I think I just felt a tingle in my leg.

Rep. Price was unemployed briefly following the 1994 shake-up. He regained his seat following the 1996 election. Here’s hoping The 2010 Wave makes him a permanent fixture of the unemployment line.

I think few things would make me happier than to see Dr. Lawson pull this out!

Forgive me for asking a potentially stupid question that has left me perplexed since first hearing of the enthusiasm gap favoring GOP candidates…

When looking at polling data for individual races, I realize the pollster is using a certain set of criteria based on likely turnout. In other words, they’re making assumptions about the number of Republican-leaning voters will turn out to vote vs Dem-leaning.

Are they also figuring in this enthusiasm gap issue?

If not, any clue how that might impact the final vote totals and who wins?

If Sharron Angle is down by two points in most polling, will the enthusiasm gap result in a possible 6 or 8 or 10 point win? Thanks. – DCuz

Now that would be sweet.

I only wish there were some polling data that would warrant putting Jay Inslee on that list.

and this election reminds me of the Obama win. Many claimed to not support him for many reasons. Some of those reasons ranged from not being willing to support a black man in a public way, not willing to state they would vote dem that year, to being ashamed they were not supporting the democrat darling Clinton. Yet he won.

Same goes this year. I think a ton of moderate dems and moderate independents do not want to let people know they are tired of the party they have supported for so many years. They do not want their union leaders to know they are jumping ship. They do not want to admit in a public way they will be voting republican this year and they refuse to answer the polls or answer truthfully which goes back to so many thinking polls keep public records of your name and reply.

I just have this gut feeling that when it comes to pulling the lever, many more votes will change sides due to the privacy of the curtain. I see a ton of likely dems or strongly dems not working out that way. I think we will easily take the house and will take the senate as well. This will be the biggest one sided defeat a party has ever taken.

Then we just have to work very hard to keep our republicans focused on the goal so we do not lose the votes. If we accomplish that I see another 20 years of republican rule.

and UFO’s. DeFazio will lose his chance to impeach Justice John Roberts. This is getting better and better each day.

A congress with Ciro Rodriguez, Chet Edwards, and Lloyd Doggett as lame ducks. May God bless Texas!!

I know its a long shot. But, I would love to see Little beat Pallone herevin NJ. Hopefully, Rush Holt will also be on the unemployment line too.

Voting for Hudak.

When Hillary Clinton won the Massachusetts primary, I called John Tierney and asked him when he would be endorsing her. When he endorsed Obalma, against the voters of his district, I told that I would vote against him in every election until he was out of of office or until I died, whichever came first. Unfortunately for him, I’m still alive and kicking and will thoroughly enjoy going to the polls next Tuesday.

That is in TN-05, currently represented by Jim Cooper. Cooper has hacked more than a few people off by his big spending, big government votes for Obamacare, Cap & Trade, & the stimuli. David Hall has a very good ground game of people knocking on doors & making calls – this could be won, this race is worth more than a few bucks.

DeFazio is more favored than either Schrader or Wu.

I’m pleased that per a post I saw at Campaign Spot that there is finally a poll with Griffith ahead by a point. Still margin of error territory, but before, it was just assumed Boucher would win.

I live next door to this district…across the VA/TN border…and we’ve been pulling for Boucher to fall for FOREVER.

This tool not only supports Cap and Trade, he actually was involved in the crafting of that piece o’ crap.

Geraghty posts the following:

In a SurveyUSA polling conducted exclusively for WDBJ-TV in Roanoke, it’s Griffith 47%, Boucher 46%, within the survey’s theoretical margin of sampling error. Griffith’s lead may or may not be statistically significant; the contest should be reported as even.

Among traditional midterm voters — those who vote in most or all congressional elections — Boucher is nominally ahead, by 3 to 5 points. But: among the group of voters who tell SurveyUSA they are uniquely motivated to vote in 2010, the Republican leads almost 2:1. The relative sizes of these groups will determine the winner. If the uniquely motivated 2010 voters walk-the-ballot-box walk, and don’t just talk-the-pollster talk, the Republicans have a chance to snatch the seat. If the uniquely motivated voters aren’t so motivated after all, Boucher keeps the seat.

http://www.nationalreview.com/campaign-spot/251036/one-more-once-trailing-republican-pulls-ahead

My sense is that this is a tune we’ll see in many areas of the country. If those who are UNIQUELY MOTIVATED this cycle really do mean it and go to the polls, we’ll see people like Boucher and Kucinich fall.

And many other people that I suspect aren’t even on anyone’s radar because it’s assumed they’re safe because no wave could possibly be THAT BIG. Right?

Not sure if anyone saw Brit Hume on Hannity. While he thinks the Repubs will do as expected next Tuesday….He has this question in his head that is bothering him. He said that he thinks the polls might be seriously underestimating the Repub turnout and the Dem nonturnout. If true…It could mean a HUGE victory next Tuesday.

David Hall will win this race. we have been out at the polls daily, we have heard the people. We are sick and tired of the voting record of Jim Cooper. He voted 9 out of 10 times with Pelosi. He is getting fired and we are sending David Hall to Washington. David will give the people a voice in Washington something Copper hasn’t done.
It will be one of the biggest upsets in this election. This seat has been held by a democrat for 135 years.
No one in the country is interested in this race, but we will have this seat.
Trust me, Congressman Jim Copper no longer has a SAFE SEAT…

I would love to see Matthews, Schultz and Maddow if this is true…

[quote]UPDATE & CLARIFICATION: This post got picked up at RedState and FreeRepublic and I noticed in the comments there that people seem to be confused when I talk about Democrats looking at early voting…because there is no early voting in Delaware. I’m not talking about early voting in Delaware, I’m talking about DNC internals that are looking at early voting NATIONALLY.

The DNC is picking up the trend that people registered as Democrats are indeed early voting — NATIONALLY — but they are not voting Democrat. They are voting Republican, the way that I did here in Chicago today. Straight ticket GOP, except for someone I know on a personal level. If I didn’t know him, I would have voted Republican in that race too.

I don’t know what Democrats are doing to determine what’s going on, but if I had to guess they are using focus groups and then extrapolating those nationally to see a trend that horrifies them. They see people in Democrat strongholds like Chicago saying “F-U” to the party and voting Republican. Maybe they are doing exit polling at early vote centers and finding they are being screamed at by lifelong Democrats.

However they are getting their data, they have used that information to create some sort of formula…this formula breaks down the trend they are watching and creates some sort o plug-and-chug algorithm that would be something like this:

Expected Democrat Early Voting Numbers – Democrats Who Actually Vote Against Party Instead = Number of Democrats That Can Actually Be Counted On

Across the board nationally, whatever number comes out of the above is FAR BELOW what the Democrats need it to be. My friend the fundraiser says they’ve worked out some kind of plug-and-chug mathematical box with what they are seeing in early voting states…when the current Delaware polling and focus group work is considered IN LIGHT OF THIS DOCUMENTED TREND, the DNC is horrified to see that Delaware is trending like the rest of the country…where registered Democrats who are going to vote intend to vote AGAINST the party…straight ticket, top to bottom, AGAINST Democrats.

THIS is what has them scared because from what I understand the Democrats hit DEFCON 1 because they know it is too late to stop the mass exodus of Democrats crossing the aisle to slap the party silly for letting Obama pull it too far Left.

Delaware might not be early voting…but from whatever the Democrats are seeing internally, if Delaware WAS early voting then Delaware’s numbers would be lining up with every other state.

That means Democrats aren’t safe ANYWHERE and there is nothing anyone can do to change that.[/quote]

This seat has a great story. Since 1875 democrats have controlled Nashville’ 5th District Congressional seat- 135 years. It is the Jackson Seat. In the center of this District is President Andrew Jackson’s home. Because of his contribution to shaping much of Early America, “Old Hickory’s” image adorns our $20 bill. Nashvillian’s  have a Jackson Day celebration every year.  David Hall  would be the first Conservative Republican Congressman from Nashville since 1875 should he win.

David Hall is a “ Joe the Plumber” kind of guy. He is a true Conservative, believes in fiscal responsibility, stands by the Constitution, small government and is a man of faith and conviction. He came into this race because he has been watching the country going in the wrong direction. With his family’s support, he is running for Jim Coopers seat, which has been held by Democrats for 135 years. This campaign is about getting our country back on track,” said GOP 5th Dist. Congressional candidate David Hall.

Republicans have never made a serious run for this seat, until this year. Using grassroots efforts and spending less than anyone else, David Hall won the primary beating out ten others in the primary- including the odds-on favorites. He had a strategy, it worked and he won.

Jim Cooper is going home. Jim Cooper who calls himself a Blue Dog has been a lap dog for Pelosi. He was graded an F in 2009 by The National Taxpayers Union for spending http://www.ntu.org/on-capitol-hill/ntu-rates-congress/members/house/jim-cooper.html
He has held this seat since 2003 and has never gotten a grade higher than a D.

“This campaign is about getting our country back on track, and you don’t have to be career politicians to run for office. We need more citizen legislators. That’s what our country was founded on, where people would run shops and they would go and take their turn and then come home after a few years.” said GOP 5th District Congressional Candidate David Hall.

Jim Cooper go home.