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So, DSCC: which candidate will you abandon…

By: Moe Lane (Diary)  |  September 28th, 2010 at 08:15 AM  | 

RESIZE: AAA

…to firewall Connecticut?

Propelled by Connecticut likely voters who say they are “angry” with government, former wrestling executive Linda McMahon, the Republican U.S. Senate candidate, is closing in on Attorney General Richard Blumenthal, the Democrat, and now trails just 49 – 46 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

This compares to a 51 – 45 percent Blumenthal lead in a September 14 likely voter survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll, conducted by live interviewers.

Personally, if I were still a Democrat I would recommend Kentucky and Missouri – actually, if I were still a Democrat I would recommend Nevada, but Reid’s still too powerful in his caucus to make that feasible. Of the other Republican-held Senate seats, New Hampshire’s probably not been dedicated enough money anyway, everybody knows that Ohio’s a lost cause, and the Democrats don’t dare dump Meek in Florida at this point.  This is not the year for Democratic gains.  Which is fine by me: the Democrats do not deserve gains.

One last note: isn’t it just hysterical that it’s the Democratic party that needs to make hard financial choices in the homestretch?  This is why I stopped looking at the cash-on-hand totals; it became irrelevant once it became clear that the Republicans would have enough money to fight on the battlefields of our choosing and that the Democrats wouldn’t have enough money to defend everywhere simultaneously.

Linda McMahon for Senate.

Moe Lane (Crosspost)

PS: The Democrats should also decide whether they’d rather risk losing Connecticut, or Delaware.

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  • proudgop

    and one can say Linda is not leading because she is only getting 80% Republicans in CT vs 90% Dems for Blumy

    so if she can push up Republicans not voting for her she can win and hold Indep
    ( hopefully this helps us take some congress races back in state)

  • pdawk

    There are now 2 polls showing Raese ahead. Dems are going to have to spread themselves to give up on states like Mizzou and Pennsylvania just to hold seats in liberal strongholds.

  • JoeG

    The Dems have to attack Crist to get Meek votes. Their money only helps Rubio.

  • http://theminorityreportblog.com Repair_Man_Jack

    1) Gillibrand is in increasing trouble because of Carl Palladino. If people aren’t voting Dem, upticket, their is no logical reason they will split a ticket to support a non-enitity. Gillibrand should still win, but this time last year, I would have said “Gillibrand will win.”

    2) Coons is a nimnole. He gives the voters no reason to say “Hooah!!” O’Donnell appeals to the male sense of chivalry. The more the Left and the GOP Yacht Aristocracy talks about jerking-off and other disgusting topics, the more men will want to suit up in armor and ride the fine stallion to her rescue. It works like heck for Sarah Palin….

  • http://theminorityreportblog.com Repair_Man_Jack

    They have two weeks to dump everything they’ve got on it. If Rease is still ahead on Oct 15, the Dems will spend the rest of that race in the 2-Min Offense.

    CT, DE and NY2 are the most logical saves for Team jack-Ass at this juncture.

  • http://theminorityreportblog.com Repair_Man_Jack
  • annas

    up with the Rasmussen poll this morning showing the president UP in the polls? He has 50% approval this morning–has not been 50% since April! Please tell me we are not running a losing battle here!

  • proudgop

    i doubt it Lieberman cares more about his 2012 re-election now but he better be warned only way he will be re-elected is if he is the defacto gop candidate and his recent votes make that unlikely

  • earlgrey
  • http://theminorityreportblog.com Repair_Man_Jack

    You’ve got quite the concern troll posting history going….

  • eburke

    allow despair to totally overtake you, withdraw to a dark room, and stay away from anything that resembles a keyboard for the next 35 days.

  • http://theminorityreportblog.com Repair_Man_Jack
  • cactusjack

    (O’Donnell’s) it especially works because:
    a) she is a fair damsel in true distress (from RINOs) not of her own making;
    b) she is surrounded by ogres, trolls, RINOs, dragons and beasts that need slaying or drubbing;
    c) she is deserving of the help but has shown great courage in the face of great odds.

  • irishfreedomfighter

    said a while back (in the GOP primary days) that he was considering endorsing McMahon, so it certianly is possible.

  • Southpaw75

    After this ad airs: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=06NXxd_qrtQ&feature=player_embedded

    I love this man!

    Oh, and Russ is skipping Obama’s Madison rally. Second appearance in a row where he has had other plans.

  • SIConservative

    For starters, the Democrats shouldn’t spent much on Delaware. If that race turns out to be highly competitive, they will already have lost the Senate. If they actually want to hold it rather than just aim for the largest possible Minority, they have to bank on that state.

    Next, I don’t think Blumenthal has shown sufficient strength for them to risk abandoning another state for him. At some point, a candidate has to help himself, and he has shown no signs of doing so at any point in the race. He’s only still in the race because Mark (expletive omitted) Kirk neutralized the story about his military service. With five weeks to go, momentum is huge, and it’s all on McMahon’s side.

    By contrast, Jack Conway has continued to close on Rand Paul, albeit from a closer starting point than McMahon. Rasmussen shows the gap in Missouri widening, but other pollsters have yet to confirm. Reid has the lead and the momentum, albeit not a ton of it, in Nevada, and with NOTA on the ballot, he could win with a mid-40s take.

    If the Democrats are to cut someone loose, though, it will have to be Joe Sestak. Toomey has steadily increased his lead since July, and with the Governor’s race all over but the crying, Dem turnout is likely to be relatively low. It’s a very expensive state, and it’s increasingly difficult to see Sestak’s path to victory.

  • SIConservative

    Honestly, I don’t care for the ad since he talks about fixing the economy and creating jobs, two jobs in which the government should not be involved. That’s beside the point, though. The ad won’t move the numbers enough to make either side reconsider how competitive this race is. There’s no way the Democrats abandon an incumbent who’s running even with his challenger.

  • Oz

    There is exactly one poll that shows a close race and that poll’s party ID is way out of whack.

    Rand is probably +5 to +7 ahead right now.

    Yeah, he needs to shore that up but I would be immensely shocked if that doesn’t roll to the GOP.

  • IJB

    You certainly have a different definition of “tied” than the rest of us do!

    And you’re wrong about WI – the Dems may just write-off WI (heck! they may have to write-off the entire Midwest!) so they can marshal resources for the West Coast and New England & NY, places they *have* to hold if they’re going to have any hope.

    Frankly, if I were the DSCC, I’d give Feingold about another week – but if he doesn’t start turning it around by then, I’d cut him lose.

  • SIConservative

    The DSCC will not spend a dime in New York. Doing so would mean conceding the Senate. As for WI, my mistake on the numbers. I still don’t see how they can abandon him. They won’t abandon Giannoulias either, as that one is even.

  • Southpaw75

    …rural Wisconsinites love no nonsense politicians. His I’m not a lawyer ad will resonate with those voters in these times. Might not have worked 2 or 4 years ago but it will this year.
    Also, his lead is more from a primary bump than 8% of the electorate moving over to him. I think he’s leading but it’s more like 4-5% at most.

  • proudgop

    The NRSC has stopped playing ads in KY for week ( on hotline website yesterday) that says to me they aren’t worried about the state or want to push money in other states to see how they are playing

    The DSCC just put ad up in WV and IL so thats shows where there worry is right now

    NRSC is up in CO, WV with new ad

  • mboyle1988

    put his lead at 7-11 points. Two of them were taken two weeks after the primary. He was already leading by 1-2 points before the election, so it would require a shift of 3% of the electorate over the course of a month in which he has been heavy in TV advertising. Sounds quite reasonable to me.

  • mboyle1988

    Buddy have you checked the polls? Angle was down 3 points in the average a few weeks ago. Now they’re tied if you throw out the junk GOP poll. One of the companies gave the no vote option, and it took votes away from Reid more than Angle. Sharron is closing really well and has a little bit of momentum in fact. She hadn’t led a poll in months. Now she’s led 3 of the past 5, albeit by one point.

  • http://www.hakubi.us/ Neil Stevens

    One bad poll does not momentum make.

  • SIConservative

    Until Angel’s post-primary troubles, this one was in the bag. There’s no reason for Reid to be in this at all, and the fact that he is is a much more significant indicator of momentum than a one point lead in polls.