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Perry Rebounds

By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  May 18th, 2010 at 03:30 PM  | 

RESIZE: AAA

Perry and White

Previously, the story of the race for Governor in Texas that was that Rick Perry was stagnant in the polls and Democrat Bill White was rising.

But now, Rasmussen has shown a change. Perry has gone over 50 for the first time, and White has gone back under 40.

Perry has made a little surge to take a 51-38 lead (MoE 4.5). White has gone to his lowest point in the Rasmussen poll, while Perry has gone to his highest. Perry has now taken a dominant 92% lead probability in my model.

Yes, the chance of an outlier is always there, but to me this looks more like a Republican unity bounce as the Kay Bailey Hutchison and Debra Medina voters come home.

Crossposted from Unlikely Voter

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COMMENTS

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  • TxCon

    so people an have 3-4 extra months to look at that goofball.

  • TxCon

    so people an have 3-4 extra months to look at that goofball.

  • ktsub

    He is already running ads, cause his internal polling shows him slipping to zero. Oh and everyday, more Houston corruption and shredding uncovered by the new Houston mayor.

  • JustLeaveMeAlone

    John Faulk is running against SJL, and he’s running a money bomb today. If anyone is so inclined. please send him $18 today (the 18th) to fight for TX-18, so we can retire another lib — a particularly arrogant and stupid one, to boot.

    https://secure.piryx.com/donate/hx2UZm3V/1001/twitter

    http://www.faulkforcongress.org/

    Personally (and as a Houston resident), I view Bill White as a lightweight. Shrug. Texas has serious issues, not the least of which is border protection — and White doesn’t have the first clue on such issues. His primary claim to fame in Houston was in towing broken down cars off the freeway.

  • bk

    Perry still looks and sounds highly energetic and sure doesn’t look to me like someone who just turned 60. White has about as much energy and charisma as an armadillo that’s been run over 87 times on the highway and looks at least 20 years older than he really is.

    Rick Perry has done things to piss some people off and is not short of arrogance, but we don’t need some deer in the headlights feeble old Harvard lawyer liberal running the state, that’s for sure.

  • cahnman

    n/t

  • texasgalt

    Not going to happen . . . not in the current environment.

    Still, the Dem machine is managing to get a lot of exposure (again) to the 10K per month the state is paying to put the Gov in temporary housing. Of course, if some arsonist had not made a good attempt to burn down the Governor’s Mansion, it wouldn’t be an issue.

    Various libs have said Perry should have taken a downtown apartment. Yea, that would work.

    http://www.cbs7kosa.com/news/details.asp?ID=19503

    What is it about Perry that makes you say he is arrogant – above and beyond the normal swagger of any TX governor?

  • http://impudent.blognation.us/blog kyle8

    He did cave big time to the local unions. That is why the current Democrat Mayor is having to lay off people and cut back on spending.

  • Money

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I4tWZNxnABk

    I happen to like Rick Perry, but, as any 10 year governor, he has made some enemies. Most of it is partisan hackery (i.e. cronyism!!!!) and some of it are legitimate complaints about policies (i.e. HPV vaccine).

    Overall, Rick Perry’s hair has been one of the most pro-life, pro-business governors of any state. During his governorship, Texas’ economy has become the envy of the nation. Many of the policies that led to this favorable business climate should be credited to the strong Republican majority in the legislature, but Perry has been instrumental, no doubt.

  • Richard Mullins

    because he’s going to need it. As for Bill White, before moving to Spring, I really didn’t much about Houston’s money troubles. I figured that a strong mayor city would have a worse time than a City manager run city. I knew more about Phil Hardburger before he ran for mayor in San Antonio and to be honest, he changed my opinion of him. Bill White handling of Katrina refugees wasn’t much different from what happened in San Antonio. I think the job of taking them in wasn’t done as well as in San Antonio, mostly because I saw a bit of it. Before I got here, my view of Bill White was more having a C to C- handling of the Katrina. I think that’s all I have to say right now.

  • houstoneagle

    and he is a good man but the improvements in the police department and its responsiveness have been dramatic since he left and the new mayor sacked the chief. I could tell you stories. Under White when you call the police, they’ll come out if and when they feel like it. It’s been really bad. Not to mention he is a standard liberal.

    If Perry doesn’t win this running away I’ll be shocked. I would lay 100 to 1 odds Perry wins.

  • Trillian

    As “Money” said, the economy in Texas is the envy of the nation. For the sixth year in a row, Texas is number one. This state has the twelfth best economy in the world. Read about it for yourself:

    “Best and Worst States for Business 2010

    http://www.chiefexecutive.net/ME2/Default.asp

  • popdaddy

    Rick Perry was re-elected in March. No socialist democrat can be elected to statewide office in Texas.

    That said, it?s a shame that Gov Jan Brewer and Sarah Palin each have much larger gonads than Perry. This boy is not presidential material but he is what we have to fight socialism in Texas.
    Perry has craw fished on his obligation to protect the citizens of Texas by his comments unsupportive of the AZ illegal immigration bill 1070.

    I have no doubt he will generate enough testosterone to sign a bill from the Texas Legislature in March similar to the AZ immigration bill. By that time the law will be fully vetted and upheld.
    It would just be nice to have a governor who had balls when it counted.

  • audax

    As a former Houston resident (and current absentee voter) I thought pasty White’s main claim to fame was making Houston a Sanctuary City. Glad I have that CCP! (insert smiley here;’), that and towing the cars off the freeway did make it a little safer…LOL!

  • audax

    …he allowed illegal immigrants to rape and murder Houstonians.

    “A system’s fatal flaws
    Thousands of inmates admit they’re in the U.S. illegally, but even those convicted of violent crimes are often released right back onto Houston’s streets”: and here’s the article:
    http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/special/immigration/6115223.html

    Letting guys like this roam the streets of Houston: Rafael Resendez-Ramirez, The Railway Killer, (an illegal Mexican alien “day laborer”).
    http://www.americanpatrol.com/CRIME/RESENDEZ/resendez-history.html

  • audax

    …much more effective than Houston PD, then and now! Harris County Court is controlled by Republicans…Houston City..by Democrats! Enough said but here’s more: http://www.alipac.us/article-print-4681.html

  • houstoneagle

    I couldn’t resist, popdaddy!

    Apologies to “Rummy”

  • bk

    Bush seemed like much less of a stuffed shirt when he was guv.

    He’s done a decent job in general, but he’s had some stupid ideas here and there.

  • http://www.hakubi.us/ Neil Stevens

    Palin tucked tail and quit in the middle of her first term.

    That’s the ultimate wimp out.

  • Trillian

    Tell us Neil Stevens—exactly why Palin “tucked tail, “quit” and chose the “ultimate wimp out.”

    Do you actually know why she resigned? Tell us, please.

  • http://www.hakubi.us/ Neil Stevens

    She ran for office. She accepted the responsibility.

    Then she quit.

    Accepting responsibility and following through really take guts.