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Angle, Tarkanian overtake Lowden

By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  June 3rd, 2010 at 12:12 PM  | 

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Lowden Tarkanian Angle

I keep saying that multiway races are volatile. When voters are spread out in more directions, the sums are smaller and it’s easier for big changes to happen.

Suffolk University’s latest on the Nevada Senate primary for the Washington Times seems to be another example of this effect. Sue Lowden has gone from first to last, and Sharron Angle now leads.

Suffolk University is one of two who got it best in Pennsylvania, so they have some credibility going into this Nevada primary.

So when their poll shows Sharron Angle at 33, Danny Tarkanian at 26, and Sue Lowden at 25 (MoE 4.9), I pay attention.

More polling will always be helpful, but it looks likely now that Sharron Angle is surging. She’s getting national attention, including a fundraiser with Chuck DeVore and positive comments from Erick Erickson. The Internet benefits the underdogs these days, and seems good at making them into frontrunners.

Crossposted from Unlikely Voter

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COMMENTS

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  • proudgop

    Who has best shot at beating Reid? Who do all pundits think Angle is easiest for Reid to beat?

  • http://www.hakubi.us/ Neil Stevens

    Reid is toast barring a total implosion by the Republican nominee.

  • http://www.examiner.com/x-1597-Charlotte-Law--Politics-Examiner Mike gamecock DeVine
  • kuksool

    Just as the liberal media says nominating Palin guarantees Obama’s re-election, pundits say Angle is Reid’s Dream candidate. Angle ran for the US House seat against Dean Heller in the primary. Angle lost the primary was to some in the NV GOP a sore loser.

    Remember Reid has $30 million to spend against the GOP canddidate. To beat Reid, the GOP nominee needs to make the race all about Reid. Any significant flaw in the GOP nominee will be a distraction in the plan to beat Reid. We need a candidate with least amount of flaws. I think Danny Tark is the best candidate.

  • kuksool

    Just as the liberal media says nominating Palin guarantees Obama’s re-election, pundits say Angle is Reid’s Dream candidate. Angle ran for the US House seat against Dean Heller in the primary. Angle lost the primary was to some in the NV GOP a sore loser.

    Remember Reid has $30 million to spend against the GOP canddidate. To beat Reid, the GOP nominee needs to make the race all about Reid. Any significant flaw in the GOP nominee will be a distraction in the plan to beat Reid. We need a candidate with least amount of flaws. I think Danny Tark is the best candidate.

  • deano64

    to win this year. I think we’ve already seen evidence of that. And just watch because the NRSC will pour a huge amount of $$ to back the winner of the primary in this race. I think for McConnell defeating Reid is the number one priority this year just as it was for Reid as he poured huge money in to the race to try and beat McConnell last time around. It’s payback time.

  • ejfrench

    Please please please hightlight and support NJ District 7 where 3 candidates are trying to oust rino Leonard Lance on June 8th. The Tea Party candidate is Lon Hosford, a true blue American conservative…

    www.lonhosfordforcongress.org

  • Martin Knight

    … None of them can be called “moderates.” So the next thing to consider is who will be *better* able to pound Reid into the ground without making us chew on our nails on Election Night?

    To be honest, that’ll be Lowden. I just believe Tark would be a more consistent conservative (96% to Lowden’s 93%) and that his path to victory would be only slightly more steep than Lowden’s which is why I put him first.

    Angle on the other hand may be the most consistent conservative, but quite frankly, she would have the toughest time beating Harry Reid. The “Scientologist Massages for Prisoners” ads basically write themselves and Reid has a $30 million warchest.

    Notwithstanding all that, I simply see no reason why we need to damage perfectly good people to see our guy/gal win. Lowden is not an enemy – she’s actually someone we should be happy to have on our side.

  • SIConservative

    I’d like to think otherwise, but he’s far from dead. Mason-Dixon has him in statistical dead heats with all three Republicans, albeit at around 40, which obviously favors the challengers. Sue Lowden’s bartering comments have severely hampered her campaign, and questions about Sharon Angle’s association with Scientologists would be certain to persist through the general election. That doesn’t mean that either of the women couldn’t beat Reid, only that the race is far from a slam dunk, especially against a well-funded (Reid has over $9 million on hand) and experienced incumbent.

  • http://www.hakubi.us/ Neil Stevens

    Reid is already gone.

  • Oz

    Or is it one and done for the primary?

  • ltnowis

    There’s no runoff.

  • crassus

    I definitely like Angle the most, but I think defeating Reid is the most important thing, and she is definitely the least likely to win. Therefore I support Tarkanian, who is 2nd best, and probably about the same as Lowden in terms of general election electability.

  • redtillimdead

    By far the strongest. Angle is an oppo researchers dream. Lowden is a gaffe machine. Tarkanian is feared by Reid. Thats why Reid associated groups are backing Angle, attacking Lowden, and trying to ignore Tarkanian, to keep him out.

  • http://conservativestateproject.blogspot.com/ SE-779

    Is the only real Conservative in the race and the only one who can beat Reid. Angle cant win and Tarkanian is questionable on the issue of the 2nd Amendment. When voters go to the polls, Tarkanian will play spoiler on Angle’s chances and Lowden will win. End of story!

  • Castor

    The three top reasons!!!!
    ELECTABILITY ELECTABILITY ELECTABILITY

  • gkendall

    Mark Levin recently endorsed Sharron Angle, because he sees her as the most consistently conservative. Lowden seen as a moderate. Rhino?
    Nonetheless, unless citizens of that state have lost the last remnants of their brains, ANY ONE opposition candidate could and should easily beat the obnoxious Reid.

  • kuksool

    Sharon Angle has Mark Levin, Tea Party Express, Freedom Works, Concerned Women for America, Gun Owners of America

    Danny Tark has Jim Gilchrist

    Sue Lowden has the NRA, NV Right to Life, and Susan B Anthony List on her side.

  • kuksool

    Sharon Angle has Mark Levin, Tea Party Express, Freedom Works, Concerned Women for America, Gun Owners of America

    Danny Tark has Jim Gilchrist

    Sue Lowden has the NRA, NV Right to Life, and Susan B Anthony List on her side.

  • mstedman

    I’ve sent him some dough. Both Lowden & Angle are gaff machines. Bartergate, prohibition, etc. Lowden strikes me as a candidate who would probably do okay as long as there’s a blue team member in the White House but when the next red team president says, “Hey I need $700 billion to give to my Treasury Secretary’s friends on Wall Street,” she’ll say okay. An earlier comment suggested Reid is toast unless the GOP candidate implodes, which Angle (Lowden too) would probably do. We have to look beyond this year and this president, this country is going to go through some very hard times and we are going to need strong conservatives in office. Spineless marshmellows like Reid or Lowden need not apply.

  • proudgop

    Angle is only where she is at because of Club For Growth spending for her

    Lowden comments on health barter hurt her

    Tark has been quiet has failed at state senate and SOS run

    I am rooting for Lowden but only because Angle winning would be very bad news

  • SIConservative

    against all three Republican challengers. He’s still in the low 40s, but how you can call someone who’s running even with or ahead of his opponents “dead” I don’t understand. The trend lines are heavily in his favor. I still think he’d lose if the election were held today, but this race is more competitive than it should be.

  • http://www.hakubi.us/ Neil Stevens
  • proudgop

    and it worries me

    Angle leads with 32%, followed by Danny Tarkanian at 24% and Sue Lowden at 23%.

    In general election match ups against Sen. Harry Reid (D-NV), Angle leads 44% to 41%. Reid also trails Tarkanian, 46% to 39%. Lowden 41 percent to 42 percent for Reid.

    I think Tarkanian has been under radar and hasn’t been tarnished in the primary he might be our best bet now

  • http://www.hakubi.us/ Neil Stevens

    The latest M-D Reid/Angle matchup has all the marks of an outlier. It’s grossly out of proportion with every other poll of that matchup.

    Relax. Reid is Toast with a capital T, as long as we make sure to back the nominee and work until election day to get the job done.

  • morstar150

    That’s the answer to the question of who should we support in Nevada Senate race?

    That also happens to be the answer to all of the primaries. We must as conservatives unite against socialists and progressives on the left. Those who are looking for the “perfect” candidate can always find fault with anyone. In Nevada, there are three good candidates. The people of that state will tell us who we will back.

    Just one thought, Isn’t Harry Reid the one who thinks the aliens are coming to get us. Who’s the Scientologist now? He’s a wack job, political bully, who has made unethical real estate deals for his own benefit, and the leader of the most liberal Senate in history. Other than that he’s a great guy.