nothing but not only alienate Israel, but to actively campaign against it. Any Republican will be seen as staunchly pro-Israel (except for Paul of course). Growing Christian/Jewish amity helps as well. All this means that the GOP can have a real shot at breaking up the monoline straight Dem vote from Jews. And this isn’t good for the GOP, this is good for Jews. Any group that is so single-minded is a bit alarming. There is a natural diversity of thought that should exist in such a large population. This is good for them, to widen their set of choices. Hopefully, the black population, who are so core to the heart and soul and fabric of America, are next to awaken.

———————————
The way to stop discrimination on the basis of race is to stop discriminating on the basis of race – Chief Justice Roberts

Unfortunately, Romney is not good on Israel

red_oakster (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 10:18AM EDT (link)

His key mideast advisors are people like Zinni, who is very anti-Israel. Perry is strong on Israel and so is Bachmann. But if Romney wins, expect to see anti-Israel technocrats in the tradition of Baker, Powell and Gates.

 
 

Obuma, call your base,

josephmn Wednesday, September 14th at 10:27AM EDT (link)

Obuma, call your base, they have been taking heavy drugs and wandering around polling places with American Flag lapel pins and mumbling about missing W