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QotD, Presidential Candidates Take Note edition.

By: Moe Lane (Diary)  |  November 19th, 2011 at 11:00 AM  | 

RESIZE: AAA

The Polling Company did a survey of Iowa Republican voters for Independent Women’s Voice* to determine what those voters are looking for. Click the link for the actual numbers (although I will note that possibly the most eyebrow-raising one is that “[n]o GOP hopeful has locked up more than 9% of Iowa caucus-goers”), but here’s the executive summary:

At this point it’s impossible to predict who will top the field in Iowa come January. It’s clear, however, that Iowa Republican voters want a candidate to emerge who is committed to repealing ObamaCare, reforming financially unstable entitlement programs, and devolving Washington’s power. And they want that candidate to use Iowa’s presidential springboard to reach the White House and enact real change.

I will refrain from commentary on this, except to note that none of this is fundamentally beyond the reach of any of the current GOP candidates for President. They just have to want to reach for it.

Moe Lane (crosspost)

*Independent Women’s Voice is a 501(c)(4) affiliate of the 501(c)(3) Independent Women’s Forum. Generally small-government conservative, although their support of Scott Brown and Charles Djou in the last election cycle – and the lack of discussion of life issues on either site – should probably be taken as an indication of at least neutrality on abortion. Not formally endorsing any Presidential candidate this cycle, as far as I can tell. Loathes Obamacare, and everything associated with it.

I mention all of this because it’s important to know where groups are coming from.

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  • kipling

    The poll shows that only 42% of GOP members planning to be a part of the caucus have committed definitely to a candidate.

    Mobilization and the ground game will be the key to victory.

    Perry is currently recruiting volunteers for Iowa.

    http://www.rickperry.org/iowa-strike-force/?utm_medium=Email&utm_source=ExactTarget&utm_campaign=StrikeForce

    or email at strikeforce@rickperry.org

  • onemovoter

    Seems to me that Iowa voters line up with what Rick Perry has been saying for years now. This is why I think he’ll do much better than people think come January.

    I also saw that there is a huge ceiling when it comes to Romney and the individual mandate. I’m betting that early December you’ll start seeing tv and radio commercials in Iowa showing Romney from 2008 debates saying he loves individual mandates when it comes to health insurance. This will be devastating to Romney in Iowa and SC/FL. It’s all about timing, and Perry is much of this just right.

    I just saw an ad on Fox by Perry that hits the outsider meme hard. I lines up with the devolving DC power noted in this survey. He’s hitting all the right notes using what he’s been talking about for years now. Saw an interview back in 2010 showing so.

  • Locked and Loaded

    I guess that leaves Romney out. Who, deep in the pit of his gut (sorry, Michele), would have the fire to actually work hard to make it happen?

  • bzip

    It would seem Newt might have a problem with this Obamacare mandate too.

    It seems Newt is turning into a flip-flopper much like Romney. Between Newt changing his mandate stand to his global warming change – I don’t see much difference between a Romney flip-flop and a Newt flip-flop.

    Newt Gingrich Was For The Individual Mandate Before He Was Against It
    http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/newt-gingrich-was-for-the-individual-mandate-before-he-was-against-it/

    Gingrich (in 2007): Congress Must Impose an Individual Mandate
    http://motherjones.com/mojo/2011/11/gingrich-individual-mandate-health-care-Congress-2007

    Newt Gingrich Had Lucrative Health Industry Ties
    http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2011/11/newt-gingrich-hit-on-health-care-flip-flops-think-tank/

  • renl57

    …according to that same survey:

    “More than eight-in-10 (82%) Iowa caucus-goers say they will oppose any candidate willing to implement a state-level individual mandate requiring health insurance like the one championed by Mr. Romney as governor of Massachusetts. More than half (55%) of voters say they will definitely vote against such a candidate.”

    It’s not enough for 82% of Iowa voters for Romney to oppose ObamaCare at the national level.

    They want a candidate who doesn’t advocate a mandate at the state level either.

    So much for Romney and RomneyCare.

    It’s an odd position for a conservative to take–opposing the right of a state to choose whatever health care model it wishes isn’t consistent with Federalism–but that’s the position of the vast majority of Iowa Republicans.

  • uncmike

    In the past, he has expressed support for same. I am a Perry supporter, but I think this poll suggests caucus goers there are more in tune with Perry and, say, with Romney and Newt. Paul always rounds us supporters to make a statement in Iowa–it just doesn’t last.

  • uncmike

    back an individual mandate, at either the state or federal level. Or maybe she’ll say he was for it before he was against it. Seriously, Romney has validated his stand as being in favor of forcing people to buy insurance so it’s too late to backtrack. He’s a statist which is why he has hit the 25% ceiling.

  • bzip

    I said the same thing below but I just came across this article from NewsMax that would be devastating to Newt if people really got a hold of this (from: Sunday, 15 May 2011 07:18 PM):

    Gingrich Backs Obamacare’s Individual Mandate Requiring Health Insurance
    http://www.newsmax.com/Headline/gingrich-health-care-insurance/2011/05/15/id/396426

    “Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich said Sunday that he strongly supports a federal mandate requiring citizens to buy health insurance ? a position that has been rejected by many Republicans, including several who likely will be running against him for the Republican presidential nomination.

    Appearing on NBC?s ?Meet the Press,? Gingrich told host David Gregory that he continues to advocate for a plan he first called for in the early 1990s as a Congressman, which requires every uninsured citizen to purchase or acquire health insurance.”
    ……
    ……

    the article end with: “The conservative website Red State said Gingrich ?won?t exactly endear him to the Tea Party crowd or the reform minded movement sweeping the GOP.?

  • tailfins1959

    Romney could have said it was the best deal he could get at the time, avoiding a job-killing payroll tax. Had he said that, it would be a very small issue by now.

  • onemovoter

    Because critics would have come out with this….

  • tailfins1959

    I guess he couldn’t quit while he was ahead. It’s amazing how just shutting up could have saved the day for him.

  • deltazelda

    tain’t gonna work. We want a preident who is loyal to the principles of our founding fathers. Perry and Cain are the only ones who even come close.

  • tomhave

    The reason we will have a health insurance mandate is for the same reason we have an auto insurance mandate. It is to protect us from the uninsured, uncompensated care is a huge burden on the healthcare system. This cost is passed on to the insured, many people do not understand this because they get health insurance through their employer and bear this cost in the form of lower wages. When they start to realize that having everybody insured will benefit them the objections to the mandate will leave.
    The real reason Obama care has not disappeared is because millions will lose healthcare coverage if it is repealed, That means there needs to be a credible replacement. The GOP could produce a credible replacement but it would face the same dilemma as Obamacare. If they do not have a mandate they will have to impose the so-called hidden tax. However, if the phonies simply scream about it they don’t have to do anything. Look at abortion has the GOP ever did anything seriously to reduce abortion or infant mortality? NO!! They would lose the issue. The GOP will never reapeal the Affordable Care Act.

  • gekster

    you are a socialist?

    And people don’t have to get car insurance if they don’t have a car.

  • http://www.doctor-bob.biz rsklaroff

    …it is also explicitly advocated in two recent books he has authored.

  • tomhave

    Oh please that is a fear word of the 50′s It has been used to attack people when they do not have a rational argument. Actually Communist was used also.
    People who do not have car insurance have to pay a penalty either not driving or paying a fine if they are caught driving without insurance. People who do not get health insurance have to pay a slight fine or tax. However, the premium savings will easily cover the tax. If you are 100% you would never need healthcare you would simply pay the penalty and save money
    Acutally the “socialist” position would be against the mandate. They would simply have the government tax everybody for healthcare and not even mess with a mandate. Oddly enough in countries where they do this there is very little objection to it. These countries view healthcare in the same way we view the fire department. You pay a little extra in taxes and get your healthcare when you need it. I do not like that system and prefer to have choices..

  • http://www.doctor-bob.biz rsklaroff

    …who found this guy on this site?

    “The reason we will have a health insurance mandate is for the same reason we have an auto insurance mandate.”

    Everyone doesn’t own a car, but only car-owners must be insured. Everyone has health needs eventually, but no one knows when any problem might arise.

    The former is predicated upon an optional decision; the latter isn’t.

  • westcoastpatriette

    You do realize this is a conservative site, right? We are here to promote conservative principles not European Socialism such as you are promoting.

    Why don’t you go away and promote your views someplace else?

  • Bill S

    Goodbye, tomhave.

  • wacowboy

    for those more educated than myself on the matter.

    is Newt being for the mandate mean that he’s for the mandate to purchase coverage or a mandate to pay.

    I remember him being on one of the radio shows (I think it was Rush) right after the “right wing social engineering” comment and he explained his being for the mandate as wanting it to be that everyone had to pay for healthcare. to me, it sounded more like he wanted people to be required to pay rather than use the “free” services of emergency rooms.

    Is this the truth, or is it an example of him trying to talk about of both sides of his mouth? — being for a mandate and against it at the same time.

    Wondering what minds more educated than mine know about this.

  • usa1776usa

    When Newt entered the race I thought he might be someone I could get behind. He was my favorite before Perry entered the race. I’m a forgiving person and he seemed to be saying all the right things. Now after much has come out over his support of an individual mandate and his suspect relationship with Freddie Mac (same as Cain’s obvious story changes regarding the harassment scandal) I’m left with only Perry. Don’t take this the wrong way, bad debates and all, I still stand with Perry. His record, policies, and ideas have always been superior to everyone else. I just hate to see other candidates I respect do double-takes instead of just owning up to their bad decisions. At least he owned up regarding his couch time with our former Speaker.

  • clintonformccain

    Newt had to support whatever policies he was being paid to support, even if it meant supporting two different policies depending on which client he was working for on a given day.

  • haumea

    I think he wants people to either be covered or post a bond rather than use “free” emergency services.

  • haumea

    Getting free healthcare by going to the emergency room isn’t a principle of our Founding Fathers.

    The fact that conservatives want to punt on this issue won’t make it go away – it’s a preexisting socialist policy.

  • http://applescorneroftheorchard.blogspot.com/ Pomme

    Got Romney to admit what he feels.

  • nathanalbright

    …it’s a shame I don’t really remember much from Fred in 2008.