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EDITOR OF REDSTATE

Morning Briefing for June 6, 2012

RS MB CleanMasthead

RedState Morning Briefing

June 6, 2012

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1. The Whupping in Wisconsin: Seven Key Conclusions

Last night in Wisconsin, Democracy died because Republicans spent a bunch of money and Wisconsin saw record voter turnout levels across the state where they decisively sided with the incumbent Republican Governor against the ongoing childish assault on representative democracy by leftists unhappy with the hand the voters dealt them in 2010. Or something like that.

Remember, the left was perfectly fine with money in politics when they thought Barack Obama was going to raise $1 billion with which he would bludgeon the GOP. Now that it is not happening, money in politics is again evil. It is no coincidence that the left seized on this talking point even before the polls closed. They think it sells well. But it doesn’t. Remember in 2010, they tried to claim the Chamber of Commerce was spending foreign money to help the GOP? Lot of good it did them then.

These are also the same people who once told us the Wisconsin recall was a harbinger of GOP overreach and voter retaliation would ensue. Suddenly, the recall means nothing according to these same people. The Chairwoman of the Democratic Party once called last night a “dry run” for the general election. Heh.

Last night in Wisconsin, despite a disastrous run of exit polling, made more difficult by the dynamics of a recall election, Scott Walker handily beat Tom Barrett. What exit polls suggested would be a close race turned into a romp. The left has resorted to screaming about money in politics. What they cannot reconcile is that, most likely, were Barack Obama and MItt Romney on the ballot tonight as well as the Walker v. Barrett race, Barack Obama would have won despite all the GOP money pouring in.

I maintain that special elections mean very little to general elections. The flawed exit polls were flawed because people who vote in recall elections vote in different ways from general elections. There was a massive union vote in Wisconsin last night. We can conclude that Scott Walker winning big with a big union turnout means even private sector union members hate public sector unions. But we should be careful not to over conclude things based on Wisconsin.

Republicans around the country should take note of that. While I maintain recalls and special elections are not really good indicators of anything beyond the dynamics of those races, there are a few things Wisconsin tells us that do bode ill for President Obama and that are easy to conclude.

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2. Scorecard: Solyndra vs. Konarka

In a move that they’ll surely regret, the Obama campaign has called attention to a “green energy” loan to Konarka Power Plastic of Lowell, MA hile Mitt Romney was governor. They have accused Romney of hypocrisy in his criticism of the Obama Administration’s DOE loan guarantee to Solyndra and other “green energy” firms.

Here’s how the two loans panned out:

Obama Romney
Failed Green Company Solyndra Konarka
“Investment” $535,000,000 $1,500,000
Taxpayer Money Lost $528,000,000 $0
Years to Bankruptcy 2 9
Source of Funds Federal State
Loan Repaid? No Yes
Tied to Wealthy Campaign Donors? Yes No

You’ve gotta wonder about someone who can draw any kind of equivalence between these two programs. Maybe that’s the difference between a community organizer and a businessman.

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3. A Risk of Contagion: The Growing Threat from Syria’s WMD

Recent reports of al Qaida infiltration of the Syrian resistance have strengthened our national reluctance to intervene in the slow-motion train wreck that is the Syrian civil war. After all, we hardly want to be in the position of arming our enemies (that didn’t go so well with the Mexican drug cartels), and should they be successful an al Qaida backed regime is one of the few things that would be worse than the Assad thugocracy that has oppressed Syria for so long.

Furthermore, our options are limited at best. All the high hopes pinned to Kofi Annan’s diplomatic effort to broker a cease-fire have been dashed. Despite international outcry over ongoing atrocities such as the Houla massacre, there now seems to be little we can do beside plead with Vladimir Putin to get his buddy Bashir al-Assad to stop slaughtering his civilian population.

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4. Obama and Reid: Destroying the Economy; Stimulating Trial Lawyers

Over the past few weeks, we’ve been hit with a torrent of negative economic news, portending a prolonged period of stagnation for the foreseeable future. While most recessions end with a period of robust growth and job creation, this recovery has been stymied by odious regulations and a cloud of uncertainty painted dark black with Obama’s anti-business policies. Naturally, the response from Democrats is to impose even more regulations. This time they plan to tap one of their favorite tools; wage controls.

Harry Reid is planning to bring the “Paycheck Fairness Act” (S. 3220) to the floor today. Behind this mellifluous sounding name rests a plethora of onerous paperwork for small businesses, a strong disincentive to hire women, and a Pandora’s box of class action lawsuits designed to enrich the trial lawyers – a group that happens to be prolific donors to the Democrat Party.

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COMMENTS

  • commonsenseobserver

    Linda McMahon is simply unelectable, and we have to make a strong stand in New England.

  • commonsenseobserver

    With a 13% Democrat advantage…

    But many independents are undecided. I think there’s potential for us here. Compared to another PPP poll, I think Romney actually does better after adjusting for sampling changes.

  • westcoastpatriette

    He would be a good pick, IMO.

    http://www.newsmax.com/Newsfront/jindal-romney-vice-president/2012/06/06/id/441401

  • commonsenseobserver

    But Cato may not be that favourable in its report card this year because of the state’s fiscal troubles.

  • lineholder

  • lineholder

    The depth of knowledge he has gained and the scope of his experiences….plus, he’s very much so the objective pragmatist when it comes to problem-solving, yet he’s managed to succeed in solving some of the problems LA has faced without raising taxes in the meantime.

    I have a lot of respect for Jindal.

  • commonsenseobserver

    He would be a smart choice. Just worry about the libertarians at Cato and their report cards…

  • lineholder

    !

  • lineholder

    There isn’t going to be an “ideal” running mate that absolutely everyone and their brother will agree on. Someone will always have reasons to say “no, this person just isn’t the right person to choose”.

    IMO, we need problem-solvers right now who can take on the challenges our country is facing…people who aren’t afraid to step outside the status quo if they have to in order to find the best possible way of solving the problems we’re facing.

    Jindal possesses this quality much more than most. That’s what can be plainly seen in the things he’s accomplished and achieved so far.

  • westcoastpatriette

    She came out with 12% of the vote against twenty-two others who hoped to challenge Feinstein in November.

    http://www.emken2012.com/

  • tnfriendofcoal101368

    Just take 5% off the top for the Democrat in PPP to account for the house bias, also add the undecideds to Romney at a 90-10 rate (that is any poll) unless there is an outside event (think John Edwards here) that would send those undecideds screaming back to Obama.

  • tnfriendofcoal101368

    in Tennessee, her energy flank is in the middle but everything else, yeppers. Of course, if elected McConnell and Boehner would probably hit her with those borg nanoprobes and assimilate her. I love this quote: “U.S. Senator Dianne Feinstein has been in office for twenty years and she has done nothing” – truer words were never spoken.

  • westcoastpatriette

    that would be so awesome if she could soar out of nowhere and unseat the fossilized, useless Feinstein.

    She sounds solid to me. I’m sure we’ll hear much more about her now that she won a chance to derail Diane.

  • lineholder

    I don’t know what the demographics of either voter registration or turnout % might trend in the state of PA.

    Poll had a relatively small sample size (412), and its a poll of registered voters not likely voters.

    But the F&M poll has a 50% D/38% R/12% I demographic spread. All other things equal, if the D% is increased to 50% and Obama has ONLY a 12% lead in PA….then it is possible that PA is more in play than it looks.

    Yeah, I know…one poll does not a trend make

    https://edisk.fandm.edu/FLI/keystone/pdf/keyjun12_1.pdf

  • commonsenseobserver

    He needs to target Pittsburg, Scranton and Erie more.

  • tnfriendofcoal101368

    The Romney campaign won’t make any decision based on polls you see. They are doing internal polling in every state and while other polls might have an agenda, they will be polling for holes in the Obama coalition.

  • lineholder

    I’m guessing he’s likely to look at other states (such as PA) in the same light.

    We’re just getting in the general election phase. Let’s see how thing go. Romney may surprise us a bit.

  • commonsenseobserver

    Say, New Mexico and Michigan?

    Romney still needs to keep an eye on Indiana, North Carolina, Missouri and Arizona, of course.

  • acat

    (allegedly a favorite quote of Stonewall Jackson)

    Mew

  • lineholder

    Tell me about the Tobin tax. European Parliament approved the tax on May 25th. Word has it that nations inside the EZ are hoping this will be implemented for all nations in the EU and that revenues will be used to help compensate for debt margins of EZ nations.

    How does the Tobin Tax work? And what consequences would there be if it is implemented? Help EZ while hurt EU?

  • lineholder

    Like I said, we’re just getting into the general election. Let’s see what Romney can make of the opportunities he has.

  • APA Guy

    With the exception of a Dem polling outfit named PPP, polls show this to be a 4-5 point race right now. About another 4 months of the Obama economy and those numbers will swing about 10 points in the other direction…ditto WI and PA.

  • tnfriendofcoal101368

    I would expect any non deep blue state would be in play (essentially all of them except all of upper northeast (New Hampshire an exception), New York, New Jersey, California, Washington, Oregon, Illinois, and Maryland. Not saying Obama doesn’t pull some of the tossups out but he’ll have to defend everywhere except deep blue.

  • Viet71

    This election reminds me a whole lot of the 1980 election, because of the ineffectiveness of the president at home and abroad and because of the general economic malaise.

    Obama’s slicker than Carter, and Romney lacks Reagan’s TV skills, but the American people want change, not four more years of the same. They don’t want wholesale radical change, but the want back the promise of better America.

    Given all this, I agree with you about states being play.

  • APA Guy

    nt