It's late in the day but I know this race is drawing plenty of interest, so here goes.
Daily Kos and Research 2000 hit the PA-12 Special Election. This makes two consecutive polls from sources that lean toward the Democrats. But do Republicans have reason to complain?
Back on April 21 PPP had Burns barely ahead, but in this now slightly stale poll from the 26th, Burns has an even bigger lead. 46-40 (MoE 4), for a solid 77% lead probability.
Republicans have longed for this seat for years, and after years of Jack Murtha staying in charge, a 3/4 chance at the seat must sound just fine.