NY-09, NV-02 Special Election Results Open Thread.


[Final UPDATE, 12:15 AM]: We got ‘em both.

Polls just closed in NY-09.  AP Results here.

Polls in NV-02 still open until 7 PM Pacific. [UPDATE: Polls closed.  Results here.]

UPDATE, 10:03 PM: For the record, if the final result is as below (it won’t be)…

…then the Democrats are going to be ticked.

UPDATE, 10:45 PM: OK, more seriously.  With 12% of the vote in, Turner’s ahead 56/44 and it’s starting to look like the Republican might actually win the Queens part of the district as well as the Brooklyn one (Turner was aiming for doing well enough).

UPDATE, 10:50 PM: we need a better NV-02 counter.

UPDATE, 10:56 PM: Annnnnnnnnd… two districts have reported in in NV-02!  This is going to be a lonnnnng night.



RSS feed

50 Comments Leave a comment

polls closed for hour

proudgop (Diary) Tuesday, September 13th at 10:09PM EDT (link)

and only 4 precincts in? hmmm
That said Turner is expected to do very well in Brooklyn where most Orthodox Jews reside.

 

Moe, Turner has filed court order

lineholder (Diary) Tuesday, September 13th at 10:16PM EDT (link)

to impound all absentee ballots, so we may not get results tonight.

http://www.nydailynews.com/blogs/dailypolitics/2011/09/more-tsuris-in-ny-9?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed:+nydnrss/blogs/dailypolitics+(Blogs/The+Daily+Politics)

Also, do you have another link for NY-09 results? AP link isn’t working. Thanks.

kowalski, but I did find this

lineholder (Diary) Tuesday, September 13th at 10:23PM EDT (link)

Twitter link.

http://twitter.com/#!/search?q=%23NY09

Results Coming In

proudgop (Diary) Tuesday, September 13th at 10:40PM EDT (link)

Turner is ahead
Keep an eye for Forrest Hills in Queens its very pro Dem once that comes in a cal can be made

 
 
 

proudgop, with 61 of 512 precincts in

lineholder (Diary) Tuesday, September 13th at 10:45PM EDT (link)

Turner 56% and Weprin 44%

What is really huge,

barry915barry (Diary) Tuesday, September 13th at 10:46PM EDT (link)

Is that Turner is leading in Queens!. Barry.

100 in out 512

proudgop (Diary) Tuesday, September 13th at 10:53PM EDT (link)

turnout appears to be low

Its looking great but more Queens needs to come in. I have no idea what parts have come in

Turner is up by 747 votes. 52-48%

barry915barry (Diary) Tuesday, September 13th at 11:02PM EDT (link)

With 149/512 in. The vast majority, 135 of those are in queens (where Turner trails by 3 votes). Barry.

 
 
 
 

I wish the President would have campaigned for the Dem candidates on NV and NY.

SoFiMil (Diary) Tuesday, September 13th at 10:53PM EDT (link)

If so, I could go to bed early assured of a Republican sweep.

www.suvstrategery.blogspot.com

 

I'm waiting to hear Weprin charging vote fraud in Brooklyn

bk (Diary) Tuesday, September 13th at 11:05PM EDT (link)

The slower returns there must be to see how many cheating votes they need to overcome Weprin votes in Queens.

Yep, I bet they are already measuring trunk space.

Mike Ferguson (Diary) Tuesday, September 13th at 11:08PM EDT (link)

(NT)

Let us be sure that those who come after will say of us in our time, that in our time we did everything that could be done. We finished the race; we kept them free; we kept the faith.
Ronald Reagan

 
 

I just had the best mental image,

Mike Ferguson (Diary) Tuesday, September 13th at 11:07PM EDT (link)

of Obama and Dingy Harry watching these first returns and both of them knocking back a scotch, with depressed looks on their faces.

Let us be sure that those who come after will say of us in our time, that in our time we did everything that could be done. We finished the race; we kept them free; we kept the faith.
Ronald Reagan

ABC NYC link

proudgop (Diary) Tuesday, September 13th at 11:09PM EDT (link)

http://abclocal.go.com/wabc/story?section=news/politics&id=8347772

has more numbers

 
 

Question for one of the front pagers or even Moe if he has the time.

Mike Ferguson (Diary) Tuesday, September 13th at 11:18PM EDT (link)

How big a deal is it if we actually take both of these house seats and how much will it impact the probability of a republican president in the next election?

Let us be sure that those who come after will say of us in our time, that in our time we did everything that could be done. We finished the race; we kept them free; we kept the faith.
Ronald Reagan

I'm not a front pager, nor do I play one on television

usdebateboard Tuesday, September 13th at 11:26PM EDT (link)

But this will just go to show you that you can never run far enough or fast enough away from Obama if you want to get elected and have a “D” after your last name.

Which is nice, in a Presidential election year.

 

The conventional wisdom is that if Dems lose, it doesn't matter, but if Republicans lose, it's a bellweather.

acat (Diary) Tuesday, September 13th at 11:30PM EDT (link)

You’re welcome to interpret that as media hype, of course.

In seriousness, they matter as much as any other rigorous likely-voters poll, they’re no more than indicators at a specific point in time, for a specific district.

Mew

——
self-portrait

Caveat Suffragator

Don't have a heart attack, but I agree

usdebateboard Tuesday, September 13th at 11:35PM EDT (link)

If Republicans lose, the MSM will declare Obama has turned back the revolution and is suddenly invincible.

If Democrats lose, they’ll blame Weiner and Reid.

 

This is normally true.

spainishirish (Diary) Tuesday, September 13th at 11:44PM EDT (link)

It won’t fly with this one, though, given the partisan breakdown in this district.

I don’t know how it will end up but Turner’s lead is widening. Spin won’t work with even a close loss; imagine how a four or five percent win will look in this district. This will play into the DOOM scenario.

It's NY, spanishirish. The GOP *has* to win by 5%...

acat (Diary) Tuesday, September 13th at 11:49PM EDT (link)

otherwise it’ll be challenged and stolen in the recount.

Mew

——
self-portrait

Caveat Suffragator

I'm talking public perception and media spin.

spainishirish (Diary) Tuesday, September 13th at 11:53PM EDT (link)

But, yep, although turning around and stealing one they shouldn’t have lost in the first place wouldn’t make for the greatest PR and would drag out a story they want shut down tomorrow night about this time.

Indeed.

acat (Diary) Tuesday, September 13th at 11:55PM EDT (link)

’nuff said.

Mew

——
self-portrait

Caveat Suffragator

 
 
 
 
 

Well, in practical terms...

Moe Lane (Diary) Tuesday, September 13th at 11:36PM EDT (link)

…it obviously won’t change the voting patterns in the House significantly. You’re going to see a heck of a lot of ink/photons excusing away the NY-09 results; and there is something to the argument that NY voters like to punish dumb behavior by proxy. But this isn’t going to be a thumb’s-up for Obama any which way.

Symbolically, the Democrats will now shut up a bit about how they’re these great Monsters of Special Elections, which would be worth a half million bucks right there. :)

Thanks to Moe and all the others that for all the great replies to my question.

Mike Ferguson (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 1:33AM EDT (link)

NT

Let us be sure that those who come after will say of us in our time, that in our time we did everything that could be done. We finished the race; we kept them free; we kept the faith.
Ronald Reagan

 
 
 

I never thought I'd watch

hones Tuesday, September 13th at 11:21PM EDT (link)

an election where’d I’d be praying to merciful God that the margins would hold up in Brooklyn, NY of all places. BROOKLYN.

I love that this is even a contest.

Same here.

spainishirish (Diary) Tuesday, September 13th at 11:24PM EDT (link)

I met a Republican or two in Brooklyn, but that’s about it.

Michael Grimm

proudgop (Diary) Tuesday, September 13th at 11:43PM EDT (link)

Represents part of Brooklyn. Parts of Brooklyn near water and Orthodox Jew area are like another state ( plus Staten Island) are like another state politically here

 
 
 

Turner 51-49, apprx 40% in.

swami7774 (Diary) Tuesday, September 13th at 11:24PM EDT (link)

Tight one. Turner’s rolling in Brooklyn but losing in Queens, where the turnout is heavier.
This site seems to work:

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2011/by_county/NY_US_House_0913.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

Today, there is a name for the political doctrine that rejoices in scarcity of everything except government. The name is environmentalism.

Brooklyn hasn't reported though

mboyle1988 (Diary) Tuesday, September 13th at 11:37PM EDT (link)

Werpin needed 54% in Queens and 42% in Brooklyn. He’s not hitting either number. My friend from high school did opp research for Turner. Boots on the ground tell me that Turner’s going to win 51-48, based on the returns so far.

 
 

Several groups on twitter have called it for Turner

carolina Tuesday, September 13th at 11:34PM EDT (link)

Turner is already thanking supporters and Koch and Giuliani are celebrating with him. They know which precints they need to carry, and by how much. Plus their own poll watchers phone in precinct results. I do believe Turner has won.

I think they're right

Finrod (Diary) Tuesday, September 13th at 11:52PM EDT (link)

Two-thirds of the Queens districts are in where he’s trailing 51-49, and only a third of the Brooklyn districts are in where he’s leading 69-31.

This is looking very good.

PETA and the ASPCA are pure evil. See here and here.

 
 

DEMS' narrative is going to be vote fraud

nvrepub (Diary) Tuesday, September 13th at 11:35PM EDT (link)

But Vote Fraud doesn't happen!

mboyle1988 (Diary) Tuesday, September 13th at 11:39PM EDT (link)

It’s just a lie to suppress the black vote…

 
 

If GOP wins, this seat, and Hochul's seat in upstate NY, will be eliminated in redistricting

nvrepub (Diary) Tuesday, September 13th at 11:38PM EDT (link)

Bottom line: one GOP, and one DEM seat will be eliminated; one in NYC and one in upstate. This would let both parties off the hook: each eliminates the new guy.

 

Ed Koch got Obama before Obamacare got Ed Koch

usdebateboard Tuesday, September 13th at 11:41PM EDT (link)

How about that!

 

Turner 53-47, 57% in.

swami7774 (Diary) Tuesday, September 13th at 11:50PM EDT (link)

Steady as she goes.

Today, there is a name for the political doctrine that rejoices in scarcity of everything except government. The name is environmentalism.

AP just called it for Turner

jbrodin Wednesday, September 14th at 12:01AM EDT (link)

53% – 47% with 338/512 districts reporting

Excellent.

spainishirish (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 12:03AM EDT (link)

If that margin holds, add amazing.

 
 
 

Best part about this is, this seat was held by the vile team of Anthony Weiner and Chuck Schumer

nvrepub (Diary) Tuesday, September 13th at 11:53PM EDT (link)

Couldn’t have happened to nicer vultures.

 

Yeah, it didn't take a brain tumor to get their seat

usdebateboard Tuesday, September 13th at 11:57PM EDT (link)

Schumer and Weiner have to live to witness it.

A more fitting outcome.

AP calls it

proudgop (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 12:00AM EDT (link)

Bob Turner has won

 
 

AP...

nvrepub (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 12:00AM EDT (link)

just called it for Turner,

 

AP calls it for Turner.

swami7774 (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 12:00AM EDT (link)

Thank the Lord and Taylor.

Today, there is a name for the political doctrine that rejoices in scarcity of everything except government. The name is environmentalism.

AP calls it

hones Wednesday, September 14th at 12:06AM EDT (link)

I’d like to thank Ferraro, Schumer, and especially Weiner for their contributions to the district, not to mention the DCCC for their 500k tribute.

Cheers

 
 

OK, who has a link to the NV results?

usdebateboard Wednesday, September 14th at 12:10AM EDT (link)

Fish or cut bait.

AP calls Nevada For Amodei

proudgop (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 12:11AM EDT (link)

Talk about huge win too

 

Why do you care.

gekster (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 12:14AM EDT (link)

The conservative won, so you wouldn’t be interested.

They say Republicans are for the rich, Democrats are for the poor.
If they need more voters,
then they have to make more of who they are for.

We are there in the various Tea Party groups, leaderless, but not rudderless.
We steer always toward the Constitutional principles this nation was founded upon.
Erick Brockway

I’ve gone from
“Hope and Change” to
“Hopeless and Changeless”

 
 

AP just called it for Amoedei

jbrodin Wednesday, September 14th at 12:14AM EDT (link)

57% – 37% with 375 / 858 districts reporting

 

Lefty bloggers....

nvrepub (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 1:02AM EDT (link)

saying GOP only won because of the 9/11 remembrances. Talk about pathetic.

 

Congratulations to Congressman Elect Turner and Amoedei.

Mike Ferguson (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 1:35AM EDT (link)

uhhh…BOOM goes the dynamite.

Let us be sure that those who come after will say of us in our time, that in our time we did everything that could be done. We finished the race; we kept them free; we kept the faith.
Ronald Reagan

 

This is awesome!

SirGladiator (Diary) Wednesday, September 14th at 4:09AM EDT (link)

This would be a really sweet victory even if we were just looking at our past history of losing Special Elections, and seeing how incredibly we’ve improved, but this isn’t just about winning in both red and blue America, this isnt just about being a great night for Conservatives and Republicans, this is about sending two important messages. For one, a message to the White House that American voters, even liberal democratic voters in the bluest of blue states, will not stand with you if you don’t stand with Israel. And the other, that these same voters will not stand with you if you stand against Marriage, as the Democratic nominee did. I’m proud of the voters in NY who put principle above party, and of course Im also very happy that the people of NV, in a more traditional Conservative vs Liberal contest, chose the Tea Party Conservative in a Landslide over the liberal democrat. A truly great night for America!