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EDITOR OF REDSTATE

Morning Briefing for January 10, 2011

RedState Morning Briefing

January 6, 2012

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1. In Conclusion

I have made known my thoughts and objections to the various candidates in the field. I have come to accept that the ones I think would be best are the ones running the most perplexing campaigns. I think we will wind up with Willard Mitt Romney as the nominee.

I see a path to victory for Rick Perry. I don’t see him taking it.

I see a path to victory for Newt Gingrich. I see him taking it so zealously that it winds up hurting him.

I see a path to victory for Jon Huntsman if he makes it out of New Hampshire with a respectable showing and I’d rather him than Romney or Santorum.

Ironically, I do not see a path to victory for Rick Santorum. He made the Illinois ballot, but without a full slate of delegates, and I think he doesn’t have the ability to build out as it took so long for him to rise.

I see the clearest path for Mitt Romney and barring him underperforming in New Hampshire, I suspect he could sweep the races.

I am as excited as a fly flying through a frog filled swamp.

But ultimately there is this — Barack Obama is worse than even Jimmy Carter in that Obama, in addition to being an economic menace, peddles a brand of liberal social politics that even Jimmy Carter dared not peddle. Should he win re-election, Barack Obama might have the opportunity to fill more seats on the Supreme Court including, potentially, Antonin Scalia’s and Anthony Kennedy’s seats.

We cannot let that happen.

The regulatory regime an Obama second term would unleash, no longer restrained by the fear of electoral defeat, would be economically destructive to the free market and the middle class.

Any and all of the Republican candidates would be better than Barack Obama. We have an obligation to support the nominee whoever it may be.

I just hope the voters choose wisely.

As for me, in focusing on Campaign 2012 for President, I have neglected the fight against SOPA, the fight to election conservatives to the House and Senate, and the on going battles at the state level. It’s time to refocus a bit on those and let this primary season where good friends are at each others throats over the nominees sort the season out.

Please click here for the rest of the post.

2. The Choice

This election—including the Republican primary contest— is about a fundamental question in American politics: We have an opportunity to decisively turn away from big government in Washington. Do we want to take it?

Conservatives across the country are fed up with President Obama’s Washington approach to governance. Massive, budget-busting, deficit spending (except on defense, where he proposes cuts that are downright dangerous). Bailouts. An ever-mounting national debt. A federal government that has reached its tentacles further into Americans’ lives, by virtue of Obamacare with its noxious individual mandate to purchase health insurance. Excessive, bureaucratically dictated, job-killing environmental regulation. Dodd-Frank. The actions of the National Labor Relations Board, the Federal Communications Commission, and countless other agencies. A President who has engaged in offensive recess appointments to pay back his political allies ahead of a race he could well lose. And so on.

Almost universally, Republicans hold in contempt the real-life “ends” of the Obama administration’s policies, though admittedly there are those self-described conservatives who have favored (and even authored) Obamacare-like approaches to health care and policies like cap-and-trade. To us, those ends look decidedly liberal and reminiscent of European social democracies, and out of step with our vision for America.

Yet some conservatives, while rejecting the “ends” have not yet fully rejected the means, despite the fact that many Americans—and not just conservatives or libertarians— have reached the conclusion that the federal government has just become too big and has its fingers in too many pies, with the predictable negative real-world consequences for the rest of us.

Please click here for the rest of the post.

3. The 2012 Election and the ‘Inevitable’ Mitt Romney

Let me go ahead and stipulate that Mitt Romney has presidential height and hair, and appears to have presidential composure in debates and interviews (at least, when not being mauled by the Great Grizzly of Interviewers, the always fearsome Bret Baier). He also has a history of business success and has the longest private sector career of any participant in the GOP primary – though it’s obviously worth noting that his lengthy private sector career has largely been the result of his utter failure to enter and remain in the public sector, despite trying over and over and over and over again to do so.

However, leaving aside the fact that his positions on most issues have a history of being “multiple choice,” as Ted Kennedy once said, Mitt Romney has two major vulnerabilities to attack – and it just so happens that they are the top two issues of this entire election.

It’s no secret that the key to this election is “the economy, stupid.” This will be a jobs election, an economy election, and – given the Obama administration’s limited but well-worn playbook – a class warfare election. Business success demonstrates a much-needed understanding of what our economy needs to get moving again, but job creation and relatability are at a premium in such an environment, which is why Romney’s Bain experience is such a handicap.

Please click here for the rest of the post.

4. Who are the Democratic gun-grabbers in the US Senate? Let’s find out!

In the course of reading this subtly bitter (and thus subtly entertaining) story (via Instapundit) about the effective collapse of the anti-gun movement on the grassroots level, I came across this passage: “In November the Republican House approved a measure that would require states to respect concealed carry permits issued by other, less restrictive states; it now awaits action in the Democratic-controlled Senate, where its fate is uncertain.” This refers to HR 822, which passed in the House with bipartisan support and is now awaiting action from Judiciary in the Senate. As people reading this probably know, reciprocal respect of other states’ right-to-carry laws is a hot topic: it recently came to the forefront when a Tennessee woman got arrested for trying to check in her firearm at the 9/11 Ground Zero site. I should also note in passing that Mayor Michael Bloomberg’s (INDEPENDENT) attempt to smear said woman by claiming she was also in possession of cocaine backfired: the woman didn’t have any. But she’s still facing several years of jail time – no, really – for a ‘crime’ that more enlightened portions of the United States of America decriminalized some time ago*.

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5. Why is Ron Paul allowed to Continue Participating in Debates?

Let us set aside for a moment the many crazy things that Ron Paul says and the ways in which they might damage the GOP brand. We’ve given people passes for saying crazy things before. I mean, I’m not thrilled to have the guy up there on national television representing the GOP in any form or fashion, but on the merits as far as his support, he deserves to be there no matter what sort of crankery he decides to subject the public to. The problem with Ron Paul’s continued participation in the debates is that, having used the GOP as a free publicity vehicle, he will not commit to refusing a third party run.

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COMMENTS

  • Scope

    A representative from Atty. Gen. Cuccinelli’s office has filed an emergency appeal to overturn Judge Glabney’s order to hold up on printing and mailing the 2012 absentee ballots until the Perry, Huntsman, Santorum and Gingrich lawsuit is heard on Friday. Yes, that’s 3 days from now.

    In another twist, the ACLU of VA has filed a brief in court in support of the candidates lawsuit. I’m not a fan of the ACLU, but I guess it may be a case of even a stopped clock being right twice a day.

  • mikeymike143

    ken cuccinelli is doing the right thing by fighting to make that happen. he is going to make a great governor for virginia.

  • tonotisto

    Redstate already declared the Primary over. Romney won. :(

    So “In Conclusion”, the VA ballot is inconsequential./

    IMHO Perry/West 2012

  • tonotisto

    Redstate already declared the Primary over. Romney won.

    So ?In Conclusion?, the VA ballot is inconsequential./

    IMHO Perry/West 2012

  • tonotisto

    This day is depressing.

    Onward & Upward (hopefully soon).

  • tonotisto

    This day is depressing.

    Onward & Upward (hopefully soon).

  • Scope

    to help get the other candidates on the VA ballot. If you read the article you would see that someone from his office is actually fighting against the Perry et al lawsuit. They filed an appeal to the 4th circuit court to overturn the Perry judge hold up of printing and mailing the absentee ballots.

    Cuccinelli at first made remarks about wanting to get emergency legislation passed to help get more candidates on the ballot, but reversed his position by the next day.

    With everything that has happened with this horrid ballot disaster, I now give the Democrats more than a 50% chance of taking the Gov. seat again in 2013. The Republicans, and especially Lt. Gov. Bolling have only themselves to blame. Bolling, Romney’s VA campaign chair is now not speaking to Cuccinelli because of his challenge for the Gov. seat, even though Cuccinelli is representing him in another lawsuit. Bolling’s office won’t even respond to any Cooch phone calls. It’s a disaster.

  • mikeymike143

    i knew bolling was in the bag for mitt, but i didnt think ken was. thanks for the update

  • Scope

    RS does not elect the president. Even if every single RS member voted for Romney, it still wouldn’t throw the election to him. Call it “covering your bets” or “saving your reputation as a prognosticator” by some here at RS. No one chooses my candidate for me except me.

  • Scope

    I do not believe is in the bag for Mitt. Bolling and Cooch are at each other’s throats as competitors for the Gov. seat. Cooch was not impressed with Mitt’s responses when he helped co-host the Huckabee debate. Cooch is only doing the job that he is required to do as Atty Gen representing the state in this battle. He, or his office at least, is responsible to represent the State Board of Elections which is who is named in the lawsuit, along with the VA GOP. That’s why he backed off.

  • mikeymike143

    A very big development in the ballot access lawsuit filed in federal court in Virginia by Texas Governor Rick Perry and joined by Newt Gingrich, Rich Santorum, and Jon Huntsman. Judge John Gibney just filed a five-page order in which he states that

    there is a strong likelihood that the Court will find the residency requirement for petition circulators to be unconstitutional. The authorities make clear that circulating petitions for candidates is a form of protected speech, and that the Commonwealth has a heavy burden to justify the restriction on speech by showing not only that the limitation achieves a valid state interest but also that the limitation is no broader in scope than necessary to achieve that purpose. As in all strict scrutiny cases, the state has a difficult task to demonstrate the propriety of its limitation on protected speech. For this reason, the Court believes that the plaintiffs have a substantial likelihood of succeeding on the merits, at least on the issue of the validity of the residency requirement.

    Yesterday, Judge Gibney ordered the Virginia State Board of Elections to notify all local county electoral boards that they are barred ?from ordering any ballots? or ?from mailing out any absentee ballots? until after the judge holds a hearing on the case on January 13. The judge says in the order that he will make a decision on the merits of the temporary restraining order (TRO) and preliminary injunction being sought by the candidates on the 13th.

    Additionally, the ACLU of Virginia filed an amicus brief today on the side of the Republican presidential candidates, arguing that Virginia?s 10,000-signature requirement for a presidential candidate to appear on the ballot ?reduces the quantity of [political] speech available in Virginia, and directly infringes on the First Amendment rights of candidates, voters, petition circulators, and political parties.?

    The ACLU also argues that Virginia?s residency requirement for petition circulators is not narrowly tailored to serve a compelling government interest. In fact, the ACLU says that Virginia has ?fail[ed] even to articulate a compelling interest.? It asks the court to grant the plaintiffs? request for a TRO and a preliminary injunction. Looks like the judge agrees with the ACLU.

    So we should know by the end of the day on Friday whether Perry, Gingrich, Huntsman and/or Santorum will be added to the ballot or if the only choices for Virginia voters will be Mitt Romney and Ron Paul in the Republican primary on March 6. With this latest order from the judge, it is highly likely that there will be additional candidates on the ballot.

    http://blog.heritage.org/2012/01/10/breaking-more-gop-candidates-on-virginias-presidential-primary-ballot/

  • westcoastpatriette

    One thing I wonder about is how that will affect Huntsman and Santorum since neither one of them even made an attempt to gather ballot signatures. Maybe if they convince the court that the rules were so onerous as to discourage them from even making the attempt to satisfy them, the judge will allow their names on the ballot.

    We shall see Friday. So glad Perry did this. If he wins, what a great morale booster for his campaign and a huge push-back to the corruption in the VA GOP.

  • jakeofalltrades

    The judge certainly thinks Perry will ultimately win on the merits, or he would not have issued the temporary restraining order. Likelihood of prevailing in the ultimate suit is a major factor in the issuing of a TRO.

  • westcoastpatriette

    how will this affect Huntman and Santorum as per my above comment?

  • jakeofalltrades

    Legal remedies are easy to predict. But this isn’t a legal remedy – it’s an injunction. The Court will fashion the relief it feels in its discretion is equitable.

    Is it equitable to allow a party who didn’t even hand in signatures to be placed on the ballot? I doubt it, but it depends on how the issues are framed in court, like you said.