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As CO-07 goes, so does the nation?

By: Moe Lane (Diary)  |  September 22nd, 2010 at 01:00 PM  | 

RESIZE: AAA

That’s certainly the subtext of this Washington Post article on the district.  CO-07 is described as being an almost stereotypical suburban swing district (the article goes so far to describe it as being designed to be 50/50 in partisan breakdown); it currently has a two-term Democratic incumbent (Ed Perlmutter) and went 59% for Obama in the last election – thus making it representative of the Democratic wave of 2006-2008.  Today it’s being categorized as being representative of the receding of that wave; Perlmutter is vulnerable and facing an insurgent candidate in Ryan Frazier, and is actually (barely) behind Frazier in what polling exists.  Meanwhile, the article also notes that suburban districts nationally are breaking two-to-one in favor of Republican candidates in generic polling, which is probably making a lot of Democratic strategists frantic.

But probably not as much as the fact that it’s Ryan Frazier who’s looking like he’ll be beating Perlmutter.  Certainly the Washington Post (not to mention CBS in the link above) did their level best to avoid bringing up what may be the most inconvenient-to-Democrats* detail about the man…

Moe Lane

PS: Ryan Frazier for CO-07.

*Ever notice that Democrats absolutely hate putting up viable African-American candidates in majority-white districts?  Funny how that works out, huh?  Anyway, couple that with the natural tendency towards incumbency in gerrymandered districts and it’s no wonder why minority advancement in the Democratic party hierarchy is so bloody slow.  There’s just not enough available slots for the able person of color over there, really…

Crossposted to Moe Lane.

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  • WY_Cowboy

    A cursory search lends to conflicting answers on the question. I am considering a contribution to his campaign, but I only give money to pro-life candidates.

    Any help or insight here would be appreciated. Sorry to ask others to do my research for me, but it is quite a busy time of year for me.

  • bobojake

    Every candidaet can not be perfect, that man died on the Cross for our Sins.

  • bobojake
  • http://www.incredibleco.ning.com Incredible

    This isn’t Leslie Murkelowski’s campaign in Alaska, after all.

  • rdelbov

    by being 100% pro life.

    Colorado has Prop 62 on the ballot this year and some 100% pro life people are backing away from it.

    Its been an accepted plank in the GOP platform & with the national pro-life movement that you can be 100% pro life and yet accept exceptions for the “life of the Mother-rape-incest”.

    Prop 62 and Ron Paul’s similar amendment contends that life begins at conception. That view allows for no exceptions for Rape/Incest/life of Mother.

    I personally do not believe in any exceptions but I understand those people of faith who share a different viewpoint. You are talking about 1 in 10000 abortions that involve life of the Mother or rape or incest.

    Yet some wonder if Frazier is pro life as he does not support prop 62 but does support the GOP platform position that Reagan & Bush’s endorsed. I am not referring to fella from Wyoming who is not aware of this rewritting of what it means to be pro life.

    I might add that his democrat foe is a big zero on life.

  • zornorph

    It would be so nice to have Frazier, West and Scott all seated in the 112th Congress. For sure, that would destroy any attempt at Dems calling it tokenism. Add Rubio, Sandavol, Martinez, Haley, Trann and the GOP gets a nice big shot of diversity. I’ve always been a fan of diversity; though that does not mean I’d support an unqualified candidate because they were not a white male, but it’s often been a tie-breaker for me when everything else is close. Am I missing anybody else? Just thought of Herrera, but I’m sure there are other likely winners I haven’t remembered.

  • WY_Cowboy

    I am just looking for a basic belief. Does he have a pro-life philosophy on balance? If so, he gets my money. He already has my support (although I cannot vote for him).

    Matt Mead, the GOP nominee for governor in Wyoming, is not perfect on the life issue. He does make exceptions for rape, incest, and the life of the mother. That’s good enough for me, although I am not down with the exceptions.

    I am just asking for his basic philosophy. I take it on balance he is more or less pro-life. True?

  • http://www.scragged.com petrarch

    An exception for the life of the mother is one thing. All sane people must be in favor of that – every religion allows self-defense killings, and if the baby is killing the mother (e.g. an ectopic pregnancy), that’s exactly the situation.

    Rape and incest are a different matter. True, the woman is not at fault there – but neither is the baby. Is it right to execute an innocent human being to right a wrong committed by somebody else entirely?

    Does Prop 62 truly ban abortions to protect the life of the mother? I tend to doubt it but am willing to be corrected.

  • MtVirtus

    As a CO CD-7 resident who has seen the tide ebb and flow here, let me say Ryan has an excellent chance to win. He’s eminently qualified and appealing to voters.

    I knew this race was very much within reach when a few weeks ago while out walking a suburban precinct for another Republican candidate I came across a house with a Frazier sign in the yard. At the door I met a white man in his 50s, a registered Democrat. He described himself as a former Democrat state legislator and a personal friend of Ed Perlmutter who had worked on all his previous campaigns. The man was gung-ho for Frazier and said he had personally counseled Ed that it was time to come home. People out there are looking for an alternative, and open to the generic R candidate. As they learn more about Frazier, they learn he is even better than a generic R in many ways.

    Plenty of folks here who are paying attention — be they Rs or Us or Ds — recognize that Perlmutter has drifted Leftward during his four years in Congress. Pelosi, of course, is terribly unpopular here. And Frazier’s “New Way Forward” message and non-traditional candidate profile are resonating with more voters than the previous R candidates in 06 and 08. I look forward to calling him Congressman Frazier in a few months.

  • aesthete
  • rdelbov

    actually-as I understand does nothing since our supreme court is literally writing abortion laws on a case by case basis.

    So yes Prop 62-as I understand-has no practical effect on abortion laws in CO.

    My understanding is that Frazier is pro life. Yes its not clear on his website that he is pro life.

  • bigredone

    nt

  • http://www.redstateeclectic.com enrique

    Don’t forget Justin Amash in MI-3 replacing Vern Ehlers. Not only is he a solid pro-life conservative, but he’s of middle eastern descent. He’s also running against an Obama clone (actual Harvard buddy and West Michigan money bundler for Obama in ’08 – $250,000). He could use our help and support.

    www.ja4c.com